J.Bonds
Sun, 11/25/07 - 1:00 | NFL Total
triple-dime bet210 STL / 209 SEA Over 44.5 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis:
The Seattle Seahawks hold a one-game lead over the Arizona Cardinals in the NFC West race and will definitely be ready to put up some points against a less-than-stellar St. Louis Rams defense. The Seawhawks passing game is also getting healthy again - bringing in the No. 8 ranked passing offense in the NFL.
St. Louis is riding a two-game winning streak and bring some momentum into this contest with star running back Stephen Jackson back in the lineup. The Rams have also gone over in 10 of their last 13 situations in coming off two straight road games. Seattle is in a similar situation with the OVER being 12-3 in the first of back-to-back road games.
Also a very important factor is Seattle getting out of the elements of the Pacific Northwest and into the friendly confines of a dome. The weather hasn't been great in Seattle over the last few weeks.
Finally - special teams should definitely be in our favor of allowing points to be put on the scoreboard - with two great kickers and punters that are netting less than 40 yards on average
LEM BANKER
Selections for Sunday (11/25)
Bears
Bengals
Bucs
Dr Bob
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Star Selection
***Buffalo 20 JACKSONVILLE (-8.0) 19
10:00 AM Pacific, 25-Nov-07
Buffalo is 7-1 ATS this season when not playing New England, including 6 straight non- Patriots spread wins and the Bills are still an underrated team. I can certainly understand why the Bills are considered a bad team given that theyve averaged just 4.8 yards per play while allowing 5.8 yppl this season, but those numbers dont reflect whats going on with the Bills currently. Buffalo was horrible defensively early in the season but a couple of injuries to starting defensive backs led to a new lineup and the Bills discovered that the backups are much better than the original starters were. In 6 games since CB Jabari Greer and S George Wilson joined the starting lineup the Bills have allowed 5.3 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.6 yppl against an average defensive team. Buffalos J.P. Losman has played well since returning as the starting quarterback and he has been 0.1 yards per pass play better than average this season (6.1 yppp against teams that would allow 6.0 yppp to an average quarterback) while Trent Edwards was 0.9 yppp worse than average in his 5 games. The rushing attack is much worse without Marshawn Lynch, as his 3.8 ypr is much better than the 2.7 ypr that the other running backs have averaged this season. I adjusted the Bills rushing attack 0.8 yards per rushing play downward for the absence of Lynch and I rate Buffalos attack at 0.7 yppl worse than average without Lynch. Jacksonville, however, is 0.5 yppl worse than average defensively this season (5.7 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average team) and their offense is only 0.3 yppl better than average with David Garrard at quarterback, so the Jags are actually a below average team from the line of scrimmage. Garrard makes up for that by having not thrown an interception all season, but the Jaguars certainly are just barely better than an average team overall while Buffalo is barely worse than average thanks to their great special teams and their now better than average defense. My math model favors Jacksonville by only 3½ points in this game and the Jags apply to a 2-29 ATS subset of a 33-77-1 ATS home favorite letdown situation. The Bills were 5-1 straight up in their 6 games before facing the Patriots juggernaut last week, with the only other loss being by just 1 point to the 9-1 Cowboys, so getting more than a touchdown looks like a good play given the situation and the line value. I'll take Buffalo in a 3-Star Best Bet at +7½ points or more and for 2-Stars at +7 points.
2 Star Selection
**Oakland 17 KANSAS CITY (-5.5) 14
10:00 AM Pacific, 25-Nov-07
The Raiders are a much better team with Daunte Culpepper at quarterback in place of Josh McCown, as Culpepper has averaged a decent 5.8 yards per pass play (against teams that would combine to allow 5.9 yppp to an average quarterback) while throwing just 5 interceptions in 162 passes. McCown, meanwhile, averaged only 5.1 yppp despite facing teams that would combine to allow 6.6 yppp to an average QB and he threw 9 picks in just 122 pass attempts. Culpepper looked good in his return to the starting lineup last week, throwing for over 300 yards and averaging 7.2 yppp against the Vikings and the Raiders are just 0.1 yards per play worse than average offensively with Culpepper at quarterback. Kansas Citys defense has been solid all season and the Chiefs rate at 0.4 yppl better than average on that side of the ball, so they have a 0.5 yppl advantage over the Raiders attack. The Chiefs have turned their offense over to second year pro Brodie Croyle and he hasnt proven to be any worse than Damon Huard was in his 1½ games behind center. Croyle has averaged only 5.5 yppp on 79 pass plays (against teams that would allow 6.0 yppp to an average QB) and the Chiefs running attack has gone from bad to dreadful with Larry Johnson sidelines the last two weeks. Kansas City has averaged only 3.2 ypr this season and the Chiefs averaged just 2.8 ypr in two games without Johnson (against teams that would combine to allow 4.4 ypr) and now backup Priest Holmes has suddenly retired. Rookie Kolby Smith takes over, but his 19 yards on 10 carries this season does not indicate that he’ll be any better than Holmes was (just 3.0 ypr before retiring). Kansas City has been 0.9 yppl worse than average offensively this season (4.6 yppl against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl to an average team) and that unit is even worse without Larry Johnson again this week. The Raiders have been a disappointment defensively this season, but their horrible run defense doesnt figure to hurt them too much against an equally bad Chiefs rushing attack and the Raiders defense (0.6 yppl worse than average) has a 0.5 yppl advantage over the Chiefs offense without Johnson which is the same advantage that KC had over Oaklands offense. The Raiders have an edge in special teams and my math model favors the Chiefs by just 2 points in this game. Oakland applies is just 2-8 and riding a 6 game losing streak but the Raiders continue to play hard and last weeks competitive loss at Minnesota is a good omen for the Raiders today. Teams that have lost 5 or more consecutive games are good bets if theyre coming off a loss of 7 points or less (a sign that they havent given up) and Oakland applies to a 76-26-1 ATS situation that is based on that premise. Ill take Oakland in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3½ points or more and for 3-Stars at +6 or more.
2 Star Selection
**Baltimore 17 SAN DIEGO (-9.0) 18
01:15 PM Pacific, 25-Nov-07
San Diego is certainly not a dominating team this season, being out-gained by an average of 305 yards at 5.3 yards per play to 355 yards at 5.6 yppl (after taking out quarterback spikes and kneel downs), and even the Chargers compensated numbers (0.1 yppl better than average offensively and 0.1 yppl worse than average defensively) are just mediocre. Baltimore looks like a bad team right now, as the Ravens have lost 4 straight games and are just 1-9 ATS for the season. Baltimores offense is indeed bad, averaging only 4.7 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team, but the Ravens defensive issues in recent weeks are likely to be a thing of the past with CB Samari Rolle and Chris McAlister back together in the secondary. Rolle has missed 6 games due to epilepsy, but hes returning to the lineup this week while McAlister should play this week with a bum ankle after returning from a 3 game absence last week. Safety Ed Reed got hurt last week, but he is also expected to play this week. Baltimores run defense has been great all season (3.0 ypr allowed to teams that would average 4.1 ypr against an average team) and the pass defense was very good too in the 3 games in which both Rolle and McAlister have played allowing just 5.4 yards per pass play in weeks 1, 2 and 6 to quarterbacks that would combine to average 5.6 yppp against an average defense). Baltimores pass defense has been 0.9 yppp worse than average in 7 games in which either Rolle or McAlister was out, so they are certainly not going to be as bad as their poor season numbers indicate. Baltimores defense is 0.4 yppl better than average for the season, but that unit has been 0.6 yppl better than average with their secondary intact and they have a pretty good edge over San Diegos offense especially if the Chargers try to run against the Ravens stout defensive front. My math model favors San Diego by 7 points if McAlister and Reed play as expected and by 9 points if one of them doesnt so the line is fair at the very worst and Baltimore applies to a number of good situations. The best of the situations is a 19-1 ATS subset of a 59-19-1 ATS road underdog bounce-back situation and Ill take Baltimore in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7½ points or more and for 3-Stars at +10 points or more.
Strong Opinion
Minnesota 20 NY GIANTS (-7.0) 21
10:00 AM Pacific, 25-Nov-07
It looks like the oddsmakers are making a little too much of the injury to star rookie running back Adrian Peterson. Peterson had been incredible for Minnesota before getting hurt (1081 yards at 6.4 ypr), but the Vikings have a great offensive line and a very good backup running back in Chester Taylor, who has run for 468 yards at 5.6 ypr. The absence of Peterson is only worth about 1 point and the Vikings should certainly not be a 7 point underdog in this game. New York is only 0.1 yards per play better than average offensively (5.3 yppl against teams that would combine to allow 5.2 yppl to an average team) and the best part of their offense a rushing attack that has averaged 4.6 ypr against teams that would allow just 3.9 ypr to an average team. However, running against the Vikings is not something that is easily done (Minnesota yields just 3.0 ypr) and Eli Manning is below average again this season (5.9 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 6.1 yppp to an average quarterback). The Vikings are 0.2 yppl worse than average defending the pass, but the Giants are at a disadvantage overall against the Minnesota defense. The Vikings offense has been 0.5 yppl better than average this season, but I rate that attack at just 0.2 yppl better than average without Peterson and with Tarvaris Jackson at quarterback. The Giants are only 0.3 yppl better than average defensively and these teams are about even overall from the line of scrimmage. The Giants do have an advantage in projected turnovers but Minnesota has an edge in special teams and my math model favors New York by just 2 points in this game and the Vikings have a solid 56% chance of covering at +7 points based on the historical predictability of my math model. Ill consider Minnesota a Strong Opinion in this game at +7 points and Ill take Minnesota in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7½ points or more (at -115 odds or better).
Strong Opinion
San Francisco 15 ARIZONA (-10.5) 20
01:05 PM Pacific, 25-Nov-07
San Francisco is now officially the worst team in the NFL after losing at home to the Rams, but the 49ers qualify in a very good 227-111-9 ATS contrary indicator and a 24-1 ATS subset of a 138-67-3 ATS situation. Arizona, meanwhile, applies to a negative 34-90-1 ATS situation and the 49ers are the strongest technical play of the week. San Franciscos defense is good enough to keep them in the game, but their offense is horrendous and my math model favors Arizona by 12½ points. The situations are certainly strong enough to give up a bit of line value but Im just not eager to pull the trigger on the Niners in a Best Bet. Ill consider San Francisco a Strong Opinion at +10 points or more on the basis of the strong situations and indicators.
Strong Opinion
Under (41) - PITTSBURGH (-16.0) 24 Miami 10
05:30 PM Pacific, 26-Nov-07
Miamis offense went from better than average to a bit worse than average when quarterback Trent Green was injured and then the attack went from worse than average to dreadful starting week 9 when star running back Ronnie Brown was hurt. Backup Jessie Chatman is a decent runner, but he hasnt been able to match Browns 5.1 ypr and Chatman hasnt come close to making up for Browns contributions in the passing games. Brown still leads the Dolphins in receiving yards despite missing the last 3 games and he was the NFLs best pass catching running back when he got hurt, averaging 8.5 yards per pass thrown to him. Chatman, meanwhile, has averaged only 4.4 yards on the 28 passes thrown to him and the difference is about 3 points per game. The difference in the running contributions between the two backs works about to about 2 points per game and the Dolphins have averaged just 4.1 yards per play and 9 points in 3 games without Brown. Miami has turned over the reigns of this broken down offense to rookie John Beck and he appears to be no better or worse than Cleo Lemon was in Lemons 5 games at the helm which is to say not very good. My math model favors Pittsburgh by 14½ points and I have situations going both for and against the Dolphins in this game. Ill lean slightly with Miami and I would have made the Under a Best Bet here if not for Pittsburghs tendency to go Over at home (39-12-1 Over). Miami has gone easily Under in all 3 games without Brown and his absence hasnt been properly adjusted for in the total. I will consider the UNDER a Strong Opinion at 40 points or higher.
POINT TRAIN’S 6-UNIT BEST BET NFL UNDERDOG WINNER
Baltimore Ravens (+9.5) over SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
Rating: 6 units
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Baltimore (+) over San Diego at 4:15 pm EST In a battle of underachievers, the Chargers host the Ravens to see what team can continue to play worse than their talent suggests they should. Expect that team to be San Diego, as Baltimore keeps this game within reach throughout. Baltimore matches up very well with the Chargers, as its 16-13 win in last year’s meeting would indicate. San Diego, now more than ever, relies heavily on its running game. And the Ravens simply don’t allow opponents to run the ball. Tomlinson was limited to just 98 yards on 26 carries in last year’s tilt and was held out of the end zone, a rare occurrence for Tomlinson last year. He won’t get much more this year as Baltimore is second in the NFL with just 78 rushing yards allowed per game. With Tomlinson not being able to run the ball, that puts the burden on Rivers. He has proven incapable of doing that this year. He has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns this year and he’s completed 55 percent or less of his passes the last three weeks. The Ravens offense is nothing special but it should be able to move the ball against San Diego’s 24th-ranked defense. The Chargers have given up yards through the air and they’ve given up yards on the ground. They really haven’t been able to stop anything this year. Don’t expect them to start in this game. The Baltimore offense will do just enough to keep this game close. Fly with the Ravens in this one.
POINT TRAIN’S NFL ROAD WARRIOR WINNER
Houston Texans(+3.5) over CLEVELAND BROWNS
Rating: 3 units
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Houston (+) over Cleveland at 1:00 pm EST The Browns have been playing with fire all year long and have somehow managed not to burn themselves. Well they’re going to get scalded this weekend by the visiting Texans. Expect this game to be very similar to Houston’s game with New Orleans last week. The Texans, armed with Matt Schaub and the return of Andre Johnson, threw for 287 total yards and two scores, with Johnson hauling in 120 of those yards and one of those scores. Expect even more yards and even more touchdowns in this one. Cleveland is 31st in the NFL in pass defense with nearly 270 passing yards allowed per game. On the other side of the ball, look for the underrated Houston defense to give Derek Anderson and the rest of the Cleveland offense fits, much like they did to Drew Brees and New Orleans. Brees had thrown for nine touchdown and just two interceptions in his previous three games but was forced into two picks by the Texans secondary while throwing just one TD. Houston has won two straight both outright and ATS over Cleveland. Expect that streak to reach three in a row in this one. The Browns have had some extremely fortunate bounces go their way this year but their luck runs out this week. Giddy-up with the Texans.
Trey Johnsons 100% NLF Fantastic Favorite!
219 San Diego (-) vs Baltimore at 4:15 PM EST
Sure San Diego is one of the biggest surprises of the season. Sure they continue to under-achieve game after game. It just doesn’t matter today. The Raven offense is pathetic. Averaging 12.6 ppg on the road they don’t scare anyone. Against a Charger defense that is allowing only 15.6 ppg at home the Ravens are in for a long day. Baltimore has been terrible against the number this year posting an atrocious 1-9 ATS mark. They are 0-7 ATS against conference opponents and 1-7 ATS on grass fields. San Diego isn’t the same team as last year but they have still put together a nice 4-1 ATS mark at home. Against Baltimore everyone looks good. San Diego rolls to the easy win in this one.
Play San Diego (-)
Trey's 88% Play Against Crusher of the Month!
#218 Arizona (-) vs San Francisco at 4:05 PM EST
San Francisco will be playing in their third road game in four weeks. Offensively they haven’t been able to do anything this year. San Francisco has lost eight straight games. The 49er offense has managed an average of 8.5 points in their last seven games. With a beat up offensive line and terrible QB play they are headed straight to their ninth loss in a row. San Fran is 2-8 ATS this season. They are 1-7 ATS versus conference opponents and 1-4 ATS versus division opponents. Arizona is a solid 3-1 ATS at home and 4-1 ATS in dome games. The Cardinals have dominated San Fran posting a 4-1 SU/ATS mark over the last three seasons. Arizona gets the win and cover again today against the hapless 49ers.
Norm Hitzges
NFL
Double Play--Dallas -14 vs NY Jets (Win) (Win)
Buffalo +8.5 vs Jacksonville
Green Bay -3 vs NY Jets (Win)
Oakland +5.5 vs KC
Houston +3 vs Cleveland
Tampa Bay -3 vs Washington
San Diego -9.5 vs Baltimore
Arizona -10.5 vs San Francisco
Matt Rivers
100,000* LOCK OF THE DAY Plus Bonus Locks
1. 100,000♦ Redskins
2. 50,000♦ Ravens
3. 50,000♦ Bears
1. Over the years the Redskins and Bucs have met a bunch of times and it seems like each time we have a knock down drag out very very even affair. I do not see much changing here and to get that field goal, even on the road, and what appears to be a lean as well or even that 3 1/2 in some places I have no choice but to back Joe Gibbs' team.
This is as even of a game as there truly can be. Both teams are good, not great and can snatch a huge win and greatly improve their playoff chances.
The Bucs have been a pleasant surprise and are a solid and well balanced squad but they are no better than the Skins at all and to get points in this game is a steal as we can easily see this thing end by that field goal, if not less.
Clinton Portis is the best player on the field and both defenses should do their thing I really like the maturity of Jason Campbell and have no issues with him against Jeff Garcia. It'll be that Washington running game which takes over the game and pull this game out in the end something like 17-14 or 20-17.
2. The Ravens have been awful for awhile now but the Chargers have certainly not done much themselves to be laying such a handsome price. Philip Rivers is regressing and despite having LT and Antonio Gates San Diego is extremely vulnerable as we have seen on numerous occasions this season.
Kyle Boller will get the start for Baltimore which is fine. The guy is far from good but he is better than Steve McNair and actually did some very good things last week in that tighter than tight loss against Cleveland. Baltimore came to play in that last game and at least showed that they have not fully quit on the season.
Ray Lewis and Ed Reed are still great and will make some plays. Unless Brian Billick's offense turns the ball over a ton, which they have done at times, we are looking at a closer than expected game according to those oddsmakers and a one posession final.
The Ravens defense will bring the heat as they see the best across the way in Tomlinson and Gates and subsequentially keep this thing in range.
3. Jay Cutler and the Broncos had one solid win last week and all of a sudden Mike Shanahan's team is deemed the next coming????? Come on! Travis Henry and Javon Walker are more than likely going to miss again and this Denver squad is still not that good at all. They are more than lucky to be at .500 after a ton of tight late wins and one game does not all of a sudden make them anything at all in my book.
The Bears have been as disappointing as they come and Rex Grossman certainly does not instill confidence in me but Brian Urlacher and the Bears at Soldier Field are still somewhat imposing and should flat out win this game. Lovie Smith's defense and overall team is not good right now, don't let me fool you as they have issues all over the field but so do the Broncos and at home in the Windy City there is no way that Denver wins this game around half the time as Chicago, no way.
Da Bears are more than due for a quality showing and this is the perfect opponent for that to happen against as the Broncos are extremely overvalued right now after that last win and I'm all about Lovie's boys!
Matt Rivers
100,000* LOCK OF THE DAY Plus Bonus Locks
1. 100,000♦ Redskins
2. 50,000♦ Ravens
3. 50,000♦ Bears
1. Over the years the Redskins and Bucs have met a bunch of times and it seems like each time we have a knock down drag out very very even affair. I do not see much changing here and to get that field goal, even on the road, and what appears to be a lean as well or even that 3 1/2 in some places I have no choice but to back Joe Gibbs' team.
This is as even of a game as there truly can be. Both teams are good, not great and can snatch a huge win and greatly improve their playoff chances.
The Bucs have been a pleasant surprise and are a solid and well balanced squad but they are no better than the Skins at all and to get points in this game is a steal as we can easily see this thing end by that field goal, if not less.
Clinton Portis is the best player on the field and both defenses should do their thing I really like the maturity of Jason Campbell and have no issues with him against Jeff Garcia. It'll be that Washington running game which takes over the game and pull this game out in the end something like 17-14 or 20-17.
2. The Ravens have been awful for awhile now but the Chargers have certainly not done much themselves to be laying such a handsome price. Philip Rivers is regressing and despite having LT and Antonio Gates San Diego is extremely vulnerable as we have seen on numerous occasions this season.
Kyle Boller will get the start for Baltimore which is fine. The guy is far from good but he is better than Steve McNair and actually did some very good things last week in that tighter than tight loss against Cleveland. Baltimore came to play in that last game and at least showed that they have not fully quit on the season.
Ray Lewis and Ed Reed are still great and will make some plays. Unless Brian Billick's offense turns the ball over a ton, which they have done at times, we are looking at a closer than expected game according to those oddsmakers and a one posession final.
The Ravens defense will bring the heat as they see the best across the way in Tomlinson and Gates and subsequentially keep this thing in range.
3. Jay Cutler and the Broncos had one solid win last week and all of a sudden Mike Shanahan's team is deemed the next coming????? Come on! Travis Henry and Javon Walker are more than likely going to miss again and this Denver squad is still not that good at all. They are more than lucky to be at .500 after a ton of tight late wins and one game does not all of a sudden make them anything at all in my book.
The Bears have been as disappointing as they come and Rex Grossman certainly does not instill confidence in me but Brian Urlacher and the Bears at Soldier Field are still somewhat imposing and should flat out win this game. Lovie Smith's defense and overall team is not good right now, don't let me fool you as they have issues all over the field but so do the Broncos and at home in the Windy City there is no way that Denver wins this game around half the time as Chicago, no way.
Da Bears are more than due for a quality showing and this is the perfect opponent for that to happen against as the Broncos are extremely overvalued right now after that last win and I'm all about Lovie's boys!
EROCKMONEY_________(Upset Special)____________Carolina (+3) v. New Orleans
Wunderdog______________Comp_______________________ ________Carolina +3
The RED SHEET_____________________________________________ __N Orleans
Bernz_____________________________________________ _________PANTHERS
gbwins.com________________________________________ ______New Orleans -3
LT Profits_________________Comp____________________Ca rolina Panthers +3.0
Dave Price________________Comp_______________________Ne w Orleans Saints
Vincent Pioli_______________comp__________________________ New Orleans +1
Gold Medal Club_____________15*_____________________________C arolina +3
Bernz_____________________________________________ __________BENGALS
king creole______________double dime___________________cinn /tenn over 46.5
LEM BANKER____________________________________________ _______Bengals
SportsAction365____________comp___________________ _________Cincinnati -3
G. LYON______________________________________________ ____CINNCINNATI
MARC LAWRENCE______________4*___________Houston + 3 Buy Extra 1/2 Point
MARC LAWRENCE_______NFL PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB__________________Houston
The hook______________________________________________ _Brownies - 3 1/2
EROCKMONEY________________________________________ Under 51 Hous/Clev
gbwins.com________________________________________ ________Cleveland -3
Teddy Covers________________________________________Hous t/Cleve Over 51
Robert Ferringo_______________3-Unit Play____________________Houston +3.5
Phenom__________________________________________Ho uston/Cleveland Over
Gold Medal Club_________________10*________________(First Half) Browns -1.5
GAFFNEY___________________________________________ _________HOUSTON
G. LYON______________________________________________ _______HOUSTON
Norm Hitzges_____________________________________Housto n +3 vs Cleveland
POINT TRAIN______________ROAD WARRIOR____________Houston Texans(+3.5)
Tim Trushel___________________________________________ ____Houston +3.5
MARC LAWRENCE___________________3*_____________________ ___Buffalo + 8
Robert Ferringo________________________________________ov er 36.0 Buff/Jax
Robert Ferringo____________________2.5-Unit Play_____________Buffalo (+7.5)
king creole______________________dime bet jaguars/bufflo___________over 36.5
Phenom____________________________________________ _______________Jax
Alex Smart________________________Comp________________B uffalo Bills +7.5
Norm Hitzges___________________________________Buffalo +8.5 vs Jacksonville
Stephen Nover_____________________Comp____________________ _Buffalo Bills
Gold Medal Club____________________25*_______________________ Buffalo +8
Dr B_________________________3 Star***BEST BET_______________Buffalo +7
GAFFNEY___________________________________________ _____JACKSONVILLE
EROCKMONEY__________________Blowout of the Week_______Kansas City (-5.5)
The hook______________________________________________ __Kc over 34 1/2
Dr B_____________________________2 Star________________________Oakland
NSA Wins_________________________comp_________________ ___Oakland +4.5
GAFFNEY___________________________________________ _________OAKLAND
Norm Hitzges_________________________________________Oa kland +5.5 vs KC
Robert Ferringo__________________2.5-Unit_______________New York Giants -7
Fred Callahan_____________________comp_________________ _Giants over 48.5
Gold Medal Club____________________25*________First Half) Giants -3 OVER 20
Dr B_________________________Strong Opinion___________________Minnesota
The hook______________________________________________ _______giants -7
The hook______________________________________________ ______Seattle -3
NELLY______________________________3*_____________ ________St.Louis +3
gbwins.com________________________________________ __________Seattle -3
Teddy Covers____________________________________________ ___St. Louis +3
ROB VENO______________________20* blue chip_____________st.louis over 44.5
DC sports_______________________20* grand slam___________st.louis over44.5
DONNIE BLACK___________________blackmagic 20*__________st.louis over 44.5
ace-ace/allan Eastman_________________30________________________ _sea -3
007's cousin?____________________triple-dime bet__________STL/SEA Over 44.5
Phenom____________________________________________ ____________Seattle
LT Profits Comp_____________________________________Seahawks/Rams u45.0
Marc Lawrence________________________Comp______________ _St. Louis Rams
Michael Alexander_____________________Comp________________ St Louis Rams
GameDay___________________________comp____________ _______Seattle -5.5
Gold Medal Club___________________10*__________First Half Seattle OVER 22.5
Tim Trushel___________________________________________ _____St. Louis +3
NELLY_____________________________1*______________ _____Washington +3
EROCKMONEY_______________________________Tampa Bay (-3) v. Washington
CKO______________________________10_______________ ____________WASH
Teddy Covers____________________________________________ _Tampa Bay -3
Dave ********______________________6*__________________ ___TAMPA BAY -3
ace-ace/allan Eastman________________20_________________________ __tb -3
king creole________________________dime bet____________t bay/Wash over 38
Steven Budin____________________25 DIME PLAY_____TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
LEM BANKER____________________________________________ _________Bucs
Phenom____________________________________________ ________Tampa Bay
Bruce Marshall_____________________Comp_________Washingt on Redskins +3.0
Gold Medal Club____________________25*____________________Was hington +3
GAFFNEY___________________________________________ ________TAMPA BAY
G. LYON______________________________________________ ____WASHINGTON
Norm Hitzges_________________________________Tampa Bay -3 vs Washington
S.Spreitzer________________________best bet____________________tampa bay
Matt Rivers _________________Lock of the day 100,000♦________________Redskins
NELLY______________________________1*_____________ _______Denver +1.5
Bernz____________________________Personal_________ __BEARS (-3 or better)
The hook______________________________________________ _______Bears -1
ron Raymond______________________5 unit____________bears/broncs under 41
LEM BANKER____________________________________________ ________Bears
Phenom____________________________________________ ___________Denver
Mike Rose________________________Comp______________Denv er Broncos +2.0
Matt Rivers_______________________50,000♦______________ ______________Bears
EROCKMONEY_____________________________Over 38) San Francisco at Arizona
VICTOR KING______________________2*_________49ers @ CARDINALS UNDER
Bernz_____________________________________________ ____________49ERS
Robert Ferringo___________________3-Unit_____________San Francisco (+10.5)
STEPHEN N______________OVER total of the month__________ARI /SF Over 37.5
Dr B________________________strong Opinion_________________San Francisco
Norm Hitzges________________________________Arizona -10.5 vs San Francisco
GOLDEN CONTENDER_________________________________________ ___Raveens
The hook______________________________________________ ____Balt + 9 1/2
MARC LAWRENCE___________________3*_____________________ Baltimore + 9
Larry Ness_______________________NFL 24*____________________SD Chargers
Matt *****_________________________Comp_______________B altimore Ravens
Tony Campone______________________comp____________San Diego under 40.5
G. LYON______________________________________________ ______BALTIMORE
POINT TRAIN__________________6-UNIT BEST BET_____Baltimore Ravens (+9.5)
Norm Hitzges___________________________________________ __San Diego -9.5
Dr B_________________________2 Star Selection___________________Baltimore
Matt Rivers____________________________________________ __50,000♦ Ravens
VICTOR KING____________________2*____________EAGLES @ PATRIOTS OVER
Bernz Blue________________________________UNDER pats/eagles (48 or better)
GAFFNEY___________________________________________ _____NEW ENGLAND
Charlies Sports_________________comp_____________________Ph iladelphia -10
Tim Trushel___________________Featured Play_________New England Under 50.5
The RED SHEET_____________________________________________ ______PITT
EROCKMONEY___________________________________Miami (+15) at Pittsburgh
Dr B_________________________Strong Opinion_________Under 41 PITTSBURGH
Pointwise Key Releases:
New England over Philli - Rating 2
Tampa Bay over Washington - Rating 3
Houston over Cleveland - Rating 4
St Louis over Seattle - Rating 4
Jacksonville over Buffalo - Rating 5
(lower the rating the better the pick)
Wild Bill
Oakland +5 (2 units)
Browns -3 1/2 (5 units)
Rams +3 (1 unit)
Tampa -3 (1 unit)
Eagles +22 (5 units)
Dolphins +16 1/2 (4 units)
Over 45 Seattle-Rams (2 units)
LT Profits
Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams u45.0 (-110)
Sun Nov 25 '07 1:00p
This looks like an inflated total when you consider that all Seattle Seahawks games are averaging a combined 38.5 points this season, while all St. Louis Rams games are averaging 40.6 points.
Sure, the Rams have gotten some weapons back from injury on offense, but that did not help them much in a narrow 13-9 win at San Francisco last week. Now they must go up against s stiff Seattle defense that is permitting just 16.4 points per game for the season, and which held the Rams to six points the first time these clubs met this year, albeit with Marc Bulger and Steven Jackson out. Still, the Under is 7-3 in all Rams games this season, so it is not as if they have been lighting up the scoreboard even at full strength.
While Seattle has been very strong defensively, their offense has been rather erratic, averaging 22.1 points per game. Sure the Seahawks have put up 30 points or more in three of their last four games, but this club is just as capable of putting up a stinker, and the Seattle running game has been a major disappointment, as they are average just 97.0 rushing yards per game on 3.6 yards per carry.
Also note that running back Shaun Alexander is again doubtful this week, and although Maurice Morris has performed admirably in his absence, can he really be trusted to carry the load for a third straight game?
Seahawks, Rams Under 45
Carolina Panthers +3.0 (-110)
Sun Nov 25 '07 1:00p
The New Orleans Saints have now reverted back to their early-season struggles after appearing to have snapped out of it for a few weeks, and we look for the Carolina Panthers to complete a season sweep of this series here.
The Panthers went into New Orleans earlier this season and knocked off the Saints 16-13, marking their fourth straight win in the head-to-head series with the Saints. Carolina should also get a huge lift this week with the expected return of wide receiver Steve Smith, who is one of the best receivers in the NFL when he s healthy, and who has had some of his biggest games against the Saints, with six touchdowns in his last six games against them.
The Saints seems to have straightened themselves out when they got to 4-4, but they have now had back-to-back losses vs. rather suspect competition, handing the St. Louis Rams their first win of the season before losing to the Houston Texans last week. New Orleans has simply broken down defensively the last three weeks, allowing an alarming 410.3 total yards per game including 302.3 yards in the air on a whopping 9.1 yards per pass attempt!
It looks like Smith picked a great week to return, so look for him to make some big plays here as the Panthers pull the mild upset.
Panthers +3
Tom Stryker
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Stryker 4 * play is on the Giants......
North Star Sports Service
NFL
ST LOUIS 3
SEATTLE/ST LOUIS Over 44.5
NEW ORLEANS -3
WASHINGTON 3
WASHINGTON/TAMPA BAY Over 36.5
ARIZONA -10.5
OAKLAND/KANSAS CITY Over 34.5
HOUSTON 4
HOUSTON/CLEVELAND Under 52.5
SAN DIEGO -9
NCAA BB
Best Bet MISSISSIPPI STATE -3.5
CENTRAL FLORIDA -3
SOUTH CAROLINA 1.5
VILLANOVA -2.5
CAL IRVINE
USC
SAN DIEGO
NHL
Best Bet NY RANGERS -147
DALLAS/NY RANGERS Over 5
CALGARY 145
CHICAGO 169
CHICAGO/VANCOUVER Over 5
Kelso Sunday Clubs
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Kelso
Chairmans Club = 10 Units Jacksonville +8 v. Bills
Best Bets=
5 Units Giants -7.5 v. Vikings
3 Units Washington +3 @ Tampa Bay