Ats Lock Club
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3 units on the UNDER 9 1/2 Chicago Cubs/Cincinnati Reds, 1:00
3 units on the OVER 9 1/2 Washington Nationals/Philadelphia Phillies, 1:35
Locksmith Sports have released there 5* sunday play. San Francisco 49ers. (confirmed)
Paul Leiner
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40* Over 47.5 NYG/Phi
10* Rams +13
10* Dolphins -4
free play 10* Texans -2.5
Michael Cannon
Sunday's Early NFL Action:
30 Dime –
VIKINGS
Take the points with the Vikings today at home over the Packers.
Has Green Bay’s 3-0 start been impressive?
Yes.
Does it look like they are going to roll to 4-0 here today as Brett Favre breaks Dan Marino’s record for touchdown passes?
To the untrained eye, yes.
This game has the classic aroma of trap written all over it. A 3-0 Green Bay team favored by less than a field goal over a 1-2 Minnesota team has to be the play of the year, right?
Wrong.
The Vikings enter this game with a vastly underrated defense. They have allowed an NFC-low 36 points and have registered 11 sacks and five interceptions.
Their run defense is the conference’s best, allowing just 67.3 ypg. Green Bay checks into this game averaging a league-low 57 ypg rushing, so the Vikings have already turned the Packers into a one-dimensional team for this game.
They can game plan for the pass and believe me when I tell you Favre is due to throw some big picks here this afternoon.
Everyone has been all hunky-dory over Favre’s impressive start to the season, and I’ll give him that, but this is also the same quarterback who had at least as many interceptions as TD passes in both 2005 and 2006.
Minnesota’s offense has been guilty of turning the ball over themselves, but with quarterback Tarvaris Jackson expected to miss this game due to injury, they will actually be in better hands with Kelly Holcomb calling the signals.
The Vikings have a star in rookie running back Adrian Peterson, so look for coach Brad Childress to get him the ball every way imaginable today. Peterson by himself is capable of keeping the Vikings close here today.
The Packers are just 10-21-2 ATS in games off three wins in a row, including 3-14 SU and 3-12-1 ATS when off a victory of 10 or less points in the previous game.
The Vikings are 8-0 ATS at home off back-to-back losses against a foe off an upset underdog win.
Take the points with Minnesota as they grab the win here today at home.
10 Dime –
FALCONS
Take the points with the Falcons at home today over the Texans.
Houston has looked good to start the season, but I don’t think they’re quite ready to be installed as a road chalk, especially without their star wide receiver.
Andre Johnson missed last week’s 30-24 home loss to the Colts and he’s out again today, which will limit QB Matt Schaub’s options today.
The Texans may also be without running back Ahman Green who missed practice this week because of a knee injury, and backup Ron Dayne is day-to-day with bruised ribs.
Atlanta got better play from quarterback Joey Harrington in last week’s home loss to the Panthers. Harrington threw for 361 yards with two TDs and no interceptions and was sacked only once after going down 13 times in the first two games.
If Harrington approaches those numbers today the Falcons will win this game.
Atlanta is 18-6-2 ATS as underdogs off three losses in a row, including an 8-1 ATS mark against a foe off a SU loss.
Take the points with the Falcons as the Texans choke in their first role as an away chalk.
5 Dime –
BROWNS
Let’s make it a hat trick with home dogs today and back the Browns over the Ravens.
Cleveland should have grabbed their second-straight win last week, but a last second 40-yard field goal attempt was blocked, and they fell to the Raiders, 26-24.
Despite the loss, the Browns have really showed me something as it looks like they’re actually improving this year under coach Romeo Crennell.
Baltimore, on the other hand, doesn’t look like the dominating defense of last year.
The Ravens have blown big leads in their last two games and have had to battle just to grab the wins in both. Last week they allowed the Cardinals 17 straight fourth-quarter points before kicking a last second field goal to salvage the win. The week before they gave up 10 points in the last 10 minutes of a 20-13 win over the Jets, and almost lost the lead as three Jets receivers dropped potential touchdown passes on New York’s final drive.
The Dawg Pound will be fired up for this matchup and I have all the confidence in the world the Browns can hang tight with a suddenly aging Baltimore Ravens team.
Baltimore is 0-4 ATS as a road chalk since 2005, and 6-14 SUATS in its last 20 road games under coach Brian Billick.
The Browns are on a 6-0 ATS run against teams with a winning record, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings of this series.
Take the points with the Browns as they keep it close with the Ravens today at home.
Sunday's Late NFL Action...
15 Dime –
EAGLES
Lay the points with the Eagles on the road tonight over the Giants.
Philadelphia should have no problem whatsoever keeping their offense rolling tonight against a pitiful Giants defense. The Eagles destroyed the Lions 56-21 last week behind Donovan McNabb’s 381 yards passing and four TDs. They rolled up 42 first-half points last week and I’d be shocked if they didn’t continue that outburst tonight against the Giants.
Much will be made about the Giants defensive effort against the Redskins last week, and they did stop Washington with a goal-line stand after a first-and-goal at the 1 with 58 seconds left. But I expect them to revert back to their form from the first two games, when they were lit up for 80 points and more than 600 yards.
The Eagles may be hurting in the defensive secondary, but the Giants are hurting at receiver with Plaxico Burress nursing an injured ankle.
I can’t trust that Eli Manning will make the plays here tonight to keep pace with the Eagles.
The Giants are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Lay the small number with the Eagles on the road as they cruise to the win and cover.
5 Dime –
49ERS
Take the points with San Francisco at home over Seattle.
I don’t see Seattle getting the job done here on the road today. Not after watching them struggle offensively against a porous Cincinnati defense at home last week.
Shaun Alexander is beat up again and Matt Hasselbeck hasn’t exactly been lighting it up in the early going so far.
The 49ers swept the season series against the Seahawks last year, with running back Frank Gore paving the way. The All-Pro ran for 356 yards in San Fran’s two wins last year against Seattle.
The Seahawks are just 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 road games and lack the KO power they had from a couple of years ago. They have lost four straight divisional games and they’re 0-6 ATS in the last six.
San Francisco is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 as an underdog and 7-1-1 ATS against NFC West opponents.
Take the points with the 49ers as they get it done today at home over Seahawks.
Great Lakes Sports
Game of the Month: 5* green bay (-2) 1:00
4* denver (over 46) 4:15
4* dallas (-13) 1:00
3* arizona (+5.5) 4:15
3* tampa bay (under 39) 4:05
Big Al
Championship - Browns
Blue Chip - Texans
Linemover - Dolphins
10 Dimes - Bills
Offshore Steam - Chargers
Computer Boys - Lions
Wayne Root
Chairman - Browns
Millionaire - Falcons
Money Maker - Giants
No Limit - Vikings
Insider - Panthers
Perfect - Lions
scotty spreitzer
tko.....................lad
5star hammer..................mia
5star total........................pitt over 41
tko oddsmaker blowout gom.........ariz
tko rd warrior gom.....................den
tko..............................det
ko............................giants,atl
insider.............................minn
special release....................oak under 41
feist--
personal best.................nyy over 11
platinum......................atl over 10.5
serial game......................nyg
island source....................ariz
persoal best....................sf
inner circle.....................tb,denv
inter conf goy................atl
teaser...............sd and dall
RIGHTSIDE SPORTS
Documented 18-5 in the NFL @ TSM
10* #209 Baltimore -4
10* #208 Atlanta +3
10* #212 Detroit +3
10* #214 Minnesota +2
10* #220 Carolina -2'
10* #223 Pittsburgh -5'
10* #230 New York Giants +3
10* #232 Cincinnati +7'
10* Arizona OVER 41'
10* San Diego OVER 38'
10* Detroit OVER 44'
10* New York Giants OVER 47'
10* Buffalo OVER 37
10* San Francisco OVER 40'
Nick Parsons
NFC NORTH GAME OF THE YEAR
Chicago Bears -3
The Rex Grossman era is over. Good news for Bears fans! In steps Brian Griese. Grossman has been horrible for a long time now, that's not news to anyone. The Bears defense was unable to bail Grossman out last week and the Bears got buried at home to the visiting Dallas Cowboys, 34-10. The Bears do not need a 'super-star' QB to win games though, they simply need a pivot who can move the ball down the field a few times and limit turnovers. Almost any other QB in the league could step in and do a better job than Grossman. Griese has played all over the league, and is at least halfway competent and will be able to utilize the Bears offensive weapons in an efficient manner. The Lions started the year off with a convincing road win over Oakland and followed that up with an ugly OT win over the Vikes at home; last weekend however they got buried in Philadelphia, 56-21, to show that against a good defense, these are still the Lions of old, no matter how much better their offense has become. Although they have some injuries to their defense, I look for the Bears to do just enough to keep the Lions offense in check and look for Griese to carve up one of the worst-ranked defenses in the league; my NFC North Game of the Year is on the BEARS!
Northcoast
4* Falcons
3* Miami , Seattle
Kodiak
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5units:
Detroit +3
Minnesota +2
Atlanta +3
TB +3
KC over 38
TB under 40
Browns under 40
3unit:
Phili -3
Denver +10
Wolkosky Milan
138-90-5 last fourty three days!!!
5-2 Yesterday!
Today:
10* CARDINALS +6
10* FALCONS +3
10* LIONS +3
10* EAGLES -2½
10* SEAHAWKS -2
10* TB/CAR UNDER 39½
10* NYJ/BUF OVER 37
Free: PACKERS -1
PPP
5* Pittsburgh
5* Miami Under
3* Carolina
3* Minnesota
3*Arizona Over
3*Tampa Under
Mr A's
Sunday, September 30th, 4:15 PM EST.
Denver Broncos (2-1) at Indianapolis Colts (3-0)
RCA Dome - Indianapolis, Indiana
Home Record: Denver 1-1; Indianapolis 1-0
Road Record: Denver 1-0; Indianapolis 2-0
Series: Denver 11-7 - ( Indianapolis, 2-0 in playoffs)
Indianapolis has won their last 11 games at home, going 8-3 ATS and have won and covered the spread in five of the last seven meetings versus the Broncos.
Trends:
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Indianapolis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 meetings
The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Take the Colts. Peyton Manning and troops will ravage the Broncos in the RCA Dome. Denver’s secondary is decent, but their defense has been awful at stopping stop the run.
Oddsmakers: Indianapolis as a 10 point favorite, total set at 46½.