Sports Info
ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA
ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY and UNDER
ATS ADVANTAGE: WASHINGTON
ATS ADVANTAGE: GREEN BAY
ATS ADVANTAGE: HOUSTON
ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW ORLEANS and OVER
ATS ADVANTAGE: PITTSBURGH
ATS ADVANTAGE: SEATTLE
ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND and UNDER
ATS ADVANTAGE: Over Minnesota/Denver
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN DIEGO and UNDER
ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. JETS and UNDER
ATS ADVANTAGE: TENNESSEE
Bowl Game
ATS ADVANTAGE: ALABAMA and UNDER
Nite Owl Sports
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Green Bay Packers -4
We like Green Bay in this game up to key # of -4, even though they are locked in as the #2 seed in NFC playoffs, regardless of the outcome of this game. After last week's disaster in Chicago, Packer coaches and players are anxious to re-establish their season long positive momentum with a solid win here, and unlike most of the other playoff teams playing under similar circumstances, there has been little talk of players being held out or seeing "limited duty." With back-up QB Aaron Rodgers being held out of last week's game due to injury even after that game got out of hand, and listed as "very questionable" for this game, it appears that Brett Favre will be taking most of the snaps for the Pack. Speaking of injuries, Lions lost their top RB Kevin Jones (600 YR and 8 rushing TDs) in last week's narrow escape at home over a lousy KC team. Detroit has to be on a mental "downer" even after that win, after having gone from the "penthouse" (at 6-2) early in the season to the "outhouse" at 7-8 going into their final game, courtesy of an ugly 6 game losing steak at the worst possible time. Included in that streak were three bad losses in their L3 road games, giving up a steadily increasing number of points each time, first with 31 at Arizona, then 42 at Minny, and finally 51 in their thrashing at San Diego two weeks ago. Lions are just 2-5 ATS TY on the road, including those last three "no shows." Contrast that to Green Bay, which is 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS at home TY, and has beaten detroit 15 straight times on the "frozen tundra" at Lambeau Field. Favre really carved up the lions' secondary in the earlier meeting of these two teams in detroit TY, and while the weather won't approach the ideal conditions at climate controlled Ford Field, it's predicted to be much more "playable" than what the Pack had to endure last Sunday in the "windy city." We are releasing this pick now and urging customers to get in their bets ASAP on Green Bay at - 4 or better, as we think that's the best price we will get and that the line will rise past the key # of - 4. We will have an update on this pick later in the week as game day approaches.
AAA
St Louis/Arizona Over 48
Note: On this very unpredictable final day of the NFL Season, this is going to be my only play and this one has been very predictable over the last 3 games. This will be my 4th consecutive OVER play with the Cardinals onthe field. Hopefully, this will be the fourth straight winner. Injuries have taken away the Cardinals two best pass rushers and several key members of their secondary. Because of that, they cannot stop anyone and have allowed 27, 37, 21, 42, 31 and 27 points during its last six games. The AZ D was no prize peior to these injuries but now they are just a shell of a team on D. What they lack stopping the opposition, they make up on offense, putting up very similar numbers. The Rams can score and they have done so at a fairly nice clip, especially verses D's as bad as the Cardinals. The first game between these two saw 65 points back in late October and in that game we saw a lot of passes. We will today as well, and with neither team going nowhere, there will not be any intensity in this contest but we should see some fun. Sometimes it can be just this simple and it will be today. Despite the high number to achieve, I am playing OVER one more time
Marc Lawrence
3* Wash
4* Balt
5* Tenn
3* Wisconsin .....by8
4* Hawaii by 3
5* Michigan by 3
Totals
3* Den over
4* Pack Under
5* Miami Over
Larry Ness' Weekend Wipeout Winner-NFL (8-1 or 88.9% FB run since Thanksgiving!)
My Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Cle Browns at 1:00 ET. Barring either the Browns/49ers or Titans/Colts contest resulting in the NFL's first tie since 2002, Cleveland will need Tennessee to lose in Indianapolis on Sunday night in order for the Browns to reach the playoffs for the first time since 2002. That being said, I have little doubt the Browns will "take of business" and then let the chips fall here they may. During the preseason, Browns' fans and many pundits were calling for the Browns to start rookie QB Brady Quinn. Luckily, Romeo Crennel's smarter than the fans and pundits. He dumped Charlie Frye after Week 1 but instead of turning to Quinn, he went Derek Anderson, who's responded beautifully (3,635 passing yards, 28 TD, 18 INT). I know he had a 'meltdown' LW with four INTs but he's led the Browns to a 6-0 SU and ATS mark at home, with a 13-5 ratio and 95.2 rating. Not counting the team's 8-0 "Snow Bowl" win over Buffalo, the Browns have averaged 35.8 PPG at home under Anderson. Lewis is rejuvenated at RB (1,176 / 4.3 / 9 TDs), averaging 110.2 YPG over his last six. Edwards (77 catches / 15 TDs) has had a career year at WR and TE Winslow has finally stayed healthy (78 catches). As for the 49ers, it's the final game of another dreadful season. It's made worse by the fact that Shaun Hill, a breath of 'fresh air' at QB the last three weeks (5-1 ratio / 101.3 rating), is expected to miss with a back problem. The starter is expected to be Chris Weinke, who is 2-17 as an NFL starter! Are you kidding me? Weekend Wipeout Winner on the Cle Browns.
Power Sweep
3* Cleveland
2*...Tennessee
2*....San Diego
Kansas City...Under Dog POW
Sportsmemo
Trushel Tsc.............20* NFL Tenn Under 39.....
Sides Oak +8......Miami +3
CFB Colorado +3.5
Larry Ness | NBA Sides
triple-dime LAL -2.0
Analysis:
It's been awhile since a Boston/LA game meant this much. The Staples Center will be jumping for this game and the schedule makers couldn't have made things easier for the Lakers. Boston's 25-3 mark is truly impressive, as is their plus-13.6 point-differential (it would be an all-time record!). However, this is Boston's FOURTH game in just five nights. Boston is 3-0 so far on the west coast but come on? The first two wins came at Sacramento and Seattle, which are a combined 20-38. Last night's win in Utah wasn't secured until the game's final seconds and unless you aren't aware, the Jazz have now not only lost 11 of their last 14 but were coming off a Friday night loss in LA to the Lakers (123-109)! Pierce (21.1-5.3-5.0), Allen (19.0-4.0-3.2) and Garnett (18.9-10.5) have been great plus the Celtics are allowing opponents 86.7 PPG and to shoot just 41.7 percent from the field. Both marks lead the league. However, depth is an issue with this team and a FOURTH game in five days (traveling from Salt Lake City, no less), won't help. Phil Jackson was on his team's case when it dropped five of seven from Nov 21-Dec 2. However, the Lakers enter this game having won 10 of 12 (2-point loss at GS and four-point loss at Clev). The Lakers are 9-3 ATS during that run and 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home (lone ATS loss was a backdoor cover by SA). Kobe's sharing the ball more these days, while Bynum's become a credible presence in the middle (12.4-10.0). LA's depth will be a major factor here plus Kobe, who was treated poorly by the Boston fans in LA's 107-94 loss in Boston on Nov 23, just may have some "payback" on his mind. 24* LA Lakers.
FRANK ROSENTHAL
ACES RATING KEY FOR MEMBERS
SB = Single Bet. | SB+ = Bet & a 1/2 | SB++ = Bet 3/4 |
DB = Double Bet | DB+ = Double Bet & Dash of Juice |
TB = Triple Bet. Rare! | SW = An Ace Switch ?= Might Add More
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 30, 2007
NFL WEEK # 17
420 EAGLES-7 SB
OVER 37 SB
424 DOLPHINS UNDER 46 SB
432 BEARS+1.5 SB
OVER 39 SB+
438 BROWNS-10.5 SB
440 COLTS+6 SB
UNDER 40 SB+
442 BRONCOS UNDER 42 SB
443 CHARGERS UNDER 43 SB+
445 RAMS+6.5 SB
OVER 47 SB+
INDEPENDENCE BOWL
450 BAMA-3 SB+
OVER 51 SB
NBA
501 BULLS-2.5 SB
503 76ERS+7 SB
512 LAKERS-2 SB
COLLEGE HOOPS
518 WF-11 SB
521 FSU+4 SB
523 VALPO+24.5 SB
Bobby Maxwell
Today we've got a winner coming at you with the Vikings as they should wipe out the Broncos today.
The Vikings need this win and need some help from the Cowboys to beat Washington in order to get to the playoffs. Minnesota is going to hold up its end of the bargain, but don't expect the Cowboys to rise up and beat the Redskins.
Minnesota lost 32-21 as a six-point home favorite last week in a game that could have wrapped up a playoff spot. The reason to play the Vikings is the Redskins' against the Cowboys is at the same time, so the Vikings still need to show up and play well.
RB Adrian Peterson was shut down by the 'Skins lasat week, gaining just 27 yards on nine carries. But today he gets to run against the hapless Broncos' defense. Denver lost 23-3 on Christmas Eve in San Diego and managed just 225 total yards.
Denver is just 9-22 ATS overall dating back to 2006, 3-10 ATS in Denver, 2-5 ATS as an underdog this season and 2-10 ATS against teams with a winning record.
Minnesota has played well the second half of the season and is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in the last six.
The Broncos just don't care and showed it in their last two games. Minnesota needs this one to have any shot. Look for Peterson to run wild, gain about 150 yards on the ground and lead the Vikings to a 28-14 victory.
3* MINNESOTA
Bobby Maxwell
UNLV to wrap up a three-day event with a win over Minnesota
Third game in three nights for both these teams, and while the first two games weren't tough for either one, the third game is on the Rebels home court and that should prove the difference in this one.
These teams have met in December the last two years with the home team getting the win each time but the road team cashing the ticket.
UNLV steps up the defense on the home court, allowing just 62.1 points per game and 37.7 percent shooting. The good news for the Rebels is they've blown out the opposition the first two games of this three-day tourney and have been able to rest the starters significantly.
The Rebels are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall and this team can play some defense. Minnesota is 2-7 ATS in its last nine Sunday games.
The Gophers are in Vegas, playing their third game in three nights. Too many distractions for Tubby Smith's team. Let's take the home team Rebels in this one.
2* UNLV
Steven Budin-CEO
SUNDAY'S PICK
50 DIME 2-TEAM TEASER
PHILADELPHIA
SAN DIEGO
Reduce the points you are laying with both favorites, Philadelphia and San Diego.
Note from Steve Budin:
Using the traditional 6 points you get in a two-team teaser, this Laughlin, Nevada-based group wants you to reduce the points you are laying with Philadelphia at home versus Buffalo and reduce the points you are laying with San Diego at Oakland.
ATS LOCK
6 units Alabama -3 1/2
4 units Chicago +1
3 units Indianapolis +5
Hoops
4 units Valparaiso +24 1/2
ATS FINANCIAL
3 units Cinn -1 1/2
3 units Seattle -pk
Hoops
3 units Miss St. -3
KELSO STURGEON
HIGHROLLERS CLUB
50 Units WASHINGTON REDSKINS (-9)
Larry Ness' 20* NFL Total of the Year (amazing 15-5 run since '03!)
My 20* is on StL/Az Over at 4:15 ET.
NFL Total of the Year 20* StL/Az Over.
Malinsky - Top of the Ticket
4* Green Bay (-4)
Larry Ness' NBA 24* (1st TY / 2-0 TY in college hoops!)
My 24* play is on the LA Lakers at 9:35 ET.
24* LA Lakers.
BIG Al
At 4:15 pm, our Rivalry Game of the Month is on the Washington Redskins minus the points over Dallas.
At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins plus the points over Cincy, as Cam Cameron's crew falls into 9-0 and 15-0 ATS systems. Let's take a look at our 15-0 angle.
At 4:15 pm, our NFC West Game of the Month is on the Arizona Cardinals minus the points over St. Louis.
BEN BURNS:
NFC GOY---------Falcons
AFC GOW---------Dolphins
Blue chip----------under gb/det
3 game exec report
Texans-----AFC Blowout GOM
Broncos
Ravens
Jim Feist
My free pick of the day is the game between (437) SF 49ers and (438) CLE Browns. Take "(437) SF 49ers". A long road trip for this 49er's club. They take on a Browns team that may have blown their playoff chances, losing at Cincy Sunday. The 49ers (5-10 SU/ATS) have been poor on offense, last in the NFL in scoring. QB Alex Smith (shoulder injury) is out and 35-year old QB Trent Dilfer (7 TDs, 12 INTs) has a concussion, but QB Shaun Hill has impressed the last two games. Hill was 14-for-18 for 149 yards with one TD passing and one running in a 20-13 victory over the Bengals, and led the way in a 21-19 upset of Tampa Bay Sunday. They will use RB Frank Gore to attack the weak Cleveland run defense and Gore has 138 and 89 yards the last two games. Cleveland (9-6) could have clinched with a victory over the down-and-out Bengals (6-9) Sunday, but blew it in a 19-14 defeat. "Our playoff game is Cincinnati," insisted LB Willie McGinest last week. Well, they blew it. Now the Browns need to win and hope Tennessee loses at Indy later in the evening. Even after with a shutout two weeks ago, the Browns defense is still last in the NFL allowing 378 yards per game. The rush defense allows 129 yards per game (28th), and the pass defense allows 249 yds (30th). RB Frank Gore should do well against this soft Cleveland front line. Before this game, the highest favorite the Browns have been this season was 4, now they lay 12 points. That's way too many with such a bad defense.
Gamblers World Tip of The Day
TIP OF THE DAY Sport: NFL Game: 4:15PM, Pittsburgh Steelers visit Baltimore Ravens Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers Current Line: -3 Over/Under: 35 Reason: You think 4-11 is bad. Try 2-13 ATS. Baltimore ends a nightmare season at home to the hungry Steelers, who will be without running back Willie Parker. They will try to avenge a brutal 38-7 loss back in November and try to keep Pittsburgh out of a home Wild Card game. Oddsmakers currently have the Steelers listed as 3-point favorites versus the Ravens, while the game's total is sitting at 35. Ben Roethlisberger threw three touchdown passes, as the Steelers roughed up the Rams in a 41-24 last time out. The Steelers easily covered the 8-point spread, while the 65 points sailed OVER the posted total of 43.5. Roethlisberger completed 16-of-20 pass attempts for 261 yards, and Najeh Davenport rushed for 123 yards with a touchdown in the win. The Ravens lost to Seattle 27-6 as a 13.5-point underdog in Week 16. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (39). Troy Smith completed 16-of-33 passes for 199 yards with a touchdown for Baltimore and Derrick Mason caught five passes for 98 yards with a touchdown. Current streak: Baltimore has lost 9 straight games. Team records: Pittsburgh: 10-5 SU, 8-7 ATS Baltimore: 4-11 SU, 2-13 ATS Pittsburgh most recently: When playing in December are 7-3 When playing on turf are 6-4 After outgaining opponent are 6-4 When playing within the division are 8-2 Baltimore most recently: When playing in December are 6-4 When playing on turf are 3-7 After being outgained are 3-7 When playing within the division are 4-6 A few trends to consider: Pittsburgh is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games when playing Baltimore The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh Baltimore is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home