Michael Cannon
Sunday's Early NFL Action
20 Dime
CHARGERS
10 Dime
BROWNS
5 Dime
STEELERS
Kelso
50 unit Washington -9
10 units Houston -6.5
5 units Eagles -8
4 units S Diego -8
3 units Indy +4.5
Bowl game
3 units Colorado +3.5 v. Alabama
Insider Sports Report
5* Detroit/Green Bay (NFL) OVER 39
Range 37 to 41
4* Chicago +1 over New Orleans (NFL)
Range +2.5 to -1.5
3* Pittsburgh -3 over Baltimore (NFL)
Range -1.5 to -5
3* Alabama -3.5 over Colorado (NCAAF)
Range -2 to -5.5
Elite Sports Picks
Minnesota/Denver UNDER 41.5
Discount Sports Picks
10* San Diego -9 over Oakland
5* Carolina/Tampa Bay UNDER 36
INDIAN COWBOY
Cleveland Browns -11 POD
Golden State +3.5
Bama/Bufs o 52
Teddy Covers
Miami +3
Over 41 Jaguars
Chiefs +6.5
Drew Gordon:
Tonight's Game...
1. 200,000* Titans
2. 50,000* Alabama
1. Titans- While playing against the Colts at home has been a dangerous proposition this season (5-2 ATS there), season finales are completely different story, as they're just 2-12 ATS over their last 14, not to mention 0-6 ATS against the division in that spot. We'll take it a step futher, as Tennessee has covered 3 straight against the Indy, including a 22-20 cover as a 7-point dog earlier this season. But you guys know I rely on a lot more than just trends, so let's break down some match ups...
Biggest mismatch is the Titans outstanding run game against a Colts rush defense which has again faded down the stretch, allowing 132 rushing yards per game over their last 4 weeks. We saw the Colts struggle (and fail to cover) against both run-oriented Jacksonville and Oakland, and they'll struggle again tonight.
Of course, we can't mention this contest without mentioning the obvious motivational disparity between these two teams. Colts are the # 2 seed and have a bye, therefore there's literally nothing for them to play for this week. Dungy has had no qualms about resting Manning and company for most of the season finale, therefore, we shouldn't expect much different tonight.
The Titans on the other hand, are in a "win and your in" situation, which is precisely the kind of motivation that I look for in Week 17 match ups. Facing a Jim Sorgi led Colts for most of the game is music to my ears, as the Titans starting defense will play the entire game, and that's a mismatch if I've ever seen one.
Bottom line, based on the number in this contest, its clear oddsmakers do not believe Manning will be on the field for very long. If that's the case, how can you not like this Titans team, with a full head of steam and their destiny in their hands, against the Colts 2nd and 3rd stringers?! Not only have the Titans proven a tough match up for the Colts over their last 3 match ups, but they have the superior motivational edge against an Indy team that could really care less.
Take the Titans comfortably over the Colts as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Alabama- Obviously, the Saban-era hasn't started the way Tide fans had hoped for, sitting at 6-6 and playing in December's Independence Bowl instead of in January. However, if Saban thought his team's loss to UL Monroe was bad, a loss here to Colorado would be devastating for the program and his reputation. His tremedous ego simply couldn't take that, and I believe he's prepared more for this game than any other this season (and definately more than he prepared in the pros).
There's no doubt Saban can coach, and given the extra time, its going to a lot for Cody Hawkins and this Buffalo offense to get anything done against a well-prepared Crimson Tide defense, especially considering they're allowing just 18 on 257 total yards over their last 3 games.
If you watched Alabama down the stretch, you know its not their defense that's the problem, but their offense, scoring a laughable 12 ppg over their last 3 contests! Lucky for the Tide, they get just what the doctor ordered in a Buffaloes defense that's been mediocre over their last 3 games, allowing a mind-boggling 45 ppg on 519 total yards. If Saban can't find a way to beat this Colorado defense with all the time he's had to prepare, then he might as well hang it up, plain and simple.
Bottom line, Colorado overachieved this season, while Alabama underachieved. However, with the spotlight clearly on the Tide and Nick Saban in this game, Alabama must deliver. There's no doubt they have the superior defense, and also the playmakers neccessary to beat this Colorado stop-unit... Now it comes down to execution, and I say they get it done Sunday night in Shreveport.
Take Alabama over Colorado in tonight's Independence Bowl.
Today's Games...
1. 50,000* Chargers
2. 50,000* Redskins
Demarco
Mismatch of the Month
30 DIME PLAY
Philadelphia
Which one of these 7-8 teams wants this game more?
BONUS PLAYS
15 DIME LINEMAKERS QUERRY
San Diego
The Chargers are on an 8-1 Su & ATS series run. Does the streak continue?
5 DIME TRAP LOCK OR NOT
Cleveland
Can the Browns deliver in a meaningless game with their focus on the Titans-Colts?
Lockoftheday
Today's Lock:
Broncos/Vikings Under 42 & Tennessee Titans -300
The Broncos offense is dismal. Jay Cutler is a terrible decision maker. He chokes in the red zone. Minnesota's run defense is top notch. Minnesota will establish the run. The weather will be very cold in Denver. This game goes Under.
Jimmy The Moose
Game: San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns Dec 30 2007 1:00PM
Prediction: Cleveland Browns
Reason: San Francisco has won their last 2 games SU and ATS but this has been another disappointing season for this once proud organization. The 49ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. On the road they are 2-5 SU and ATS. Chris Weinke will be starting for the 49ers today and that just doesn't sound right. Cleveland needs to win and hope the Titans lose tonight inorder to make the playoffs. The Browns are 6-1 SU and ATS at home this season. In their last 8 games as a favorite they are 7-1 at the window. In their last 10 games overall they are 8-2 ATS. The Browns are by far the more talented team and will take this one easily. Play on the Browns
WAYNE ROOT
Chairman - Chicago
Millionaire - Colorado Buffs
Money Maker - Oakland
No Limit - Baltimore
Insiders Circle - Atlanta
Billionaire - Miami
Chairman - Air Force
Marc Lawrence Revenge GOY
Play On New Orleans Saints
Arthur Ralph
Super Pick
KC Chiefs
900 Blue Ribbon specials SUNDAY 2 games
Over NY JETS
OverSL RAMS
Super Picks Last 29 20-9
Double Plays 5-1 Run
NFL last 9 wks 76 % winners
Brian Sherwood
TAMPA BAY +1.35 over Carolina PINNACLE
Again, the game means nothing to the home side and John Gruden will not risk injuries to key personnel. However, this isn?t the Patriots they?re playing, this is the woeful Panthers that will have as much trouble moving the ball on the Bucs back-ups as they would against the starters. Besides, the Panthers are banged up and a final road game to end the season is more of a inconvenience to them then anything else. At least the Bucs are in good spirits knowing that they?re going to the playoffs and Gruden has stated emphatically that the Bucs are playing this game to win. The Panthers favored on the road here is ludicrous. The Panthers ended their season last week with a gritty home performance against the Boys and will have about as much interest in this one as Siegfried and Roy would at a nanny?s convention. Play: Tampa Bay +1.35 (Risking 2 units).
DENVER +3 +1.06 over Minnesota PINNACLE
This choice is predicated on the fact that we expect the Redskins to beat the Cowboys at 1:00 PM, leaving this 4:00 PM contest meaningless for the Vikes. The Vikings looked like a sure thing to make the playoffs three weeks ago but now they need help in the form of a Dallas win to have a shot at making it. When they come out for the opening kick-off the Vikes will be aware of their fate and they?re not going to like it. As a result of that, the Vikings will be an emotionless squad wrapping up a season that has turned out to be a huge disappointment. It?s one thing to miss the playoffs when you?re on the outside looking in but that?s definitely not the case here. The Vikes were on the inside looking out and were a huge favorite to secure a spot but when it counted most they went Dirk Nowitski on everyone. Now they need help and chances are great they won?t get it from Dallas. What we could see here, as the Skins close out the Cowboys, is this line taking a huge drop because the Vikes will deflate big time as the score from the Dallas/Washington game becomes final. So, you can take your chance on Minnesota being eliminated before this one kicks off and bet this one now, as we?re doing. If Dallas miraculously beats the Skins, we?ll be sorry but we just don?t see that transpiring. Play: Denver +3 +1.06 (Risking 2 units).
St. Louis +2.25 over ARIZONA PINNACLE
Take the six points if you like, we?ll step in and take the Rams straight up because we truly believe they?ll beat this sickening Cardinals team. The Cards were a 10-point favorite over the Falcons last week and nearly lost, as the game went into OT before the Cardinals pulled it out, Watching them celebrate after the win was probably the sickest thing I?ve ever seen in 35 years of watching sports. They beat the Falcons by the skin of their teeth for God?s sake, a team that rolled over and died weeks ago and now they?re expected to win over the Rams? We don?t think so. Earlier in the yearm as a 10-point favorite over Frisco in the midst of a playoff run, the Cardinals lost to them outright. St. Louis can move the ball, their defense has been playing so much better over that past few weeks and they would like nothing more then to close out the season with a win. Furthermore, the Cardinals defense made the Falcons Chris Redman look like the second coming of John Elway last week and if he shredded them, Marc Bulger should eat them alive. Arizona makes us sick. Play: St. Louis +2.25 (Risking 2 units).
Marco D Angelo
Marco D'Angelo | NFL Total
triple-dime bet MIA / CIN Over 45.0
Analysis: Today Miami & Cincinnati Battle in an absolute meaningless game so why in the World would I even look at a Game like this? Because I love Money and I can make a lot of it with this game. I have 3 major reasons why I like this game. First in a Meaningless game at the end of the season the defenses usually take the day off. Secondly both teams played high profile games last week. Cincinnati was trying to knock instate rival Cleveland out of the Playoffs while Miami was battling the undefeated Patriots. Teams after Big games in which they put forth a lot of energy generally don't try as hard the next week. Again it takes more energy to play defense than it does to play offense. You've never heard an announcer say boy the offense looks tired as they have been on the field too long? And finally I love this play based on what Vegas is telling me. Vegas has set this Total at 45 why so high I ask? Cincinnati has scored 10,19,13 and 19 points in their last 4 games. Miami has scored 10 points or less in 5 of their last 8 and has scored over 17 just once in their last 8 Games. So again I ask you why so high Vegas on the Total and the answer is simple they are begging you to bet the Under. I'm Betting the Over as I see both teams lighting up the scoreboard as my projected total is 56-61 Points!!
TAKE MIAMI/CINCINNATI OVER as MARCO'S 7* HIGH ROLLER RELEASE and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY
Stan Sharp
Stan Sharp | NFL Side
triple-dime PIT -3.0 vs BAL
Analysis: All 3 of Stan's NFL Bettors agree that PITTSBURGH will WIN this Game today as Baltimore has no reason to play as they aren't going to the Playoffs and no matter what happens today the Steelers still will be going to the Playoffs so Baltimore can't even play the role of spoiler. TAKE PITTSBURGH as STAN'S NFL SEASON ENDING BIG BET OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY
spritzer
Insider........................Atlanta
TKO blowout gom...........Wash
TKO......................Miami
4 Star hammer................Ariz
Bowl slammer..............Colorado
Direct line release..........Lakers
TKO...................Grizzlies
TKO...............Sixers
4 star hammer............Gold St
JWhip
JWhip | NFL Side
triple-dime bet428 GBP -4.0 vs DET
Analysis:
Packers -4 (3 Units)
Packers are in the playoffs and are the No.2 team in the NFC playoffs - they have nothing to play for right? Wrong
All the talk this week along has been how bad the team looked last week against the Bears in the cold.
According Packers head coach Mike McCarthy his team "will play to win this game," and the Lions look like just what the doctor has ordered. Green Bay has won 12 of their last 14 games against the Lions; Brett Favre has 700 completions and 8,155 passing yards against Detroit, which are his best against any team.
Lions coach Rod Marinelli said he is "very disappointed" in the way this season has gone. His team finally won last week, but the team iss just simply "down and out" according to local reports.
This could be offensive coordinator Mike Martz last game with the Lions, and he looks to be going on in style... He was quoted as saying RB TJ Duckett better have an "oxygen mask" ready in Green Bay, because he'll be getting the ball frequently.
This should play right into the Packers defense, which is allowing 93 rushing yards pre game at home and just 14 points on the season.
Take the Pack as they will use this game to get their mojo back for the playoffs.
King Creole
double-dime bet HOU / JAC Over 41.0
Analysis: 1:00pm ET / JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS @ HOUSTON TEXANS
2** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL
Seeing as the Jags have gone Over for NINE friggin games in a row (and were used 5 as King Best Bets), wed be a fool to get off this train in the last game of the season. I realize that Jacksonville will be resting some starters, but #2 man Quinn Gray already has 3+ games experience this year. In fact, HE was the one who started this Jag OVER streak in the first place (late Oct), going 3-0 O/U in 3 road starts (vs TB, NOrl, Tenn). And as usual, weve got some dynamite OU ammo to back us up. One of the best Over situations so far this season is teams coming off 3 or more wins in a row. In 2007, NFL teams off BBB SU wins are 39-23 O/U... 19-11 O/U on the road... and a PERFECT 7-0 O/U as road DOGS (Jags). In addition to a current 9-0 O/U streak, the Jags have also won 7 in a row against the spread. And the Playbook database tells me that NFL road teams off 7+ ATS wins are 10-3 O/U... and a PERFECT 5-0 O/U as road DOGS. Dont forget that they also qualify in a 9-10 O/U Rushing System mentioned on page three of this week's Totals tipsheet. Meanwhile, the Texans are off a big division road loss to the Colts 38-15 (Our only Tipsheet loser LW). A very hot DECEMBER pattern points to the Over: So far in the month of December, NFL teams off a SU division road loss of 21 > points are a PERFECT 5-0 O/U.. This one hit last week with the Falcons as a qualifier. The Texans are also active in a unique 'After COLTS' System which indicates high scoring: In the last 2 seasons, NFL teams are 23-5 O/U after playing the Colts... and a PERFECT 7-0 O/U in the last 7 weeks. Houston is already putting up 26 PPG at home this year... and 29.5 in the month of December.So points shouldnt be a problem. This is the Texans Playoff game, and they want to finish their BEST season on a high note
cokin 3* minn wind: mizz nba: 3*port hat: san sy: gs nfl: 3* wash,minn hat: chi sy: jax bowl: wind: colo
feist: 5* neast pl: fla st 5* gs pl: phil tot: bulls ov nfl: 5* atl pl: car pb: hou tot: az ov no un passed on bowl
scotty: 3* mizz tko: harv,flast nba: 4* gs tko: memp,phil nfl: 4* az tko: mia in: atl passed on bowl