Special K
20* Patriots
20* Packers
Larry Ness
Insider - Washington State
Oddsmaker Error - Wake Forest
Billy Coleman
4* Florida St. +1
4* Oregon +8
3* St. Louis pk
NHL
4* Edmonton/Atlanta over 5.5
3* Anaheim/Dallas under 5
Jeffersonsports
NFL
Green Bay-6.5 -135
NCAA Hoops
Wash St-8.5
KELSO HOOPS
Chairmans Club= 10 units Marquette +2.5
Best Bets 5 units WVU -7.5
Seabass
20* Pats
10* Uconn
10* Wake Forest
20* Wash St
20* S.Fla
10* Anaheim Ducks
Strike Point Sports Picks For College Basketball
4-Unit Play. #815 Take Michigan State +1 over Minnesota
We cashed a 5-unit play with Indiana over the Gophers on Thursday, and we see the Spartans doing the same on the road. Tom Izzo's teams are well schooled on the glass, and they'll win that battle down low, as well as getting a stronger effort from their perimeter players. As a whole, Michigan State should be favored in this spot, as Minnesota has yet to prove they can knock off a legit team. It's the Spartans that cash in this Big Ten tilt
Robert Ferringo's Picks For College Basketball
1-Unit Play. Florida State (+1.5)
1-Unit Play. First Half:Indiana (-9.5)
1.5-Unit Play. Michigan State (Pk)
L O C K O F T H E D A Y .
Lock Of The Month:
Patriots/Chargers OVER 46
Very surprising that we get such a generous pointspread here. This game will be HIGH SCORING for sure, but first, let's analyze the weather.There will be no snow, no rain! The high will be 21 degrees, clear skies,very slight wind. Perfect day for football! Do you think the Patriots will throw the ball? YES!! New England will throw the ball ALL GAME long.This is the BEST offense in the history of the game. Tom Brady is incredibly accurate. Randy Moss is the best receiver in football. Wes Welker is the most reliable receiver in football. The Pats will throw some screen passes to Lawrence Maroney that will result in some big plays. Brady will get this team in the endzone OFTEN! The Patriots offense is UNSTOPPABLE! The Chargers defense is tired. That Colts game was a hard-hitting war! And the Tennessee playoff game was also very physical. San Diego's defense will get pushed around all game long. Remember, this is the same defense that the Vikings and Chiefs lit up!! The Chargers play their third tough playoff game in a row, all the way across the country, in freezing cold weather. The Patriots' offense could score 46 by themselves! San Diego does have LaDanian Tomlinson. If the Chargers get far behind, they will be forced to throw the ball. As for Phillip Rivers, he might throw three TDs and keep the Chargers close, or he might throw three costly interceptions. Either way, this game goes OVER!
Cash & Profit Experts
CBB
Washington St -8
NFL
San Diego +14.5
Northcoast
3* New England
Ben Burns NHL GOM
NY Rangers
Drew Gordon
1. 300,000* Chargers
1. Chargers- Several factors have me liking the Chargers in this one, but let's start with the fact that clearly oddsmakers have caught upto the Patriots, who are just 2-7 ATS over their last 9 games. Although undefeated SU, they've become too expensive to even consider backing over the last 2 months or so, and that couldn't be more true in today's AFC Championshio game. Why? Because San Diego is not the same team they were in Week 2, plain and simple.
The Chargers meanwhile, have won and covered 8 straight games, looking like a team peaking at precisely the right time. Say what you will about their Week 2 loss at New England, but their win last week at Indinapolis should've erased any doubts you had in this Chargers team's ability to win on the road.
So how do they do it? First things first, this San Diego team is led by their defense, which has been outstanding. Over their last 3 games, the Chargers are allowing 15 ppg on 336 total yards! More importantly, they possess the two things necessary to at least fluster Tom Brady: A. rock-solid cover corners (Jammer and Cromartie) and B. as good and aggressive a front 7 as there is the NFL today.
Of course the injuries were a concern early this week, but Tomlinson is going to play, and it looks increasingly like Rivers will play as well. But an even more important factor maybe the weather, which is not conducive to the Pats high-octane passing attack. Its going to be cold, and winds are expected to be around 15-20 miles per hour, which immediately points to a lower scoring defensive affair. Of course, New England will score points, but with San Diego being spotted this many, you're talking about beating one of the best defenses in the NFL consistently in lousy weather.
Bottom line, New England will likely win this game, but one of the hardest things to do in the NFL is beat a team you've seen already once this season soundly. Its the very reason rivalry games are usually so close, because teams are familiar with each others players and schemes. Based on the factors listed above, I'm calling for San Diego to keep this game within the number, using their defense and running game to control the tempo and grab the cash this afternoon.
Take the Chargers plus the points over the Patriots as your top-rated play of the day.
Tonight's Games
1. 50,000* Packers
2. 50,000* Oregon
1. Packers- Everyone's cinderella comes to Lambeau tonight, but the fairytale ends there, as I expect the Pack to lay down the law and end the Giants season with a solid home win and cover in this one. When people say: "Beating Favre at Lambeau in the cold is nearly impossible" they're speaking more truth than they know, as he's 19-4-3 ATS at home from December onwards (when facing an opponent of a win) in his career! More of the same tonight and here's why:
First and foremost, you saw the difference Ryan Grant makes to this Packers offense. His ability to burst through the hole gives this Green Bay team a dimension they haven't had in a long time, and thanks to that, defenses can no longer key on Favre. His 201 rushing yards and 3 TD effort against Seattle was one of the most dominating rushing performances I've seen in recent playoff history. Sure, the Giants are excellent at pressuring the quarterback, but when you go all out for the sack, you leave running lanes wide open... Remember that when you're watching Grant streak down the sideline.
Speaking of defense, while the Giants are good at one or two aspects, the Green Bay defense is the more balanced unit. Both teams are allowing around 22 ppg over thier last 3 games, but the big difference here is total yards: New York 332 yards per game, Green Bay 244 yards per game... Needless to say, that's a large gap between these two stop-units.
Finally, while winning on the road has been the Giants specialty, this is their 6th road game in 8 weeks, and eventually we can count on Manning to screw this thing up. Say what you will, but I just don't trust the Giants signal caller in the biggest game of his career, in the cold, and against this defense. On the other side of the ball, Ryan Grant continues to add to his surprising breakout season with another solid effort complementing Favre in this one. In the end, Packers roll!
Take the Packers comfortably over the NY Giants in tonight's NFC Championship Game.
2. Oregon- This is your classic offense vs. defense showdown, and in this case, I'm siding with the more offensive Ducks in this one. Why? Because although the Cougars are downright nasty at home on defense, the Ducks have the weapons necessary to keep this game closer than expected. Let me explain...
Because of the injuries to their frontline, the Ducks use a guard-heavy rotation (along with F Leunan), to force teams into a more up-tempo game. Ducks are averaging 81 ppg on an outstanding 49% shooting this season, and while they won't get anywhere near those numbers tonight, they can and will keep this game within the number.Oregon's biggest edge comes in their excellent perimeter play, led by sharp-shooter Malik Hairston (54% from field, 48% from 3-point), this Ducks team can bury you from the perimeter... Even their one true frontcourt threat, 6'9 F Leunen, can bury the 3-pointer (50% from beyond the arc). They'll have to deal with a solid Cougars backcourt, but make no mistake, Hairston is the best player on the floor, bar none.finally, before you go dicounting the Ducks, consider two things:
A. They've won and covered 5 straight against this Washington State team and
B. Oregon is an outstanding 9-2 ATS over their last 11 games against the PAC-10! In other words, underestimate this Ducks team in this spot at your own risk, as they've done it before and while they may not win outright, they will grab the cash in this one.
Take Oregon plus the points over Washington State in this PAC-10 showdown
Dr. Bob
Opinion
Penn State (+17 1/2) over INDIANA
Indiana applies to a very negative 6-32-1 ATS subset of a 40-115-3 ATS big home favorite letdown situation today and that angle is certainly worthy of a play if the line is fair. Calculating a fair line in this game isn’t an easy task given that Penn State will be without star Gary Claxton for the rest of the season after he injured his knee early in the Lions’ 55-80 loss to Wisconsin. The Lions were 2.4 points worse in 4 games that Claxton missed last season than they were with him, but Claxton’s scoring efficiency is better this season by 1.5 points per game, so he could be valued as high as 3.9 points per game. That would result in a fair line of Indiana by 18.8 points in this game. The line opened at 18 ½ points, so the oddsmakers came to a similar conclusion on Claxton’s value. I’m still a bit hesitant given how poorly Penn State played without Claxton for the 33 minutes he was out on Tuesday, but it should be easier in this game now that they’ve prepared themselves to play without him. I’ll lean with the Nittany Lions at +17 points or more based on the strong letdown situation applying to Indiana (in fact, Claxton being out given the Hoosiers more of a reason to relax) and I’ll take Penn State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +19 points or more.
Reply With Quote
Gambler's Data
5* 1st half Packers -4.5
5* 1st half Patriots -7
5* Packers under 40
4* Patriots -14
Marco D'Angelo
triple-dime bet GBP -7.5 vs NYG
10* PLAYOFF LOCK OF THE YEAR
Well once again a Manning is in the Conference Championship Game the only thing is it isn't Peyton it's ELI. Well I'm going to be throwing out some cliches as you heard Winning with Mirrors while that's what the N.Y. Giants have been doing. They beat Dallas with just 230 yards of Offense with a bunch of the yards coming in the drive right before the half when for some reason with just 2 minutes left in the half Dallas went to a semi prevent defense. Also note that Dallas had several long drives last week in which they ate up clock and shortened the game. This helped the N.Y. Giants out. Two other factors to consider this will be the Giants 3rd road game in a row. It is tough to win 3 in a row on the Road in the Playoffs. The last team to do it was Pittsburgh when they won the Super Bowl. Also they beat a team in Dallas that had already beaten them twice I think Dallas thought they just had to show up and they would win. Finally the reason the Giants have played so well in the last 3 games is simple just one TO in 3 games. ELI hasn't made any mistakes but today he is playing in the Biggest Game of his life. Until a QB shows he win in the Big Game you have to assume he can't. Big Ben for the Steelers had a horrible game in his first Championship Game and so will ELI. The last factor I want to point out is that Green Bay has gotten better every week. In September they couldn't run the Ball now they are killing people with their rushing attack rushing for 124 or more in 5 of last 6 games. When they run well it only makes Brett Favre that much better. The giants secondary is banged up Romo didn't exploit it but Favre will. TAKE GREEN BAY as my 10* PLAYOFF LOCK OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY. PREDICTED SCORE GREEN BAY 27 -13
dime bet Michigan St. 0.0 vs Minnesota
Analysis: In Basketball today I look for Michigan St to Win by 8-11 Points. TAKE MICHIGAN ST and make them a SINGLE DIME PLAY.
dime bet Temple 1.0 vs St. Louis
Analysis: In Basketball today I look for Temple to Win by 7-9 Points. TAKE TEMPLE and make them a SINGLE DIME PLAY.
Daniel Perkins
Sport: College Basketball
Pick: 5 units (Free Play) MONEYLINE: Minnesota Golden Gophers -110
Daniel Perkins REDEMPTION SUNDAY Continues at 4pm EST with the Michigan State Spartans traveling to play the Golden Gophers of Minnesota. Once again we are going to POUND THE MONEYLINE on the small home favorite. Minnesota fits into the same system as the early game that has torn apart the books winning 76% of the time! The Golden Gophers are knocking on the doors of the top 25 ranking committee, and for good reason. They sit at 12-4 on the season and an extremely profitable 8-1 on their home court. Lock down defense to the tune of 60.5 points allowed has led Minnesota to many wins this season. They are quick in transition and turn defensive stops into points time after time. Minnesota averages 75 points per game, a difference of +14.5. The Spartans have hit the road twice this season splitting their record at 1-1. They put up just 36 points against IOWA and the 19th ranked defense in the nation. They average just 50 points on the road and will definitely be in tough against the Gophers 38th ranked defense. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS coming off a win and have failed to cover their last 6 against the big ten. They hold a 0-5 record ATS in their last 5 games overall and are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. The home team has covered 10 of the last 12 games between these two. Take the Golden Gophers in a hard fought defensive win this afternoon and continue the 3-0 REDEMPTION SUNDAY MISSION with Daniel Perkins later tonight in the Giants Packers NFL Championship!
Michael Cannon
40 Dime –
PACKERS (Buy the ½ point if your line is -7 ½)
Take the Packer minus the points over the Giants at Lambeau Field tonight.
Hey, I’ve had the Giants in both of their outright wins, but one thing I saw in last week’s win over Dallas that concerns me here is the way their defensive front was blown off the ball.
Had Dallas stuck with the gameplan of running Marion Barber it could have been a different outcome for the Cowboys. Barber finished with 129 yards rushing, but had 101 by halftime when the game was tied.
It’s quite possible the Giants defensive front won’t be recovered from the manhandling it took last week. Now they have to go against the zone-blocking of the Packers and the hard-running Ryan Grant.
Everyone is talking about Brett Favre and rightfully so, but Grant is the key to this entire game for the Packers. If the Giants can’t stop the run, they won’t even come close tonight.
The Packers are going to try and get on top early, forcing the Giants to play from behind. Eli Manning has had a nice run so far in the playoffs, but he’s just been managing the games, not leading them.
If Manning is forced to try and play catch-up, the Giants are in trouble.
Both of these teams boast some impressive ATS numbers, so I won’t even go into detail about them.
The Giants have played great on the road this year, but Lambeau Field in the NFC Championship is like no other road game they’ve encountered this year.
The Packers will dictate this game offensively and force Manning into making some bad decisions once he falls behind.
Take Green Bay minus the points and remember to buy the ½ point if your line is -7½.
10 Dime –
CHARGERS
Take the points with the Chargers today against the Patriots in the AFC Championship.
Look, I’m not suggesting that the Chargers are going to win this game, but it seems way too easy to lay the points with the Patriots considering what San Diego is up against.
First, it’s injuries to their three most important players; Antonio Gates, LaDanian Tomlinson and Philip Rivers. Then you have the fact they’re trying to knock off the undefeated Patriots on the road.
It all has the makings of a blowout, but nobody is mentioning the Chargers defense and that’s why I like San Diego to stay within the number.
The Chargers have the ability to pressure Tom Brady with Shawne Merriman and Shaun Phillips. If they can at least disrupt Brady’s rhythm, then the Chargers won’t get blown out, no matter what the case is with their offense.
This is just too many points for a team to be laying in a conference championship, regardless of who’s injured for San Diego.
Take the points with the Chargers as they stay within the number.
Reply With Quote