Bob Balfe
Rams +2.5 over Seahawks
The Seahawks will be without their LT Walter Jones and Hasselbeck will not play. Wallace is just not a QB who can win in this league. There is no excuse for the Rams not to win today. They are playing at home on turf and their offense is healthier than the Seahawks. Look for Bulger to have a decent game and Jackson to run the ball well. Take St. Louis.
Tony Mathews
San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Selection: San Diego Chargers -6
There is still a very slight chance that the 5-8 Chargers can make the play-offs, and this Sunday San Diego will be working hard to make that chance a reality. San Diego has 3 games left of the regular season and they are currently 3 games behind Denver, competing for the #1 position in the AFC West. San Diego has already lost all chances for the conferences’ two Wild Cards and the sliver of play-off hope rests on a victory over the Chiefs this weekend as well as The Panthers winning over the Broncos in week 15. If San Diego and the Broncos lose this weekend, the Chargers will simply be eliminated in the play-off running. At the beginning of the season, the Chargers came in as the preseason favorite with anticipations running high for San Diego to win their 3rd consecutive AFC West title. However, the postseason didn’t really come into the picture as a reality until late in the season when they pounded the Raiders 34-7 at the beginning of December. Despite the team’s collective disappointing performance, QB Phillip Rivers was solid in that game throwing 3 TD passes. Versus the Raiders, the San Diego defense anesthetized the Raiders already incompetent attach, allowing a total of only 163 yards and 9 first downs.
The miserable 2-11 Chiefs are a very opportunistic stepping stone for San Diego’s pursuit in securing a play off spot and achieve their 2nd straight win. This season has been terrible to the Chiefs and another loss would actually benefit them with a better draft pick.
If the Chargers can pull a win off today, they have a game hosted by NFC South Tampa Bay on deck (which will be a must win as well). After that, they will host the Broncos in their regular season finale on December 28th which may or may not turn out to be an extremely high stakes game for San Diego.
Take the San Diego Chargers -6
Pure Lock
NY GIANTS @ DALLAS
PLAY: NY GIANTS (+)
R&R Totals
NY GIANTS @ DALLAS
PLAY: OVER
Mikey Sports
NY Giants @ Dallas
Play: Dallas (-)
Ross Benjamin
Detroit @ Indianapolis
Play: Indianapolis –17.0
Any home favorite of 14.5 or more that is coming off of BB SU wins the last of which they scored 26 points or more, they are playing in Game 13 of the season or beyond, and they have a winning percentage of .667 or better is 11-0 SU&ATS since 1984. The favorite has won those 11 games by an average of 30.8 points per game. Play on the Indianapolis Colts minus the points.
DUNKEL
Denver at Carolina
The Panthers look to go a perfect 8-0 SU at home this season against a Denver team that is 3-8 ATS in non-conference games over the last three seasons. Carolina is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Panthers favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-7 1/2).
Game 303-304: Green Bay at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 132.443; Jacksonville 132.080
Dunkel Line: Even; 48 1/2
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 2 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+2 1/2); Over
Game 305-306: Detroit at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 118.615; Indianapolis 139.397
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 21; 40
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 17; 45
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-17); Under
Game 307-308: Washington at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 129.487; Cincinnati 120.406
Dunkel Line: Washington by 9; 33
Vegas Line: Washington by 7; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-7); Under
Game 309-310: Tampa Bay at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 134.678; Atlanta 139.686
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 5; 42
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3); Under
Game 311-312: San Francisco at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 123.463; Miami 131.112
Dunkel Line: Miami by 7 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Miami by 6; 44
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-6); Over
Game 313-314: Seattle at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 120.431; St. Louis 120.619
Dunkel Line: Even; 48
Vegas Line: Seattle by 2 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+2 1/2); Over
Game 315-316: Buffalo at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 130.514; NY Jets 135.857
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 5; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 7 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+7 1/2); Over
Game 317-318: Tennessee at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 137.547; Houston 136.345
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1; 38
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3); Under
Game 319-320: Pittsburgh at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 139.910; Baltimore 144.436
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 4 1/2; 31
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 2 1/2; 34
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-2 1/2); Under
Game 321-322: Denver at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 127.199; Carolina 140.015
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 13; 53
Vegas Line: Carolina by 7 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-7 1/2); Over
Game 323-324: San Diego at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 130.340; Kansas City 127.089
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 3; 51
Vegas Line: San Diego by 6; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+6); Over
Game 325-326: Minnesota at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 131.032; Arizona 137.129
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 6; 50
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-3); Over
Game 327-328: New England at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: New England 136.922; Oakland 124.671
Dunkel Line: New England by 12; 46
Vegas Line: New England by 7; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-7); Over
Game 329-330: NY Giants at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 135.724; Dallas 139.607
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 4; 49
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3); Over
MONDAY, DECEMBER 15
Game 331-332: Cleveland at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 126.089; Philadelphia 142.924
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 17; 36
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 14; 39
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-14); Under
NBA
New Orleans at Toronto
The Raptors have won two straight and look to take advantage of a New Orleans team that is 0-2 ATS after scoring 85 points or less (82 in last game vs. Boston). Toronto is the underdog pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored straight up by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+2 1/2).
Game 701-702: New Orleans at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 119.851; Toronto 122.455
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+2 1/2); Under
Game 703-704: Miami at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 114.322; Memphis 117.405
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 3; 198 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 705-706: Oklahoma City at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 107.350; San Antonio 126.914
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 19 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 15 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-15 1/2); Under
Game 707-708: Minnesota at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 109.007; LA Lakers 128.692
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 19 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 15 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-15 1/2); Over
NCAAB
Portland State at Washington
The Huskies look to build on their 4-0 ATS record at home this season against a Portland State team that is 0-2 ATS against teams with a winning record. Washington is the pick (-13) according to Dunkel, which has the Huskies favored by 17. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-13).
Game 709-710: Illinois-Chicago at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 63.913; Georgia Tech 68.445
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 8
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+8)
Game 711-712: Northern Illinois at Arkansas Little Rock
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 44.529; Arkansas Little Rock 59.131
Dunkel Line: Arkansas Little Rock by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas Little Rock by 12
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas Little Rock (-12)
Game 713-714: UTEP at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 60.733; New Mexico State 62.239
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+3 1/2)
Game 715-716: Wright State at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 49.472; Wake Forest 73.929
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-22 1/2)
Game 717-718: Gonzaga at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 73.339; Arizona 69.741
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+6 1/2)
Game 719-720: Detroit at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 46.469; Bowling Green 55.504
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 9
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-6 1/2)
Game 721-722: Southern Illinois at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 55.364; Nevada 61.440
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 6
Vegas Line: Nevada by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-3 1/2)
Game 723-724: Western Michigan at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 50.403; UNLV 66.912
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: UNLV by 14
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-14)
Game 725-726: Stanford at Colorado State
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 64.086; Colorado State 59.922
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 4
Vegas Line: Stanford by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+7 1/2)
Game 727-728: Villanova at LaSalle
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 69.009; LaSalle 61.697
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 9
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (+9)
Game 729-730: Niagara at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 57.702; South Florida 64.978
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 7
Vegas Line: South Florida by 5
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-5)
Game 731-732: SE Missouri State at Bradley
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 39.630; Bradley 60.315
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Bradley by 19
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-19)
Game 733-734: Morehead State at Illinois State
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 48.162; Illinois State 63.811
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 19
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+19)
Game 735-736: Drexel at Fairfield
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 50.935; Fairfield 55.819
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 5
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 8
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (+8)
Game 737-738: Princeton at Manhattan
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 45.275; Manhattan 58.303
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 13
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-10 1/2)
Game 739-740: Montana at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 48.891; Fresno State 50.866
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 2
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (+4 1/2)
Game 741-742: Portland State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 55.723; Washington 72.642
Dunkel Line: Washington by 17
Vegas Line: Washington by 13
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-13)
GINA
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
Don't know why the Titans continue their winning ways, perhaps playing sound defense. Tennessee is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games and have won and covered the spread in the last five meetings versus the Texans, including a 31-12 victory at home in Week 3. Go with the Titans.
Tennessee Titans -3
New England Patriots at Oakland Raiders
The Patriots have struggle on the West Coast this season, but Oakland has struggle everywhere. Go with the limping Patriots to give the lifeless Raiders their seventh straight lost in a low scoring battle.
New England Patriots -7 & Under -40
Johnny Guild
Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts
Manning and his crew hammered the Lions in the last meeting four years ago in Detroit, a 41-9 victory. Expect a similar outcome again. Detroit’s woeful defense is allowing 386 yards per-game, rush defense allowing 173 yards a game. Take the Colts to pound the winless Lions at Lucas Oil Stadium and grab their seventh straight victory. The line is huge at 17 and Indianapolis has not been lucrative against the spread, but they are a much better team and should easily outscore the pitiable Detroit Lions.
Indianapolis Colts -17
New York Jets -7.5
Miami Dolphins -6
Arizona Cardinals -3
Chris Jordan
N.Y. Giants at DALLAS -3
With the Giants conceivably looking ahead to next week’s home game against Carolina, I honestly believe they’re going to be caught off-guard by their division rivals Sunday night.
New York averaged 34.5 points per game over the first four weeks of November – again Dallas, Philadelphia, Baltimore and Arizona – but stalled the past two weeks in splitting out against the ‘Skins and Eagles with an average of 18.5 points per game. And with Dallas somewhat rejuvenated now that Tony Romo is back, not to mention a tad peeved after blowing a lead it held for 57 minutes against the Steelers, the Giants are going to have their hands full whether they like it or not.
I realize the Giants know they need to win out to secure the No. 1 seed, but I believe they’re more worried about Carolina than the Pokes. And let’s face it, the oddsmakers are begging you to take the defending Super Bowl champs, while they’re telling you who the true favorite should be.
The chalk has covered seven of the last nine meetings, and with the Cowboys a perfect 7-0 the last seven times they’ve laid a field goal or less; it’s clear to me who the play is in this game. Don’t get trapped; play Dallas.
3♦ COWBOYS
Drew Gordon
Minnesota at ARIZONA -3
Tough spot for the Vikings, who despite having the more pressing need to win (Cards already clinched), come into this game with a litany of factors against them...
First and foremost, while everyone knows they're stout against the run, the Vikings secondary is highly vulnerable. And despite clinching the NFC West, the Cards are playing for seeding, and will make every attempt to attack the Vikes shaky pass defense, allowing 243 passing yards per game on the road this season!
Second, while many focus on Arizona's high-powered attack, their defense has been much improved, allowing 20 ppg on 310 total yards per contest at home this season. Also, let's not forget, they'll be up against Tarvaris Jackson today, not Gus Frerrote, which immediately spells trouble for Minnesota, because Jackson has proven HIGHLY inconsistent, and even moreso on the road.
Finally, for people that know football, the Vikmings playing their 4th road game in 5 weeks is NOT a good thing. At this point in the season, everyone is hurt, everyone is dealing with nicks and pains, and having to go into someone else's house week-in and week-out and remain focused is difficult. True, the Vikes have won 2 of their last 3 road games, but doing it again today will be easier said than done. In the end, Cards take care of business at home!
Take Arizona over Minnesota in this NFL match up.
2♦ ARIZONA
San Francisco +6' at MIAMI
I can understand why bettors would be inclinded to side with the Dolphins here, thanks in large part to a couple factors. The average bettor sees a two things: A. Miami must continue to win games to make the postseason. And B. the injury to Frank Gore makes the Dolphins a more appealing option. But not so fast, and here's why:
The problem I have with laying this many points with Miami is I don't believe their offense can create the separation necessary to cover. In other words, I expect a hard-fought defensive battle between a much improved 49ers defense, and a middle-of-the-road Dolphins offense.
Its no secret since Singletary took over this San Fran team, they've responded on both sides of the ball, but especially on defense, allowing 17 ppg on 313 total yards over their last 3 games. For comparison's sake, the Dolphins D has allowed 21 ppg on 323 total yards over the same span... So you see the 49ers defense is actually posting better numbers than Miami.
Finally, another similarity between these two teams is their offenses. Both teams have smart, usually mistake-free QBs running the show. Both teams prefer to dink-and-dunk with below average wideouts. Granted, the Dolphins have the edge with Ronnie and Ricky in the backfield, but again, the 49ers run defense is much improved.
Bottom line, I just don't see more than a field goal separating these two teams, and quite frankly, it wouldn't surprise me much if the 49ers won outright here. Miami has a tendecy to play down to their opponents (see Seattle, Oakland, and St. Louis games), a could very well do it again this Sunday. In the end, the play here rests squarely on the road dog.
Take San Francisco plus the points over Miami in this NFL match up.
3♦ SAN FRANCISCO
Brett Maverick Sports
Oakland + 6.5 Five Star Play
All other post on this website have been one Star Free Plays as our system only plays 5 through 20 Star Games. Today we are giving away our first 5 Star rated play on this website. Its late in the year now in the NFL and many teams have nagging injuries and tired Older Legs. The Patriots fit this scenerio with two linebackers hurting and a ravaged defense of injuries. Cassell's father passed away and he missed practiceWednesday, and is in a greiving state. An older Randy Moss faces the Raiders for the first time ever. The Patriots are off a struggle vs the helpless Seahawks as they trailed most of the game.The Raiders have the younger legs, as the Patriots are down to a 39 year old Seau at linebacker. Here are two big stats that matter...The Patriots have not won back to back since October, and they stand 2-13 ats as a road favorite after game 13 each year. Age has no mercy, and this team is getting old fast. Take the home dog Raiders.
GREG SHAKER
San Francisco 49ers at Miami Dolphins
Play: Niners +6
I am not going to try to convince you that the Niners are a better team than the team they will play on Sunday. They are not. Does that make them not worthy of a look. Nope. In fact, this 5-8 team is having fun playing football right now and sometimes that is more than who is the best squad on the field. But let's look at this thing here. The Dolphins beat Buffalo last week in less than stellar playing conditions. Previous to that, they managed a 4 point win verses a very bad Rams team. Prior to that they were manhandled by the Patriots in a game that I bet for good reason. The previous 2 weeks, a 2 point win over Oakland and a 2 point win over Seattle. Wow!! These guys are good!! NOT!! San Francisco comes to Miami as loose as a goose, and they do like their new coach Mike. They have won 3 of their last 4, with their only loss being at Dallas verses a very motivated Cowboy Team. The fact is, they had every reason to lose that one and I had the Cowboys that weekend. The Frisco D has been playing the kind of ball that Mike wants them to, and over their last 3 contests, they have allowed just 96 yards on the ground per game. They are focused, and they are having fun. Have I mentioned that yet? The Home Team really, really, needs to win Sunday. Does that have an affect on this outcome? Nah. The Niners will come to play and they will play hard. Coach Mike will be there watching, and they like him. Did I mention that yet? I can guarantee that money will be pouring on Miami for this one, and Vegas will probably add another Big Buffet because of it.
Jimmy Boyd
Detroit Lions vs. Indianapolis Colts
Play: Detroit Lions +17/
Detroit came out strong and took a division leading Minnesota Vikings team down to the wire last week. It is getting down to the nitty gritty and this team does not want to be remembered as Mr. 0-16. You'll see maximum effort again this week and that will keep the Lions within the number. History is strongly on the side of Detroit here as plays on road underdogs or pick after 7 or more consecutive losses, in the second half of the season are 36-11 ATS since 1983. Detroit is also 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons, losing these games by just 7 points on average. Indy is is 1-9 ATS versus poor defensive teams allowing >=5.65 yards/play over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by only 2.6 points on average. Take the points.
Scott Rickenbach
Play OVER the total in Atlanta vs Tampa Bay
Enough with the weather concerns! Just like last week’s win with over the total in the Saints game at the Superdome, this week we go with a match-up in a domed stadium that has OVER written all over it because it should be an absolute track meet. We get a little extra line value with the over here because both of these teams had more of a reputation as defensive minded clubs before this season but a lot has changed this season for the Falcons defense and the Buccaneers defense is looking worn out here late in the season. The Falcons are back in their “venue” though now as they are use to playing indoors and we used the over here last week when Atlanta helped get that game over at New Orleans in the friendly confines of a dome. Note that Atlanta’s last three divisional games have each seen at least 54 points scored and one of these was ridiculously high scoring when the Falcons beat Carolina 45-28. Yes that’s a combined 73 points and we look for more of the same against Tampa Bay. The Falcons defense has regressed this season and the Bucs already put up 24 points on them in their first meeting this season. After a disappointing loss at Carolina on Monday night, the Buccaneers offense will enjoy the fast track in Atlanta but their weary defense surely won’t! Look for a shootout at the The Georgia Dome on Sunday. The Bucs will be trying to contain a Falcons offense that is rolling as QB Matt Ryan appears to be more and more comfortable as the season has gone on. The rushing attack of the Falcons has been a strength this season but now the passing attack is giving the running game a “run” for it’s money! All kidding aside, the balanced offensive attack the Falcons now have is as strong as we’ve seen from them in a long time and we feel they’ll be able to shred this struggling Bucs defense. Physically, the Buccaneers defense will be worn out from having the Panthers run over them all night long in Carolina on Monday. The good news for Bucs fans is that the Falcons defense is not what it once was and, as a result, the Saints will knife right through the Atlanta defense in this one. Atlanta got torched by Jake Delhomme two weeks ago and then had to deal with Drew Brees and the high-powered Saints last week! New Orleans ran all over the Falcons last week and that is the biggest concern for both defenses here! When you can’t stop the run, it allows teams to establish the ground game and then that’s what opens up the aerial attack! We feel all of the above leads to a solid OVER here.
Lenny Del Genio
Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts
Prediction: Detroit Lions
As it stands now, the current 17-point number for this matchup is the largest pointspread we?ve seen this season. Remember how hot double-digit dogs started this season? How about 17-1 ATS! Now that cover rate has come way down over the last three weeks as NFL teams getting 10 or more points are just 1-6 vs. the number. However, it was these Lions that produced that lone cover last week staying within a generous 11-point spread in a 20-16 loss to the Vikings. Detroit is now 8-1 ATS in the role of double-digit underdog over the last three seasons.Allow us to be the last ones to tell you that the Lions are 0-13 and look to have the best shot ever at a 0-16 season. However, this is not lost on the players, who are going to give effort the rest of the way so that they can avoid NFL infamy. Last year, this was the week where a winless Miami team won its only game of the season.
Tom Freese
Villanova at La Salle
Prediction: La Salle
LaSalle is 8-1-1 ATS their last 10 non-conference games and they are 4-1-1 ATS their last 6 games vs. Big East teams. The Explorers are 22-11 ATS their last 33 games as underdogs and they are 6-2-1 ATS on Sunday. Villanova is 5-12 ATS off an ATS loss and they are 1-4 ATS vs. winning teams and they are 2-6 ATS on Sunday. The Wildcats are 1-9 ATS after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. They could be flat here as they are off a win over hated St. Joes in their last game. PLAY ON LA SALLE +