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Vegas Experts

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns

What a sad joke the Cleveland Browns are. As cruel and unfathomable as this statement might be, we're going on the record and saying the Browns players would rather just forfeit this game. The home crowd has turned against them. The team has stopped trying. We have a special end of the year system that says in a battle of teams as bad as this, you want to go against the favorite. Cleveland shouldn't be laying points to anyone at this point.

Play on: Cincinnati

 
Posted : December 21, 2008 9:47 am
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Tom Freese

Cleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder
Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland is 11-0 ATS vs. teams with a losing record and they are 6-0 ATS as favorites of 11 or more points. The Cavaliers are 13-3 ATS after scoring 100 or more points in their last game and they are 16-5 ATS off a double digit win. Oklahoma City is 3-7 ATS their last 19 games as home dogs and they are 2-8 ATS when playing with one day of rest. The Thunder are 3-7 ATS their last 10 home games and the underdog in this series is 1-4 ATS the last five meetings. Play On CLEVELAND -

 
Posted : December 21, 2008 9:49 am
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Priceless Picks

1 Unit on Tampa Bay Bucs -3

The Bucs are a perfect 6-0 at home this season and after back-to-back defeats, they come storming back today against a Chargers team that is just 2-5 on the road. The Bucs have outscored their opponents by 11.1 ppg at home this season and history supports a breakout game this week. Plays on any team ( TAMPA BAY ) - good team - outscoring opponents by 4 or more points/game, after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less are 30-10 ATS the last 5 seasons. Tampa Bay is also 22-8 ATS in home games after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992. This team is built around running the football and it will not be denied again this week versus a soft Chargers defense. Lay the number.

 
Posted : December 21, 2008 9:50 am
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Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Miami Dolphins -3.5

This is a must-win for the Dolphins and I like them to get the job done SU and ATS against the lowly Chiefs this week. Miami is a solid 4-2 SU and ATS on the road this season and comes into this one having won 7 of its last 8 games. The Chiefs have covered three in a row, but all three were against AFC West opponents which they have played much tougher this season than anyone else. KC is normally a solid home team but it is just 1-6 in this rebuilding year and most of its losses at home haven't even been close. Kansas City is allowing 30.3 ppg at home this season while only scoring 21.4. The key here is that its rushing defense is allowing 5.2 yards per carry at home. A run-dominant Miami team will shred the Chiefs Sunday. Lay the number.

 
Posted : December 21, 2008 9:51 am
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Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Pittsburgh Steelers -1

Plain and simple, Tennessee is not a good offensive football team and it is going up against the best defense in football here. Pittsburgh's defense has been even better on the road this season, allowing only 11 ppg,76 rushing ypg, and just 150 passing ypg. Pittsburgh is rolling, having won 5 straight and 4 in a row ATS. This team is playing with a great deal of confidence right now and it says something that odds makers are favoring them on the road against a team with a better record. The Steelers are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS on the road this season. Pittsburgh is 28-10 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) since 1992. Lay the number.

 
Posted : December 21, 2008 9:51 am
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John Fina

Selection: St Louis Rams +5

Reason: Put us down on the St Louis Rams +5 for our Free NFL Selection on Sunday. What we have here is to lowly teams that will battle it out on Sunday as the 49ers host the Rams at home. When they first met this season, San Francisco had no trouble beating the Rams, but you have to remember that the health of the Rams in that matchup was not good. St. Louis is probably going to have running back Steven Jackson back for Sunday which will help their cause a lot. It is going to be a close game, but the 49ers won’t be able to cover that many points on the road. In this case, the value is with the underdog! Take the St Louis Rams +5

 
Posted : December 21, 2008 9:52 am
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Tony Mathews

Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings
Selection: Minnesota Vikings -3.5

At home, Minnesota is 5-1, and we see them getting another win today (making a divisional title an excellent possibility).

Despite the fact that Vikings’ defensive tackle Pat Williams will miss the game due to a fractured shoulder, Minnesota has a solid DL. The Vikings also have two of the best RBs in the NFL.

Expert Minnesota to control the entire game while crushing the Falcons anticipation for a spot in the playoffs.

Take the Minnesota Vikings -3.5!

 
Posted : December 21, 2008 9:59 am
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Triple Threat Sports

2* Arizona/New England OVER

Weather is the only thing that will keep this game Under, and the only reason it is just a 2*, as with normal conditions this would be a 4* play at least. Every indicator we look at points Over, the teams have combined Past Performance Stat Trends totaling 17-0 to the Over, the Pats are on a 5-0 Over run and are 4-1 to the Over this year against winning teams with Zona an a 5-0 Over run in the same category, 5-1 to the Over as an underdog this year, and all three of the Cardinals' first three games against AFC East teams have gone Over this season. The Pats defense has allowed 34, 28, 33, 21, and 26 points the last five weeks, and this is the best offense they have played in that span. We could go on, but suffice to say that there is a lot more we could say about the Over. However, with the terrible weather in Boston, cannot go more than a 2* here, but do note that Kurt Warner played two seasons with the Giants and did reasonably well in the cold, Larry Fitzgerald played his college ball at Pitt so he will be fine, and Steve Breaston prepped at Michigan, so three key offensive players for the Cardinals do have cold weather pedigrees. On the other hand Matt Cassel does not, and with the chance that OL Matt Light will not play, and of course the weather, we annoyingly stay the cautious route and keep this a 2*. Play it as late as you can, might get a 41.5 by game time.

 
Posted : December 21, 2008 10:00 am
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Gold Medal Club

Loyola Maryland @ Cal Davis
PLAY Loyola-MD +

Huge overlay here on Cal Davis, who has never been favored by this margin since 1992!
We note that Loyola is 5-2 ats last 3 years in this price range, and more importantly have faced a much tougher schedule, and should be leading going into the final 2 minutes.Time to put the article put up today into practice. Loyola are shooting 79% free throws!

 
Posted : December 21, 2008 10:01 am
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