Sunday Sharp Action

Titans-Saints Under 44

Packers-Seahawks Under 49.5

Broncos-Eagles Under 45.5

1 p.m. ET: New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans

The Saints (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) are coming off a disappointing 27-25 loss to the Falcons, losing outright as 6.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Titans (7-2 SU, 7-2 ATS) have won five straight and just shocked the Rams 28-16, winning outright as 7-point road dogs. This line opened with Tennessee listed as a 3-point home favorite. The public is rushing to the window to lay the points with the Titans coming off a big win, yet this line hasn't budged an inch. This indicates a sharp line freeze on the Saints. Road dogs are 51-30 ATS (63%) this season and short road dogs 3 or less are 15-5 ATS (75%). Road dogs off a loss are 25-18 ATS (58%).

Lean Saints

1 p.m. ET: Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots

The Browns (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) have won two of their last three games and just crushed the Bengals 41-16 last week, winning outright as 2-point road dogs. Meanwhile, the Patriots (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) have won three straight and just waxed the Panthers 24-6, easily covering as 3.5-point road favorites. This line opened with New England listed as a 3-point home favorite. Respected money has sided with the Browns, dropping Cleveland from 3 to 2.5. Throughout the week, Cleveland even touched 1.5 before the news of Nick Chubb missing this game due to COVID rose the line back to 2.5. Short road dogs 3 or less are 15-5 ATS (75%) this season and conference dogs 7 or less are 45-23 ATS (66%). Dogs off a blowout win of 20-points or more are 6-2 ATS this season and 17-8 ATS (68%) over the past two seasons. Cleveland is also in a prime teaser spot ( 2.5 to 8.5), which takes you through the two most important key numbers of 3 and 7.

Lean Cleveland

4:25 p.m. ET: Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers

The Seahawks (3-5 SU, 5-3 ATS) are coming off a 31-7 win over the Jags, easily covering as 4-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Packers (7-2 SU, 8-1 ATS) just fell to the Chiefs 13-7 without Aaron Rodgers, although Jordan Love was able to help the Packers cover as 7-point road dogs. This line opened with Green Bay listed as a 5-point home favorite. We've seen this line fall from 5 to 3.5, signaling some respected money grabbing the Seahawks plus the points. One big reason for the move toward Seattle: star QB Russell Wilson was cleared to return from his finger injury. The Seahawks have a rest advantage as they are coming off a bye while the Packers played on Sunday. Short road dogs 6 or less 33-14 ATS (70%) this season. Conference dogs 7 or less are 56-34 ATS (62%). Seattle also has value as a dog off a blowout win of 20 points. These teams are 6-2 ATS this season and 17-8 ATS (68%) over the past two seasons.

Lean Surfs Favorite Guys and Team Seattle

8:20 p.m. ET: Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders

The Chiefs (5-4 SU, 2-7 ATS) have won two straight and three of their last four, most recently edging the Packers 13-7 but failing to cover as 7-point home favorites. On the flip side, the Raiders (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) just fell to the Giants 23-16, losing outright as 3-point road favorites. The loss snapped a two-game win streak for Vegas. This line opened with the Chiefs listed as a 3-point road favorite. The public is happy to lay the points with Kansas City, yet we've seen this line fall from 3 to 2.5. This signals some sharp reverse line movement targeting the Raiders at the key number of 3. Conference dogs 7 or less are 45-23 ATS (66%) this season. Primetime dogs are 20-8 ATS (71%). The Raiders also have value as a contrarian divisional dog in a heavily bet game. The Chiefs are just 9-16 ATS (36%) since winning the Super Bowl.

Lean the Raiders

More Week 10 Line Moves

Lean Falcons 9 to 8 at Cowboys

Lean Lions 9 to 6.5 at Steelers (No Big Ben)

Lean Vikings-Chargers Over 52 to 53.5

Lean Panthers-Cardinals Under 45 to 43

Lean Eagles 2.5 to 1.5 at Broncos

Lean 49ers 4.5 to 3.5 vs Rams

Ill have some CBB in a bit reading all the reports and lines moves