Sunday sharp action

Good morning went 6-3 yesterday with an absolute trashing of usc and 90 plus points I believe that was wrong side all the way even though we had line movement in our favor. I should not had posted my mistake I messed up.

Lean Bears-Ravens Under 44

Lean Browns-Lions Under 42.5

Lean Bills-Colts Under 49.5

Lean Chiefs-Cowboys Under 56.5

1 p.m. ET: Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings

These NFC division rivals are both coming off impressive victories. The Packers (8-2 SU, 9-1 ATS) just shut out the Seahawks 17-0, easily covering as 3-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Vikings (4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS) just upset the Chargers 27-20, winning outright as 3.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Green Bay listed as a 2.5-point road favorite. The public is rushing to the window as fast as they can to lay the points with Aaron Rodgers. However, despite this lopsided betting the line has fallen from 2.5 to 1. This signals sharp reverse line movement on the Vikings. Conference dogs 7 or less are 47-26 (64%) this season. Divisional dogs are 20-17 ATS (54%) this season and roughly 56% ATS the past five seasons. Pros have also hit the under, dropping the total from 49 to 47. Late season divisional unders (Week 11 or later) have been a smart bet historically, cashing roughly 57% of the time over the past decade.

Lean Minnesota loses have all been single digits this year

4:05 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Bengals at Las Vegas Raiders

Both of these AFC playoff hopefuls are looking to snap two-game losing skids. The Bengals (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) just got waxed by the Browns 41-16, losing outright as 2-point home favorites. On the flip side, the Raiders (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) just got crushed by the Chiefs 41-14, failing to cover as 2.5-point home dogs. This line opened at a pick'em. Respected money has gotten down on Cincinnati, pushing the Bengals from a pick to a 1.5-point road favorite. The Bengals have a big rest advantage as Cincinnati is coming off a bye while Las Vegas played on Sunday night. Favorites off a bye are roughly 56% ATS the decade, with road favorites roughly 64% ATS. The Bengals are 33 in point differential. The Raiders are -20. Respected money has also leaned over here, inching the total up from 49 to 50.5. Jerome Boger, the lead ref, has historically favored overs (59.5%).

Lean teaser with cinc

4:25 p.m. ET: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

These NFC rivals are both looking to bounce back from Week 10 losses. The Cardinals (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS) have dropped two of their last three games after starting 7-0. Arizona just fell to the Panthers 34-10, losing outright as 7-point home favorites. The Seahawks (3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS) are also struggling, going just 1-4 over their last five games. Seattle just got beaten down by the Packers 17-0 last week, failing to cover as 3-point road dogs. The early lookahead line was Seahawks -2. We saw this line flip to Cardinals -2.5 behind heavy public support and the possible return of Kyler Murray. But then when it was announced that Murray would miss this game and Colt McCoy would start in his place, a flood of Seahawks money poured in, driving Seattle back to a 2.5-point home favorite. We've also seen some under money show up, dropping the total from 50 to 46.5. This would also match the profitable "late season divisional under" system.

Lean Seattle surfs favorite team and coach

More Sunday Moves

Lean Browns -10 to -12.5 vs Lions not a lot of sharp action on this game at -12.5

Lean Panthers -2.5 to -3.5 vs Washington

Lean Bears 6 to 5 vs Ravens

Lean Eagles -1.5 to -2.5 vs Saints