Winning Points Online NFL SIDE pick of the day.
***BEST BET
Jacksonville* over Kansas City by 14
The Jaguars' defensive secondary counts among it:
Sammy Knight and Aaron Glenn, who have combined for
25 NFL seasons and 79 interceptions. Knight is coming
off three seasons as a member of the Chiefs and as a
safety, knows how the ball is coming to Kansas City's
favorite receiving target, TE Tony Gonzalez. Knight
has great hands. JACKSONVILLE, 17-3.
Winning Points Online NFL TOTAL pick of the day.
***PREFERRED TOTAL
UNDER 40.5
Tampa Bay at Indianapolis
Take that 30-20 score down a ways. Luke Petitgout,
starting left tackle for Tampa Bay, is out. Which means
that an undrafted free agent from Utah State is
protecting Jeff Garcia's blind side, the side that DE
Dwight Freeney of the Colts rushes from. Say hello to
more of Bucs RBs non-game-breaking runners Michael
Pittman and Earnest Graham.
Among the missing for Indy at Thursday's practice were
WR Marvin Harrison (knee), RB Joseph Addai (shoulder).
The two main men on their offense after Peyton Manning.
I'm not expecting them to play,'' coach Tony Dungy
said. "If they practice Friday or Saturday and can go
(Sunday) . . . it would be a bonus for us. "You can sit
there and wait and hope, and I've never been one to do
that. I think you have to get your other guys ready.''
TAMPA BAY, 20-10.
NFL Chicks
NFL Blowout Of The Year: 11 units - 412 Washington -3.5
Special note if the NCAAF game of the year loses on Saturday the NFL game of the year will be doubled to 22 units on Sunday. Play 11 units Washington -3.5 now.
NFL Game Of The Month: 9 units - 426 Indianapolis -10
8 units - 417 Seattle +5.5
8 units - 419 Cleveland +16
5 units - 412 Redskins ML -191
2 units - 426 Colts ML -530
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Sunday 10/7 Surf & Turf Play Surf & Turf --- 7-2 so far this year
Your play for this week guys is the St louis Rams +3
Cappers Access--
Sun) NFL Saints Panthers 3 Saints
(Sun) NFL Cardinals Rams 3 Rams
(Sun) NFL Broncos Chargers pk Broncos
(Sun) NFL Packers Bears 3 Packers
Alex Smart Sunday Night NFL Total
Guaranteed Pick: Alex Smart
Game: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers Oct 7 2007 8:15PM
Prediction: under
Reason: The Chicago Bears are reeling with a 1-3 record entering into this Sunday night game against their long time rivals the perfect 4-0 Green Bay Packers. The talk in Chicago is the team has to get back to basics, and begin playing the type of hard nosed football that had made them successful in the recent past. No way does Lovie Smith and his banged up secondary want to get in a shoot out with the Packers, team that throws 68% of the time and ranks last in the league in rushing. With that said, look for the ground attack, to be keyed upon by the Bears tonight behind RB Cedric Benson, with clock control and conservative approach from beginning to end. Look for this contest to fail to eclipse the number! Final notes & Key Trends: The Bears have gone under 11 straight on the road after a loss when they allowed at least 4 sacks last week. NFL teams in contest with a total of 35.5 to 42 that have averaged just 17 points or less per game on the season, and are off giving up 30 points or more in their last game like Chicago are 22-4 on the under! Play Under
Carlo Campanella
NFC DOG Game of the year
Game: Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins Oct 7 2007 1:00PM
Prediction: Detroit Lions
Reason: Detroit is surprisingly off to a 3-1 start to the season, including a solid 37-27 victory over a solid Bears squad last Sunday. We find NFL Dogs at 15-0 ATS when getting points after a game which they scored 34 points or more! Those numbers tell us to back the Lions as they are now road Dogs heading to Washington (2-1) this weekend. The Lions hold an huge offensive edge in this contest, averaging 28.5 points per game, as Washington has struggled to put points on the board while scoring 16, 17 and 20 points so far. Last week they lost, 17-24, at home to the Giants and doubt that the Skins will get things going on offense this Sunday as we find them at 1-9 ATS after losing as Favorites behind Head Coach Gibbs.
10* Play On Detroit
Wild Bill
Week 5, NFL Oct 7-8
Carolina +3 (1 unit)
Chiefs +2 1/2 (1 unit)
Tennessee -8 (1 unit)
Browns +16 1/2 (2 units)
Arizona -3 (1 unit)
Colts -10 (2 units)
Denver -1 (1 unit)
Ravens -3 (1 unit)
Bears +3 (1 unit)
Buffalo +10 1/2 (1 unit)
Bob Balfe
NFL Football
Jaguars -2 over Chiefs
Both teams are on the rise and are playing like postseason teams. The Jags won in Denver two weeks ago and are rested coming off the bye. KC has won two straight, but I still think they have offensive problems. This game will come down to who can run the ball best. Jacksonville's Defensive line is a lot bigger than the KC Offensive line and this is a game that will be won and loss in the trenches. David Garrard has yet to throw an INT this year and this seems like the more prepared team coming off the bye.
Miami +5 over Houston
The Texans have looked good this year, but without Andre Johnson this team has not won. Miami's Ronnie Brown is starting to tear it up and a good running game will keep Matt Schaub off the field for the Texans. The Miami defense may have lost a step, but experience means a lot against a young team like Houston. This game should be close. Five points is too much.
Cleveland +16.5 over New England
The Patriots have looked awesome, but really have not played the best of competition. I am not taking anything away from the Pats because they are good, but the Browns are no joke this season and offensively this many points is a lot in this spot. The Cleveland wide receivers have a tremendous height advantage and on defense Cleveland's Defensive Line stacks up well against New England. The Patriots are not 100% in the running game due to injury and they are going against Romeo Crennel who used to be a coach in New England. Crennel knows this squad and will be more prepared then usual. Take the Browns.
Atlanta/Tennessee Over 40.5
The Falcons are starting to get comfortable with Joey Harrington under center and this team might be unstoppable if they get Warrick Dunn going. Tennessee had two weeks to prepare for the already horrible Atlanta defense that cannot stop the run. The Titans are second in the league running the ball and will have an easy time running again today. Both teams should be able to score a lot. Take the Over.
Baltimore/San Francisco Under 35.5
The Ravens offense is not going to scare anybody in this league. Baltimore is coming off a tough loss on the road in Cleveland and now must travel across the country to take on the 49ers that will not have a Alex Smith or TE Vernon Davis. Trent Dilfer will start for the 49ers and this is not a guy that is going to put up big numbers against a good Ravens defense. Baltimore on offense has trouble putting up TD's in the redzone. Look for this to be a great defensive game. Take the Under.
Chicago +3 over Green Bay
The Packers throw the ball almost 70% of the time. This is fine, but the Chicago defense is too good to be one dimensional one. The Packers are off to a hot start and the Bears know a loss here could put the division out of reach early on in the year. The public is all over Green Bay and when you have a team that is 4-0 against the spread playing on Sunday night it is best to not play them. Chicago is 0-4 against the spread and these numbers always find a way to even themselves out. Look for the Bears to get better numbers from Griese and to play like their season is on the line.
Fairway Jay
Fairway Jay's 20* NFL NFC Mismatch GOM (14-6 70% Run)
Fairway Jay is in superb form in the NFL hitting at a 70% clip over his last 20 selections. This Sunday sees Jay fire away with his Mismatch Game of the Month in the NFC
10/7/07 NFL 20* Big Drive: Washington -3.5
Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!
America's Handicapping Leaders For 50 Seasons!
10 SEATTLE over *Pittsburgh
Late Score Forecast:
Seattle 24 - *Pittsburgh 20
(Sunday, October 7)
Mike Holmgren and Seattle veterans, still bummed over some "bum" calls in
Super Bowl XL vs. Pittsburgh two seasons ago, are catching Steelers a little
wounded as Seahawks seek some retribution. Key S Troy Polamalu (ab strain)
and NT Casey Hampton (hamstring) were unable to finish last week's 21-14 loss
at Arizona, and clutch WR Hines Ward (knee) was unable to start. Holmgren
has revamped the Seahawk "D" since that Super Bowl loss, most importantly
adding extra-dimension LB Julian Peterson (3 sacks last week) from the 49ers.
And former Patriots' Super Bowl MVP Deion Branch (7 for 130 last week vs.
S.F.'s quality CBs) has arrived to add a more reliable target for Matt
Hasselbeck. Now facing a rookie HC in Mike Tomlin, Holmgren brings his
veteran expertise into play.
TOTALS: OVER (39) in Seattle-Pittsburgh game...Steeler "D" was thinned by
injuries at Arizona; HC Tomlin has loosed the passing reins on Ben
Roethlisberger; OVER (42.5) in San Diego-Denver game...Broncs having problems
stopping the run; S.D. defense (26 ppg!) misses guidance of departed def.
coord. Wade Phillips.
HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): WEST VIRGINIA (-28.5; estimated) at
Syracuse-Defeated Mountaineers need an attention-grabber; Syracuse has proven
it cannot handle speedy spread offenses; BAYLOR (+8.5) vs. Colorado-Kudos to
CU for its come-from-behind victory over Oklahoma; let's see if young Buffs
can absorb several days of adulation and still get ready to lay the lumber on
the road...FLORIDA (+8) at Lsu-Gators learned some valuable lessons in loss
vs. Auburn; Tiger offense struggled in second half vs. South Carolina...UCLA
(-20.5)-Bruins surrendered heartbreaking, late, losing TD LY in South Bend;
now their defense shows no mercy in payback game...ARIZONA (+1) at St. Louis
(NFL)-Rams hurtin' on offense; Cards (3-0-1 vs. spread) soaring under Ken
Whisenhunt, who's defying NFL adages by playing two QBs (one of them former
Ram hero Kurt Warner)!
NFL KEY RELEASES
KANSAS CITY by 10 over Jacksonville
TAMPA BAY by 1 over Indianapolis
OVER THE TOTAL in the Atlanta-Tennessee game
Pointwise
NFL KEY RELEASES
KANSAS CITY over Jacksonville RATING: 2
GREEN BAY over Chicago RATING: 3
WASHINGTON over Detroit RATING: 4
CAROLINA over New Orleans RATING: 4
NEW ENGLAND over Cleveland RATING: 5
Power ~ Sweep
Power Sweep Newsletter
NFL
4* Atlanta
3* Baltimore
2* Pitt
2* Cleveland
system play Carolina
PLAYBOOK
NFL
5* Chicago over Green Bay 14
4* Baltimore over San Francisco by by 13
3* St. Louis over Arizona by 8
NFL TOTALS
5* Under Dolphins-Texans
4* Over Seahawks-Steelers
3* Under Bucs-Colts
WINNING POINTS:
NFL:
4* Tampa Bay
3* San Diego
2* Washington
2* Baltimore
Kansas City Chiefs +2 to scalp Jacksonville Jaguars
LT Profits Sports Group
The Chiefs finally showed an offense last week to go with a much improved defense, giving them their second straight win. Take the Chiefs as a home dog this week.
Apparently, most people including ourselves wrote off the Kansas City Chiefs too soon, as they have now won two games in a row and we feel they have an excellent chance to make it three straight at home vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Who2BetOn.com Sports Picks
Now we figured that the Kansas City defense would be improved under Herm Edwards, and it has actually been one of the best in the NFL thus far, surrendering just 16.5 points and 284 8 total yards per game. However, it was the offense that surprised us in the Chiefs’ shockingly easy 30-16 win at San Diego, as Damon Huard threw for 284 yards, which finally opened up some running lanes for Larry Johnson, who promptly rushed for 123 yards on 25 carries. If Huard can continue his efficient play to prevent defenses from keying on Johnson, the Chiefs are going to surprise some people, especially when they play at home.
Now the Jaguars are coming off of a bye after winning their last two games, but all that time off may not have been a good thing as safety Reggie Nelson was questioned about a shooting outside of a Florida nightclub in the wee hours last weekend. Besides that distraction, Jacksonville is still rather banged up even with the bye week, with defensive tackle John Henderson, linebacker Clint Ingram, running back Fred Taylor and tackle Khalif Barnes all nursing injuries.
Finally, the Chiefs have the strongest home field advantage in the NFL, as they are 14-3 straight up at home since 2005, and we look for their home fans to help carry them to the mild upset.
Free Pick: Chiefs +2