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Super Bowl XLIV Trends

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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New Orleans Saints vs. Indianapolis Colts

The New Orleans Saints and the Indianapolis Colts will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday, Febuary 7 when they meet at Sun Life Stadium in Miami for Super Bowl XLIV.

Oddsmakers currently have the Colts listed as 6-point favorites versus the Saints, while the game's total is sitting at 56½.

The Saints defeated Minnesota 31-28 in overtime as a 4-point favorite in the NFC Championship Game. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under (54).

Drew Brees passed for 197 yards with three touchdowns for New Orleans in that win, and Pierre Thomas rushed for 61 yards on 14 carries with a TD.

The Colts defeated the Jets 30-17 as a 7.5-point favorite in the AFC Championship Game. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under (40).

Peyton Manning passed for 377 yards with three touchdowns for the Colts in that win, and Pierre Garcon caught 11 passes for 161 yards with a touchdown.

Team records:
New Orleans: 13-3 SU, 8-8 ATS
Indianapolis: 14-2 SU, 10-6 ATS

New Orleans most recently:
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 4-6
When an underdog on the road are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 9-1

Indianapolis most recently:
When playing in February are 1-0
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When favored at home are 9-1

A few trends to consider:
New Orleans is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
Indianapolis is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
Indianapolis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

 
Posted : February 1, 2010 8:20 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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NEW ORLEANS (15 - 3) vs. INDIANAPOLIS (16 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : February 1, 2010 8:21 am
(@blade)
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New Orleans vs. Indianapolis

New Orleans
8-0 ATS vs. AFC
7-0 Over in playoff games

Indianapolis
5-0 ATS on grass field
5-1 Under if total is 49.5 or more

 
Posted : February 1, 2010 8:22 am
(@tmacthebest)
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This is an article written by an AccuScore.com analyst named Zach Rosenfield. Really nice article.

http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/article/2010-01-28/accuscore-super-bowl-point-spread-increases-recommendation-take-underdog-sain

Check it out.

 
Posted : February 1, 2010 1:18 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Topic starter
 

NEW ORLEANS vs. INDIANAPOLIS

New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Indianapolis is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games

 
Posted : February 1, 2010 2:52 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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DUNKEL

New Orleans vs. Indianapolis
The Colts look to build on their 7-1-1 ATS record in their last 9 games as a favorite. Indianapolis is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Colts favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-5)

Game 101-102: New Orleans vs. Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 132.929; Indianapolis 139.129
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 6; 57
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 5; 56
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-5); Over

 
Posted : February 1, 2010 2:53 pm
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