Thursday Night Football

CINCINNATI (1 - 8 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 47-72 ATS (-32.2 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Cincinnati: 6-0 Under off a non-conference game
Pittsburgh: 0-6 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards BB games

CINCINNATI vs. PITTSBURGH
Cincinnati is 1-8-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cincinnati's last 16 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

MIAMI (7 - 3) at GEORGIA TECH (7 - 3)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Miami (FL) at Georgia Tech
Miami (FL): 10-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Georgia Tech: 18-4 Under on Thursday

MIAMI vs. GEORGIA TECH
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games when playing Miami
Georgia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Bengals-Steelers preview
By Josh Jacobs

It was a contest that 64 percent of the betting public would love to shove under the rug. A debacle in the worst way. It went down in history as the only NFL game to reach a final of 11-10. But the scoring record was not what had gamblers across the globe throwing their television sets through windows. The San Diego-Pittsburgh game in 2008 will go down as one of those bad beats.

The Chargers began the final play at their own 21-yard line. Quarterback Philip Rivers fired off a three-yard dump pass to running back LaDainian Tomlinson with only five seconds remaining. After wide out Chris Chambers took the lateral from Tomlinson an errant lateral of his own was picked up by Steelers safety Troy Polamalu who found himself in the end zone.

Much discussion ensued after the referee came from under the hood of the instant replay booth and the play was called dead due to an illegal forward pass. This was a nightmare for bettors giving up the 4 ½-points in favor of Pittsburgh. Not to make any accusations about the league, refs and the play itself, but if it looks and smells bad, it might just taste bad as well.

So we move on.

The first matchup of Week 13 will witness Cincinnati (1-8-1 SU, 4-6 ATS) heading to Pittsburgh in search of its first win on the road and only the second of the season. On the flip side, the Steelers (7-3 SU, 4-6 ATS) are coming off that low-scoring affair against San Diego. Pittsburgh is just trying to string together consecutive wins which hasn’t happened since Week 5.

It should come as no surprise that the Bengals will be facing a defensive juggernaut on Thursday. The Steelers have yielded a league best 237.6 total yards per game and are stuffing the line of scrimmage for 68.9 rushing yards allowed.

But from a wagering perspective Pitt’s entire defensive effort has translated into a 1-4 ATS record at home this season. The Steelers have taken three of five at home but an average point margin of plus-2.8 has helped garner that lonely ATS win, which came in Week against Houston (38-17).

The Bengals have seen it all this season from seven losses in a row to the first tie in the NFL since 2002. If there’s good news it’s that Cincy pulled out its second consecutive ATS win as a 9 ½-point ‘dog in the 13-13 draw with Philadelphia last week.

Tuesday’s latest team report indicated that QB Carson Palmer has been ruled ‘out’ of Thursday’s game meaning that Bengals’ backup slinger Ryan Fitzpatrick will make his seventh start of the season. His numbers aren’t impressive but since throwing three interceptions in Week 4, Fitzpatrick has slowly limited turnovers. The problem comes from tossing just 307 yards without a touchdown in two road games.

Cincinnati has been outyarded all season long. In the Philly game last week, the Bengals scratched together 109 total yards less then their opponent. Cincy on the season has been outgained by 747 total yards. The 21-19 shocking win over Jacksonville on Week 9 was the only game this year in which the Bengals outgained a team (30 yards more then the Jags).

Most books have made a slight adjustment from the 11 points installed in favor of Pittsburgh. Sportsbetting.com has now set the Steelers as 10½-point favorites (some still have Pitt at -11), while the total has moved from 36 ½ to a current 34½.

Oddsmaker Eddie Franks at Brobury Sports believes the total has been affected by Mother Nature. “Much is being said about the total in this game. We opened at 36.5 and yet have dropped to 34 despite 100% of our guys backing the over. With game time temperatures expected to be sub-zero and both teams recently struggling to put up points against weak defenses, a lot of big early sharp action in Vegas has forced us to move against our players' action,” said Franks.

If the ‘over/under’ remains at 34 it will be the first time in '08 that either team has seen a total this low. Pittsburgh recorded an ‘over’ in its shortest total this season back in Week 4 against Baltimore. Books had posted a sum of 34½, while the contest ended with a 24-20 score in favor of the Steelers.

It was in October that Pittsburgh last laid a “W” on Cincinnati by the score of 38-10. The Steelers’ running back Mewelde Moore contributed 120 yards with two scores to help push the game ‘over’ another low 36 ½-point total. The Bengals failed to have either a rusher or receiver log in over 100 yards in the contest.

As for the 10 ½-point spread, Eddie Franks had this to say. “The line started at Pitt minus 10.5 but moved quickly to 11, encouraging more action on Cincinnati. I expect the Steelers to come out sharp at home against a Cincy team that is close to throwing in the towel. Eleven points is a big line for a game that is projected to be a low scoring affair, but Pittsburgh's staunch defense could keep Cincy under 10.”

The Steelers are an impressive 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS versus the Bengals in the last 10 contests but are 1-8 ATS as double-digit favorites versus an opponent with revenge. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight head-to-head meetings.

Game time is scheduled to begin at 8:15 p.m. EST with NFL Network providing full coverage.

vegasinsider.com

What bettors need to know: Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers
By T.O. WHENHAM

Game: Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-10.5, 34.5)

Line Movement

The line opened at -10.5 in favor of the Steelers and it has stayed there for the most part. Action is pretty much split, with 52 percent of that money on Pittsburgh. Any significant line movements would be indicative of late smart money being put into play.

Total

The total opened at 36.5 points. While this number is low, the combination of lousy weather and struggling offenses have combined to drop it to 34 - the lowest total since week five. The Bengals have played under in six of 10 games, including two of the last three. Pittsburgh has a 5-5 over/under mark and has played under in three of its last four games.

Weather

It's not going to be a pleasant night to be sitting in the stands at Heinz Field. Snow has been falling for a while and should continue Thursday night. The temperature will be below freezing and winds will gust up to 20 mph.

Resurgence?

The Bengals were about as bad as a team could be in the first half of the season. But they've had a rebirth somewhat in the last three weeks.

Cincinnati scored its first win of the year over Jacksonville Week 9 and came off the bye to tie with Philadelphia last Sunday. It manged to cover in both wins, improving to 1-8-1 ATS.

Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick played his best in those two games. His 423 yards passing, three touchdowns and just one interception in that span is a step above his previous pathetic performances. And not pathetic is a huge step forward for this team.

Location, location, location

The Bengals are not a good road team. They haven't won in five trips away from Paul Brown Stadium, with their most valiant effort coming in a overtime loss to New York Week 3. The only remotely bright spot is their 2-3 ATS record on the road.

That inability to travel should give the Steelers a boost at home, or at least it would. Pittsburgh has covered at home only once and that was way back in Week 1. Since then it has lost twice at Heinz Field and failed to cover as a home favorite in four straight games.

Roethlisberger's Woes

Big Ben isn't having a season to remember. He hasn't thrown a touchdown in his last three games. Against Washington, he only completed 29 percent of his passes. He hardly gets credit for his last TD either. It came in the same game as four interceptions. He has one more interception than touchdown this year - something that shouldn't happen for top level quarterbacks.

Roethlisberger's shoulder has been a problem all year and it clearly hasn't improved. If the Bengals can get to Roethlisberger early they could make the game interesting. That's a big if. Only Kansas City has fewer sacks than the Bengals this year.

Prior Meetings

This AFC North rivalry has not been as heated in recent years. Pittsburgh has won and covered in four straight meetings, including a 38-10 blowout earlier this year. Three of those four wins have been in Cincinnati, so Pittsburgh's recent edge is even more pronounced.

The Steelers' advantage has been asserted offensively. They have out gained the Bengals on the ground in six straight games and out passed them in five straight. In their last game, Roethlisberger completed 61 percent of his passes and had two touchdowns. Fitzpatrick completed 60 percent for 164 yards and a touchdown.

Defensive Mismatch

The Steelers have allowed the fewest yards per game in the NFL. They boast the best rush defense, best pass defense and their pass rush has racked up an AFC-high 36 sacks. Only Tennessee is allowing fewer points.

If defense wins games then this one won't be even close. The Bengals have given up over 100 yards more per game than the Steelers. They are particularly bad against the run and don't have anything approximating a pass rush, allowing over 10 points more per game than Pittsburgh.

Is Ocho Cinco Alive?

The good news is that Chad Johnson, or whatever you want to call him, has managed to stay out of the media for most of the year. And there's a good reason for that. No one cares what an insignificant receiver making little impact has to say.

Johnson has just 326 yards receiving and four touchdowns. He has a season high of just 52 yards and averages just over nine yards per catch.

However, there have been signs of life recently. His two TD catches against Jacksonville fueled Cincy to the win. Thursday's weather probably won't allow it to happen this week, but sooner or later you have to expect that Johnson will look like Johnson.

What bettors need to know: Miami at Georgia Tech
By CHRIS MARAKOVITZ

Miami Hurricanes at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-3, 40.5)

Head to Head

Georgia Tech holds a 9-4 lead in the all-time series. Tech has won seven of nine, including three in a row. The only other teams to win three in a row against Miami over the last thirty years are FSU, Virginia Tech and Notre Dame.

Tech comes in with twelve days of rest off a bye last week while Miami has had the usual seven days to prepare after playing last Thursday.

Thursday Night Lights

Georgia Tech has played on Thursday night every year since ’93 but has lost five of its last seven.

The Jackets are going up against a Miami team that is 13-1 all-time on Thursday night after last week’s win over Virginia Tech.

The Situation

Miami comes in on a five game winning streak and it controls its destiny in the Atlantic Coastal division. A win over Tech and then at NC State next week would seal the deal. Also, a win in this game coupled with a North Carolina loss on Saturday would send the Canes to Tampa for the ACC Championship game.

Georgia Tech has an uphill battle in the division. Although it trails Miami by only one game in the loss column with a 4-3 league record, its 1-3 record in the division will make it difficult to win the necessary tie-breakers.

Still, the game is extremely important for both teams in terms of beefing up their bowl prospects.

ATS

Tech comes in 5-2-1 ATS. After covering its first five of the season the Jackets are on an 0-2-1 run over the last three.

Miami is 5-4 ATS.

First you Get the Talent, Then you Get the Experience, Then You Get the Wins

Although the defense has been the driving force behind the current five game win streak, the young offense is improving.

Freshman QB Robert Marve has settled down nicely, throwing no picks against Virginia Tech and only two over the last four games after giving it away eight times in the first six.

RB Graig Cooper has been a steady performer leading the team in rushing TDs and second in receptions.

The unit should get a further boost this week with the return of LT Jason Fox and WR Travis Benjamin from injury.

Lesson Number One: Don’t Underestimate the Option

The Yellow Jackets option attack is ranked eighth in nation in rushing averaging 251 yards per game. However, they have not moved the ball nearly as well over the last few games.

Injuries have been a concern, most notably the loss of All-ACC OT Andrew Gardner for the season. Tech is also banged up at the QB position with starter Josh Nesbitt nursing an ankle injury. While his status remains up in the air, coach Paul Johnson has said he expects Nesbitt to play.

The team would be well-served by getting explosive WR Demaryius Johnson more involved in the offense. The leaky pass protection, though, has made it difficult to get the ball downfield.

Say Hello to my Little Friend: The Miami Defense

Tech’s top-10 rushing offense will be going up against a Canes defense that is ranked 10th nationally itself and very solid against the run.

Miami was outstanding last week holding Virginia Tech to 77 yards rushing. Freshman DE Marcus Robinson led the way with three sacks and seven tackles, including four for a loss.

The young unit will have to play disciplined football against Tech, as Miami has not gone up against an option attack in several years, much less this season or last.

You Wanna Play Rough? Okay. Tech D Can Play Rough Too

The solid Yellow Jacket defense is led by DEs Michael Johnson and Derrick Morgan, both of whom have great size and quickness.

"They've got four guys up front who do a great job of causing havoc," Miami coach Randy Shannon said. "It's going to be challenge for our offensive line to make sure they stay focused. You may have a negative play here and there, but stay focused and don't get discourage because we've a long time, four quarters of football to play."

Tech should also benefit greatly this week from the return of CB Jahi Word-Daniels, the only senior in a young secondary.

Lesson Number Two: Kick the Ball High, Let Special Teams Supply Field Position

Miami kicker Matt Bosher, a semi-finalist for the Lou Groza award, could be a key in helping the team establish a field position advantage. Bosher averaged 42 yards a punt on five attempts last week with a long of 45. He was also 3 for 3 on field goal attempts, making him 16 for 18 on the season.

Line Moves

Tech opened as a 3.5-point favorite, moved up to 4 and then back down to 3.5 before settling at 3.

The over/under opened at 40 and has moved up to 40.5.

Miami at Georgia Tech
By Christian Alexander

#23 Miami (7-3, 4-2 ACC) at Georgia Tech (7-3, 4-3 ACC)
Bobby Dodd Stadium at Grant Field (Natural Grass)
Sports.com Line: Georgia Tech -3.5, O/U 40.5

Thanks to a late Virginia Tech touchdown last weekend, I was able to cash a ticket on the Hokies (+4) as they ultimately lost 16-14 to Miami. That win pushes my Thursday night record to 8-5 (62%) on the year.

Looking towards this week’s game, we again are in the ACC and again have Tech playing Miami – with a couple key differences. One, this time it’s Georgia Tech and two, this game is in Atlanta.

ESPN certainly picked a good time to show a string of ACC games on Thursday nights because the race to make it to Tampa, site of the conference’s championship game on December 6 is extremely tight and thus these games have plenty of meaning.

Few expected Miami to be this heavily in the ACC Coastal Division mix this season, especially after starting the season 2-3. However, the Canes have ripped off five straight wins are in the driver’s seat for a trip to the ACC Championship. In fact, Miami could stamp their ticket to Raymond James Stadium with a win this Thursday and a little help this weekend from a team or two.

Miami’s winning streak has not gone unnoticed as the Hurricanes are ranked (#23) for the first time since Sept. 16, 2006.

Miami has put together wins with an effective, but certainly not overwhelming offense made up of two quarterbacks in Robert Marve and Jacory Harris and a pair of dangerous running backs in Graig Cooper and Javarris James. The first option for coach Randy Shannon is most certainly the running attack but Marve and Harris have shown that, when needed, they can pass the ball as well.

Miami appears to be catching Georgia Tech at a good time as the Yellow Jackets defense has been dented for 80 points total over their last three games. With left tackle Jason Fox set to return from an ankle injury, the Miami offense should be in high gear and will certainly test the Yellow Jacket defense.

Defense is just part of the current struggles for Georgia Tech coach Paul Johnson, as while his defense is getting gashed, his offense can’t seem to hold onto the ball. In fact, the Yellow Jackets rank 118th of 119 Division 1-A teams with 17 fumbles lost.

That stat goes a long way in explaining how Tech has dropped two of its last three games, although ironically enough, their one win in that stretch came against Florida State when Georgia Tech safety Cooper Taylor's caused FSU RB Marcus Sims to fumble as he was heading into the end zone with 45 seconds left.

One thing is for sure, when Johnson can get his offense to hold onto the ball, they can be very effective with their spread option rushing attack. Georgia Tech ranks second in the ACC with over 350 yards per game and eighth in the nation with over 250 rushing yards.

However, lack of a consistent passing attack (QB Josh Nesbitt has a 48.3% completion rate), the aforementioned turnovers and an alarming number of sacks (GT QBs are sacked once every 7.9 pass attempts) currently have Johnson searching for answers.

One thing is clear this Thursday night. If the Yellow Jackets don’t figure it out soon they can forget about any thoughts of making the ACC Championship. Not to mention, with their arch-rival Georgia on deck, Johnson and crew could easily end their regular season dropping four of their last five games.

The good news for Georgia Tech is they have won three straight against Miami and lead the all-time series 9-4. That said, Miami is 3-1 on the road this year and a sparkling 3-0 ATS on the road. Overall, the Hurricanes are 4-4 ATS in 2008. By contrast, the Yellow Jackets are 4-1 at home and 3-1 ATS at home. Overall, Georgia Tech has been one of the better teams against the number in 2008 as they are 6-2 ATS.

VegasInsider.com

Pittsburgh (7-3, 4-6 ATS) at Cincinnati (1-8-1, 4-6 ATS)

The Steelers, hoping to regain their early-season form in a third straight home game, take on the lowly Bengals in an AFC North contest at Heinz Field.

Pittsburgh got a field goal in the final seconds last week to beat San Diego 11-10 as a 4½-point home chalk, failing to cover after a fumble-return TD was controversially waived off on the Chargers’ ensuring series as time ran out. QB Ben Roethlisberger (31 of 41, 308 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs) led a turnover-free offense that nearly doubled San Diego in total yards (410-218), but the Steelers failed to find the end zone, scoring on three field goals and a safety.

Prior to last week, the SU winner had cashed in five straight Pittsburgh games.

Cincinnati came off its bye and forged a 13-13 tie with Philadelphia on Sunday, cashing as a heavy 9½-point home pup for its second consecutive spread-cover. The Bengals scored just three points in the second half and were outgained 391-282 overall, but they picked off Eagles QB Donovan McNabb three times en route to a 4-1 edge in turnovers, helping them stay in the game.

The Steelers field the league’s leading defense in total yards allowed (238.1 per game), passing yards (169.2) and rushing yards (68.9), and they are second in points allowed (15.0). The Bengals, meanwhile, are giving up 24.9 ppg (24th) while averaging a paltry 13.8 ppg on offense, rating 31st, above only the reeling Raiders.

Pittsburgh is on a 4-0 SU and ATS surge in this rivalry, including a 38-10 blitzing a month ago laying nine points on the road. In fact, the road team has gone 7-1 ATS in the last eight series clashes. Also, the SU winner has cashed in each of the last 10 head-to-head meetings.

The Steelers are on a 1-3 ATS skid overall and are on additional pointspread slides of 0-4 at Heinz Field, 1-5 in November contests and 2-6 on grass. The Bengals are on ATS declines of 1-6 against the AFC, 2-8 after a spread-cover and 2-6 inside the division, but they carry positive ATS trends of 16-5-1 in November and 11-5 on the road against teams with a winning home record.

The over for Pittsburgh is on runs of 44-16-2 at home, 8-2 against AFC foes and 5-2 in division play, and in this rivalry, the over is on a 5-1 stretch at Heinz Field. Finally, last month’s meeting in Cincinnati flew over the posted price of 36½.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER

(23) Miami, Fla. (7-3, 5-4 ATS) at Georgia Tech (7-3, 5-2-1 ATS)

Miami, seeking its sixth straight victory, travels to Atlanta for a key ACC Coastal Division showdown against Georgia Tech.

The Hurricanes held off Virginia Tech 16-14 last Thursday night for their fifth consecutive victory, but they failed to cover as a four-point home chalk, halting a three-game ATS run. It was a defensive battle throughout, with Virginia Tech narrowly outgaining Miami 250-247 overall, but the ‘Canes pulled away from a 7-7 halftime tie with three second-half field goals before the Hokies got a late touchdown. QB Robert Marve (7 of 16, 121 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs) was unimpressive, but Miami did finish with a 123-77 edge in rushing yards.

The Yellow Jackets tumbled to North Carolina 28-7 two weekends ago as a 5½-point road pup, falling to 1-2 SU and 0-2-1 ATS in their last three starts. Georgia Tech rolled up a whopping 326 yards rushing (6.0 ypc) and finished with a 423-314 edge in total yards, but lost the turnover battle 3-0 in falling behind 21-0. RB Jonathan Dwyer (22 carries, 157 yards) paced the Jackets, scoring on an 85-yard TD run in the fourth quarter.

Miami’s defense is among the top 15 in the country in total yards allowed (279.8 per game, 9th), rushing yards allowed (103.2, 13th) and passing yards allowed (176.6, 15th). However, Georgia Tech ranks eighth nationally in rushing (250.7 ypg) and 17th in yards per carry (5.1).

Georgia Tech has won and covered the last three in this rivalry, including a 17-14 road win catching two points last year, and the road team is on a 4-1 ATS uptick in the last five meetings between these two.

With the non-cover against Virginia Tech, the Hurricanes are now on a 7-16-1 ATS slide in ACC play, but they are on positive pointspread runs of 5-0 overall on the highway and 4-0 in roadies against teams with a winning home record. The Yellow Jackets are on ATS surges of 5-2-1 overall, 4-1-1 after a SU loss and 14-6-1 after a non-cover, but they are in ATS ruts of 2-5-1 at home, 1-7 coming off a bye, 1-4 on Thursday and 2-5-1 against winning teams.

The under for Miami is on streaks of 45-22 overall, 9-2 on Thursday, 4-1 on grass and 20-6 in November, and the under for Georgia Tech is on stretches of 4-1 overall, 5-0 after a bye, 6-1 in the ACC and 15-4 on Thursday. Finally, four of the past five clashes in this rivalry have stayed low.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

Gametimepicks.com

NCAAF RESEARCH REPORT
By IndianCowboy

Miami v. Georgia Tech

Look, I would love to bet on Georgia Tech here. This team is 7-3 as is Miami and both teams are looking for a greater birth in the bowl games not to mention jockeying for the ACC Title here. The Hurricanes are not the Miami over the past few years as this team has come a long way and part of that reason is becoming more seasoned with their young crop of players and in particular being able to go on the road and win road games. This team went to Virginia and won and they hammered Duke on the road. Although these are weaker teams and note elite, it is still impressive to go on the road for a conference game and being able to get it done. This is no small task. The total for this game sits at 40.5. I think this game can go either way frankly as GT has upgraded their quarterback to probable. Note, that although GT beat FSU it came on the last play of the game when they running back fumbled the ball in the endzone. I think Miami and FSU are equal in a lot of ways, so frankly, I think this is a rat race that is tough to get value out of and there is far more value in college basketball today.

Ocho Cinco deactivated, won't play vs. Steelers
FOXSports.com

The Cincinnati Bengals say Chad Ocho Cinco, the wide receiver formerly known as Chad Johnson, will be deactivated for Thursday night's game with the Pittsburgh Steelers for violating a team rule.

Ocho Cinco had ankle surgery in June and a shoulder injury in August and has not been as involved in the Bengals' offense as much as previous years. Meanwhile, his former college teammate, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, has become the team's primary receiver.

Houshmandzadeh leads the NFL with 73 catches, and has four touchdowns. Ocho Cinco, a down-field threat in previous years, has 41 catches, none for more than 22 yards.

Ocho Cinco showed up 45 minutes late to a meeting last night and afterwards, got into a shouting match with head coach Marvin Lewis. Marvin sent him home last night and deactivated him this am. I'm interested to see if the line moves at all since Cincy will be starting rookie Jerome Simpson in his place. Even with Chad out, I still like the Bengals +11 and the over in this matchup.

Ocho Cinco showed up 45 minutes late to a meeting last night and afterwards, got into a shouting match with head coach Marvin Lewis. Marvin sent him home last night and deactivated him this am. I'm interested to see if the line moves at all since Cincy will be starting rookie Jerome Simpson in his place. Even with Chad out, I still like the Bengals +11 and the over in this matchup.

Double digit dogs have been money this year and you would be crazy to try and buck the trend,either take the points or stay away I think.