MTi
New York Jets at New England Patriots
Prediction: New England Patriots
Reason: For the second straight week the Patriots are 3’ point home favorites over a divisional opponent with whom they are tied for the division lead. We liked the Pats last week and we like them again here.The Jets had a “laugher” last week. They humiliated the Rams 47-3 and they were up 40-0 at the half. It wasn’t Brett Favre running up the score either. He was 14-of-19 passing and did not throw an interception for the first time in seven games. With a big lead the Jets featured the run and accumulated 206 rushing yards. This is not a good sign for them. NY is 0-15 ATS off a game in which they rushed for at least fifty yards more than their season-to-date average, as long as it didn’t take them more than 42 rushes to do it. The Jets are 1-14 straight up in this situation, with their only win by a 28-24 margin laying 13 points. Clearly, NY has not lived up to the linesmakers’ expectations in this spot.The Jets are also terrible when their passing game was efficient. NY is 0-15 ATS (-8.0 ppg) as a dog when they had fewer than ten incompletions last week. This trend was active in week three this season on Monday Night football when the Jets got annihilated 49-28 by the Chargers.In a related trend, we note that the Jets are 0-7 ATS (-9.6 ppg) the week after they attempted at least ten fewer passes than their season-to-date average at home.The last nail in the coffin for the Jets is that they are 0-6 ATS the week after a 20+ point win, losing every game straight up.Although the final scoring doesn’t indicate it, the Patriots dominated the Bills last week. New England had 24 first downs and the Bills had only ten. The Patriots had 37:40 of possession time and 370 yards of offense vs the Bills 168. Buffalo’s lone TD drive came inside the two-minute warning off an 85-yard kickoff return with the Pats up 20-3 New England’s defense held the Bills to 108 yards passing and this is a good sign. The Patriots are 10-0-1 the week after holding their opponent to less than 21 points and at least 100 passing yards fewer than their season-to-date average. Finally, the Jets have had a ball-control offense this season, averaging 32:03 this season. The Patriots have had no trouble at all vs such teams, as they are 7-0 SU and 7-0 ATS as a favorite over any team that has averaged at least 32 minutes of possession time season to date, winning by an average of 16.3 ppg and covering by an average of 11.7 ppg. Unlike last week, Brett Favre will be pressed into action and he has proven he will turn the ball over under these circumstances. His brain in still 24, but his arm and legs are 39 years old. Belichick will have a game plan designed to capitalize on this weakness. Lay the points.
MTi’s FORECAST: NEW ENGLAND 24 NY Jets 13
Anyone have John Ryan's plays??? Thanks in advance
Insider Sports Report
4* U.N.L.V. -6.5
3* N.Y. Jets/New England OVER 42
3* Denver/Cleveland UNDER 199.5
FAT JACK SPORTS
Wyoming/UNLV Under 46.5
Akron
KELSO
25 units Jets
5 Units UNLV
3 Units Miami Florida
Rocketman
Montreal / Boston
Play: 3* Montreal -120
Montreal is 18-6 SU and ATS overall vs Boston last 3 years. Canadiens are 5-0 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Canadiens are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Canadiens are 13-3 in their last 16 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Canadiens are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Canadiens are 16-5 in their last 21 Thursday games. Canadiens are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a win. Canadiens are 9-3 in their last 12 overall. Canadiens are 21-9 in their last 30 vs. Northeast. Bruins are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bruins are 4-14 in their last 18 games playing on 0 days rest. Bruins are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Canadiens are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Boston. Canadiens are 36-15-1 in the last 52 meetings. We'll play Montreal for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
NY Islanders / Ottawa
Play: 3* NY Islanders +210
Ottawa is 11-16 last 3 years at home when the total is 5 1/2. Ottawa is 1-6 this year when playing against a team with a losing record. Islanders are 20-9-3 in their last 32 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Senators are 7-17 in their last 24 overall. Senators are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Atlantic. Senators are 7-18 in their last 25 vs. Eastern Conference. Senators are 3-8 in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. Senators are 2-7 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Senators are 3-11 in their last 14 home games. Senators are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Senators are 3-14 in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. We'll play NY Islanders for 3 units tonight!
Calgary / San Jose
Play: 3* Calgary +175
San Jose #1 goalie is out again tonight. Flames are 6-2 in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. Flames are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win. Flames are 14-6 in their last 20 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. We'll play Calgary for 3 units tonight!
JEFFERSONSPORTS
UCLA-15
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT
NY JETS vs NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Play: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -3.5
VIRGINIA TECH vs UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI
Play: UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI -4
Bob Balfe
Jets +3.5 over Patriots
New England has owned the Jets the past couple years, but without Tom Brady this is a different team. Throw in Brett Farve into the picture for the Jets and both teams are totally different then the past few seasons squads. This game will not be about the QB, but will be about the running games. New England's running backs are banged up going against a Jets defense that is great at stopping the run. This game looks like its going to be very tight. Could this game be decided by a field goal? Take the Jets.
College Football
Akron -3.5 over Buffalo
Both teams are evenly matched so you have to wonder why this line is on the move with the betting public taking Buffalo. When a line moves off a field goal you know something is up. The last two years the home team has won the game. I see the same results tonight with an Akron team that is good at creating turnovers. Look for a good game with Akron getting the edge and cover.
NBA Basketball
Warriors +4.5 over Pistons
NCAA Basketball
Prarie View A&M +11.5 over Weber State
Alex Smart
Akron
Rocketman
Buffalo
Pacific Star
Buffalo
Mike Rose
Buffalo
LT Profits
Pistons/Warriors Under
SIXTH SENSE
Opinion
NEW ENGLAND –3 NY Jets 42
Both teams had easy games last week as NE defeated Buffalo rather easily, 20-10, out gaining the Bills 4.7yppl to 3.9yppl, including out passing them 6.5yps to 4.3yps. The Jets trounced the Rams, 47-3, out gaining them 6.0yppl to 4.3yppl, including 4.8ypr to 3.8ypr and 8.8yps to 4.8yps. The Jets average 4.6ypr against 4.3ypr but just 6.2yps against 6.7yps for a total of 5.5yppl against 5.6yppl. Those offensive numbers are still much better than NE who averages just 5.6yps against 6.6yps and 4.9yppl against 5.5yppl overall. On defense the Jets allow just 3.2ypr against 3.9ypr and 4.9yppl against 5.1yppl overall. Those numbers are also better than NE who allows 6.8yps against 6.4yps and 5.6yppl against 5.4yppl overall. NE qualifies in a momentum situation, which is 32-11-4. The Jets don’t qualify in any situations although they come very close to qualifying in a solid fundamental rushing situation. Numbers favor the Jets by five points so there is tremendous value towards the Jets. They also predict about 41 points. The Jets lost earlier in the year to NE but out gained NE in that game. The Jets have been somewhat competitive here over the years. I was hoping to play the Jets in this game but the situation on NE is enough to keep me off of them as a Best Bet. I’ll just lean towards the Jets in this game. NY JETS 21 NEW ENGLAND 17