BEN BURNS
I'm playing on Pittsburgh and Cincinnati to finish UNDER the total. This number seems very low at first glance. However, it's low for a good reason. As is often the case, the Steelers have been one of the best defensive teams in the league again this season. They're allowing just 15 points (2nd best in the NFL) and 237 total yards (best in the entire NFL!) per game. They've been particularly stingy in divisional games as their AFC North rivals are averaging only 12 points and 221 yards per game. This week, the Steelers will be facing a Cincy team which is averaging only 13.8 points (2nd worst in the NFL) and 242.6 total yards (worst in the entire NFL!) per game. Note that the Bengals have been particularly inept in divisional play, averaging only 10.7 points per game and a mere 192.3 total yards. While the Bengals' defense hasn't been great, they have proven that they are capable on the side of the ball recently. Last week, the Bengals limited the Eagles to just 13 total points, through four quarters AND an overtime session. The previous week, they Bengals held the Jaguars to just 19 points. While the earlier meeting, back in October, did finish above the total, the UNDER remains a profitable 12-7 the last 19 times that the Bengals were getting points. During the same stretch, the Bengals have seen the UNDER go 7-2 when facing a team which previously defeated them. Look for a low-scoring affair with the UNDER improving to 6-1 the last seven times the Bengals faced an opponent from the AFC. *AFC North TOY
ACC GAME OF MONTH
I'm laying the points with GEORGIA TECH. Home teams have enjoyed outstanding success on Thursday nights this season and the situation favors the home team again this week. While Miami is coming off a hard-fought game vs. Virginia Tech exactly one week ago, Georgia Tech has had nearly two weeks off. The fact that the Yellow Jackets lost their last game should have served them well during the extra week of practice. Note that the Yellow Jackets are an outstanding 7-1 ATS the last eight times they were coming off a loss vs. a conference opponent. That includes a 2-0 ATS mark this season. After losing to Virginia Tech, the Yellow Jackets responded by crushing Mississippi State by a score of 38-7. More recently, after losing to Virginia, the Yellow Jackets responded by defeating Florida State, scoring 31 points in the process. Note that the extra time off should have allowed cornerback Jahi Word-Daniels to return from injury, which will provide a huge lift to the defense. It should also be noted that Georgia Tech's recent loss came on the road and that the Yellow Jackets have been terrific at home all season long. In six games here, the Yellow Jackets have gone 5-1, outscoring opponents by a commanding 27.3 to 12.2 margin. With the expected "White Out" I look for the home crowd to be a significant factor again tonight. The Yellow Jackets have dominated this series recently and I look for them to continue to do so this evening. *ACC GOM
TNT GAME OF MONTH
I'm laying the points with BOSTON. The Pistons were playing very well to begin the season. After a minor bump in the road immediately following the trade, they've now adjusted to life with Allen Iverson and are playing well again. That being said, the situation favors the defending champs tonight. While the Celtics were resting, the Pistons are coming off a hard-fought win over rival Cleveland last night. They were trailing by double-digits at halftime, so the win wasn't exactly 'easy.' While the Pistons are just 5-7 ATS the last 12 times they played the second of back to back games, this also marks their 10th straight game in which they have played in a different city than they played in the previous game. (Two of those were home games but they were separated by road games.) Making matters more difficult for Detroit was that several of those games were on the West Coast. Conversely, the Celtics are coming off a home game two nights ago and have played five of their last six games here. They haven't been involved in any back to back situations recently and their only road game during that six game stretch was in Milwaukee. In other words, the Boston players have been enjoying significantly more time in their own beds than the Detroit players have recently. The Celtics have been excellent defensively again this season. Currently, they're holding opponents to a 39.9 (best in league) shooting percentage and just 90.7 (2nd best in league) points per game. The Celtics, 6-1 at home and 8-1 their last nine overall, already defeated the Pistons at Detroit. Including that result, they have now won seven of the last nine series meetings. The Celtics are 13-7 ATS the last 20 times they were favored by eight points or less. I expect them to be the fresher team tonight and for them to continue their recent dominance in the series. *TNT GOM
I'm taking the points with PHOENIX. The Lakers are certainly playing very well. The Suns are a team which is fully capable of defeating them though. While the Suns lost the most recent two series meetings here, they're still a healthy 12-3 the last 15 times they hosted the Lakers. Naturally, they'll be highly motivated to resume that homecourt series dominance and prove that they can still compete with the defending Western Conference champs. Yes, the Suns are off a bad loss. That was at Utah though and they were playing the second of back to back games. Now, they're well rested and back home. In their last game here, the Suns dismantled Detroit by double-digits. Note that the Pistons are no slouches and that they recently handed the Lakers their first loss. Additionally, note that the Suns are 12-5 the last 17 times they were coming off a double-digit loss. For all their success the last couple of seasons, the Lakers are still just 5-8 ATS the last 13 times that they were listed as road favorites in the -3.5 to -6 range. The Suns are 14-3 their last 17 November home games. I feel that the current line offers excellent value and that the Suns have a solid shot at scoring the outright win. *Annihilator
JOHN RYAN
Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Georgia Tech - AiS shows an 80% probability that GT will win this game by 4 or more points. AiS also shows a very strong running game by GT with an 88% probability that they will gain a minimum of 250 rushing yards. note that GT is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) when they rush for 250 to 300 yards since 1992. AiS also shows an 82% probability that GT will score a minimum of 28 points. note that GT is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 184-115 ATS since 1997. Play on any team off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival and with a winning record on the season. Miami's scoring defense has been quite good over their recent games allowing 10 points to Wake, 17 at UVA, and 14 to Va-tech. This, whoever places them into a horrible role noting they are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Take GT.
DOC
5 Unit Play.Take Over in Pittsburgh @ Atlanta
The Thrashers have been a strong over play all season long and have went over tonight’s posted number six of their last seven games. Expect another high scoring game on Thursday since the Penguins boast some of the best offensive players in the league led by Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin. Parley this with Pittsburgh’s No. 1 goalie Marc-Andre Fleury being doubtful for this evening with an undisclosed injury and a strong situation for the over sets up. We will not worry about who wins this game since both teams are on fire and just collect with the over.
3 Unit Play.Take Cal Poly over Rice
The play-in game of the BYU Invite takes place today with the winner of this game getting the opportunity to be pounded by BYU. Both teams are terrible and thus taking the points is the only side to consider. The Mustangs return three starters from last year’s squad and play a slow down style of offense that can frustrate teams if they are not familiar to it. Rice is bad as well and making the long flight to Provo will doom them in.
LENNY STEVENS
10* Miami Florida
Trace Adams
1500* - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
500* - Cincinnati Bengals
LT Profits
Michigan
Mike Rose
Iowa
Rocketman
Dallas Stars
Alex Smart
Penguins/Thrashers Over
Erin Rynning
Playmaker Georgia Tech
have you seen plays from Rob Veno? Same group as fairway jay and teddy covers.....Thanks!
any ron raymond thanks
Root
Chairman- Ga Tech
Millionaire- No Arizona
No Limit- Vanderbilt
Big Al
1* Vandy -6
Keith Martin
Iowa -9