Dr. Bob
Opinions
VANDERBILT (-6 1/2) over Illinois
Vanderbilt applies to a very strong 77-25-4 ATS situation that is already 3-0 for me this season while Illinois applies to a negative 34-83-7 ATS road letdown situation. The record is a perfect 5-0 ATS when both of those angles apply to the same game, including a win on Boston College on Tuesday. However, my ratings favored Vanderbilt by just 5 points and the line opened at 4 1/2 points and has since gone up to 6 1/2 points - taking away much of the value from the situations. I'll still lean with Vanderbilt at -7 points or less.
Florida International (+22) over WASHINGTON
My ratings favor Washington by 18 points over an improved FIU squad (yes, I know FIU's leading returning scorer is out) and the line opened at 18 1/2 points. The line is now +22 points and I'll lean with Florida International based on the line value.
Executive
250 Arkansas
200 Georgia Tech
Special K
20*SUPER K - MICHIGAN WOLVERINES
Sports Firm
Celtics -8
Lakers/Suns Over 205
Georgia Tech -4
Bengals/Steelers Under 35
Scott Spritzer
Steelers
Mia Fla
Dave Cokin
Steelers
Fatjack
Pittsburgh Steelers
Alatex
Super Play
Michigan
Fairway Jay
20* Rice
KBHoops
NBA
5* Pistons +7 -120 **POD**
NCAAB
5* USC/Seton Hall OVER 135
3* S. Illinois +13
3* S. Ill/Duke OVER 138
NFL
3* Pitt/Cincy UNDER 34.5
NCAAF 69% RUN
3* Georgia Tech -3 -120
Teddy June
Georgia Tech
Jim Kruger
3* Detroit/Boston Under 184
Sixth Sense
Opinion
PITTSBURGH –10.5 Cincinnati 34.5
Last weeks scores for each team were completely different from the yards per play stats. Cincinnati tied Philly but they were out gained 5.0yppl to 3.4yppl, including being out rushed 3.8ypr to 1.9ypr and out passed 5.4yps to 4.3yps. A plus three in turnover margin helped Cincinnati stay in the game. I’m not sure what kept SD in the game against Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh out gained the Chargers 5.0yppl to 4.3yppl, out rushed them 5.1ypr to 4.2ypr and out passed them 6.4yps to 5.3yps. And, SD was minus two in turnover margin. For the season, Cincinnati averages just 3.5ypr against 3.9ypr, 4.2yps against 5.7yps and 3.9yppl against 5.0yppl. The defense has been good, allowing just 5.2yppl against 5.3yppl. They will face a Steelers offense that is below average, gaining just 3.6ypr against 4.1ypr, 5.9yps against 6.1yps and 4.9yppl against 5.2yppl. The Pittsburgh defense has been solid and should shut down the anemic Cincinnati offense. Pittsburgh allows just 3.0ypr against 4.2ypr, 4.4yps against 6.1yps and 3.9yppl against 5.3yppl. I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers predict Pittsburgh by 12 points and project about 32 points. Pittsburgh won 38-10 at Cincinnati earlier this year and dominated that game from the line of scrimmage. Double digit dogs have been amazing this year, going 16-2 ATS. In the Roethlisberger era, Pittsburgh is now 23-0 SU during the regular season when they are favored by five points or more at home. Eighteen of those twenty three games produced wins of nine points or more. They are 16-6-1 ATS during that span. In other words, when they are supposed to win, they do so in convincing fashion. I’m not a big fan of laying double digit points but it’s hard for me to side with Cincinnati here with such an anemic offense against a very good Pittsburgh defense. PITTSBURGH 23 CINCINNATI 9
JEFFERSONSPORTS
FULL CARD
NBA
LAKERS -4.5
LAKERS OVER 206.5
NFL
PITTSBURGH -11
NCAA HOOPS
OKLAHOMA ST.-8
SCORE
200 Georgia Tech