Larry Ness
Thursday Night NFL 9* Game of Year
Chicago Bears
Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections
7000* COLLEGE HOOPS CRUSHER WINNER
Villanova -9.5
The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
6000* COLLEGE HOOPS LATE STEAM WINNER
Kansas St -4.5
NSA
20* Chicago -3
10* N Orleans/Chicago Over 44.5
Steven Budin-CEO
25 DIME PLAY
CHICAGO
This price is a steady 3 both in Las Vegas and offshore.
If you have -3, I suggest you buy down the 1/2 point to make Chicago a 2 1/2 point favorite so you get the win should Chicago prevail by only a field goal.
If this line moves to Chicago -3 1/2, either shop around for 3 or buy down the 1/2 point to -3 so you get a push even if Chicago wins by a field goal.
Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry that too many gamblers and handicappers needlessly buy half points on all types of numbers. But the ONLY number that matters from a bookmaker's perspective is 3 because of overtime and that's why its the only number they (bookmakers) charge the extra juice for. Once again, we're using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker in this case.
Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.
Brandon Lang
15 Dime New Orleans Saints
Steve Liebman
Fairfield -9
Wisc GB -12
St Joes +11.5
Bob Balfe
NFL Football
Bears -3 over Saints
Both teams are fighting for their playoff lives with the loser being out and the winner needing a ton of help to get in. The Saints have a high powered offense, but their defense stinks and their FG kicker is not used to kicking in the bitter cold. The Saints will be without their LT Brown which could really have Brees scrambling around all night. The Bears have such a good defense that 7pts turn into a lot of FG's and with a young kicker in these conditions it could really deflate the Saints if they go on a nice drive and come away with nothing. The Bears offense is improving and should have their way with this Saints defense. Look for the home team to come out on top with their support of their fans and mother natures cold. Take the Bears.
NBA Basketball
Jazz -3 over Trailblazers
NCAA Basketball
Villanova -9.5 over St. Joes
RAS
Weber St. +1 1 Unit
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +3
SAINTS/BERAS OVER 45
KANSAS St -5
Street Rosenthal
NO Saints +3
Primetime Sports Advisors
25 units Chicago Bears -3
10 units Philadelphia Flyers -160
Great Lakes Sports
4* Wizards
Dr. Bob
CHICAGO (-3.0) 25 New Orleans 24
New Orleans is a better team than the Chicago but the situation favors the Bears in this game. The Saints average a league best 6.4 yards per play (against teams that would allow 5.3 yppl to an average team) and Drew Brees should have another good game against a Bears’ defense that is very good defending the run (3.6 ypr allowed) but only average against the pass (excluding game 1 against Peyton Manning, who was rusty after missing all of training camp, and game 2 against Carolina without star WR Steve Smith). I rate the Bears’ defense at just 0.2 yppl better than average overall and they are at a huge disadvantage against the Saints. The Bears are 0.2 yppl worse than average offensively with Kyle Orton in the game and the Saints are only 0.1 yppl worse than average defensively after adjusting for strength of opposing offenses faced. The Saints are not only better from the line of scrimmage (I project 6.3 yppl for New Orleans and just 5.3 yppl for the Bears in this game), but they are also better in special teams. Chicago does have a 1.7 points edge I projected turnovers but my math favors the Saints by 3 ½ points. Unfortunately, New Orleans applies to a negative 39-98-3 ATS road letdown situation while the Bears apply to a 79-33-2 ATS statistical indicator. I’ll choose the math over the angles and lean slightly with New Orleans plus the points.
The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
9000* NFL THURSDAY NIGHT PLAY OF THE YEAR
New Orleans +3