BeatYourBookie
100* Play Georgia (-7.5) over Michigan State
Michigan State is 1-5 SU & ATS coming off a road loss
Michigan State is 3-12 SU when playing as an underdog the last 3 years
Michigan State is 0-2 SU when playing with two weeks or more of rest
Bonus NCAA Plays
30* Play USC (-8.5) over Penn State
USC is 10-1 ATS when playing in non-conference games
USC is 7-1 ATS when playing in the month of January
USC is 6-1 ATS when playing with two weeks or more of rest
30* Play Cincinnati (-2.5) over Virginia Tech
Animal
4* Georgia
3* USC
Fairway Jay
5 unit - Penn St/USC Under
4 unit - Nebraska
Vegas Sports Experts
10* Take USC (-8.5) over Penn State (NCAA Power Play)
USC
• 6-0 ATS when playing as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points the last 3 seasons
• 12-4 ATS vs. Big 10 Conference Opponents
Extra Football Plays
5* Take Clemson (-2) over Nebraska (NCAA Bonus Play)
5* Take Cincinnati (-2.5) over Virginia Tech (NCAA Bonus Play)
MADDUX SPORTS
3 Units Penn State +9
3 Units Cincinnati -2
SCORE
400 Clemson
400 USC
400 VT
Vegas High Rollers
100* Clem/Neb Over
Sports Unlimited
5* Cinncinnati
3* Clemson
JOHN RYAN
Ai Simulator 7* graded play Under Michigan State/Georgia - AiS shows a 80% probability that 55 or fewer points will be score in this game. AiS also shows that the Georgia defense will have a solid day and has an 88% probability of limiting MSU to 350 or fewer total yards. MSU is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 total yards over the last 3 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 45-17 ATS for 73% since 1992. Play under with any team against the total after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games when playing on a Thursday. Thursday is an important day of the week in CFB as it nearly always entails a game where the teams have additional rest 10 to 14 days. In this case the rest will sharpen the defenses and the offenses will be a rusty - again based on the AiS projections. Georgia HC Richt is 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. Take the UNDER for 7*.
Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Penn State - AiS shows an 8% probability that PSU will lose this game by 7 or fewer points and also has a 50% probability of winning the game. I also like a 2* amount on the money line to be considered only as an optional wager. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 40-15 ATS for a 73% mark since 1997. Play against neutral field favorites in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences and with an inexperienced QB as starter. This second system supports PSU and has produced a record of 71-31 ATS for 70% since 1992. Play dogs of 3.5 to 10 points in non-conference games and with 17 or more total starters returning. USC is just not in a solid roles for this game. Note that they are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games allowing 225 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games since 1992; 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in road games after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992. Despite the media attention stating that the Big-10 is weak and has been a weak conference with the exception of the top 2 or 3 teams, PSU has done very well when playing out of conference. They are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Even Pete Carroll is in a poor role noting he is just 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. Let's not forget that PSU had the best defense, offense, and special teams in the big-10. Rae is it that any team can ben ranked number 1 in 2 of the 3 categories in a major conference let alone all three. Note too that this is the first time since 2002 that the Pac-10 and Big-10 Champions are meeting in Pasadena. USC has a dominant defense, but I question the overall talent of those teams. They did not allow more than 179 total yards in a game all year and I am certain PSU may get that many by half time. Then it will be quite interesting to see how the defense reacts after halftime. PSU has the speed and athleticism on offense that could overwhelm the defense. Yes, i like this game and I do think PSU can win this game.
Steven Budin-CEO
THURSDAY'S PICK
25 DIME TWO-TEAM TEASER
GEORGIA and PENN STATE
Using the standard six points you receive in a 2-Team Teaser, reduce the price you are laying with Georgia while increasing the number of points you are getting with Penn State.
Georgia is right around -9. Penn State is priced most places at +9 1/2. Now, your prices might vary by a half-point or so, but using these current numbers above, you would make Georgia -3 versus Michigan State and Penn State +15 1/2 against Southern California.
Indiancowboy
4 Unit Play. Take Denver +3.5 over New Orleans.
Denver is playing very well of late so we are going to take a shot on them here to win outright on the road. This is a conference game and of course, the majority of the public are favoring New Orleans at home here. Keep in mind that this is an afternoon game on New Year's Day. I can't imagine there being a full crowd there and in particular, in New Orleans on top of that. The last game that New Orleans played at home the attendance was 659 and that was against North Texas in the evening. I wouldn't be surprised if the attendance did not top 500 at the most today. Thus, little to no home court advantage. Tack on the fact that New Orleans beat this team last year 65-60 at home and 60-54 on the road, Denver has plenty of revenge coming into this game. Denver will get up for this game for that reason alone. Plus, the Pioneers are on a sound win streak. They have won 5 in a row including beating UC Riverside, top 150 Colorado State, Florida Atlantic and South Dakota State. Heck, this team even defeated Texas Arlington. This is not to take anything against New Orleans, but they come off losing to a team not even in Division I and they play a Denver team playing well that wants revenge badly. Plus, this is expected to be a very low scoring game so we will take our 3.5 points and look for the outright win here. Denver is a team that feeds off confidence as they are 9-2 ATS following a straight up win and 6-1 ATS when they allow 50 points or less to their opponent in their previous game.
Turn Two Service Plays
First we will start with the bowl games. 1. South Carolina +3.5 Over Iowa. Description: I like South Carolina to win this game outright, Although I was impressed with iowa's big run down the stretch, i am not going to lay points with a big 10 team over a well coached sec team in this spot. I think South Carolina's Speed will play a huge factor and show iowa that if they want to win they should stick to their own conference. Play it for 7 Units 2. Nebraska +2 Over Clemson. Description: Are these people serious? They are really making Clemson lay points against a high powered big 12 team who is on the rise when Clemson has just layed down in every big game all year? What a joke, I like Nebraska to not only win this game, but i like them to CRUSH clemson. I see a 2 touchdown victory, and because of that. Play if for 10 units 3. Georgia -8 Over Michigan State Description: Again, I am taking the more athletic team, the better conference and the better coach. Georgia will dominate this game in every facet of the game and beat Msu Handily, It is 8 points though so i will make it a medium play. Play if for 5 units 4. USC VS Penn State Over the total 45. Description: I am laying off the side, this one could go either way, but i do like the offenses to come out fired up in good weather and get some big plays. I think that the media and everybody else is hyping up the defenses so much that the offenses will be fired up to show people that they are good as well. Also the Public is very heavy on the under. Play it for 6 units 5. Virginia Tech +2.5 Over Cincy Description: Yes V tech had a pretty mediocre season compared to what they are used to and came out of a pretty weak conference, but Tyrod Taylor has the 2nd best record as a starter in V Tech history at 12-2 and i really like the intensity that this defense can bring. They are always great on special teams as well, i think it will be a close game but V tech comes out with the win. Play it for 6 units.
on to College Hoops 1. Marquette -3 Over Villanova Description: This is the only College hoops game that i like, but i like it a lot. Marquette is an extremely experienced team and they play outstanding at home. I like them to win this game by double digits. Villanova has a good team but I think Marquette is the pretty easy play here at home. Play it for 10 units-- There you have it guys, Here is a rundown.
10 units on Nebraska +2
10 units on Marquette -3 (College Basketball)
7 units on South Carolina +3.5
6 units on Usc Vs penn st over 45
6 units on V tech +2.5
5 units on Georgia -8
Smooth44
Mich. St.
SportsBoss
5* College Hoops GOY Marquette
Steve Merril
Cincy