Larry Ness' 15* Western Conf Game of the Week-NBA (2-0 Weds sweep ups NBA run to 16-7!)
My 15* play is on the GS Warriors at 10:35 ET. The Warriors opened 0-6 but evened their record at 7-7 last night, by winning at Sacramento (103-96). The return of Jackson (missed first seven games on suspension) has been the key, as Golden St is 6-1 since his return, with Jackson posting averages of 22.0-5.6-3.9. However, the Warriors fine play is due to more than just Jackson's return. PG Davis has been healthy all year (24.0-5.4-8.6) and shooting guard Ellis (16.2) is seemingly over his late-season shooting slump from LY. PF Al Harrington (15.2-5.6) loves Oakland and 2nd-year pro Azubuike (from Kentucky) is averaging 13.6-5.3) after netting just 7.1 PPG in 41 games as a rookie. Then, there's all that depth (Biedrins, Pietrus, Barnes and Croshere!). The Rockets have won three straight after losing six in a row, with last night's win at Phoenix. However, the Rockets are essentially a two-man team. T-Mac (26.0-5.7-5.4) and Yao (22.4-10.2) are the lone players in double digits. After beating the Suns last night, a game against the fats-paced and deep Warriors, is NOT what the doctor ordered! Western Conf GOW 15* GS Warriors.
JEFFERSONSPORTS"
Been posting plays since Oct 6. Here are the exact records since then.
NCAA HOOPS 13-8
NCAA FOOTBALL 14-7
NBA HOOPS 21-13
NFL FOOTBALL 3-5
NHL HOCKEY 27-14
TODAY
NHL
CALGARY-130
more later
OVERALL RECORD 78-47 since Oct. 6
good luck guys
Brandon Lang
THURSDAY
40 DIME
Green Bay Packers
15 DIME
Rutgers
10 DIME
Packers-Cowboys OVER
5 DIME
George Mason
free pick - Rockets - (for analysis see daily video)
analysis by 3:00 pm Eastern
jeff bonds
Thu, 11/29/07 - 8:05 PM Jeff Bonds | NBA Total
dime bet502 BOS / 501 NYK Under 190.0 BetUS Analysis:
The New York Knicks have a BIG TENDENCY of playing defensively, after allowing more than 100 points in a game, with the UNDER going 37-18 in this particular situation.
The UNDER is 5-1 in Knicks games this season when allowing over 100 points and the line is suspiciously low for this series, which signals to me that this game will be won on the defensive end.
This is a definite look ahead spot for the Boston Celtics, after picking up a tough loss against the Cleveland Cavaliers in its last game and the Miami Heat on the road Friday. The UNDER is 2-1 when Boston returns home from a road trip this season with the two going UNDER by a combined 47 points.
With the UNDER being 4-0 when the new-look Celtics are favored by double-digits this year let us take FULL ADVANTAGE
stan sharp.
Thu, 11/29/07 - 10:35 PM Stan Sharp | NBA Total
double-dime bet506 GSW / 505 HOU Over 208.0 BetUS
Analysis: Stan and his Top 2 NBA Totals Players both agree that the line on tonight's Houston/Golden St Game is too low. This Game will go Over the Total by 10 points or more. TAKE HOUSTON/GOLDEN ST OVER as STAN'S NBA TOTAL BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY
asa
Pro Hockey Picks
11/29/2007
6:30:00 PM Boston Bruins(-105) 0
over FLORIDA PANTHERS
ASA 4* Boston Bruins $ line @ Florida @ 6:30 P.M.
It is important to use numbers in handicapping but if the numbers always made sense this stuff would be easy, right? The point of this intro is to let you know there are definitely times in handicapping any sport, including hockey, where it makes sense to go against the numbers. We used the above intro in last night's write-up which did cash in for us and the same intro bears repeating tonight. The numbers here in his match-up will point people toward Florida. However, the play here will be Boston! Despite their series dominance over the Bruins, the Panthers were installed as a very short favorite for tonight's game. This is no mistake on the part of the odds makers as they simply see the same things we do in this match-up. The Bruins are coming off of a big road win at Philly where they exploded for six goals. They will carry momentum from that game right into tonight's contest. As for the Panthers this is the type of game they will come into overconfident and they will get upset as a result. The Panthers have won four straight games coming into this match-up. They also have defeated the Bruins six straight times. This Boston team is on the rise though now, even without the injured Bergeron, and is much improved over last season's version. The Bruins score the mild upset here as they continue the scoring surge they started against the Flyers. Look for the Panthers to be a little flat after knocking off Alexander Ovechkin and the division rival Capitals in their most recent game. The motivational edges are going to be the difference tonight and you will see it in the way Boston outskates Florida tonight!
asa
Pro Hockey Picks
11/29/2007
6:30:00 PM Boston Bruins(-105) 0
over FLORIDA PANTHERS
ASA 4* Boston Bruins $ line @ Florida @ 6:30 P.M.
It is important to use numbers in handicapping but if the numbers always made sense this stuff would be easy, right? The point of this intro is to let you know there are definitely times in handicapping any sport, including hockey, where it makes sense to go against the numbers. We used the above intro in last night's write-up which did cash in for us and the same intro bears repeating tonight. The numbers here in his match-up will point people toward Florida. However, the play here will be Boston! Despite their series dominance over the Bruins, the Panthers were installed as a very short favorite for tonight's game. This is no mistake on the part of the odds makers as they simply see the same things we do in this match-up. The Bruins are coming off of a big road win at Philly where they exploded for six goals. They will carry momentum from that game right into tonight's contest. As for the Panthers this is the type of game they will come into overconfident and they will get upset as a result. The Panthers have won four straight games coming into this match-up. They also have defeated the Bruins six straight times. This Boston team is on the rise though now, even without the injured Bergeron, and is much improved over last season's version. The Bruins score the mild upset here as they continue the scoring surge they started against the Flyers. Look for the Panthers to be a little flat after knocking off Alexander Ovechkin and the division rival Capitals in their most recent game. The motivational edges are going to be the difference tonight and you will see it in the way Boston outskates Florida tonight!
JIM KRUUGER
Bronze 3* plays:
SIDES
# 505 Houston -2 over Golden State
If the Rockets have to play a back-to-back anyway, with much of the preparation for the Suns will apply to playing the Warriors The Suns and the Warriors play small against Houston and send early double-teams to defend Yao Ming. This should help open up shots from outside for the Rockets.Houston
is not a very good three-point shooting team, they rank 28th in the league.style="mso-spacerun: yes"> However,
Golden
State is next to last in the league
allowing of their foes to hit from downtown at a 38.9% rate
Last year Houston was 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS on back to back away games without any rest. Golden State was 5-17 SU last season with zero rest.
Take Houston
TOTALS
# 505 Houston - Golden State UNDER 208.5
A situation that is 23-7 Under goes in the Rockets-Warriors game involvingrest and previous results. The Rockets have really cranked up the defense in their previous three games with all three going Under even though on two of those Houston scored 100 points or more. Two of their previous three opponents were Phoenix and Denver, the two fastest up-tempo teams in the NBA this year.
Houston is 4-1 Under this year when the lined total is 200 or higher. The Under is 9-4 in Houston’s last 13 road games.
Take the UNDER!
# 501 New York – Boston UNDER 190
A good situation for the Under is set up in this divisional game tonight between the Celtics and the Knicks that involves rest and location. The Under is 12-3 in BOS last 15 vs. NBA Atlantic.
The Under is 37-18 in Knicks last 55 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. This year they are 6-1 Under after scoring 105points in a game
Boston is 5-1 Under at home this year.
Take the UNDER!
Kendall Holiday 11/29/07
Colorado +7.5 at Air Force
This line is too high, as the oddsmakers are likely remembering the 40 point drubbing that AFA laid on Colorado is Boulder last season. That is fair enough, but what they are forgetting is that AFA graduated four starters off that team and are pegged near the bottom of the Mountain West Conference this season. Obviously, there is an underlying theme going here as well with Jeff Bzdelik, who returns to AFA for the first time since bolting for the Colorado job. It became well known in these parts that Bzdelik used last seasons outcome against Air Force to motivate his troops this off season. We watched Colorado play the other night, and they played about as poorly on the offensive end as one can at the Division I level, but the difference in this basketball team is on the defensive end of the court. AFA will not give Colorado matchup problems in terms of size like Wisconsin did two weeks ago. Colorado should hang tough here, and frankly, could easily win this game outright if their shots fall, unlike the other night. We have a tough time seeing either team winning by the posted number in this contest. Three units on the dog here.
Kansas State +3 vs. Oregon - Playof the Day
Love this game. Oregon is remembered for their big run last season, but Aaron Brooks is gone and that will kill them over the course of this season. Are they a good team, yes, but should they be a road favorite by three over an up and coming KState team that features maybe the best freshman in the country in Michael Beasley? We think not. KState fans have been clamoring for this season season, and waiting to watch Walker and Beasley on the same court. This game will have everyone's attention throughout the state of Kansas. A statement game for the arrival of the Cats. A statement will be made in a big way. Four units on the home team.
Here is Kruuuger's NCAA football for Thursday.
# 303 Rutgers +2.5 over Louisville - Bronze 3*
David Malinksy
4* StJosephs -1.5
4* Colorado +7.5
4* Dallas under 52
Ross Benjamin Sports
Denver @ Los Angeles Lakers 10:35 PM ET 11/29/2007
Play On: Lakers –5.5
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Any conference away underdog of 6.5 or less, that is off a non-conference home favorite SU loss by 12 points or less, they scored 111 points or less, they have a win percentage of .600 or better, is playing an opponent off a SU win by 5 or more points, and that opponent has a win percentage of .725 or less is 0-16 SU and ATS since 1990. The underdog has lost those 16 games by an average of 12.9 points per game. Play on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points as my NBA free selection of the night.
Jeff Alexander's Picks for November 29, 2007
NFL
4* NFC Game of the Month on Cowboys -7
Green Bay is 0-8 at Dallas with Favre under center, only covering the spread one time in those 8 games. Dallas is a healthier team right now with more weapons and more things it can do offensively. The Packers have tried to improve their running game, but Dallas is one of the premier run stuffing teams in the league and will have none of it. Green Bay will struggle running the football, which will put extra pressure on Favre as the receiving corps. The Cowboys run the ball on offense very well and this part of their game is the difference maker here as this will allow Romo and T.O. to hook up in play action spots. Dallas is the better team, especially at home. Cowboys by two TDs.
NCAAF
3* Louisville -2
Louisville is 9-1 ATS in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/attempt since 1992. The Cards are also 10-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs since 1992. Rutgers came from behind to beat the Cards last season to spoil any National Championship hopes and you can bet that Brian Brohm and company have not forgotten it. Brohm is coming off his worst performance of the season and you can bet that he bounce back this week. The Cards will defense their home field here to get to .500 on the season, avenging last season’s loss to Rutgers.
NCAAB
3* Buffalo +5.5
We'll take Buffalo catching points at home. Buffalo is 10-2 ATS in home games versus excellent teams shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% since 1997 and 16-6 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams with a shooting pct defense of =37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Ohio is 6-0 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. We like the Bobcats to bounce back with a big win at Temple tonight.
3* Air Force -7
Air Force will show the Buffs just how far they still have to go before they can compete in the Big 12 by blowing them out by double digits tonight. Colorado is just 7-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, 13-30 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams allowing <=64 points/game since 1997, and 4-13 ATS versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Colorado is just 4-17 ATS after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less since 1997. Take Air Force!
Rocketman
4* NY Knicks +13
Tony Stoffo's Pick Pack PAID AND CONFIRMED
Pick Pack Plays
Matchup: NY Islanders at NY Rangers
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Thu)
Play: NY Rangers (-1.5+155)
Line Source: BETUS
Posted on: November 29, 2007 @ 10:19:33 AM EST
NY Islanders at NY Rangers Really tough spot for the Islanders here as this will be their third game in four nights with a back to back overtime scenario thrown in, playing a well rested Rangers squad tonight. The fatigue will start to kick in as this game progresses and the Rangers will pull away to the easy win here. Saying this have to take the Rangers on the puck line here getting the nice plus money for tonight