Vegas Sport info.
Free Thursday Trend Play ***
Take #304 Louisville -2 1/2 over Rutgers. (NCAAF)
Louisville is 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last home game. Louisville has a lot on the line tonight and if they get a home win Louisville could be going bowling. Louisville is also 9-3 ATS when playing in the month of November. Rutgers is 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games.
JIM FEIST
Take "(506) GST Warriors"
Both teams playing back-to-back games, but Rockets will be tired after playing at fast paced Phoenix last night. Houston is just 2-3 both S/U and ATS on the road this year. Golden State started the season very poorly, but has turned it around as they have won six of the last seven straight up and five of seven ATS. The Warriors will put those tired Rockets' legs to the test again tonight as the Warriors like the fast paced game too and have averaged 112 points at home this year. Just can't see the Rockets responding well to two fast paced teams in a back-to-back spot, therefore we are taking the home team here on Thursday night
ATS LOCK
4 units Over GB/DAL
Hoops
3 units St. Joes
NBA
3 units Denver
ATS FINANCIAL
3 units Green Bay
Hoops
3 units George Mason
NBA
3 units Golden State
Alex Smart
New York Knicks r501
Boston Celtics r502
o188.0 / 2 units
The New York Knicks enter into this contest against the explosive Boston Celtics having allowed an average of 107 PPG on the road this season , and I can see no reason why a Beantown squad that averages 103 PPG on the season, wont light them up again, for that many points or even more. The Celtics defense has been staunch this season, allowing opponents just 91.2 PPG , which I predict is right around, what the Knicks should score, with a variable of around -5 points, which rings in at around(86.2). So taking into consideration the above mentioned numbers, and my own estimations , any number from 188 to 192.5 gives us an advantage on the OVER. Final notes & Key Trends: BOSTON is 21-3 OVER when they score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 couple of seasons, the average combined score rings in at 216.4 PPG. Play OVER
8:05p The P r e z
New York Knicks r501
Boston Celtics r502
o189.0 (-110) / 3 units 3* - NY Knicks and Bost OVER 189
Gold Medal Club
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NFL 25* 1st Half Green Bay +4 UNDER 27
CBB: 25* Arkansas State -7.5
25* USC -6
15* Oregon -2.5
Handicapper: John Ryan
Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys (NFL) - 8:15 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Total: 51.5/100 Over Play Title: High scoring to say the least based on my research
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Ai Simulator 10* graded play OVER the posted total Dallas/GB - AiS shows an 87% probability that 53 or more points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded MONSTER play is a system that has gone 107-60 OVER since 1983. Play over with any team against the total after 3 or more consecutive wins and is now facing an opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins. Both teams come in strong and they both are the two elite teams in the NFC. Green Bay is certainly a very strong offensive team and Dallas allows points against these types of teams. Note that Dallas is 9-1 OVER in home games versus. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game. since 1992. GB ranks 2nd in passing offense and Dallas 5th. They also rank 1st and 3rd in the NFC with New Orleans taking the 2nd slot. Their passing defenses are just average at best with GB ranking 18th and Dallas 21st in the NFL. Looking at Passing defense yielding 20+ and 40+ receptions Dallas ranks in the top-10. Yet, this reveals the true weakness of the Dallas defense - that they can be beat deep and MUST play OVER defenses with a cover 2 or cover 3 scheme. This means that Favre will simply pick away underneath all day long until Dallas takes chances via the blitz or man coverage. Both teams rank high in the NFL in sacks, but both offense like to use a 3 step drop and fire, which minimizes the pass rush. Favre uses nearly 80% 3 step and fire passes using slants and hitches. Dallas can utilize quick pass routes on 1st and 2nd downs to accomplish two important goals. Ball control and to make the Packers defensive line not just play run or pass. This will open up big time play action pass opportunities in man coverage schemes. First team to 35 wins and of course that means the OVER wins no matter who scores 35 first.
INDIAN COWBOY
Green Bay vs. Dallas
Let me go over some interesting line information with you. Yesterday, nearly 2/3rds of the public was on Cleveland and yet the Pistons as mentioned, who had not beat the Cavs in 4 straight times, took them down in a let down spot and destroyed them to cover a large spread. Today, the public is on the Pack in a 2/3rds fashion, which begs the question, will the public possibly get hit taking another dog that looks to be too good in this game?". The Packers have won 7 straight road ballgames this year and this could be their 8th straight road ballgame and they enter as a touchdown dog. The Pack are a remarkable 9-1-1 ATS this year while the Cowboys aren't too far behind at 8-3 ATS. Something you want to note about both teams is that they are both 5-0 SU on the road as their home losses this year both come at home with the Pack being to the Bears in a comeback from the Bears and the Cowboys of course to the Pats at home. Green Bay on the road is 4-1 to the over while Dallas has no trend to either the over/under at home. Green Bay is 3rd in the league in offensive yards and 5th in the league in points allowed as they are a very underrated defense but they are just 18th in the league in passing yards allowed and their run defense is 13th in the league - headhunters or not. Dallas is 2nd in the league in offensive yards, just 1 spot above Green Bay and 2nd in points scored. Their defense is 21st in the league in passing yards allowed as I personally believe the Cowboys secondary is vulnerable and can be exploited and I expect Favre to have success throwing the ball. The Cowboys defense keep in mind is 4th in the league in stopping the rush but the Pack will look to throw the ball regardless likely today anyway - but Ryan Grant has been effective running the ball lately as well. I wouldn't be surprised if the Cowboys managed to cover the touchdown, but really no lean on the side although it is hard to bet against Green Bay, but a lean on the under as I think the Pack defense steps up very well as Woodson is a shutdown corner unlike the Redskins who did a terrible job on TO and I think the Cowboys drop an extra man or 2 back as their front line does with Ware and company does do an admirable job in stopping the run as they are top 5 in the league in the category. But, it is tough to bet any unders with Green Bay in the mix and both quarterbacks simply looking to outduel each other week after week and now will actually look to outduel each other in a game against each other.
NBA
Boston vs. New York
If you think that the Knicks are going to be an active dog given their back to back wins, this would be a sound over to take. Boston is known as a defensive team, although on the road, much like the Pistons, they have been playing overs. At home, they more inclined for the under. The Celtics come home fairly angry after their disappointing performance on the road against the defending Eastern Conference champs and New York has finally put together back to back wins covering outright against the Bulls and Jazz at home. New York has not scored more than 83 points in their last 2 road games at Detroit and Denver as they look to change that to see if they truly have turned the corner. I'm not saying this happens again, but the last time the Celtics lost on the road and came back home, they covered with ease as they lost to the Magic, then came back home to face the Warriors as a 10.5 favored and covered winning by 20 plus and they face a similar situation today except with the spread by 13.5. I think this game either goes celtics/under or the knicks/over. The Celtics have covered all but one game at home and this game depends on the play of Marbury primarily as he is the key to this team being competitive along with Randolph of course as the Celtics will undoubtedly "bring it" given that they come off a loss. If I had to take a lean here, I think the Celtics off a loss is a sound wager as I'm not convinced that New York has turned the corner on the road.
Nuggets vs. Lakers
Denver beat this team by 4 back in April so the Lakers do have some revenge coming into this game and Denver has won the last 3 times these teams have played. The Nuggets continue to be very poor on the road as they lost to the Clippers who were shorthanded, played poorly at Houston and even lost at home to the Pacers as they have dropped 4 straight ATS. Denver, typically scores well at home but on the road in their last 2 games, they have put up 81 and 90 points disappointingly. Consequently, the last 2 Denver games have gone under as well. If you think Denver wins this game, this game is likely to go over as as it did the last time these two teams played in L.A.. Keep in mind the Lakers have not covered their last 2 at home including their outright loss to the Nets and winning but not covering against the Sonics - and in fact, the Lakers along with the Nuggets come into this game having dropped their last 4 straight ballgames ATS. Despite Brown being doubtful for this game, I think the Lakers end up winning this game by double-digits as the Nuggets continue to have problems on the road and the Lakers simply looked past the Sonics in anticipation of this game. The trends point heavily to the under in this game and the Nuggets are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in L.A.
Houston vs. Golden State
How about the Warriors being back at .500 for the season after being winless in the early part. Just goes to show you how integrally part of the offense that Stephen Jackson is as well as being a leader out on the floor - yes, Stephen Jackson being a leader as Don Nelson has looked to him as being a captain on this team along with Baron Davis since the departure of Jason Richardson and this team is responding well. Golden State beat this team by 11 on the road when they were healthy last year but after dropping 6 straight, Houston has won their last 3 ballgames and consequently covered their last 3 ballgames as they have all gone under. It's defense vs. offense so to speak in this game as Houston was able to hold the Suns to under 100 points - in fact 94 - in Phoenix which is a tough task to do and they face the same version of the team on the road today. In fact, this is essentially part 2 of the game they just played in Phoenix. Something interesting to note, Golden State was 5-1 to the under in their road trip which shows that they are not scoring as well on the road and the possibility they might actually be playing some defense on the road as compared to at home. I believe Houston has some success in deterring the Golden State offense but the Warriors have played in 6 straight overs at home.
DR CHAD
NFL 5 units on DALLAS
COLLEGE HOOPS
5 units on NC CHARLOTTE and AIR FORCE
3 units on APPALAICHAN ST.
PureLock Sports Premium Picks 11-29-07
All plays rated 5 units! 15-2 88% in College Football this past year and 11-10 in NFL this past year! Thats 26-12 68% in football this past year! At least 60% or better in CFB every year!
CFB
RUTGERS @ LOUISVILLE 7:45 PM EST
PLAY ON: RUTGERS (+) PTS
NBA
HOUSTON @ GOLDEN STATE 10:35 PM EST
PLAY ON: HOUSTON (-) PTS
CBB
SANTA CLARA @ EASTERN WASHINGTON 10:00 PM EST
PLAY ON: EASTERN WASHINGTON (+) PTS
greg shaker
Thu, 11/29/07 - 7:00 PMGreg Shaker | CBB Total
double-dime bet512 Buffalo / 511 Tulane Over 140.5 BetUS
Analysis:
NCAAB: Tulane Green Wave at Buffalo Bulls - Over 140.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Game Date: 11/29/2007
Note: One of the few CBB Totals we have lost was a game in which these Bulls were involved in just the last time out verses Canisuis. In that contest we saw a high number of shots, but a poor shooting percentage with the Griffins connecting on just 33% from the court. Thati is why that game went UNDER the total and sometimes that cannot be predicted. There were a total of 125 shots taken though and that is about average for Buffalo, whose games are fast paced. The Bulls are #46 pacewise this year out of 341 NCAA Teams and tonight they have team in town that shoots lights out from all over the court. In fact the Wave have dipped below 50% shooting just once this year and that was a 47% effort in the first game of the year verses Auburn. Both teams shoot more than average from beyond the arc as well. The Bulls are more than likely going to dictate tempo as they always do, and Tulane is what I call a play along team. They are just fine and dandy to play the pace of the opponent, and proved that time and time again last year. This is also going to be a close enough affair where late game free throw shooting is going to come into play. That should give us bonus shots toward the end. This game should end up more near the 150 mark than what is posted with just reasonable shooting verses shots taken. Play all the way up to 145.
Burns__________ Thursday Night GOY__________________DALLAS (-7 or better)
Another Salvo from Nick's big gun__3*____________ DALLAS over Green Bay by 17
The Fall Miracle_______________________________________Dall as Cowboys -6.5
Gold Sheet _____________________________________DALLAS 34 - Green Bay 24
LT'S LOCK_____________________The LOCK_______________The Cowboys -6' pt
Karl Garrett__________________COMP_______________Green Bay at DALLAS (-7)
Maddux Sports______________2 units_____________________Dallas -4 (1st Half)
cash pomer__________largest play of the season________________dallas cowboys
Jeff Alexander____________4* NFC Game of the Month_____________Cowboys -7
Pointwise Newsletter________________________________Dallas 30 Green Bay 26
Gold Medal Club_________________25*________________1st Half Green Bay +4
Mike Rose___________________Free Pick______________Green Bay Packers +7.0
Michael Cannon___________15 Dime___________________________PACKERS +7
Kelso___________________15 units_____________________Packers +7 @ Dallas
Black Cobra________________________________________Green Bay Packers +7
Mighty ! Quinn_____________________________________________ __Packers +7
Cappers Access____________________________________________ __Packers + 7
3buckwinner_______________________________________ ____Green Bay Packers
Insider Sports Report_______4*____Green Bay +7 over Dallas_Range +8.5 to +5.5
Discount Sports Picks___________10*________________Green Bay +7 over Dallas
Matt Rivers____________________50,000♦_________________ _______Green Bay
Brandon Lang______________40 DIME_____________________Green Bay Packers
ATS FINANCIAL_______________3 units__________________________Green Bay
Randle the Handle_______________________________Green Bay +7 over DALLAS
Wild Bill_________________2 units__________________ Over Packer and Cowboys
Gator Report (Cajun-Sports)___________________GREEN BAY / DALLAS OVER 51.5
Jim Rich__________________________________________Over G.B. / Boys 51 1/2
Elite Sports Picks________________________________Green Bay/Dallas OVER 51.
Karl Garrett__________________COMP 5♦__________________________OVER GB/Dal
Brandon Lang__________________10 DIME_____________Packers-Cowboys OVER
Professional Gambler Newsletter___________________Packers/Cowboys OVER 51.5
ATS LOCK____________________4 units_______________________Over GB/DAL
WUNDERDOG____________________COMP________Green Bay at Dallas UNDER 51
EROCKMONEY______________________________(Under 51.5) Green Bay at Dallas
Gold Medal Club_________________25*______________1st Half GB/Dal UNDER 27
Burns____________college football__________________LOUISVILLE (-4 or better)
Dan Tesinferno's_______________#1 Play 3*_____LOUISVILLE over Rutgers by 14
Wild Bill____________NCAAFGOY 10 units___________L'ville Cards -3 over Rutgers
Inside Las Vegas_________________________________Louisville - 2 over Rutgers
Vegas Sport info___________Comp Trend Play ***___Louisville -2 1/2 over Rutgers
Jeff Alexander__________________3*_____________________ _____Louisville -2
Pointwise Newsletter________________________________Lousivil le 31 Rutgers 27
Michael Cannon_____________40 Dime____________________________RUTGERS
Gold Sheet____________________________________Rutgers 28 - LOUISVILLE 24
Mighty ! Quinn___________________________________________+ 2 1/2 Rutgers
Cappers Access__________________________________________Ru tgers + 2 1/2
Matt Rivers____________________100,000♦________________ _________Rutgers
Brandon Lang______________15 DIME_____________________________Rutgers
Jim ******________________Bronze 3*____________Rutgers +2.5 over Louisville
Craig Wilson Sports__________________________________Rutgers/Louisville o60
Wild Bill_________________1 unit _________________________Over L'ville Cards
Insider Sports Report______3*_Rutgers/Louisville OVER 59.5_Range 58 to 61.5
WAYNE ROOT
Chairman - Cowboys
Millionaire - Rutgers
Millionaire - Oregon
Jeff Alexander's Picks for November 29, 2007
NFL
4* NFC Game of the Month on Cowboys -7
Green Bay is 0-8 at Dallas with Favre under center, only covering the spread one time in those 8 games. Dallas is a healthier team right now with more weapons and more things it can do offensively. The Packers have tried to improve their running game, but Dallas is one of the premier run stuffing teams in the league and will have none of it. Green Bay will struggle running the football, which will put extra pressure on Favre as the receiving corps. The Cowboys run the ball on offense very well and this part of their game is the difference maker here as this will allow Romo and T.O. to hook up in play action spots. Dallas is the better team, especially at home. Cowboys by two TDs.
NCAAF
3* Louisville -2
Louisville is 9-1 ATS in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/attempt since 1992. The Cards are also 10-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs since 1992. Rutgers came from behind to beat the Cards last season to spoil any National Championship hopes and you can bet that Brian Brohm and company have not forgotten it. Brohm is coming off his worst performance of the season and you can bet that he bounce back this week. The Cards will defense their home field here to get to .500 on the season, avenging last season’s loss to Rutgers.
NCAAB
3* Buffalo +5.5
We'll take Buffalo catching points at home. Buffalo is 10-2 ATS in home games versus excellent teams shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% since 1997 and 16-6 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams with a shooting pct defense of =37% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Ohio is 6-0 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. We like the Bobcats to bounce back with a big win at Temple tonight.
3* Air Force -7
Air Force will show the Buffs just how far they still have to go before they can compete in the Big 12 by blowing them out by double digits tonight. Colorado is just 7-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, 13-30 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams allowing <=64 points/game since 1997, and 4-13 ATS versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Colorado is just 4-17 ATS after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less since 1997. Take Air Force!
WINNERS EDGE- 11/19/07
CBB:
South Alabama + 12.5 , 2 units
Oregon - 2 , 2 units
Drexel + 7.5 5 units (GOM
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-CBB (13-2 run with Insiders / 9-1 in BKB!)
My Las Vegas Insider is on Kansas St. With Huggins splitting after just one year (for his alma mater of West Va) in Manhattan, the Wildcats are on their third head coach in as many seasons. However, KSU has a great collection of young talent. Senior guards Young (8.5) and Stewart (4.8-2.8-3.0) are joined in the backcourt by an excellent freshman, Pullen (14.2). However, that's just the beginning. The 6-6 Bill Walker played just six games (ACL) last year and the man many thought would be one on the nation's top freshman, looks healthy and ready to procduce (12.5-6.5). Anderson, a 6-8 freshman forward is averaging 5.8-7.5 and then there's the 6-9 Michael Beasley! He's had a double-double in each of his first six college games, averaging 27.2 PPG and 15.5 RPG. The Ducks have no one to guard Beasley, although the 6-9 Luenen (16.0-10.5) will likely try. Oregon's a perimeter team, with only the 6-6 Catron (10.3-9.5) contributing inside (other than senior, Luenen). The Ducks are no slouches, with swingman Hairston (19.7-4.3), 5-6 guard Porter (16.0), Taylor (14.3-5.3) and freshman Brown (8.8-4.5 APG) forming an outstanding perimeter. However, as we saw at St Mary's in a 99-87 loss on Nov 20, the Ducks can be had! Manhattan 'rocks' tonight! Las Vegas Insider on Kansas
Larry Ness' 15* Western Conf Game of the Week-NBA (2-0 Weds sweep ups NBA run to 16-7!)
My 15* play is on the GS Warriors at 10:35 ET. The Warriors opened 0-6 but evened their record at 7-7 last night, by winning at Sacramento (103-96). The return of Jackson (missed first seven games on suspension) has been the key, as Golden St is 6-1 since his return, with Jackson posting averages of 22.0-5.6-3.9. However, the Warriors fine play is due to more than just Jackson's return. PG Davis has been healthy all year (24.0-5.4-8.6) and shooting guard Ellis (16.2) is seemingly over his late-season shooting slump from LY. PF Al Harrington (15.2-5.6) loves Oakland and 2nd-year pro Azubuike (from Kentucky) is averaging 13.6-5.3) after netting just 7.1 PPG in 41 games as a rookie. Then, there's all that depth (Biedrins, Pietrus, Barnes and Croshere!). The Rockets have won three straight after losing six in a row, with last night's win at Phoenix. However, the Rockets are essentially a two-man team. T-Mac (26.0-5.7-5.4) and Yao (22.4-10.2) are the lone players in double digits. After beating the Suns last night, a game against the fats-paced and deep Warriors, is NOT what the doctor ordered! Western Conf GOW 15* GS Warriors.