ATS Lock
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3 units NC +5.5
Thanks Skip
no problem just sharing the info
VEGAS RUNNER
SEA (-117) vs ANA 2* ML WAGER
MIL (-105) vs PHI 2* ML WAGER
Rutgers / North Carolina Under 48.0 3* BEST BET of the DAY
First I want to start off by saying that I highly suggest and advise that you hold off on placing this wager until as close to kick-off as possible...Those of you who have been with me for a while now have seen more than enough examples of why it is so important to bet the game the way we believe the market is going to react to wagers from BOTH, sharps and recreational bettors...
This number is at 48 right now at Bodog and I have already received 48 from locals that I use...and with the amount of money that is expected to be bet by the rec players...We feel strongly that the books will be forced to move the number higher, even at the risk of the outfits coming in and getting the best of it...
The bottom line is that as of right now, this number is just way too high and to be perfectly honest, I felt that even the opening number of 43.4 / 44 was a bit inflated due to the fact it was an ESPN Match-Up on "Prime-Time"...And with the chance of this one going even higher, I really feel that there is only one way to play this one...and that is by GOING UNDER...
Both teams have had 2 weeks to prep for each other so I really expect them to come out knowing the others offesnsive philosophy pretty well...and the game-planning was definately made easier...
Although the strength of Rutgers has shifted to the passing game...they saw what abandoning the run will do to you at the hands of Fresno St...I also expect Rutgers to get back to their real strength...limiting the opposition from scoring and keeping it ugly if possible...
And we have seen Carolina have no problems themselves playing in close, ugly ball games in the past...and I also expect their defense to bring their A-Game in this one...
Let's be straight...this one is on ESPN or there is no way this Total would have ever gone this high...not on a Saturday...And from the way the Total continues to move without any sharp presence really tells me that the only fear the books have is that if they reach a key number...they will open the doors for the sharps to come on in....Finally, all things just point to an UNDER in this one when you put your pre-conceived thoughts to the side and really focus in on the number...the value...and how the market is reacting to the money coming in...
So let's go ahead and take the UNDER 48 or BETTER...and see if we can stay UNDEFEATED on 3*'s This Week...VR
NCAAFB 2* TEASER PLAY of the DAY
RUTGERS +1 & UNDER 55 (2*) Teaser Bet
Here is a situation where we not only get a better number on our Total with the Teaser...but there is no way that anyone can tell me that according to the Power Ratings for these 2 clubs...that RUTGERS doesn't offer incredible value...
The Bottom Line is that if Rutgers hadn't been blown out like they were by Fresno on National Television...this number would have been a lot higher....because not only was Rutgers in the Oddsmakers Top 15 to start the season...but they are playing at home where they have been dominant the past few seasons...Sure Carolina is in the ACC and a much improved team, but we aren't asking for a blow-out, nor even a cover...We need Rutgers, to just play up to their capabilities, and that should ensure a 1-1 record when it's all said and done, at home Tonight...This is just an excellent example of Value in a Number...VR
Rob Veno
North Carolina / Rutgers Over
NSA
20* North Carolina +6
10* UNC/Rut under
10* Brewers
10* Wht Xox
10* Indians
10* SD/SF Under
Tommy Rider
Rutgers / North Carolina Over
Marco D'Angelo
North Carolina +6.0
DAVE COKIN
3* North Carolina
JIM FEIST
5* North Carolina
LT PROFITS
2 Units North Carolina
2 Units North Carolina/Rutgers Over
SCOTT SPREITZER
North Carolina/Rutgers Over
JB SPORTS
Rutgers
CHARLIES
500* North Carolina/Rutgers Under
30*Rutgers
BOB BALFE
North Carolina/Rutgers Over
SPORTS BANK
300% North Carolina
LENNY STEVENS
10* North Carolina
EAST COAST SPORTS CONSULTANTS
WILLIE "D"
Public Fade - UNC
RANDY MITCHEL
Gold Key - UNC
Indian Cowboy
UNC +5 (POD)
Here is what I have on this game. Note, that this is not your father's UNC football team. This Carolina team has come some ways since Butch Davis took over. Yes, they only won 4 games last year, but the 2 million a year coach has looked to improve this team. He has brought some quality talent to this squad in the form of Yates and a running back that rushed for over a 100 yards last ballgame. Remmeber, Davis is the Coach who was once running the show at the Browns organization in the NFL and prior to that at the Hurricanes in Miami. He left the year before the Canes won the National Championship and many believe it was his coaching and prowess that created the dominance that Coker was fortunate to receive on a silver platter. I believe this is true as see what Coker did to the program under his leadership as he drove a great program to the ground with terrible oversight. Having said this, Davis beat Miami at North Carolina last year as that made the boosters and fans thrilled for a big win. He has been working hard to renew the image of UNC Football as a place where students can expect to have a football team that is not terrible and can be competitive. This is still a Basketball school, but Davis has worked to try to re-establish a winning tradition and in about 4 years I think he competes for an ACC Title to be frank. I think these 2 teams might be heading in opposite trends, for this year at least, in that UNC returns a lot of veteran players, to the tune of 10 returners on offense (put up 35 points last week, granted McNeese State) and 8 returners on defense. This Scarlet Knights offense struggled without Ray Rice as they only put up 7 points against Fresno State. Having said that, they should have far more success scoring against UNC today, but UNC is no push over either. This shows that despite 63% favoring Rutgers at home, with the fan-fare and backing they received last year and the fact that UNC football is under the radar, the line has actually gone in favor of UNC the other way as there is quality value in the Tarheels today. These 2 teams met in 06' and UNC only lost that ballgame by 5 points. Don't forget, Mike Teel only completed 50% of his passes roughly last time and threw for 2 picks and 0 td's. I wouldn't be surprised at an over or an UNC outright win here.
Thanks
akmens...7* over cws/tor...gl to all