Sports Unlimited
5* Nevada
Wunderdog
Massachusetts at Houston
Pick: 3 units Houston -7.5
UMass is just 2-4 on the road this season where they have been outscored by 4.5 points per game. They are 1-4 ATS in those games. Houston is 4-1 at home, winning by 25 points per game. They have coverd similar spreads to this in games vs. Western Kentucky (-8.5), North Texas (-10) and Toledo (-7.5). The Cougars have just two ATS losses all season. One was last game in an upset loss to Iowa State. I expect them to take out their frustrations on an overmatched UMass team here as a result.
Illinois at Purdue
3 units OVER 123
This game features two teams that have posted a combined 23-3 record, thanks in large part to their defensive play. But, the offenses in this game are quite good too. Illinois is scoring 71.4 per game (75.2 over their last five) while Purdue puts up 74.2 per game. When these two met at the end of last season, they scored 141 total points. Neither of these teams has seen a total this low when facing a good offense and this one should go OVER.
Seton Hall at Syracuse
3 units UNDER 153.5
While Seton Hall scores 84.6 per game at home, they manage just 66.8 per game on the road - that's nearly an 18 points per game difference! They have one main scorer in Jeremy Hazell and he will be the focus of the Orange defense tonight. In recent losses to IUPUI and James Madison, the Pirates managed just 65 and 64 points. I like the Cuse to shut them down enough here that this game comes in UNDER the lofty total.
Clemson at South Carolina
4 units UNDER 151
Clemson, perfect on the season, visits one-loss S. Carolina. The Gamecocks are 8-0 at home so this should be a great game. While it's unclear which of these two excellent teams will win, one thing is for sure - it should be an intense, hard-fought game. Both teams score a lot and play great defense. But the oddsmakers have sided with offense here, posting a very high total. The Tigers are allowing just 61.3 ppg and the Gamecocks are allowing just 61.5 per game (59.4 at home and 54.2 over their last five). That's a lot of defense given a total of in the 150s. I like this game to go UNDER.
Ole Miss vs. Southern Miss
3 units OVER 139
Ole Miss and Southern Miss meet on a neutral court in Biloxi. Ole Miss has been an OVER machine this year, especially on the road where their games have averaged 155.2 points per game. In their last four games they have allowed an average of 81 points per game including 103 to New Mexico. Southern Miss has played great defense at home allowing just 54.3 points per game. But on the road, their defense is a sieve, giving up 67.8 per game. Their recent games look good defensively, but they have played weaklings in William Carey, McNeese State, Spring Hill and Weber State. Ole Miss will not go so easily. This one goes OVER.
New Mexico at New Mexico State
3 units UNDER 151.5
New Mexico road games are averaging 136.8 points per game. New Mexico State home games average 154 per game. But hang on. Who have the Aggies played at home? UC-Riverside, Pepperdine, Sacramento State, Prairie View A&M and Loyola Marymount? Give me a break! The only solid team they have played at home all season was UTEP. So, their 88 ppg in home games is inflated and I don't see them getting near that tonight. This total is out of whack thanks to that schedule and with Lobos games averaging 15 ppg less than this total, I like the UNDER here.
Pacific at Sacramento State
3 units OVER 122
It doesn't get much worse than Sacramento State. They are 1-11 on the season, averaging just 58 ppg at home. But, their defense is also poor as they have allowed 71 ppg on the season. They have allowed 70+ in eight of twelve games. Pacific has picked up their offense of late putting up an average of 66.3 per game over their last six games. This total is very low and sets a low hurdle. I like this game to go OVER.
New York at Charlotte
4 units New York +5
2 units OVER 206.5
It's clear isn't it? Mike D'Antoni just doesn't like defense. He didn't play it in Phoenix and he isn't playing it in New York. The Knicks have allowed triple digits in six straight games, all losses. The thing is, his team is scoring in bunches too which is why the Knicks have a winning ATS record overall, and on hte road. Charlotte's offense is so weak (90.3 ppg at home), that while they will take advantage of New York's lack of defense, they can't do too much damage with it. The Bobcats are just 8-11 at home and shouldn't be laying 5 points to anyone. The Knicks should keep this close in a high scoring game. Take New York and the OVER.
Atlanta at Indiana
4 units Atlanta +1
Atlanta goes for six in a row here and I think they get it. This team is playing excellent basketball right now. Heck they are 20-10 and facing a 10-20 team and getting points! They have won eight of their last nine games with the lone loss coming at the hands of the Celtics. Talk about lack of respect in this line! I know - their success has largely come at home, not on the road. But, that's going to motivate them to get a road win here in a spot that that allows for it. Charlotte's defense is horrid (104.4 per game) and right now Atlanta is scoring in bunches (107.4 average in their last five). The Hawks are 11-3 ATS as a dog this year and I like them a lot in that role here.
Cleveland at Miami
4 units UNDER 182.5
These teams two days ago and scored 179 points. We were on the UNDER winner in that one and we'll jump right back on it again tonight. These teams gone UNDER in 32 of their last 44 meetings including 16 of the last 21 played in Miami and seven of the last eight overall! The Cavs are 9-5 UNDER on the road this season as they play stifiling defense (89.2 per game allowed). Miami has been an UNDER team at home and over their last five games they are holding foes to 89.6 ppg, going 4-1 UNDER in the process. Since last season, the Heat are 46-29 UNDER as an underdog. I like the UNDER here.
Milwaukee at San Antonio
4 units Milwaukee +8
The Spurs have been hot and have regained their swagger. But they shouldn't be laying this many points to Milwaukee. The Bucks have been playing some very solid defense of late having held four straight opponents to 87 points or less. They haven't given up more than 93 in six straight games. The Spurs are coming off an exhausting OT game vs. Memphis and may not be entirely up for this game. The Bucks have been underrated all season long as they are 20-10 ATS overall including 8-1 ATS in expected defensive battles (games with a total under 190). I like them to keep this close enough for an ATS win.
Los Angeles Clippers at Sacramento
4 units Los Angeles Clippers +2.5
These are two very bad teams. As bad as the Clippers are, Sacramento is worse. Boston smacked down the Kings 106-63 last game, showing just how bad Sacramento really is. In that game, the Kings were without Zach Randolph, leaving Baron Davis as the sole offensive threat. Randolph will again be out here which spells trouble for the Kings. On the road, the Clippers average as much offense as does Sacramento at home. On the road, the Clips defense is better than Sacramento's is at home. This line is just wrong. Los Angeles is the better team and should win.
Boston at Portland
4 units UNDER 186
Boston had won 19 straight. Then they lost two in a row. They took out their frustrations on Sacramento last night, holding the Kings to a ridiculous 63 points. I don't think this team is done making a statement and they will again bring the defense tonight vs. Portland. On the road this season, the Celtics are holding opponents to just 89.9 ppg. They have held opponents to over 8 points below their average all season. If they do that to Portland tonight, the Blazers will struggle to reach 90 points. The Blazers can play defense too. They are averaging 94.1 per game allowed at home this year. Boston's offense is awesome at home, but on the road, it's pedestrian (98.7 per game). I like Boston to win this won with a score in the low nineties. Take the UNDER here.
The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
7000* NHL LATE STEAM MONEY LINE WINNER
Edmonton -165
Seabass
50 * Nevada
50 * W Michigan/Rice Over
30 * Oregon
Blazer
4* Oregon
Game Day
2* Rice
Gator
3* Oregon
Inside Info
2* Oregon
Carolina Sports
5* W Mich/Rice Over
Score
300 Oklahoma State
Scott Rickenbach
BOBCATS
OKLA STATE
Scott Spritzer
25* Oregon
Wayne Root
Chairman- Nevada
Millionaire- Oregon
Millionaire- Tulsa
Insiders Circle- Ole Miss
ATS Lock Club
4 units UAB +6
4 units Seton Hall +13.5
ATS Financial Package
3 units New Mexico St. -1
3 units Arkansas +6
Underdog Hotline
Maryland
Heisman Trophy Club
10* Ok St./Ore OVER
CHARLIES SPORTS
500* Oregon vs Oklahoma St. Over 76
30* Rice -3
20* Oklahoma St. -3
20* Nevada vs Maryland Under 58
10* Western Michigan vs Rice Over 74
10* Nevada -2 free play
Dave Cokin
Oregon
Rice
HalfBets
W. Michigan v Rice
Pick:1st Half(OVER 37)-110 5*
Pick:(RICE -3)-110 7*
Oklahoma st v Oregon
Pick:1st Half(OVER 38)-110 3*
Pick:(OKLAHOMA ST -2.5)-110 7*
Opposite Action Plays
OREGON
JB Sports
SACRAMENTO KINGS
Mike Lineback
PHOENIX SUNS
Lenny Del Genio
SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Tony George
OKLAHOMA STATE