Tuesday Service Picks

R&R Totals

Over-Under Tuesday
Marshall @ Memphis 8:00 PM EST

Play On: OVER THE TOTAL

Paul Leiner
Tuesday, October 2, 2007

Sport: CFB
Game: Marshall/Memphis
Prediction: 5* Under 60.5 Mem/Mar

Ben Burns

Memphis (-110)
Tue Oct 2 '07 8:00p
Oct 2 2007 8:00PM

Prediction: Memphis

Reason: These teams are both struggling. After getting crushed by UCF in their conference opener, the Tigers blew a 31-6 lead last Thursday and lost 35-31 at Arkansas State. That dropped them to 1-3 overall. The Thundering Herd, who will be playing their conference opener, are 0-4, having given up 41.8 points per game. All four losses have been by double-digits, coming by an average of 23 points. Yes, this is a difficult scheduling situation for the Tigers as they will be playing on a short week and playing their third game in the past 11 days. However, I believe that that they'll have a few significant advantages which will more than compensate for the lack of rest. For starters, they're playing at home. That's noteworthy as Memphis crushed Marshall 26-3 in the lone meeting here, which came in 2005 and because the Thundering Herd are a dismal 2-16-1 ATS their last 19 road games, including 0-4 SU/ATS the last four. Secondly, in addition to being a poor team, the Herd remain extremely banged-up, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. The biggest loss came when junior defensive end Albert McClellan, the C-USA defensive player of the year, suffered a season-ending knee injury in August. Since then, the Herd has lost defensive end John Jacobs, defensive tackle Montel Glasco and safety Aaron Johnson to injuries. Cornerback Zearrick

Matthews finally returned last week after missing a month with a broken arm. In their absence, true freshman Shane Moore stepped up at tackle. However, even he left the field on crutches with a sprained ankle following last week's 40-14 loss at Cincinnati. One of the remaining defensive leaders, middle linebacker Josh Johnson, hobbled off the field with a sprained ankle in the first quarter. He returned later in the game but obviously wasn't the same. The extra gap in between games will help, but not enough. Additionally, the Tigers will have payback on their minds. Last year, at Marshall, they outgained the Thundering Herd by a 469-408 margin (the most yards they got all season) but lost 41-27 due to four turnovers. Even before the injuries had hit Marshall, Memphis brought back significantly more starters from last year. The home team has won by an average of 19 points in this series. While tonight's game figures to be closer, the home team should manage to prevail once again. Consider laying the small number.

LT'S LOCK

The LOCK: Marshall +2'

The STREAK: 5 losses

The RECORD: 498-396-19

Chuck Franklin

1000* MEMPHIS TIGERS
Bottom line in this one is that Marshall is a lousy team having a terrible season. Their offense is ranked 67th in the nation and their total defense is a ranked nearly last.

The Thundering Herd is injury riddled and off to an 0-4 start, and I just can’t see them turning things around for tonight’s game in Memphis. Marshall has only covered the spread once in their last 11 games as a road dog. The Tigers have not been overly impressive this season either, but being in front of the home crowd will give them the advantage in this game.

Memphis has suffered a team tragedy with the shooting death of defensive lineman Taylor Bradford, and this will obviously create a somber atmosphere in the locker room. These types of losses often serve to fire a team up on the field, however, so I don’t expect this to cause a complete breakdown for the Tigers. Bradford was in his first year at Memphis as a transfer from Samford University and had yet to see playing time with the Tigers. Somber though the situation is, I expect the Memphis Tigers to set their grief aside and play tough to get the win and cover in this game.

The Tigers have been ATS winners in five of their last six games, and will be again tonight.

Mr A's
Tuesday, October 2nd, 8:00 p.m. est.

Marshall Thundering Herd (0-4) at Memphis Tigers (1-3)
Liberty Bowl- Memphis, Tennessee.

The home team has won and covered the spread in the last two meetings and the Tigers are 9-2 ATS in Conference USA home openers.

Prediction: Memphis 35, Marshall 24

THE SPORTS ADVISORS'

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Memphis (1-3, 2-1 ATS) vs. Marshall (0-4, 0-3 ATS)

Memphis takes the field tonight for the third time in 11 days, and will do so with heavy hearts following the tragic shooting death of a teammate on Sunday night.
Tigers defensive lineman Taylor Bradford was shot and killed on campus Sunday night in what police classified as a targeted attack. The incident occurred just four days after Memphis blew a 31-6 halftime lead at Arkansas State and lost 35-31, covering as a six-point road underdog. The Tigers lost even though they didn’t commit a turnover and finished with a slight 395-389 edge in total offense.

Marshall has been idle since Sept. 22, when it traveled to Cincinnati and got whacked 40-14 as a 24-point road underdog. The Thundering Herd have now lost five consecutive games, and they’re 2-4 ATS in their last six lined contests.

These teams have met each of the past two years, with the host prevailing in a big way in each contest. In 2005, Memphis cruised 26-3 as a 10-point chalk, while Marshall scored some revenge with last year’s 41-27 rout as a 9½-point favorite.

Both teams have been dreadful on the defensive side of the football. Marshall is yielding 41.8 points and 447.5 yards per game, including 263 rushing yards per outing, while Memphis is surrendering 32 points and 414.2 yards per game (171.2 rushing ypg).

The Tigers have the clear edge on offense, especially in the running game, as they’re averaging 153.8 rushing ypg, compared with 84.8 rushing ypg for Marshall.
Memphis has lost 12 of its last 14 games, with the only victories coming against UTEP in last year’s season finale and Division I-AA Jackson State on Sept. 15. On the bright side, the Tigers are on a 5-1 ATS run. Also, the Tigers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 conference home-openers.

Marshall is mired in a 10-26-1 ATS slump as a road underdog, including 2-6 ATS when catching points in a Conference USA road game.

The over is on runs of 10-1 for Marshall overall and 11-1 for Marshall in conference games. Meanwhile, Memphis has topped the total in its last two, snapping a 4-0 “under” streak.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MEMPHIS and OVER

Bob Balfe

College Football
Memphis -3 over Marshall

The outcome of this game means absolutely nothing to the players at Memphis as they are grieving the loss of Defensive Linemen Taylor Bradford who was tragically murdered on Sunday Night. You know that this game is dedicated to him and lucky for Memphis they are playing a 0-4 Marshall team who cannot run the ball. If you cannot run the ball on the road you basically have no shot. The only bright spot this team had was a good first half of play against WVU at home, but since then we have found West Virginia is just not that good of a road team. Memphis has played in a few tough games and clearly has the strength of schedule. This team already went thru their preparations before Sunday nights tragedy so they all know their assignments. This team is playing for something much larger than a victory. Take Memphis.

ATS Lock Club

3 units Memphis -3

Mensapicks (1-0-0 / +100)
CFB - Memphis (-2.5)

Psychic Sports (0-0-0 / +0)
CFB - Memphis Over (59)

Gambling Farm (0-0-0 / +0)
CFB - Memphis Under (60)

Picks4Less (0-1-0 / -110)
CFB - Marshall (+2.5)

FreePicks.net (0-0-0 / +0)
CFB - Memphis (-2.5)

LSO (0-1-0 / -100)
CFB - Memphis Under (60)

Featured Sports Book (0-1-0 / -135)
CFB - Marshall (+2.5)

Vegas Hotsheet (0-1-0 / -110)
CFB - Memphis (-2.5)

BigRollers (0-1-0 / -110)
CFB - Memphis (-2.5)

Sports Advisors (1-0-0 / +115)
CFB - Memphis (-2.5)

Sharp Cappers (1-0-0 / +100)
CFB - Memphis Under (60)

Kevin Allen (1-0-0 / +100)
CFB - Memphis (-2.5)

Joe Wiz (0-1-0 / -110)
CFB - Memphis Under (60)

Expert Picks (0-1-0 / -110)
CFB - Memphis (-2.5)

Nostradamus (0-1-0 / -110)
CFB - Memphis (-2.5)

procosports (1-0-0 / +100)
CFB - Memphis Over (59)

Crunch Time (1-0-0 / +100)
CFB - Memphis Under (60)

Sports Lock Picks (1-0-0 / +100)
CFB - Memphis (-2.5)

leochan (0-0-0 / +0)
CFB - Memphis Under (59)

Indiancowboy
Memphis vs. Marshall

What a toilet game this is. Yet, this is the Conference USA showcased on Tuesday night and degenerates around the country are likely to wager on this game. Both of these 2 teams are in the bottom run of the Conference USA as Marshall is 0-4 on the year and Memphis is 1-3 on the year as the Conference USA East is having a relative down year in my opinion as East Carolina is young and Southern Miss looked terrible at Boise State.

Memphis looked very strong against Arkansas State for the first half before collapsing and this is the game immediately after that game. Of course, most of the public will be hounding the home team here as the line has moved up from -1 to -2.5 in most books and rightfully so as this team will look to bounce-back well. This is a very emotional game for Memphis as one of their defensive lineman in Bradford was shot and killed and their teammates even voted to see if this game was going to occur or not and they did. So, they will undoubtedly dedicate this game to him with heavy hearts. Once again, a massive total here at 61 and it has come down in some places but both of these teams have terrible defenses and Marshall has given up 40 plus points over the last 3 games. Nevertheless, 2 toilet teams here and it is a conference game, a similar lean to yesterday as Memphis dedicates this game to a fallen teammate and a conference game to go under. A lean on Memphis and the under much like the Patriots and the Under Yesterday. Choosing just 1 of the plays similar to yesterday for purchase as I think it has a slightly better shot at hitting.

Significants
Memphis
Marshall/Memphis Under

THE SILVER FOX
(CFB 11-4 +15.2 Units)
2* MEMPHIS

Info-Plays

NCAA:

10* Conference USA Game of the Week on Memphis -3

In the first game of Conference USA football on back-to-back nights being brought to you by the ESPN networks, Memphis will host Marshall. Not exactly a “Clash of the Titans”, the teams have combined to win just one game in 2007, that coming by Memphis over Nicholls St. In fact, Marshall has played rather awful football to this point of the season, sans the three quarters it was inspired versus in-state companion West Virginia. The Herd has been out-gained by almost 70 yards a game, 380–447.5. The Memphis Tigers are 9-2 ATS in C-USA home openers, while Marshall owns a 10-26-1 ATS mark on the road in conference play. The home team is 2-0 ATS in the last 2 meetings. Bet Memphis Tuesday.

Brandon Lang

TUESDAY

10 DIME

MEMPHIS

Now, one of my horrific picks this year was thinking Memphis would go into UCF and play them tough.

Had a better chance of seeing god than that happening.

Last week, they were up 31-6 at the half to Arkansas St on the road only to see that game fall apart, losing 35-31.

This team has played good football this year with nothing to show for it.

Tonight, at home, playing inspired football for the death of a teammate, they will shine. They will shine with an offense that will make a statement and Marshall can have all the "We are Marshall" they want but it won't matter.

I used Memphis plus the points over Ucf because this team has talent. A lot of talent. They have just been hurt by the turnover bug but at home tonight, they will be fine.

The problem with Marshall at 0-4 both SU and ATS is they struggle to defend the pass, which is the strength of this Memphis team.

I am aware that the 4 losses that Marshall has incurred, 3 were to Miami/Fla, West Virginia and Cincinnati.

However, when you start losing to the New Hampshire's of the world at home, you are not going on the road and beating Memphis.

Not under these circumstances.

Get all the Memphis you can as we make it another winning day today.

FINAL SCORE: Memphis 34.....Marshall 24