DUNKEL
Atlanta at Phoenix
The Hawks are coming off a loss at home to Philadelphia (109-94) and are 0-4 ATS after losing the previous game by 10 or more points. The Suns are the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Phoenix favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-6 1/2).
Game 501-502: Charlotte at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 113.090; Detroit 123.525
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 10 1/2; 174
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 7; 175 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-7); Under
Game 503-504: Cleveland at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 125.220; Memphis 116.283
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 9; 181 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 505-506: Miami at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 117.039; Minnesota 120.521
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2); Under
Game 507-508: LA Lakers at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 123.420; Houston 120.446
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3; 204 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 509-510: Atlanta at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 115.978; Phoenix 124.262
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 8 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6 1/2; 212
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-6 1/2); Under
Game 511-512: Dallas at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 115.493; Denver 124.114
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 8 1/2; 210 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 5; 207
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5); Over
Game 513-514: Orlando at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 125.548; Sacramento 113.914
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 11 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 8 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-8 1/2); Over
NCAAB
Kentucky at Tennessee
The Vols are coming off a come-from-behind win at Georgia (86-77), but are 0-4 ATS after scoring 80 or more points this season. The Wildcats are the underdog pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has Tennessee favored by just 2. Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+7).
Game 515-516: Buffalo at Akron
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 56.310; Akron 60.392
Dunkel Line: Akron by 4
Vegas Line: Akron by 6
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+6)
Game 517-518: Indiana at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 51.892; Ohio State 71.259
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-17 1/2)
Game 519-520: Bradley at Indiana State
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 58.700; Indiana State 54.621
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 4
Vegas Line: Bradley by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-2 1/2)
Game 521-522: Florida State at NC State
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 64.204; NC State 66.848
Dunkel Line: NC State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: NC State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+4 1/2)
Game 523-524: Northern Illinois at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 45.910; Ball State 53.837
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 8
Vegas Line: Ball State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-4 1/2)
Game 525-526: Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 44.515; Eastern Michigan 52.311
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 8
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 4
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (-4)
Game 527-528: Memphis at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 75.377; Tulsa 68.510
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 7
Vegas Line: Memphis by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-4 1/2)
Game 529-530: Kansas State at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 71.040; Kansas 76.481
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+9)
Game 531-532: Central Florida at UAB
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 59.689; UAB 65.150
Dunkel Line: UAB by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: UAB by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+10 1/2)
Game 533-534: Northern Iowa at Evansville
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 54.856; Evansville 62.591
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Evansville by 4
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (-4)
Game 535-536: Kentucky at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 69.610; Tennessee 71.667
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 7
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+7)
Game 537-538: Georgia State at Old Dominion
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 46.057; Old Dominion 61.445
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-12 1/2)
Game 539-540: TCU at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 57.188; BYU 73.600
Dunkel Line: BYU by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 14
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-14)
Game 541-542: Sacramento State at Northern Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 38.786; Northern Colorado 52.129
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 15
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (+15)
NHL
NY Rangers at NY Islanders
The Rangers are coming off a 2-0 win over Ottawa, but are 0-2 following a shutout in their previous game. The Islanders are the underdog pick (+155) according to Dunkel, which has the Islanders favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+155).
Game 51-52: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 9.684; Philadelphia 12.784
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia 3; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-170); 6
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-170); Over
Game 53-54: Montreal at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.129; Boston 13.297
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); Over
Game 55-56: NY Rangers at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 10.832; NY Islanders 11.950
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+155); Over
Game 57-58: Colorado at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.363; Columbus 13.188
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 59-60: Edmonton at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.155; Washington 12.162
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-240); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-240); Under
Game 61-62: Nashville at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.288; Toronto 11.054
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-125); 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-125); Over
Game 63-64: Carolina at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.075; Ottawa 11.035
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+105); Under
Game 65-66: Phoenix at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.990; Minnesota 10.271
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+130); Over
Game 67-68: St. Louis at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.402; Calgary 13.431
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-260); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-260); Over
Game 69-70: New Jersey at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.350; Vancouver 11.047
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+130); Under
Game 71-72: Tampa Bay at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.322; San Jose 10.979
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-370); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+280); Over
Vegas Experts
Cleveland Cavs at Memphis Grizzlies
The Cavs have covered 25 of their first 35 games this season, but they have been struggling as road chalk lately, failing to cash in four of their last five opportunities in that role. That includes three outright losses. Memphis played the Cavs tough here at home last year, taking them to overtime in an eight-point loss. Look for the long layoff following the Celtics win to lead to a lethargic performance from Cleveland tonight.
Play on: Memphis
Nelly
Tulsa + over Memphis
This could be a bad spot for Memphis and a Conference USA loss could be on the horizon as the Tigers are no where close to last season's Final Four squad. Memphis has won six games in a row but this will be the second straight road game in three days and facing significant travel. The Tigers have played a total of two road games this season, losing both ATS and Memphis has already lost three games this season including twice as favorites. Memphis is 1-4 ATS in road or neutral games this season and Tulsa has only lost once at home this season, falling to a highly ranked Oklahoma team. Everyone raves about the Memphis defense but Tulsa is allowing fewer points per game and allows a worse 3-point shooting percentage. Tulsa's lone loss at home came against a very good BYU team in a tight game where Tulsa had one of its worst shooting nights of the season. Tulsa has not come close against Memphis in recent years but the window of opportunity may be there this season as this is a tough situation for the Tigers and Memphis is still overvalued based on last year's success. Keep in mind that team lost three players to the NBA and this year's squad is not at that level.
Atlanta + over Phoenix
The Hawks have now lost four of the last five games and five in a row ATS but this could be the turning point to get back on track. After a brutal OT loss in New Jersey the Hawks came home and won narrowly in an emotional game against the Rockets. Then later last week faced the division rival Magic in a home and home series. In Atlanta the Hawks played well and easily could have won before falling just short and were clearly spent in the return trip with an ugly loss. On Sunday an even worse loss occurred with a lopsided home loss against a very mediocre Philadelphia team. This is a good bounce back situation and Phoenix is an overrated team that squeaked by a lot of bad teams. The Suns have won five of the last six games but the wins included Memphis, Oklahoma City, and the Clippers twice, as well as a home loss to Indiana. The Suns are just 2-4 ATS in the last six games and just 6-12 at home on the season versus the number. The Hawks are 10-7 ATS in road games and even with the loss of Horford the Hawks can compete in this match-up.
LT Profits
Kansas State +7.5
Both Kansas and Kansas State are coming off of losses on Saturday, although the defeat by Kansas State was more disappointing as it came at home.
Still, that was a very good Oklahoma Sooners team that handed the Wildcats their first home loss of the season after a 9-0 start, and the defeat may actually be giving us some nice unexpected line value here.
After all, while these clubs have virtually identical numbers offensively, Kansas State appears to have a bigger edge defensively than a first glance at the numbers would suggest. Yes, State is allowing 61.1 points per game while Kansas is allowing 65.9 points, for a respectable difference of 4.8 points.
However, a look at the Pomeroy numbers here reveals a much larger difference. The Wildcats currently rank seventh in the country in raw defensive efficiency, allowing only .863 points per possession. Even after adjusting for their schedule, the Kansas State defense still ranks number 11.
Comparatively, the Jayhawks rank 51 in defensive PPP at .929, and even their adjusted ranking of 37 is far below the rating of the Wildcats. Kansas is also on a bit of a skid vs. the number right now, going 1-3 against the spread in their last four lined games, and they were already shocked once here at home this season by Massachusetts.
Now Kansas lines are generally inflated anyway, as they are a popular team and they are indeed the defending national champions. In this case, we will take advantage of this by nabbing a solid Kansas Stat team with a better defense as a decided underdog.
Pick: Kansas State +7.5
Jeff Alexander Sports
1 Unit on Kansas -7.5
This is a big time rivalry matchup, but it's kind of like Michigan versus Michigan State in football as the Wolverines have been dominant in the series.Kansas has won 10 of the last 11 at home and beat the Wildcats by 14 at home a season ago when K-State had as good of a team as it has had in a while.Dating back to 1997, KU has won 26 of the last 28 meetings.Kansas unquestionably has the better talent this season and is a perfect 10-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in home games this season.KU is 15-6 ATS in home lined games over the last 2 seasons while K-State is 1-13 ATS in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997, losing in these spots by an average score of 63.3 to 79.3.Off a double digit loss to Michigan State , the Jayhawks will be ready to run up the score tonight.Take Kansas
Ron Raymond
PHI (-170) vs PIT
Tough to back a team when the players have quit on their coach. When PHILADELPHIA team played as a home team - During the month of January - After a non division game - Scored 4 or more goals FOR in their last game; The Flyers are 12-3-3 SU in this spot. When PHILADELPHIA Played as a Favorite - During Last 2 Years - Won Last Game by 3 Goals or Less; The Flyers are 24-10 SU in this role.
Prediction: Philadelphia 4 Pittsburgh 2
Dave Price
1 Unit on Cleveland Cavs -8.5
The Cavs will avoid any letdowns tonight as they have had four days to evaporate the big win over Boston. Memphis has dropped 11 of its last 13 and has been blown out in each of its last 2. Cleveland has dominated this matchup recently, winning all 4 meetings over the last 3 seasons and it is a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS in Memphis during that span. The Cavaliers are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest and 25-8 ATS in their last 33 games as a favorite while the Grizzlies are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Lay the number.
John Ryan
Miami Heat at Minnesota Timberwolves
Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Minnesota (NBA) as the host Miami slated to start at 8:00 EST. AiS shows a 72% probability that Minnesota will win the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 32-8 ATS for 80% since 1996. Play against road teams after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games facing an opponent after successfully covering the spread in 6 or more consecutive games. Miami is not in a strong role for this road test noting they are 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus poor teams outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons; 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons; 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Take Minnesota.
JOHNNY GUILD
Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets
Dallas Mavericks are struggling without key players forward Josh Howard with a sprained left wrist and forward Carmelo Anthony sidelined for three weeks with a broken right hand. Take Denver at home to take advantage of the shorthanded Mavericks. The Mavericks have dropped 11 straight clashes against Denver without Carmelo Anthony in the lineup. The Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings versus Denver, 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Denver.
Denver Nuggets -5.5
NCAAB
Florida St. Seminoles +4.5
Memphis Tigers -5
GINA
Orlando Magic at Sacramento Kings
The struggling Kings are 2-11 in its last 13 games, but have been very successful versus the Magic at Arco Arena, winning 12 of the last 13. Even so, Orlando has played well on the road, 14-5 away from home this season, while Sacramento is 4-12 in its last 16 home games. Go with the Magic. Orlando is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings versus Sacramento.
Orlando Magic -8
(TonyK) 3G-Sports
Kansas State vs. Kansas
Play:Kansas State +8
Both Kansas and Kansas State are coming off of losses on Saturday, although the defeat by Kansas State was more disappointing as it came at home. Still, that was a very good Oklahoma Sooners team that handed the Wildcats their first home loss of the season after a 9-0 start, and the defeat may actually be giving us some nice unexpected line value here as Kansas St was probably looking ahead to this game.Kansas State appears to have a bigger edge defensively than a first glance at the numbers would suggest. Yes, State is allowing 61.1 points per game while Kansas is allowing 65.9 points, for a respectable difference of 4.8 points. Now Kansas lines are generally inflated anyway, as they are a popular team and they are indeed the defending national champions. In this case, we will take advantage of this by nabbing a solid Kansas State team with a better defense as a decided underdog on Tuesday night.
Rocketman
New Jersey @ Vancouver
Play: 1* Vancouver -140
New Jersey is 1-5 this year after a non-conference game. Vancouver is 24-10 last 3 years when playing with 2 days rest. Devils are 2-5 in their last 7 Tuesday games. Canucks are 51-20-2 in their last 73 games playing on 2 days rest. Canucks are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Atlantic. Canucks are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Canucks are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Devils are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Vancouver. Devils are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Vancouver tonight!
Jack Jones
Georgia State +12.5 over Old Dominion
I'm surprised how high this line is considering that Georgia State knocked Old Dominion off just 10 days ago. Then again, it was one of only 4 wins for the Panthers this year and the Old Dominion Monarchs are 9-6 on the season. With that being said, keep in mind that Old D is just 2-6-1 against the spread in their last 9 games and that Georgia State has managed a 16-5 record against the spread over their last 21 road games going back to last year. With 4 of their 5 starters back from last season, I feel confident that this team is still being underestimated on the road. The Monarchs have a pile of trends that are working against them tonight. They are 0-6 in their last 6 games at home against the spread, they are just 1-6 against the spread in conference play, plus they are only 1-8 against the spread in their last 9 games as the favorite. There may be some sense of revenge in this game for Old Dominion, but Georgia State was able to get past them once this year, I think they can keep the margin of victory within double-digits tonight.
Evansville over Northern Iowa
This has been an extremely tough series for the Evansville Purple Aces against the Northern Iowa Panthers over the past several seasons. Evansville hasn't beaten Northern Iowa since 2005, a stretch of 7 straight losses for the Aces, but tonight they break the streak. Evansville has been money on their home court this season earning a 10-0 record and a 5-2 record against the spread. Meanwhile the UNI Panthers are only 3-4 straight up and ATS on the road this season. The Aces came close to beating Northen Iowa last season, but fell just short in a 68-71 loss at Evansville. This year they have all 5 of their starters back while Northern Iowa returns just 2 starters from last season's team. Everything is going right for the Purple Aces this season, and they aren't just beating up on bad teams around the nation, they've managed a 8-2 ATS record against teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. Led by Shy Ely (17.5 points per game) and Jason Holsinger (13.3 points per game), Evansville finally gets the monkey off of their back and defeats the UNI Panthers at Roberts Stadium in Evansville, Indiana.
Wunderdog
Kansas State at Kansas
Pick: Kansas State +8
Kansas is not anywhere near the same team they have been the past couple years, and a devastating home loss to lowly UMass points that out rather clearly. For the most part they have lost their games against top teams and have had trouble putting away good teams. Kansas State went on the road and held their own against Oklahoma and Kentucky, and stayed within two points against Iowa. They certainly have the capacity to be right there at the end of this one - with an upset not out of the question. I'll back the Wildcats here to at least keep this one close.
Ted Sevransky
Buffalo @ Akron
PICK: Buffalo
The final score of Buffalo’s loss at Bowling Green isn’t necessarily going to impress anybody. The Bulls lost by four, failing to cover the spread as 3.5 point underdogs. But the final score doesn’t really tell the story of what happened in that game. On the road, facing serious adversity, getting blown out by 24 points in the second half, Buffalo stepped up and fought back, turning a blowout into a near-amazing comeback victory. I expect that momentum to carry forward.
Reggie Weatherspoon’s squad is loaded with veteran talent. We saw them win three in a row at the Rainbow Classic in Honolulu between Christmas and New Year’s so we know that they can win games away from home. They are extraordinarily deep, with an eleven man rotation that allows them to push the tempo at every opportunity. And that is where tonight’s opponent, Akron, is likely to have trouble.
The Zips are a terrible shooting team, hitting only 40% from the floor for the entire season; even worse than that at Rhodes Arena. Their next pointspread cover at home will be their first of the season; and they’ve only covered one time all year as a favorite. Last week, when Rhode Island pushed the pace against them, we saw Akron lose by 29 as eight point underdogs, perhaps a harbinger of things to come tonight. (#515) 2* Take Buffalo.