Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAYS
Bradley -3 over INDIANA STATE: The Braves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Missouri Valley, while the Sycamores are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Braves are off to a nice start as they are 10-6 overall and 4-1 in the MVC. They have played ok on the road, going 3-3 overall and 2-0 in league play. Bradley has also done well in this series, going 10-4 ATS the last 14 meetings. The Sycamores have had a rough go of it this season, although they are off a huge upset of Illinois State. ISU is just 4-12 on the year and 2-3 in conference play, plus they are just 2-5 at home. The Sycamores have been outscored by 10.2 ppg vs. Div 1 teams this year, including 6.3 ppg at home. A short number for a superior Bradley team to cover here. Braves by 7+.
OHIO STATE -16.5 over Indiana: The Hoosiers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, while the Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Indiana is really struggling right now as they check in with a 6 game losing skid. The biggest problem for this team this year is an offense that has put up just 59.5 ppg vs. Div 1 schools. That offense wont be helped tonight as they should be without leading scorer Devan Dumes for this one. Scoring is one thing you need when facing this Buckeyes squad that is 18th in the nation in scoring defense and 43rd in FG% against. The Buckeyes have gotten out of the gate fast as they are 11-3 overall and 9-1 at home and they should have no problems putting the big hurt on an already hurtin Hoosier squad. Buckeyes by 20+.
2 UNIT PLAYS
Memphis -6 over TULSA: The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, while the Golden Hurricane are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog, plus the Road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Boy this number has drooped as it was at 7.5 a few hours ago and is now down to 6. Maybe I should wait a bit and see if it drops a bit farther. Naw. Im ok with this number. Hell I would have taken it at 7.5. Memphis has won their last 44 games in Conference USA, including 2-0 this year and they have won those games by 15 ppg. Memphis is rolling right now having won 6 in a row, by a whopping 24.7 ppg and they have take the last 7 in the series, all by double digits. Tulsa comes in rolling a bit as well as they have gone 7-1 in their last 8 games, but 4 of those wins were vs. Div 2 teams. Tulsa is a good team this year, but Memphis is still 2 or 3 notches above the rest of Conference USA and they will show it again with another double digit win over Tulsa.
Kentucky/ Tennessee Under 153: The Under is 7-2 in Wildcats last 9 vs. Southeastern, while the Under is 8-3 in Volunteers last 11 games following a ATS win. Only 2 of the last 9 games in this series has produced more than 150 points and I don?t see this one putting more than that on the board. The Wildcats come in a very good defensive squad as they are allowing just 64.8 ppg and 36.9% shooting on the year. The Tennessee defense hasn?t been that great this year, but they do limit their opponents to just 40.1% shooting from the floor at home this year. This series has produced just 143.8 ppg in the last 10 meetings and even though the offenses can fill up the hoop, I see the defenses taking ove and keeping this one right around the 143 point mark.
1 UNIT PLAY
Kentucky +6 over TENNESSEE: The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, while the Volunteers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win, plus the Underdog is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Tennessee has won just 3 times in the last 10 meetings and those win were by an average of just 5 ppg. The Wildcats own the much better defense in this one and that Will allow them to keep this one close, if not win outright.