Houston+4 I like the fact that the Browns are on a short week, Quinn has a broken finger, and they have a couple of backs hurt. They have the worst special teams I've ever seen. The Texans have played 3 pretty good defenses in Minnesota, Baltimore, and Indianapolis. They should be able to put up enough points to stay within the number, and possibly win this outright.
New England+1 I think Belichick will have a better game plan this time around. They were totally embarrassed at home, and the 38 points scored by Miami is their highest offensive total. Since that game they have averaged 21 points, and only 17.8 ppg at home. Cassel is improving every week, and the 31 points last week against a decent Jets defense proves that.
Indianapolis+2 The Chargers can't seem to stop any one on defense. They are a 4-6 team favored over a 6-4 team. They gave up 37 to New Orleans, 29 to the Jets, and 39 to Denver. Good passing teams, get lots of points against this Charger defense. Sanders may be out for the Colts, but this looks to be a who outscores who game. I'll take Manning over Rivers.
Tennessee-5 The Jets are one of the most over-rated teams in the NFL. With 2 ugly losses to San Diego (4-6), and Oakland (2-8), and wins against Miami, Cincinnati, and St. Louis, make this 7-3 team a little suspect. I'm not buying the Jets on the road against a 10-0 Tennessee team. The Titans are still winning by an average of 10 ppg at home. If they can beat Indy by 10, they can beat the Jets by 10.
Chicago-9 Jackson is still out, which keeps St. Louis one dimensional, and they are not able to rest their defense. Look for Orton to have a solid game here, after coming off their biggest loss of the year. My power ratings have the Bears-15.5 I think they get the cover.
Jacksonville-2 The Jaguars are not the team we saw last year, and they have been inconsistant all year. If you look at Minnesota, they have been the same. Both these teams are money burners. (3-7 ATS marks) Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS at home, and Minnesota is 1-4 ATS on the road. I like the home team laying less than a FG here. Both teams have division games up next, but I can see Minnesota looking ahead a little harder, since they lost to Chicago. Also the Vikes struggled against Detroit at home, but the Jags beat them soundly on the road. Against Tennesse the Vikings lost by 13, the Jags lost by 10. So that my 0-10 to 10-0 comparison. My power ratings have the Jaguars-3.5