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WED NIGHT CFB Coastal Car at Louisiana Laf

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(@the-trashman)
Posts: 461
Honorable Member
Topic starter
 

Coastal Carolina comes in 3-0, averaging 44 points per game, with an average winning margin of 20. Wins over Kansas, Campbell and Ark St. Not exactly tough opponents, but 3-0 is 3-0. Good offense.

The Ragin Cajuns come in 3-0 as well. Tougher opponents with Iowa St, Georgia St and Georgia Southern. Averaging 28 points a game, giving up 21.

According to the Sagarin ratings below, both teams are dead even.

51 Louisiana A = 73.89
52 Coastal Carolina A = 73.77

Louisianas win margin is 7 points on average. Coastal is getting 7.5 and has a potent offense.

Take C Carolina + the points.

The total opened at 50.5 and went all the way up to 59, now at 58.5. 50 was a bargain, which is why it went up so high. 56 was a better starting point.58.5 is a bit high, but then again this is a Fun Belt game. One thing is that Louisiana likes to run the ball, which eats clock. The under might be the play here, however, betting the under on a sun belt game is very risky. I'd no play the total here.

Timmy might have a different take on the total.

 
Posted : October 13, 2020 10:24 pm
(@surfer)
Posts: 3941
Famed Member
 

Look at the 1st half scoring differences
C Caro 21 ,24, 28
La starts slow 7,10,7

C caro 1st half for me more than likely full game ml... but would like <-5 spread

 
Posted : October 14, 2020 2:56 pm
(@carolinawiseguy)
Posts: 526
Noble Member
 

I have to say i do like Coastal Carolina in this one to keep it close and the over down to 56.

Both these teams should score for a mid-week game.

We need a bounce back in MLB tonight last night was brutal especially the first game.

 
Posted : October 14, 2020 3:47 pm
(@surfer)
Posts: 3941
Famed Member
 

Yikes that spread is moving +9.5 now

 
Posted : October 14, 2020 4:36 pm
(@freezerqueen)
Posts: 450
Reputable Member
 

my bookie put it out at 8.5 & 58

 
Posted : October 14, 2020 4:49 pm
(@freezerqueen)
Posts: 450
Reputable Member
 

I haven't checked the online account yet

 
Posted : October 14, 2020 4:50 pm
(@surfer)
Posts: 3941
Famed Member
 

Look at the 1st half scoring differences
C Caro 21 ,24, 28
La starts slow 7,10,7

C caro 1st half for me more than likely full game ml... but would like <-5 spread

Clean sweep ! how sweet it is

 
Posted : October 15, 2020 4:16 am
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