Scott Ferrall
WEDNESDAY'S TOP SHELF COLLEGE HOOP LOCKS
AUBURN +3 from Florida--Tigers 9-1 at home (1)
ILLINOIS STATE -8.5 to Drake--ILL ST 14-2 overall and 10-0 at home (4)
LSU -3.5 to South Carolina (3)
PENN STATE +6 from Michigan St--LIONS 11-2 at home (5)
PITT -20 to South Florida--Panthers 10-0 in Steel Town and #1 in nation-unbeaten 15-0 (2)
DUKE -10.5 to Georgia Tech--UNDER 145 (6)
(1) Is Highest Rated Play
RAS
Dayton over 123.5
Arkansas under 147.5
Dime Players
GSW -5'
Capitals -120
Tony Smith
100* Late Steam
James Madison
Erin Rynning
20* Spurs
Nets
PennSt.
James Madison
Howie Fiener
50 Dime Illinois
Indiancowboy
4 Unit Play (CBB). Take Illinois -7 over Michigan
Have no fear, the Illini are here. We took Illinois at home when they faced Indiana and they went on to win by 30 plus. Part of the reasoning for that game was the fact that this team needed a big conference win, they were coming off a loss and most importantly - revenge. After all, Illinois was swept by Indiana last year and Illinois had lost several recruits last year and had some bad luck but all of that are simply memories as this team now sits at 14-2 and is a top 20 power ranking team in my book. Illinois has just 2 losses this year one was to Clemson at home by a bucket and the other a hard fought contest against Michigan on the road where Illinois was leading at several points in the second half and fell short. Well, Illinois gets their revenge today. Though they are favored by 5, this is a team with their sound defense at home can win by double-digits. After all, they beat Georgia by 34, Hawaii by 10, Missouri by 16 and even beat Purdue outright on the road in OT. Illinois will be reved up for this game and I do not expect them to lay down the gas pedal. Michigan is a good team that is well coached. But, what's wild is that I only have them as a top 50 power ranking team. Michigan is an odd team. They beat the likes of Duke and UCLA this year and lost to Wisconsin by 12 at home. Heck, they were nearly beat by Indiana on the road. Well, this is conference play. Illinois will start strong from start to finish in this contest and I expect them to win this contest by double-digits. Granted, we took Louisville on this same principle with a line by -6.5 and we nearly had a heart attack but they did cover in the extra frame. Let's hope that this game is a bit smoother as I see a 70-55 type of final here. Remember, Michigan was down 22-39 to Indiana at the end of the first half and Indiana might end up being the worst team in the conference this year. Furthermore, Michigan only put up 59 points in the first half against Indiana and I expect them to have a tough time scoring while Illinois will be ready to roll from start to finish as they average in the low to mid 70's with respect to their offense at home. The Wolverines are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games while Illinois is 9-3 ATS against teams with a straight up winning record meaning they show up big against the better teams in the nation.
4 Unit Play (NBA). Take Over 202.5 between Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder
I don't think this line is going to get any lower, so this is what we are rolling with our POD today. I understand that Millsap and Miles are likely questionable and one if not both will be out today. But, no worries as I believe both teams will eclipse a 100 here. I have talked and written extensively about, "active dogs = overs". This meaning that when you have a dog that is expected to be an "active dog" they exceed expectations and push the total over. Such is the case today. I have ridden OKC several times this year and been on the bandwagon during their startling 25-14 ATS run. This team has covered 7 of their last 8 games, and has defeated the Knicks at home, lost to Denver by just 2, defeated the Warriors at home and lost to the Rockets by just 2 as well. I want to go to the Rockets game for a second as it is indicative of this game. In that game, the Thunder as they are in this game were 5.5 to 6.5 dogs and the game's final score was 96-98 as the Thunder covered and the total finished at 194. And, this was against a defensive team in the Rockets. The Jazz are not such a defensive team and they are favored by the public to a tune of 70% plus here and the Thunder will be very active dogs if not win this game outright. But, more importantly, thy will look to push this total over. I want to take you back to these two teams prior meeting this year in which the Jazz won 104-97. What is missed is the fact the total for the first half in that contest was 87, as the score was 29-58 Jazz going into halftime. In the second half, the Thunder had outscored the Jazz 68-46 and got inside the cover and lost by just 7. I point that out to show that game was back in November when the Thunder were green and were not playing well with their crop of youth. Much has changed. The Thunder are playing great competitive basketball right now and are one of the best teams ATS in the NBA to show for it. I do not look for them to have such a horrible first half as they did against the Jazz on the road earlier this year, this team will likely start off strong right from the get-go as they come off an OT loss to the Nets as they return home and I look for them to push the Jazz here for the outright win and more importantly, push the total over the posted total. The over is 4-1 when the Jazz are favored of late and the over is 5-2 for the Thunder when they are a dog by this margin indicating they have been playing well as active dogs of late and consequently overs have been cashing.
The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
8000* COLLEGE HOOPS LATE STEAM WINNER
Dayton -21
Stu Feiner
100 dimes big ten no brainer.
Mich St
Trio of gollege hoops winners
Illinois
St Bonaventure
Cal Riverside
RAS
Wilmington +16
CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS
New Jersey Nets vs Boston Celtics
Play: New Jersey Nets +10 (POD)
Syracuse vs Georgetown
Play: Syracuse +6
Dr Bob
Michigan State (-5) 3-Stars at -6 or less, 2-Stars up to -7.
South Florida (+21 1/2) 2-Stars at +21 or more.
Duke (-11 1/2) 3-Stars at -12 or less, 2-Stars up to -13.
St. Joseph's (-3 1/2) 2-Stars at -4 or less.
West Virginia (-14 1/2) 2-Stars at -16 or less, 3-Stars at -14 or less.
One opinion on SMU +2 1/2.
ATS Sports Club
NBA Side Winner
New Orleans Hornets -4
NHL Ice-Melter Winner
Sabres/Blackhawks Over 6
Executive
400 Miss
250 Baylor
250 Pistons
Stu Fiener
500 Dime High Roller Club Big East Mismatch
Syracuse (+6) at Georgetown
Syracuse knows it’s opened up its Big East schedule with a quartet of wins, albeit solid victories, over some of the conference’s lesser opponents. They also know they’re being called out by critics because of it. They’re ready to answer those naysayers tonight. Make no mistake, this 16-1 SU (prefect save for a half-court buzzer-beater from Cleveland State) team is solid and after covering five of their last six overall, they’ll win this one outright tonight. Pittsburgh showed with its 16-point thumping in DC that the Hoyas are not invincible at home. And certainly Syracuse, which is 3-0 SU/ATS as a dog last year and split the series with Georgetown last year including a two-point loss at the Verizon Center, won’t be intimidated. The Hoyas have really struggled with their shot of late and the team hasn’t been getting consistent point production from its backcourt. The Hoyas rank just 10th in the Big East in scoring (69.2 ppg) while the Orangemen are the conference’s highest-scoring team at 81.5 ppg. In failing to cover in three straight (1-2 SU), Georgetown has seen its three guards, Jessie Sapp, Chris Wright and Austin Freeman, make just a combined seven three-pointers. They’re shooting under 22% from beyond the arc in that stretch and now face a Orangemen zone defense that has stymied the Hoyas in the past, Under coach John Thompson III, the Hoyas are just 2-4 SU versus the Cuse. Syracuse has already gone on the road and beaten a tough defensive team in Memphis and they’ll be ready for the Hoyas tough defense tonight. Way too many points to ask this struggling Georgetown offense to cover tonight as Syracuse with something to prove is the winning play.
SYRACUSE (+6) 500 Dime High Roller Club
Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
9000* COLLEGE HOOPS REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR
Illinois -7
NSA
20* Texas A&M
Rocketman
Atlanta @ LA Clippers
Play: 4* Atlanta -4
LA Clippers are still without three of their top four scorers in Baron Davis, Zach Randolph and Chris Kaman. Overall the Clippers are without 64.9 points per game tonight. LA Clippers are 1-5 ATS this year after a division game. LA Clippers are 38-62 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a winning record. LA Clippers are only 3-15 SU at home this year and have lost 11 in a row overall heading into tonight. Hawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. Hawks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. Western Conference. Clippers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Clippers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Clippers are 12-29 ATS in their last 41 games following a ATS win. Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast. Clippers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 vs. Eastern Conference. Clippers are 8-24 ATS in their last 32 home games. Clippers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Clippers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. We'll play Atlanta for 4 units tonight!
Brandon Lang
20 dimes Syracuse
Free play Rutgers
Cal Sports
4* Lakers
4* Miami-Ohio
4* Baylor
3* Penn
3* St Louis
PPP
5* Duquesne
4* Syracuse
4* Boston Col
3* Miss St
3* Iowa St
3* Illinois St
3* So Miss
Ben Burns
I'm laying the points with ST. LOUIS. (CBB) *Personal Favorite
I'm taking the points with BOSTON COLLEGE. (CBB) *Best Bet
I'm laying the points with ILLINOIS. (CBB) *Revenge GOM
'm laying the small number with SAN ANTONIO. (NBA) *Annihilator
Maddux
3 units on New Jersey & Boston Under 187
3 units on Boston -10
3 units on LA Clippers +4.5
3 units on Georgetown -6
3 units Ill State - 7.5