PickLogic
New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers
OVER the "total" of 217.5 1 unit
Frank Patron
10000 Unit College Football Winner
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders +5
Jimmy Moore Guaranteed Selections
4* Anaheim ML +115
The Blackhawks are playing their first game at home after a long west coast trip and that is usually a tough spot to be in especially against an Anaheim team that has won 4 of their last 5 and will be looking to rebound off of a close 1 goal loss to Detroit. Take the generous line with the Ducks in this one.
Half Bets
Memphis @ Atlanta
The Grizzlies in our opinion have a lot of talent waiting to explode. The Hawks need to win games against team like this at home big time. Memphis is really bad on the road with a 1-7 ATS record while Atlanta is Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis. This should be an ugly night for the Grizzlies PICK: Atlanta -9 Game (2*)
LA @ Houston
Wow this Clipper team has made a real move in the right direction with Randolph really working out well for this team. They have begun to play some good ball as of lately and are a HUGE road underdog against the Houston Rockets who are without McGrady for 3 weeks. WE see this as a good spot for the Clip.Get on this line early since it will move down. PICK: Clippers +11.5 (4*) Game
Tom Freese
20* ADDED Game of the MONTH
Middle Tennessee at LA Lafayette
MIDDLE TENNESSEE +5
Simply put the winner of this game becomes Bowl eligible. Middle Tennessee St has scored 32 points a game in their last three outings. The Blue Raiders are 8-1 ATS off a double digit conference win. Louisiana Lafayette is in a 70-33 ATS Play Against System that says to go against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 9 or less points in their last game. The Ragin' Cajuns have allowed 42 points a game in their last three outings. 20* CFB ADDED GAME OF THE MONTH PLAY ON MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST +
Ron Raymond
5* Pacers / Celtics Under 200
VSE
Football Power Play for Wednesday is:
10* Take Middle Tennessee St (+5) over Lafayette (NCAA Power Play)
Lafayette
• 2-15 SU coming off a conference loss by 10 points or more
• 3-7 SU when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points
• 3-10 SU coming off a bye week
BRANDON LANG
10 Dime Middle Tennessee State
Louisiana-Lafayette might be on a 4-1 run in this series, but the Cajuns are coming in riding a three-game losing streak. And since the Blue Raiders are on a three-game win streak and are looking to become bowl eligible with a win tonight, Im thinking were safe in taking the underdog in what should be a scrap to the end. Lafayette is also looking to become bowl eligible, so it won?t be that easy, but even still, this is a field-goal contest at best.
Understand that three of Middle Tennessees losses came at the hands of Kentucky, Louisville and Mississippi State. Quite a contingent two from the SEC and one from the Big East and its competition like that that has helped this team ride winning spread streaks into this contest, such as 11-3 following a straight-up win, 7-2 after an ATS victory, and 10-4 against teams with a losing record.
Now keep in mind were not just taking the underdog, were siding with a team that has ridden this win streak behind an average final score of 32.3-14.7. On the other hand, Lafayette hasnt just lost three in row, it has been humiliated, losing by an average final of 41.7-18.7.
Middle Tennessee State is in revenge after it laid 13-1/2 points at home and ended up losing by 10 to the Cajuns. It marked the fifth straight season the underdog won outright in the series, which means we?re most certainly at an advantage with the pup in this years game.
FREE - Middle Tennessee State/La Lafayette Over
Steve Liebman
Maryland -6
RICK J
E Car under 162.5
Ohio over 130
Ark LR over 122.5
Auburn over 131
Mich St under 167
Northwestern over 120
California over 140
Winning Angle
Play Middle Tennessee St. (+5) over LA-Lafayette*
Louisiana-Lafayette has lost 15 of the last 17 games coming off a conference loss of 10 points or more and they have also lost 7 of the last 10 games when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points. Louisiana-Lafayette has lost 10 of the last 13 games coming off a bye week and they are allowing an average of 41 points a game on defense over the last 3 games.
Play on Middle Tennessee State plus the points on Wednesday
DOC
4-unit play.Take Oklahoma City over Charlotte
The Bobcats have been playing well, winning three out of five, but in no way do they deserve to be this kind of chalk. This team has the worst offense in the league so even when they win they aren’t going to cover as big favorites. Even though they are only 2-16 the Thunder have been covering, notching nine ATS wins in 18 games. They have been very competitive in three of their last four games despite getting blown out by Cleveland during that span. Chalk like this should be reserved for the good teams in the NBA but Charlotte is 6-11 and they have only even been favored in three games this season.
4 Unit Play.Take Air Force over Northern Illinois
May the force be with you. The Falcons have a major home court edge playing at Clune Arena and they will be able to dispose a weak mid-major program on Wednesday. Many experts rated the Huskies at the bottom of the MAC and they have done little to doubt this notion. Air Force will win this game on the defensive end holding NIU in the fifties and will cruise to a comfortable double-digit victory.
3 Unit Play.Take New York over Pittsburgh
All the trends point to the Rangers in this match-up and thus we will lay the small wood. New York has won two straight, three of four and six of the last eight meetings with Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh has also lost six in a row and seven of eight in the Big Apple. They also have the better netminder between the pipes as Lundqvist is allowing just over two goals per game. The Rangers get the job done on Wednesday and we collect in the process as well.
BEN BURNS
I'm laying the points with SIENA. I won with the Saints in their first game of the season. In that game, they crushed Boise State by 30 points. At the time, I noted that Sienna had returned all its starters from last year's team which defeated Vanderbilt in the NCAA Tournament. I didn't play the Saints in their next game but noted that they beat up on Cornell, earning another cover. I also stayed off the Saints in their next three games. Those were tournament games against top tier teams like Tennessee and Oklahoma State. The Saints went 0-3 SU/ATS in those games. Those results work in our favor in a couple of different ways here. For starters, they've kept tonight's line reasonably low. If the Saints had won one of those games, tonight's number could easily have been in the double-digits. Additionally, those results should have the Saints in an "angry" mood tonight and should have them looking to take their frustration out on a much weaker opponent. Note that the Saints were 2-0 SU/ATS as road favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range the past couple of years, 3-1 ATS (4-0 SU) their last four in that role. Overall, the Saints were 17-10 ATS in 27 road lined games the past two seasons. During the same stretch, Loyola-Md was just 9-14 ATS in 23 home lined games. The Greyhounds have lost four of five. That includes a double-digit home loss to Cornell, the same team that Sienna smashed. Last year, the Saints had to rally from a 17-point deficit to defeat the Greyhounds in the semifinals of the 2008 MAAC Tournament. However, while the Saints bring back all the key components from that team the Greyhounds lose leading-scorer Gerald Brown as well as the starting frontcourt of Omari Israel and Michael Tuck. Look for those losses to be too much for the Greyhounds to overcome this evening as the Saints close out their road trip and tip-off MAAC play with a double-digit victory. *MAAC GOW
I'm playing on the Lakers and 76ers to finish UNDER the total. These teams were both involved in high-scoring road games last night. The Lakers went back and forth in an up-tempo game vs. the Pacers. The teams combined for a whopping 235 points with a final score of 118-117 in favor of Indiana. Before over-reacting to that game, note that even with that result, the UNDER is still a profitable 4-2 when the Lakers have played on the road this season and 11-6 their last 17 road games, dating back to last season. Its also worth mentioning that the Lakers have seen the UNDER go 11-5 the last 16 times that they played a road game with a total in the 200 to 204.5 range. Perhaps more importantly, note that the Lakers have seen the UNDER go 4-0 the last four times that they played the second of back to back games. Last night, the Lakers faced a poor defensive team which was happy to run with them. Tonight, they'll face a much better defensive team which will attempt to slow the pace. Note that the 76ers have seen the UNDER go 4-0-1 against teams with a winning record this season. Last night, the 76ers went into Chicago and beat the Bulls by a score of 103-95. That score is deceiving though as 18 of those points were scored in overtime. The 76ers actually played excellent defense, as the Bulls had scored in triple-digits in six of their previous eight games. Prior to that game, Philadelphia coach Maurice Cheeks had indicated that he wanted to turn up the defensive intensity. He was quoted as saying: "We have to get ourselves back in the mind-set of defending..." Evidently, he got the message to his players. Now, the 76ers return home where they are allowing 91 points and where they've seen the UNDER go 5-2-2. Look for this evening's final score to also prove lower-scoring than most are expecting with the UNDER improving to 11-6 the last 17 times that the Lakers traveled to Philadelphia. *Non-Conf. TOM
I'm playing on Middle Tennessee State and La-Lafayette to finish UNDER the total. This is a huge game for both teams. That's because both teams currently have five victories. The winner of this game will become bowl eligible and would then have a solid opportunity to play in either the Independence Bowl or the PapaJohns.com Bowl. Playing at home, the Rajin' Cajuns come in as the favorite. They've played high-scoring games this season, having seen seven of 11 games finish above the total. Two of the primary reasons for their high-scoring games have been a fairly potent offense and an inability to stop the run. The Cajuns inability to stop the run of late hasn't been helped by injuries at the linebacker position. That being said, the Blue Raiders have struggled to run the ball all year (2.8 ypc and 89 ypg on the road) and the Cajuns have been quite a lot better against the pass. With so much on the line, I expect the defense to respond with a much better effort tonight. As far as the "potent offense," the Cajuns are dealing with several injuries that have really slowed them down on that side of the ball. The offensive line is banged-up as are both quarterback Michael Desormeaux and running back Tyrell Fenroy. Fenroy, who leads the Sun Belt with 1,292 yards rushing and 17 touchdowns, was injured in the last game vs. Troy and managed to rush for only 23 yards as a result. I will assume that he'll play tonight but he may not be 100% and as mentioned, the offensive line also has some issues. The Cajuns will face a Blue Raiders' defense which is currently playing excellent football. Middle Tennessee State allowed 13 points last time out and just 10 in it last road game. For the season, the Blue Raiders have seen seven of their 11 games stay below the total, with those games averaging only 45.8 points. Their seven conference games have averaged slightly less, at 44.7 points per game. Not surprisingly, five of those games dipped below the number. The Blue Raiders, who have averaged less than 20 points per game on the road this season, have seen the UNDER go 9-4-1 the last 14 times that they were getting points, including a 3-0 mark the last three times that they were road underdogs in the +3.5 to +7 range. They've also seen the UNDER go 4-1 the last five times that they were coming off a bye. Additionally, they've seen the UNDER go a perfect 4-0 the last four times that they played a road game with an over/under in the 56.5 to 63 range. Look for tonight's game to prove lower-scoring than most are expecting once again. *Main Event
I'm laying the points with MILWAUKEE. The Bulls knocked off the Bucks at Chicago to begin the season but the Bucks have both homecourt and a significant scheduling advantage in their favor for tonight's rematch. The Bulls are off a hard-fought overtime loss vs. the 76ers last night and will now be playing their third game in four nights. Note that the Bulls are 3-5 ATS the last eight times that they played the second of back to back games. Last night was their first game back home off a seven game road trip and now they are right back on the road again tonight. In other words, they will now be playing in their ninth different city in their last nine games. On the other hand, the Bucks come in well-rested, as they haven't played since 11/29. They got star Michael Redd back for that game, which makes them a much better team. Redd was "rusty" (still scored 20 points) but with a game under his belt and another few days of rest since that time, he should be much stronger tonight. Note that he had 30 points in the earlier loss to Chicago, and is averaging a whopping 32.5 points per games against the Bulls since 2006-07. The Bucks, who are 5-3 ATS the last eight times they played with three or more day's rest in between games, have gone a profitable 12-6-1 ATS this season, including 2-0 ATS the last two times they were listed as favorites. They're also 2-0 ATS this season after scoring 85 points or less in their previous game. Look for the revenge-minded Bucks to be the fresher team tonight and for that to lead to a convincing win and cover. *Annihilator
JOHN RYAN
Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Louisiana Lafayette. – AiS shows an 82% probability that Louisiana Lafayette will win this game by 5 or more points. AiS shows an 88% probability that Middle Tennessee State will not score more than 28 points in this game. Note that MDTST is just 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons. AiS also shows an 85% probability that LL will score 28 or more points. Note that they are a solid 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. LL has a tremendous ground attack that ranks 5th nationally gaining 274 YPG. MDTST has the 13th ranked defensive unit in terms of yards allowed, but I just don’t see how they are going to even contain the LL rushing game. LL also has a strong WR in Chery, who has 40 catches and 588 yards on the season. Senior quarterback Michael Desormeaux surpassed 1,000 yards rushing on the season during the Troy game. This marks the second time in two years that he has accomplished that feat. He is the first quarterback in school history to have back-to-back 1,000 yard rushing seasons. Desormeaux and Tyrell Fenroy became just the third duo to have back-to-back 1,000-yard rushing seasons. Lawrence Maroney and Marian Barber from the University of Minnesota, as well as, Darren McFadden and Julius Jones from Arkansas accomplished this feat as well. This will also be Senior night where 13 seniors will be honored for the 20 wins they have attained – tied for second most next to the 25 victories won in the class of 1996. Last game for the Seniors, last home game for the team, and last chance to become bowl eligible and gain last chance for a possible tie for the Sun Belt Conference Title. Take the Ragin Cajuns.
LENNY STEVENS
10* Boston Celtics
10* Temple