WEDNESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Dr Bob

Minnesota (+10) 2-Stars at +8 or more

Doc

Ga Tech -4 (6 unit) Game of the year

Kansas over 57.5 (4 unit)

Kansas -9 (3 unit)

ASA

7* Bowl Game of Year

Georgia Tech -4.5

igz1 sports

6-0 in 5*s in CFB this Year
4-2 in bowls so far

Bowls
5* Boston College -3.5 (-110)
4* AirForce +4 (-110)
4* Georgia Tech -4 (-110)

NSA

20* LSU +4.5
10* Minnesota +9
10* Boston College -3.5
10* Oregon St -2.5
10* Air Force +4

10* Wisconsin +2.5

10* Orlando -6.5

Brand X Sports

Air Force Falcons versus Houston Cougars
Line Houston -3 Total 64

Home cooking is not going to help the Cougars in this one. Air Force has dominated CUSA opponents with 14 covers in 19 games. The Cougars are just 2-6 versus the spread against teams with winning records and have failed to cover 75% of their games over the last sixteen contests.

4* Air Force Falcons +3.5

Pittsburgh Panthers versus Oregon State Beavers
Line Oregon State -3 Total 53

This is what I like to call a “surface pick.”The Panthers enjoyed a great season but are just 2-6 ATS when playing on Artificial surface. Oregon State takes to the turf like Beavers to a river bed (get it?).O State is almost perfect at 11-1 versus the spread when playing on plastic.

4* Oregon State Beavers -3

Boston College Eagles versus Vanderbilt Commodores
Line Boston College -3 Total 41

Vandy is all pumped up with what amounts to a home game in their first post season appearance in 26 years. Only two problems.Vandy has lost six of their last seven games and BC owns the nation’s longest Bowl
Win streak at nine.

5* Boston College Eagles -3
Bonus Play 2* on the OVER 41

Minnesota Gophers versus Kansas Jayhawks
Line Kansas -9 Total 57

Minnesota is ANOTHER team that is playing in a bowl carrying a long losing streak on their backs. The Gophers have lost four straight, how you get a bowl bid without winning a game in the final month of the season is beyond me, but the Gophers are not alone this year.Kansas did not close out the season much better, losing four of their last six, but the Jayhawks did manage to beat Missouri in the season finale as sixteen point underdogs.

4* Kansas Jayhawks -9

LSU Tigers versus Georgia Tech Yellowjackets
Line Georgia Tech -4 Total 50

LSU has got the name but does not have the game.G Tech has been kicking butt and taking names all year long. As Rod Serling would have said, “Submitted for your perusal”

LSU 6-12 L18 versus the number
Tech 11-2 L13 versus the number

4* Georgia Tech Yellowjackets -4

JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 15* graded play on Vanderbilt (CFB) Music City Bowl – AiS shows an 87% probability that Vanderbilt will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and a 64% probability that they will win the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 40-14 ATS for 74% since 1997. Play against neutral field favorites in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences and with an inexperienced QB as starter. Vanderbilt is not a strong passing team, but BC is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus poor passing teams averaging 5.75 or less passing yards/att. since 1992. Vanderbilt is in a series of strong angles noting they are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992; 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games after playing their last game on the road since 1992; 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992. Vanderbilt head coach Johnson is in a solid role noting he is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after playing their last game on the road. Let’s face it Vanderbilt’s 6-6 record is superior BS’ winning record. Vanderbilt came out of the SEC Conference where every week is a war of attrition. Moreover, Vanderbilt is playing in its’ first bowl game since 1982 and they have a significant reason to show the country that they belong in a bowl game on New Year’s Eve. The Vanderbilt program is on the rise and a win here would certainly go a long way for an even better recruiting season. Even better for the Commodores is that they are playing at LP Field, home of the NFL Titan, and just 3 or so miles away from the Vanderbilt University. A victory against the Eagles would give the Commodores their first winning season since 1982 and just their fourth seven-win season the past 50 years. BC does not have this type of motivation after losing to Va Tech in the ACC Championship game. A loss like that one, where the reward was a trip to the Orange Bowl singes for a long time and even after a month they could be quite flat. I also think the Vandy defense will be a significant factor in this game as well given their speed. BC is starting a redhirt freshmen at QB in Dominique Davis. He will make only his third career start for the Eagles with Chris Crane unable to return from a fractured collarbone. Davis was intercepted twice in the ACC title game. Vandy will get Jared Hawkins back, who is their lead rusher. But Jamie Graham, who also has played receiver, may get the start. Graham, a redshirt freshman who also plays on the basketball team, has his own goal. ``I'd rather my ring say champion rather than just Vanderbilt,' he said. That sums up the team’s focus. Take Vanderbilt for 15*.

Ai Simulator 7* graded play OVER Air Force/Houston and a 3* OVER play on the first half line – AiS shows an 84% probability that 65 or more points will be scored in this game. This pits two different teams. Air Force runs the ball and Houston passes the ball and both will have large success against the respective defenses. AiS shows a 90% probability that Houston will gain a MINIMUM of 6.5 yards per play. Note that Houston is 13-4 OVER (+8.6 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 24-6 OVER for 80% since 2002. Play over with neutral field teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 in minor bowl games played in December. AF is a strong 9-2 OVER (+6.8 Units) versus good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58% or better over the last 2 seasons. Houston is the nation’s most prolific offense averaging 575 yards and 41 points per game and the second leading passing attack. As we have seen so many times in years past, a poor defense nearly always accompanies a high powered offense. The reason is simple in that the defense has to play far more downs and far more time than if it was a more balanced team chemistry. AF will run the ball well and may actually throw more passes than normal – perhaps as many as 15 based on the AiS projections. AF is led by true freshman Tim Jefferson and he is the first AF QB in years that actually does possess a duel threat capability. So, look for him to pass earl in this game. Houston’s offense racked up 641 yards against Tulane, 700 against UTEP, and 634 against Rice in their last 3 games. This is a rematch from 9/13 where AF defeated Houston 31-28. With a touch of revenge added in, Houston will be looking to score on every possession and AF will keep stride with them. I also like the first half play on the total as well for 3* amount.

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Kansas as they face Minnesota in the Insight Bowl set to kick off at 6:00 EST.– Kansas has an 87% probability of scoring 35 or more points, gaining a minimum of 350 net passing yards in this game. Note that Minnesota is just 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 since 1992; 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 total yards per play since 1992; 16-41 ATS (-29.1 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play since 1992. Kansas is a solid 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play since 1992; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Kansas is also in a solid power type role for this game noting they are 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=120 rushing yards/game since 1992; 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Matt Rivers

200,000* COLLEGE FOOTBALL MONEYLINE DOG WINS OUTRIGHT Plus Bonus Locks

1. 200,000 Pittsburgh ON THE MONEYLINE!

2. 50,000 Vanderbilt

3. 50,000 Minnesota Gophers (basketball)

Brian Hansen

Bowl GOY

Minnesota

Billy Coleman

5* Minny / Kansas over 58

3* LSU +4

SIXTH SENSE

1% G. TECH -4

JIM FEIST

PITTSBURGH vs OREGON STATE
Take: PITTSBURGH (5* Sun Bowl)

Pittsburgh (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS) fell short of a Big East title, but finished strong. This is their first bowl game and winning season in coach Dave Wannstedt's four years. They are on a 7-2 SU/ATS run. Senior QB Bill Stull (9 TDs, 9 INTs) is a game manager, while sophomore LeSean McCoy (1,403 yards, 4.9 ypc, 21 TDs) powers the offense to 30 points and 137 yards rushing per contest. The Panthers' defense picked apart Pat White and West Virginia's vaunted spread offense for four quarters en route to a 19-15 victory against the Mountaineers, then blasted UConn, 34-10. Pitt has been an offensive machine ever since that opening day loss to Bowling Green (27-17), topping 20 points in every game but one – and that was 19 to WV. Pitt is 37th in the national in run defense (127.8 yds rushing pg) and gives up 3.6 yards per carry, which is important when facing this Oregon State offense. Oregon State (8-4 SU/ATS) had a magical season….until the last game, losing 65-38 to rival Oregon costing the Beavers a rare Rose Bowl berth. A pretty good OSU defense gave up nearly 400 yards rushing and 700 yards total offense. If Oregon State had gone to the Rose Bowl, the school anticipated selling 32,000 or more tickets, OSU assistant athletic director Matt Arend said. Instead, he anticipates about 2,500 Oregon State fans will make the trip to the Sun Bowl in El Paso, Texas. This bowl has to be a big letdown for OSU and with that we wonder how inspired the club will be for today's contest. You go from the Rose Bowl on New Year's day with possibly all those fans coming to the game, to a Texas bowl game today. Our feeling here is that Pitt is happy to be here and ready to play while Oregon State is not a happy camper. Take the few points with Pitt, but you won't need them as the Panthers win straight up.

Tim Trushel

20* Pittsburgh

Reg Minnesota

Larry Ness

25-Club Bowl Play (1st of 2)-Day

I rode Wake Forest in this year's very first bowl game to a win and cover over Navy, as the Demon Deacons avenged a regular season loss to the Midshipmen. Wednesday's Armed Forces Bowl has a similar storyline, as Air Force beat Houston 31-28 back on September 13. Historically, there has been no real edge in taking teams playing with regular season revenge in bowl games but like the Wake Forest/Navy game, it's the "special circumstances" that make Houston the play in this game. I won't 're-litigate' the Wake/Navy game (I've already won the 'war' in that one!) but I will point out that Wake, usually a mistake-free team had SIX turnovers in that regular season loss to Navy and was a 16-point favorite. In the bowl rematch, one Wake's head coach and school officials lobbied to get, the Demon Deacons were favored by only a FG, setting up a very favorable situation. Now to the game at hand. Air Force opened 2-0 and was set to meet a 1-1 Houston team, fresh off a 56-35 'pasting in Stillwater vs Okla St. However, not much went as planned that week. Hurricane Ike was bearing down on the city of Houston and the Cougars could not have been too focused in practice that week. In fact, it wasn't until late in the week, that the game was moved to SMU's Ford Field (in Dallas), so the Cougars lost their homefield advantage. After monitoring weather forecasts, officials from both schools decided on Friday afternoon to move up Saturday's kickoff four and a half hours from a planned 2:30 p.m. start time, to 10:00 a.m. local time. Even with the change in venue, game conditions were rainy and winds from the outer edge of the storm gusted to 25 mph. Attendance was listed at 2,546. This was not a 'real' football game. Of course, the conditions were the same for both teams but its stands to reason that the Air Force 'kids' would be expected to handle the situation better than the Houston kids, who also had to be worried about what was happening in their home city, as well. The 'Readers Digest' version of the game goes like this. Air Force jumps out to a 31-7 lead and holds on for a 31-28 win. The Falcons ran the ball 71 times for 380 yards and QB Shea Smith didn't complete a pass, going 0-for-7. Houston rallied late and did finish with 534 total yards but it wasn't enough. Expect things to be much different this time around. Air Force has changed QBs, going with freshman Tim Jefferson and that's a real plus for the Falcons, as he's much quicker than Smith. Jefferson took over at QB after Air Force lost 33-27 (OT) to Navy and promptly led the Falcons to five straight wins. However, the five wins came over four MWC schools (plus Army), with those teams owning a combined record of 21-40 (.344). When Air Force was forced to "step up in class" at the end of the year, it lost 38-24 at home to BYU and 44-10 at TCU. Air Force's other two losses came to the aforementioned Navy and Utah, both at home. Air Force runs the option like Navy (which averaged 275.4 YPG) and has averaged 268.9 YPG on the ground. However, unlike the Middies, the Falcons average 4.5 YPC to Navy's 5.4, as Navy features backs like White (1,021 YR / 8.7 YPC) and Kettani (932 YR / 5.3 YPC) and Air Force's top RBs have gained 594 and 531 respectively, averaging 4.2 and 4.6 YPC. Houston won't stop the Air Force option but I expect the Cougars to do a much better job of slowing it down than in September. Now to Houston's offense, which ranks No. 1 in all of CFB, averaging 575.1 YPG. The team comes in on quite a roll, having topped 600 yards in each of its last four games (667.0 YPG), while averaging 49.0 PPG in that stretch. QB Case Keenum has 'exploded' in his sophomore year, completing 67.4 percent with 43 TDs and just 10 TDs. Houston finished the season winning SIX of its final eight games (started 1-3), scoring less than 42 points just one time in those final eight games. This game is being played in Fort Worth, not Houston, but it's safe to say that the attendance will greatly exceed the 2,500 or so who showed up for the last game between these two schools. Houston not only has a 'score' to settle with the Falcons, but now that Notre Dame beat Hawaii on Christmas Eve (ending the Irish's nine-game bowl losing streak), guess which school owns the longest-active bowl losing streak? You got it, it's the Cougars, who have lost eight straight bowls. Houston's last bowl win came in 1980, when the Cougars beat another service academy school, Navy, 35-0 in the Garden State Bowl. There will be no shut out for the Cougars this time but can't you see "the circle of life" setup here? Houston ends its bowl drought with a convincing win over a very overrated Air Force team, whose lone win over a quality opponent this year came in that September 13 game against Houston (I've already explained that!)

LV Insider-CFB (2-0 in the bowls)

LSU became the only school, to win two BCS titles with its 38-24 win over Ohio State last year (either Fla or Okla will join the Tigers this year as a two-time winners). For Les Miles, it was his third consecutive impressive bowl win with LSU, as his Tigers also beat Miami 40-3 as seven-point underdogs in the Peach Bowl (2005 season) and Notre Dame 41-14 in the Sugar Bowl (2006 season). Will Miles continue his bowl 'magic' Wednesday night in what is a return to the Peach Bowl (now known as the Chick-Fil-A Bowl), against the hometown Yellow Jackets of Ga Tech. Tech has a pretty fair coach on its sidelines in Paul Johnson. Johnson was 62-10 at Georgia Southern, winning four consecutive Div I-AA c-o-y honors from 1997-2000. He then spent six years at Navy, taking Navy to a bowl game in each of his last five seasons, while winning five straight Commander-in-Chief's trophies. He came to Ga Tech this year and installed a whole new offense (triple offense), implementing an entirely new playbook and didn't have a single senior starting on his OL. Nesbitt was his main QB and the sophomore had thrown just 13 passes as a freshman. Shaw, a true freshman, played some at QB as well and with Tashard Choice (1,412) off to the NFL, his leading returning rusher was Jonathan Dwyer (436 YR). The defense returned only four starters. So what happened? Ga Tech went 9-3 (8-2 ATS) and had only one bad loss, a 28-7 defeat at North Carolina. By the way, that came was just 7-0 North Carolina, entering the 4th quarter. Dwyer led the running attack with 1,328 yards (7.0 YPC / 12 TDs), topping 100 yards in NINE of his 12 games, including the final four (averaged 143.5 YPG in that stretch). Georgia Tech is third in the nation with 282.3 rushing YPG (YPC / TDs), after blistering Miami for 472 yards and Georgia for 409 in the final two games of the regular season. Tech averages a pathetic 103.8 YPG through the air (117th) but no one has been able to stop their powerful ground attack. Defensively, Tech ranked 22nd in both YPG (312.7) and points allowed (18.8) plus had an impressive 29 takeaways. As for LSU, its 'encore' season never materialized, as three different QBs have failed to generate a consistent passing attack and while RB Scott (1,109 YR / 5.5 YPC / 15 TDs) is a terrific talent, the LSU offense can be contained. Those three QBs completed only 51.9 percent for a modest average of 204.5 YPG with 20 TDs and 18 INTs. Getting the start in this game, is the least experienced of the QBs, Jordan Jefferson (41.7 percent). 'Killer' mistakes by their inexperienced QBs put way too much pressure on an LSU defense which itself, returned only five starters. LSU got off to a 4-0 start this year but problems developed quickly. The Tigers' first loss came by a 51-21 score against then-No. 11 Florida on Oct 11 and the season went downhill from there. Then-No. 9 Georgia 'hung' 52 points on the Tigers and LSU ended up allowing 250 points over its final eight games (31.3 per), just 29 points more than it gave up in all of 2007 (14 games!). LSU finished with FIVE losses in the SEC and went 2-4 (0-6 ATS) over its final six games of the regular season. One of those wins came over Troy, a game in which the Tigers entered the 4th quarter trailing 31-10 (in Baton Rogue, no less!) but somehow managed to win, 41-30. LSU still has athletes on defense but they tend to be over aggressive, something Paul Johnson's triple-option could easily exploit. If this game had been in Week 1 of the '08 season, LSU would have likely been a two TD favorite. However, this number is 'fair,' based on the way each team has played this season. LSU comes in 2-9 ATS and both ATS wins came via late 4th-quarter TDs, at Auburn and South Carolina. Meanwhile, as previously mentioned, Ga Tech is 8-2 ATS this year and Paul Johnson takes a very impressive 44-23-1 ATS mark (over his last 68 games) into this game. Ga Tech is playing in its 12th straight bowl game (extending a school record) and has a chance to knock of LY's national champs, in front of a partisan hometown crowd. Remember what Tech did to the Bulldogs at Georgia? That same Georgia team went into Baton Rogue and beat LSU, 52-38. Look out below. Las Vegas Insider on Ga Tech

7* Big 10 Showdown

Did anyone really doubt John Beilein's ability to get things turned around in Ann Arbor? Michigan hasn't been to the NCAA tournament since 1994 and in Beilein's first season at Michigan (last year), the Wolverines finished just 10-22, including a 5-13 mark in Big Ten play. However, Michigan (10-2) has already beaten a pair of upper-echelon teams en route to already matching last season's win total. As for Wisconsin, Bo Ryan's team is 9-3 but has not looked good in three games vs top teams. In the championship game of the Paradise Jam tournament in the U.S. Virgin Islands on Nov 24, the Badgers were routed by then-No. 2 U Conn, 76-57. Wisconsin then lost 61-58 Dec 6 at then-No. 25 Marquette, before losing at home 74-69 to then-No. 9 Texas on Dec 23. The good news in that game was that the Badgers did 'hang' with the Longhorns, despite struggling physically and getting outrebounded 40-25. However, that's also the bad news. Wisconsin misses the 6-11 Brian Butch (12.4-6.6), as swingman Krabbenhoft (7.8-6.0) is the team's leading rebounder this year, getting just six per game. They also miss guard Flowers (9.6-3.8-2.7) and while Ryan is one terrific coach, the team's athleticism is questionable. Hughes (12.6) is a penetrating guard and is the type of player who can give Beilein's 1-3-1 trap defense fits but he's not enough. Bohanon (11.1) joins him the starting lineup with Krabbenhoft, joined by forwards Landry (12.1-4.3) and Nankivil (5.1-3.9). Michigan's sophomore guard Manny Harris (19.8-7.8-5.1) is off to a terrific start, while the 6-8 Sims (17.2-9.2) is right behind him. Freshman guards Novak (5.8) and Douglas (5.6) have both shown signs of being quality players and the really good news for Wolves' fans is that Laval Lucas-Perry is now on the court, after transferring from Arizona. The guard didn't become eligible until Dec 20 but in his three games, is averaging 11.3 PPG, while shooting 55.6 percent from the floor. Michigan upset then-No. 4 UCLA in Madison Square Garden on Nov 20 and the next night, stayed with Duke most of the way, before falling 71-56. The Wolverines lost 75-70 at Maryland in the ACC/Big 100 challenge in their next outing but haven't loss since. You may just have heard that led by Sims' 28 points, Michigan beat Duke 81-73 in a rematch of the team's Nov 21 loss right here in Crisler Arena on Dec 6? It marked Michigan's second win over a No. 4-ranked team in two weeks (remember UCLA?). Bo Ryan's team is nearly unbeatable at home but in his tenure, the Badgers are 42-39 on the road including 2-4 in Ann Arbor. Now remember, those Wolverine teams were not nearly as good as this one and after falling in all THREE meetings to the Badgers last year, including an embarrassing 51-34 in the Big 10 tourney, this year's Michigan team "makes a statement" of things to come in the new year, on the final day of 2008. Big 10 Showdown on Michigan