Weekend Angles for NFLPS
By Sportsbook.com
Preseason first full week offers profitable angles
Just because it is NFL Preseason doesn’t mean there isn’t money to be made at Sportsbook.com. Every season, plenty of bettors score a consistent profit on preseason wagering. Often as the trends below will indicate, there is plenty of value in the underdogs.
Here are some more specific trends and the games they’ll be affecting this weekend:
1. Overall, road teams own a 72-60-9 ATS (54.5%) record in the preseason’s first full week since 2000.
* Projected plays for ’09 – Washington, New England, Arizona, Dallas, St. Louis, Minnesota, Cincinnati, Denver, Atlanta, Chicago, Tampa Bay, Houston, Cleveland, Seattle, Jacksonville, Miami, Carolina.
2. Road Underdogs of 4-points or more are 9-10 SU but 14-5 ATS (73.7%) in the first full week of the preseason since ’00.
* Projected plays for ’09 – St. Louis
3. Over the last nine years, Road Underdogs of +1 to +3.5 points are 40-55 SU but 50-38-7 ATS (56.8%) in the upcoming week of the preseason.
* Projected plays for ’09 - Washington, New England, Arizona, Dallas, St. Louis, Minnesota, Cincinnati, Denver, Atlanta, Chicago, Houston, Cleveland, Seattle, Jacksonville, Miami, Carolina.
4. Home Underdogs are 13-11 SU & 14-8-2 ATS (63.6%) in the preseason’s official Week 1 since 2000.
* Projected plays for ’09 - None
5. When the line has moved toward the home team, the opposing road team owns a 25-16-1 ATS mark in the first week of the preseason since ’00.
* Projected plays for ’09 – Dallas, New England, St. Louis, Chicago, Atlanta.
6. When the line has moved 2-points or more, the “betting public” owns a record of just 16-19 ATS (45.7%) in the first full week of the preseason since ’00. In other words, go against the money.
* Projected plays for ’09 – Dallas, Atlanta.
7. Concerning totals, since 2000, in the first full week of the NFL’s exhibition season, UNDER’s own an edge of 81-59 (57.9%).
* Projected plays for ’09 – ALL GAMES UNDER
8. In past games of the opening week of the preseason with totals set at 33.5 or less, the UNDER owns a record of 22-10 (68.8%).
* Projected plays for ’09 – Play UNDER in Washington-Baltimore, St. Louis-NY Jets, Chicago-Buffalo, Jacksonville-Miami, and Carolina-NY Giants
9. In games with a total movement either way in the first full week of the preseason since ’00, the UNDER is 65-45 for 59.0%.
* Projected plays for ’09 – Play UNDER in all games but Houston-Kansas City as of Wednesday afternoon.
10. Over the last nine years, when the total has moved 2-points or more prior to game time of any opening week preseason game, the UNDER is 13-10 (56.5%).
* Projected plays for ’09 – NONE as of 8/12, 5:15 PM.