4* play on AFC Championship!

2004 Year to date -603.........

2003/2004 Coll Football (36-26 ATS +2599 YTD)

2003/2004 Pro Football (27-20-1 ATS -289 YTD)

2003 Year total +9475 in all sports.........

4* NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -3 -110*

*Triple Crown and Sports-gambling.com have -110 right now

Well I am going against the Colts again this week, after losing w/ KC last Sunday. The main difference this week is we will have a DEFENSE!

I believe the weather and the field will be a factor this week, unlike last week in KC (52 degrees). The Colts have still not played a game in below 50 degree temp all year! Weather should be around 20 degrees with 40% chance of snow.

The Colts Defense was shredded again last week, as KC did not punt the entire game. Look for Brady and the NE offense to be patient and efficient, then pick their spots for the big play!

The reason for this play is NE coach Bill Belichick, and his defense! Belichick and DC Romeo Crennel are masterful at "hiding" their intentions up until the ball is snapped. They continue to blitz on 3rd and long, even in the last 2 minutes. They do not play a "prevent Defense" at any point. They will continue to do what has been successful. They are aggressive, and have tremendous discipline.

Note that Belichick is 9-0 recently when facing a QB for the 2nd time in a season!

Trends favoring NE:

NE is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS at Home this year.

NE is 9-1 SU and 8-1-1 vs. teams .500 or better

NE is 15-2 SU when temperature is 35 degrees or colder

NE is 6-0 SU and 4-1-1 ATS if it snows.

Belichick playoff record 5-1 SU.

Tony Dungee 1-4 SU in road playoff games.

Manning 2-7 SU vs NE, 1-4 vs. Belichick

Dome teams are 3-10 SU playing away vs outdoor teams in the playoffs.

All Pats on Sunday..............

NEW ENGLAND 27-16