A Guide to Handicapping the Bowl Games 2008
by Marc Lawrence
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Smart handicappers alike agree on one thing – preparation is the key to success. The better prepared you are the better chance you stand at succeeding.
With the 2008 College Bowl season now upon us it’s time to get ready for the thirty-four games that await. While a myriad of different techniques and approaches exist one simple element is often overlooked and that is how teams are or have been performing on the playing field ‘In The Stats’ (ITS) as they enter into its bowl game.
As handicappers we know better than most that the scoreboard does not tell the entire story. Like a doctor examining an MRI or an X-Ray it’s vitally important to look inside the patient before rendering a diagnosis.
Listed below are noteworthy results of how various teams have fared ATS this season…
Alabama – held 8 foes to season low – or 2nd low – yardage
Boise State – won the stats in 11 of its 12 games
Boston College – 3-4 ITS in its final 7 games
Central Michigan – 1-3 ITS in its final 4 games
Connecticut – held final 3 foes to season low – or 2nd low – yardage
Florida - held 3 of final 4 foes to season low – or 2nd low – yardage
Houston – won the stats in each of its final 10 games
Iowa – 1-4 ITS in its final 5 games
Kansas – 1-5 ITS in its final 6 games
Kentucky – 0-5 ITS in its final 5 games
LSU – 0-3 ITS in its final 3 games
La Tech – 0-3 ITS in its final 3 games
Maryland – 4-7 ITS vs lined foes
Memphis – 4-0 ITS in its final 4 games
Miami Fla – 0-3 ITS in its final 3 games
Minnesota - 0-3 ITS in its final 3 games
Mississippi – held final 3 foes to season low yardage
Nebraska – 6-1 ITS in its final 7 games
Nevada – 5-1 ITS in its final 6 games
No Illinois - 1-3 ITS in its final 4 games
No Carolina - 5-7 ITS this season
Northwestern – 1-5 ITS in its final 6 games
Notre Dame – 8-1 ITS in its final 9 games
Oklahoma – held 3 of final 5 foes to season low – or 2nd low – yards
Oklahoma St – 3-5 ITS in its final 8 games
Penn State - held 6 of its 12 foes to season low – or 2nd low – yards
Rice – 5-1 ITS in its final 6 games
So Florida – 1-3 ITS in its final 4 games
So California – held 8 foes to season low yardage
TCU – held 9 foes to season low yardage
Texas - held 5 of its 12 foes to season low – or 2nd low – yards
Troy – 8-0 ITS in its final 8 games
Utah – 3-4 ITS in its final 7 games
Vanderbilt – 3-9 ITS this season
Wake Forest – 5-7 ITS this season
Wisconsin – 6-0 ITS in its final 6 games
Given the fact that teams who outgain their opponent win the game better than 80% of the time, it’s crucial to your success when evaluating a team’s chance of winning the yardage wars.
Just another slant on handicapping the Bowl contests. Add it to your arsenal and enjoy the games!