college football thursday and saturday

my plays are rated the following way......

best bets (3 units)
strong plays (2 units)
regular play (1 unit)
opinions (1/2 unit)

in case some of you are wondering, i am a pretty small bettor. a one unit play for me is $22 to win $20. there for my bets go like this......

best bets ($66 to win $60)
strong plays ($44 to win $40)
regular plays ($22 to win $20)
opinions ($11 to win $10)

i know alot of you out there are betting alot more than this and might even laugh at the small amount that i wager, but i wonder how many of you bet small like this and how many load up. for me, gambling is fun and i love to do it, but i have to pay my bills first. just because my plays are small does not mean they do not have any value.

i am not off to that great of a start. i am much better in the colleges than the pros. actually i have not had alot of success betting the pros. it is crazy how i keep on trying. my pattern over the years is to win money on saturday and give most of it back on sunday. maybe that will change this year. i know that i have a good time doing it. gambling is a form of entertainment to me, not a way of life or certainly a living.

last week i lost my best bet with colorado state, that really hurt. when i went to bed they were in control. of course i woke up the next morning to a loss. i was dead wrong on my only strong play with syracuse. i think i read too much into the previous weeks games. they say you are never as good or as bad as your last game.

** if some of these lines seem off to you, it is because that is the line when i placed my bet and it could have changed from the time i post my picks (usually thursday or friday). GGOD LUCK EVERYBODY!!

best bets (0-1 last week) (1-1 year)
strong plays (0-1 last week) (1-2 year)
regular plays (0-0-1 last week) (1-2-1 year)
opinions (2-2 last week) (5-5 year)

overall (2-4-1 last week) (8-10-1 year)

lets start with the thursday night game..........

over 58.5 virginia tech/marshall (opinion)................i think marshall will give them a game, but that don't mean they will cover. i think the best choice here is the over. i know marshall is going to get its points, and i know va tech will certainly get theirs. i see at least 65 here.

mississippi +4.5 over texas tech (best bet).........i like ole miss to get the victory here, but i am going to play it safe and grab the points instead of the moneyline. i really like miss's qb alot. the only advantage i see for texas tech is playing at home. most power ratings have ole miss as the fav in this one. i agree.

tulane +8 over e carolina (strong play)..............tulane is 2-0, while e carolina is 0-2.as far as starters back, both have six on offense with no qb. on the defense e carolina has 6 back while tulane has 11. i have always liked betting on teams with their entire defense returning. e carolina will get the win playing at home this week giving tulane their first loss, but not by more than a touchdown. take the points.

colorado st -2.5 over louisville (regular play)..........i have been on colorado state in all of their games this year and i am not going to stop now. state should be 3-0 against very good compition and louisville is way too unpredictable. state at home minus less than a field goal is a great deal. state by at least 10.

pittsburgh -6.5 over uab (regular play).......playing at uab will keep this game farly close. pitt has a very good defense and will not have any trouble holding uab to 17 or less. pitts offense looked sluggish vs texas a&m, but this is not texas a&m's defense they are facing this week. pitt 30-17.

the rest of these plays are opinions...................

california +14 over michigan state (just too many points here)

michigan -3.5 over notre dame (irish have no offense, won't get lucky again)

iowa state +3.5 over iowa (wrong team favored here)

toledo +7 over minnesota (power ratings play, should have taken this while it was 8)

penn state +5.5 over nebraska (paterno at home with two weeks to prepare vs over rated huskers)