Another winning weekend last week as we went 6-2, including both of our complimentary selections. For the season we are now +14.36 units. We have 7 plays today including this one:
10/13 Play: PANTHERS to +110
Reason: Let's get something straight: The Cowboys do not have a big home field advantage, and they know it. "Sellout" would better describe fans in Dallas then what happens on Sunday. It's not that Dallas is such bad team, they just don't do the little things it takes to win (last week against New York was perfect example of this). Adding to Dallas's woes are injuries, lots of em. Let's start on the offensive line where such household names like Lehr, McFadden, and Collins will be starting. On the defensive side of the ball Darren Woodson will be out, his replaced will be rookie Tony Dixon who will be making is NFL debut. Mario Edwards, if he does indeed play will be severly hobbled by a thigh bruise. His backup Duane Hawthorne was recently beaten out by rookie Derek Ross, who will only be making his 3rd NFL start. On the other side of the ball, Carolina does two things well: Run the ball and play defense. We don't expect Carolina will have much problems moving the ball against Dallas. We don't see them lighting it up, but 20 points is attainable. Having a banged up offensive line is not what you want when you play the Panthers. They are allowing a league low 254.20 total yards per game. The capper is the +123 you can receive on Carolina. In our opinion Carolina should win this game 55% of the time, so getting +123 offers excellent value. We'd bet Carolina down to +110.
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