This information comes from an article written by Carlo Campanella, one of the leading basketball handicappers at Vegas Experts.com.
These are the stats for last years over 1000 NBA games played. The scenario concerns the next game performance of teams that are coming off a straight up favored loss.
Of these teams coming off a SU favored loss, the ones that had to play the next day without rest were 40-56-3 or 41% ATS in their next game. If the team was playing under 50% it only got worse, 5-15 ATS (25%)
If the same teams above were allowed to rest for 3 days or more they were a solid 24-9 ATS (72%) and 8-2 ATS (80%) if their win % was 61% or better.
Now if the favored SU loser is favored again to win the next game, they usually do 110-82-3 ATS or 57%. If the team had a 63% or better win percentage the numbers go up 33-18-2 or 64%
If the favored SU loser is the dog in their next game the 63% or better squads were 5-11-1 or 31% ATS in that next game, but teams with win percentages of between 55% and 62.5% were 20-9-2 ATS nexrt game or 68%
Teams that lost as double digit favorites were 11-11-1 ATS or 50% in the next game.
CERTAIN TEAMS were far above or below the league average and they are as follows:
TEAMS PLAYING OFF A STRAIGHT UP FAVORED LOSS AND WERE ONCE AGAIN FAVORED IN THEIR NEXT GAME:
Sacramento 8-0 ATS Philadelphia 6-2 ATS
New Jersey 9-3 ATS LA Clippers 5-0 ATS
Utah 8-4 ATS
TEAMS PLAYING OFF A STRAIGHT UP FAVORED LOSS WITHOUT REST:
New Jersey 5-0 ATS LA Lakers 0-4 ATS
Dallas 4-1 ATS Portland 1-3 ATS
Miami 0-7 ATS
TEAMS PLAYING OFF A STRAIGHT UP FAVORED LOSS AND WERE DOGS IN THEIR NEXT GAME:
LA Lakers 0-5 ATS Detroit 5-2 ATS
Utah 0-4 ATS Boston 5-2 ATS
Orlando 0-6 ATS Seattle 5-1 ATS
Indiana 1-5 ATS New Orleans 6-2 ATS
As I stated earlier these stats were compiled by Carlo Campanella. His picks can be found at vegasexperts.com, and many of his other articles are quite interesting and very informative.