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2002 Buzz Word Sports records

SEASON NFL: 105-81, +47.1 UNITS!!
SEASON NBA: 91-77, +8 UNITS!!
COLLEGE FOOTBALL: 120-96, +23.35 UNITS!!
SEASON MLB: 672-582, +151.85 UNITS!!

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Buffalo @ NY Jets 1:00 PM EST

NY Jets -3 over Buffalo (5 Units)
NY Jets/Buffalo Under 45.5 (2 Units)

This game is a terrific example of the phrase "two teams heading in opposite directions"... The Bills and the Jets started off the season with a classic 37-31 overtime battle punctuated by two Chad Morton touchdown returns to give the Jets an opening day boost... but immediately after that win, the Jets were horrendous in three straight losses where New York was outscored by a laughable 102-13 margin.... meanwhile, the Bills' offense took flight behind Drew Bledsoe to average over 30 points per game on their way to a terrific 5-3 start overall, despite their opening game loss to the Jets...

Since those respective starts, however, things have changed immensely for both squads... for the Jets, the changes have been more obvious, as Chad Pennington was elevated to the starting offense, and has responded by completing an amazing 75 percent of his passes for 10 TDs and just 3 INTs while leading the Jets to a 4-2 record in six starts... it hasn't hurt that Curtis Martin has slowly come back to life after spending the early portion of the season injured, or that the Jets defense that has awakened to allow just 13.6 points per game over their last five contests, and 14 points or less in four of those five games...

Meanwhile, the Buffalo offense has started hitting the skids, and it all goes hand-in-hand with Drew Bledsoe, who has now thrown just one touchdown pass in four consecutive games after starting the season with an amazing 14 TDs in his first six starts... while the lessened offense was enough to overcome battered and bruised Detroit and Miami squads, the offensive apathy has come back to haunt the Bills in two straight losses to the Patriots and Chiefs... having to face a red-hot Jets team that realizes the AFC East is there for the taking is not what Buffalo needs to be confronted with now...

Lost in the season-opening shootout between the Bills and Jets was Drew Bledsoe's mediocre performance, as he three just 1 touchdown pass against two interceptions... that performance continued a long string of poor performances by Bledsoe against the Jets secondary, which has coincidentally been allowing just 183 yards through the air over the past four weeks... in Bledsoe's last eight starts against the Jets while with New England, the Pats were only able to muster 20 points or more just ONCE, while averaging just 14 points per game in their last four contests... a big reason for those failures has been the fact that Drew Bledsoe has now thrown an amazing SEVEN interceptions (versus just two touchdown passes) against the Jets in his last four starts against New York... against the rest of the NFL, Bledsoe has thrown 35 TDs and 15 INTs since the start of the 2000 season... obviously, the Jets are Bledsoe's kryptonite...

Even without Drew Bledsoe leading the team, the Bills have suffered on offense when heading to the Meadowlands, as Buffalo has scored 14 points or less in FOUR consecutive road trips to visit the Jets... with the Jets having scored 20+ points in five of six games with Chad Pennington behind center, and with a 5-1 ATS mark in this series (along with 3-1 SU/ATS at home against the Bills), Buffalo looks to be in big trouble in this contest, especially if Drew Bledsoe continues his lengthy struggle against the Jets... New York is 7-1-1 in game eleven of their season, 8-2 ATS at home within the division, and 5-0 ATS before playing on Monday Night... meanwhile, Buffalo is just 3-8 ATS off an away loss, and 3-8 ATS when seeking revenge against AFC East competition... look for the Jets to score an easy double-digit victory...

FINAL PREDICTION: NY JETS 27, BUFFALO 13

Cleveland @ New Orleans 1:00 PM EST

Cleveland +5.5 over New Orleans (4 Units)

This is a terrific spot to be taking the Browns, as we're getting points with a Cleveland team with no quit against a New Orleans team with no defense... while Cleveland is just 5-5 SU on the year, they have amazing only lost ONE game by more than five points, and that was against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who possess a defensive unit the Saints could only dream of owning... in fact, while Cleveland has been held to a combined 16 points against two of the NFL's best defenses (the Bucs and Steelers), the Browns have scored at LEAST 20 points in every other contest this season, including 24+ points in each of their other three road games (SU/ATS wins against Tennessee, the Jets, and Cincinnati)... the Browns have actually won three of their last four games SU, with only a 3-point loss to Pittsburgh slowing down their momentum...

The Saints are becoming familiar with momentum slowing down, as SU losses in two of their last three games have dropped New Orleans to 7-3 on the year after a 6-1 start... and while the Saints are a manageable 3-3-1 ATS in their last seven games, they have been the beneficiary of some amazing help over that time... people who bet against the Saints will certainly remember two weeks ago, where New Orleans saw a three-point lead and a non-cover turn into a 10-point final margin due to a Rodney Peete fumble returned for a "meaningless" touchdown in the final minute... additionally, against the 49ers, the Saints were able to garner the ATS win due to Steve Mariucci's decision to allow a gift Saints touchdown to give SF possession and a chance at the tie... while it was the correct call by Mariucci, it turned New Orleans from a 1/2 point loser against the spread into a winner yet again...

Take those last-second fluke touchdowns away, and you're looking at a New Orleans team that has only won two games by more than six points this season... as a favorite of five points or more, the Saints are just 1-6 ATS... against AFC competition, the Saints are just 3-10-2 ATS... when coming home after a SU road loss, New Orleans owns a 3-7 ATS mark... it certainly doesn't help that this game is sandwiched between huge divisional contests between the Falcons (NO is 1-5 ATS at home after Atlanta) and the Bucs (NO is 1-4 ATS before playing Tampa)... Meanwhile, Cleveland is 4-1-1 ATS after a SU road win and 5-2 ATS after facing the Bungles... take all the points you can get on this one and hammer the Browns, as we expect this game to be settled by no more than a field goal...

FINAL PREDICTION: NEW ORLEANS 28, CLEVELAND 27

San Diego @ Miami 1:00 PM EST

Miami -3 over San Diego (1 Unit)
Miami/San Diego Under 36 (3.5 Units)

In a pivotal AFC matchup, the 7-3 Bolts invade Miami to take on the Dolphins, who broke their 3 game losing streak in style with a 26-7 thrashing of the Ravens last week... both these teams are very similar in their style, relying upon a workhorse running back on offense, while trusting a impressive run defense on the other side of the ball... with LaDainian Tomlinson and Ricky Williams both ranked in the top three in rushing yards in the NFL, and with two relatively unproven quarterbacks (first-year starter Drew Brees and Miami second-stringer Ray Lucas) behind center in such an important contest, we fully expect a game of smash-mouth football that will ensure that scoring is scarce...

The Dolphins are certainly used to these types of games, as the Under is now 17-6 in Miami home games, including a perfect 4-0 in their last four contests at Pro Player Stadium... and when the second half of the regular season kicks into high gear, the Dolphins defense becomes that much tougher to score upon, for Miami has allowed just 12.8 points per game in their last ten November home games... take away two contests against a Jets team that has been a contant thorn in their side, and Miami has allowed just 10.5 ppg in their last eight home games in November, and no more than 17 points in any one of those contests...

San Diego has put up some numbers this year against lesser competition, but the last time the Chargers hit the road against a quality defense, they were held to just 9 points in a 26-9 loss to the Denver Broncos... and considering San Diego's track record against the Dolphins, the odds of another single-digit offensive performance are pretty strong today... in three regular season games against Miami since 1995, the Chargers have scored 14 (1995), 9 (1999), and 7 points (2000) respectively... that's a total of 30 points, with the point total dropping on each occasion... Miami hasn't fared much better against the Chargers, as their combined 53 points (29 in their last two games) is nothing to write home about...

Ray Lucas hasn't proven to us that he can be relied upon to move the Miami offense consistently, and considering that San Diego is allowing just 71.6 rushing yards per game on the road this season, any struggles in the passing game will leave the Miami offense looking like the unit who scored 10 points in three consecutive games before last week... LaDainian Tomlinson will also have his hands full against a Miami run defense which is allowing LESS than 70 yards per game on the ground at home, putting additional pressure on Drew Brees, who is still just experiencing his first NFL playoff race despite his solid overall performance this year...

In Miami's last 18 home games, the Over has cashed on just four occasions, and the common thread in those games is that the Dolphins scored 30 points or more... those contests came against weak defensive units such as Detroit (this season), Indianapolis and Buffalo (last season), and New England (before they put things together last season)... in all other fourteen home games, the Under was a perfect 14-0... while San Diego had a hiccup against the Jets a couple of weeks ago, the Chargers have not allowed 30 points or more to another non-divisional opponent since last season began...

The end result of this game looks to be yet another low-scoring contest between these squads, which looks to mimic the past two contests between these teams (which resulted in a combined 45 points)... therefore, take the Under, as this game looks to be nothing but a grind-it-out battle on the ground....

FINAL PREDICTION: MIAMI 16, SAN DIEGO 10

Tennessee @ Baltimore 1:00 PM EST

Baltimore +2 over Tennessee (3 Units)
Baltimore/Tennessee Under 38 (2 Units)

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh 1:00 PM EST

Cincinnati +10.5 over Pittsburgh (2.5 Units)
Cincinnati/Pittsburgh Over 43 (1 Unit)

St Louis @ Washington 1:00 PM EST

Washington +4 over St Louis (1 Unit)
Washington/St Louis Under 41 (2 Units)

Minnesota @ New England 1:00 PM EST

New England -7.5 over Minnesota (2 Units)

Jacksonville @ Dallas 1:00 PM EST

Dallas +3 over Jacksonville (2 Units)

Atlanta @ Carolina 1:00 PM EST

Atlanta -3 over Carolina (1.5 Units)