NBA: Fact or Fiction
By Marc Lawrence
Five NBA 2nd Half Betting Systems
With the Super Bowl now in the rear view mirror our focus shifts to the NBA where teams are now engaged in the 2nd half the season.
That being the case, let’s check your handicapping prowess as we take a look at a handful of handicapping theories that apply to teams playing from Game 42 out during the regular season in the NBA. All results are since 1990 prior to the current 2008-09 season…
1. FACT OR FICTION: TEAMS OFF BACK-TO-BACK DOUBLE-DIGIT WINS DOMINATE TEAMS OFF BACK-TO-BACK DOUBLE DIGIT LOSSES
Fiction. The fact of the matter is these teams are just 49-56-1 ATS, including 21-30-1 ATS at home. At home against .367 or greater opponents they dip to 5-14-1 ATS. Worse, at home with a win percentage of less than .677 they are 1-12-1 ATS.
2. FACT OR FICTION: TEAMS OFF A DOUBLE-DIGIT WIN AS A DOUBLE DIGIT-DOG ARE JUST GETTING STARTED.
Fact. That’s confirmed by the fact that these teams are 26-19-1 ATS, including 17-6-1 ATS when facing an opponent off a loss. Better yet, put these guys up against .320 or greater foes off a loss and they zoom to 13-2-1 ATS.
3. FACT OR FICTION: TEAMS OFF A LOSS AS DOUBLE-DIGIT FAVORITES VERSUS AN OPPONENT OFF A SU AND ATS LOSS BOUNCE BACK BIG THE NEXT GAME.
Fiction. Quite the opposite, considering the fact that they are 22-36-2 ATS in these follow-up affairs, including 7-20-1 ATS at home. Put them at home off an ATS Loss of 17 or more points and they really bottom out, going 2-12-1 ATS.
4. FACT OR FICTION: WINNING TEAMS ON THE ROAD WHO ARE 0-3 SU AND ATS THEIR LAST 3 GAMES CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE.
Fiction. The truth of the matter is good teams tend to get healthy on the road in this role, going 80-60-3 ATS, including 23-9 ATS when taking on an opponent off a double-digit win. Better yet, when on the road as a dog of less than 5 points against an opponent off a double-digit win in this role they respond with aplomb, going 15-2 SU and ATS!
5. FACT OR FICTION: LOSING TEAMS AT HOME OFF 3 SU AND ATS WINS TEND TO REVERT BACK TO THEIR LOSING WAYS.
Fact. That’s because losing teams returning home off 3 wins and covers in their last 3 games are 57-69-5 ATS, including 18-26 ATS as dogs. Dress them up as home dogs of 5 or more points and they dog what they do best – lose – as these teams are 3-13 ATS in this role.
There you have it. Five solid betting strategies to follow through out the 2nd half of the NBA season. By being patient and applying them properly you, too, can ratchet up your bankroll – and that’s a fact!