I. Where teams are versus where they want to be.
1. The following teams could be considered disappointing in 2003, looking toward BCS games in the preseason they are in minor bowl games and should be bet on with caution
Va Tech
NC St
Pittsburgh
Texas
Auburn
2. The following teams are delighted to be involved in bowl games and will play hard
Navy ( 2nd bowl since 1981 )
Memphis ( 1st bowl since 1971 )
Mia,O ( 1st bowl since 1986 )
Kansas ( 1st since 1995 )
Bowling Green ( 1st since 1992 )
Mich St ( picked worst in Big 10 preseason )
Mizzou ( 1st since 1998 )
Tulsa ( 1st since 1991 )
II. End of Regular Season Momentum ( SU results )
Good :
No Tex...won last 8
Mia,O...won last 12
Boise St...won last 12
New Mex...won 7/8
Texas...won last 6
Fresno St...won 5/6
Kan St...won last 7
Tulsa...won last 5
Tenn...won last 6
So Miss...won last 6
Utah...won 8/9
West Va...won last 7
Maryland...won 9/10
USC... won last 8
Mich...won last 6
LSU...won 7
Bad :
Va Tech...lost 3/4
Pitt... lost 2/3
Tex Tech...lost 4/6
Ga Tech... lost 3/4
NC St... lost last 2
Kansas ... lost 4/5
Ore St...lost last 2
Houston... lost 4/6
UCLA ... lost last 4
Wisc... lost 4/5
Aub...lost 2/3
III. Bowl History ( SU results )
Good :
Boise St 3-0 since 1999
Wisconsin 7-1 since 1993
Bost College 5-1 since 1993
Georgia 5-1 since 1997
Michigan 5-1 since 1998
Ole Miss 5-1 since 1992
Mia,Fl 5-1 since 1996
LSU 5-1 since 1995
Bad :
Louisville 1-4 since 1998
Houston 0-4 since 1981
Northwestern 0-3 since 1995
Virginia 1-4 since 1996
Tex Tech 1-4 since 1996
Fresno St 1-3 since 1999
Arkansas 1-10 since 1986
West Va 1-5 since 1994
Clemson 1-6 since 1995
IV. Rushing Stats :
1. The Very Good ( avg 1.5 more ypr than they give up )
Iowa
Kan St
Louisville
LSU
Memphis
Minnesota
Mizzou
New Mex
USC
2. Good ( avg 1 more ypr than they give up )
Aub
Maryland
Mia,Fl
No Tex
Va Tech
TCU
Tex
3. Bad ( give up more ypr than they gain )
Fresno St
Houston
Kansas
NC St
Pitt
So Miss
Tex Tech
UCLA
Utah
Virginia
I feel that these 4 categories are important to review in one's handicapping of bowl games.Hope these are helpful and lets all make some cash.
2003 CFB posted here 61-51-5. A lousy 3-9 run to finish the regular season turned a good NCAA season into a mediocre season that still showed a profit.
After sorting through the info provided in these posts, I've come up with the following :
Strong plays :
Navy +13 vs Tex Tech ( BoDog)
LSU +7 vs Okla -120 ( BetPreGame )
New Mex +3 vs Ore St ( BoDog )
Mizzou +3 vs Arkansas (BoDog)
Good Plays :
Kan St -7 vs Ohio St (Oly)
Iowa +3' vs Fla (Oly)
Maryland -3 vs W Va ( BetPreGame )
Hawaii -10 vs Houston (Oly)
I have already wagered on the above games. Th rest of these games look decent and may warrant smaller wagers :
Mia,O
Boise St
Bowling Green
Cal
Texas
Ole Miss
Wisky
Tenn
Tulsa
GLTA in Bowl Game wagers.