College Football Trends - & Systems Week 5
NORTHWESTERN at NAVY...NU 0-3 vs. line in '02, now 3-11-1 vs. spread last 15 on board. But note Mids usually perform better away from Annapolis (only 7- 14-1 vs. line at home since '97). Tech edge -- slight to Navy, based on current NU negatives.
RUTGERS at PITTSBURGH...Visiting team has covered last 4 in series! Pitt 1-5 vs. line laying DDs at home since '99 (0-1 TY). Tech edge -- slight to Rutgers, based on series trends.
UTAH at MICHIGAN...Utes stellar 11-2 vs. line as dog since '97. Utes 33-12-1 vs. spread their last 46 tries as dog (dates to late '90). Lloyd Carr only 2-7 vs. line his last 9 on board. Tech edge -- Utah, based on team trends.
LOUISVILLE at ARMY...John L. now 10-3 vs. spread last 13 as visitor (5-1 as road chalk since '00). Cards also a positive 16-10 vs. spread since '00. Tech edge -- UL, based on team trends.
WAKE FOREST at PURDUE...Purdue on cold 11-23-1 pointspread roll last 35 games on board. Grobe 6-2-1 vs. line as dog at WF (4-1 as road dog). Tech edge -- Wake, based on team trends.
SAN JOSE STATE at ILLINOIS...Spartans have had 2 such "4th straight on road" games since '99 and are 0-2 in those games vs. line. Tech edge -- slight to Illini, based on SJSU's 4th-in-a-row-away.
COLORADO at UCLA...Bob Toledo UCLA teams 17-8-1 vs. line first 4 games of season since '96. Tech edge -- UCLA, based on Bob Toledo early-season marks.
FLORIDA at TENNESSEE...UT is is 12-6-1 vs. number as home chalk since '99 (Vols 5-0 vs. line laying 3 or fewer at any site since '99). UF was only 0-3 vs. line in rare role as dog under Spurrier '99-01. Tech edge -- slight to UT, based on team trends.
BYU at GEORGIA TECH...BYU only 4-9 vs. spread as visitor since '00. Tech edge -- GT, based on subpar BYU road mark.
NC STATE at TEXAS TECH...Red Raiders 7-3 vs. line as Lubbock chalk under Mike Leach since '00, however. But NCS 5-0 vs. line as road dog since '00 under Amato. Tech edge -- NCS, if dog, based on team trends.
RICE at NEVADA...Nevada 5-2 vs. line in games with spread of 10 or fewer since Tormey arrived in '00. And Wolf Pack has covered last 2 years vs. Kenny. Owls only 5-10-1 vs. spread last 16 on road (since late '99). Tech edge -- Nevada, based on team and series trends.
FRESNO STATE at OREGON STATE...Note that home team has covered all 5 series meetings since '92. Beavs also 5-0 vs. spread in revenge situations under Erickson. OSU 9-1 vs. line as home chalk under Erickson (since '99) and now 31-13-1 vs. line overall since '98. Pat Hill, however, is 10-4 against number last 14 as dog. Tech edge -- OSU, based on team and series trends.
SOUTHERN MISS at ALABAMA...Bama has covered 4 of last 5 years against USM. But Tide only 6-13 vs. line as chalk since '00. Tech edge -- USM, based on Bama chalk woes.
VIRGINIA TECH at TEXAS A&M...Beamer usually breaks quickly, his Hokies are 18-5 vs. line first 4 games of season on board since '97. Beamer is 13-2 SU as visitor since '99. R.C. 12-5-1 vs. spread at College Station since '99 (0-1 in '02, however). If R.C. getting points he's 4-0-1 vs. line as home dog since '97. Tech edge -- slight to VT, based on team trends.
TEMPLE at SOUTH CAROLINA...Lou no covers first 3 in '02 and now 2-7 vs. spread last 8 at Columbia (2-4 last 6 as home chalk). Tech edge -- slight to Temple, based on recent Lou slump.
HOUSTON at TEXAS...Dimel 4-9 vs. as visitor since arriving at UH in '00, and Cougs 7-14 vs. spread overall last 21 as visitor. UH 3-11 vs. spot as DD road dog since '97. Tech edge -- UT, based on UH woes.
BOSTON COLLEGE at MIAMI-FLA...BC has had all sorts of problems on road past two years (1-6 vs. line as road dog since '00). And this has been a home- oriented series against Miami, with host covering last 5 meetings. Canes 21-8 vs. spread last 29 on board, including 11-3 last 14 at Orange Bowl. Canes 9-4 vs. points as DD Orange Bowl chalk since '99, too. Tech edge-Miami, based on team and series trends.
HAWAII at UTEP...Home team has covered last 7 in series, including one-sided romps past four seasons. But Miners on a very cold roll vs. the number (2-12 vs. line last 14 on board), and they're 1-10 vs. spread last 10 as dog. Leahey, meanwhile, on serious uptick (8-2 vs.line last 10 on board), and UH is 23-12 vs. spread since June Jones arrived in '99 (and 8-3 vs. points as visitor). Tech edge -- UH, based on team trends.
OHIO at UCONN...Ohio 2-0 vs. line in '02, but UConn is 10-3 vs. spread since '01 (3-0 '02). Tech edge -- UConn, based on team trends.
BALL STATE at CLEMSON...Tigers have reversed their pointspread fortunes yet again and have now covered 6 in a row dating to late '01. Included are covers last 2 as DD home chalk. Tech edge -- Clemson, based on recent trends.
KENT STATE at MIAMI-OHIO...Home team has covered last 4 in series. Tech edge -- slight to Miami-O, based on recent series trends.
AKRON at VIRGINIA...Zips 0-3 vs. line in '02. Cavs 5-1 vs. line last 6. Tech edge -- slight to Virginia, based on recent trends.
BUFFALO at MINNESOTA...Glen Mason 13-7 vs. line as home chalk since '97. Gophers also 6-1 vs. number last 7 hosting non-Big Ten foes. Tech edge -- slight to Minnesota, based on team trends.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at INDIANA...Chips 6-1 vs. line last 7 away. Tech edge -- CMU, based on team trends.
EASTERN MICHIGAN at MARYLAND...Eagles 0-2 vs. line in '02 and allowing 61 ppg those defeats. Fridge is 8-1 vs. line at College Park since arriving at Terps LY, and UM has covered last 3 years in game right after facing Noles. Tech edge -- UM, based on team trends.
ARKANSAS STATE at UL-MONROE...ASU 4-9 vs. line on road since '00. ULM as chalk? Tech edge -- slight to ULM, based on ASU road woes.
TROY STATE at IOWA STATE...ISU 24-12-1 vs. spread last 36 on board under McCarney, and Cyclones 6-1 against line as home chalk since '00. Tech edge -- ISU, based on extended spread marks.
UNLV at TOLEDO...Rockets 8-4 vs. spread last 12 at Glass Bowl. Tech edge -- slight to Toledo, based on team trends.
NORTH TEXAS at TCU...Frogs 13-3 vs. line at Fort Worth since '99 (11-2 as home chalk). Tech edge -- slight to TCU, based on extended home success.
UAB at UL-LAFAYETTE...ULL just 1-5 vs. spread last 6 on board at Cajun Field and mere 3-9 vs. spread last 12 games on board overall. Tech edge -- UAB, based on team trends.
College Football Systems
Bet on any inter-conference home team underdogs. Results: 183 wins and 141 losses since 1985. (56.48%)
Bet on any college football team that is getting thirty (30) or more points. Results: 226 wins and 142 losses in the last 18 years. (61.41%)
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