NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM
Combined with a thorough investigation of all aspects of a game, POWER SYSTEMS can facilitate long-term handicapping success.
This week, we take a look at an NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM from Section 5 of the 2006 NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM e-CYCLOPEDIA that deals exclusively with undefeated and winless teams, and is included in this week's NCAA Football POWERePORT.
As the season wears on for undefeated teams, opponents become increasingly motivated for the challenge of knocking them off. When we combine the difficulties of playing on the road, a conference game, and taking on a red-hot opponent, we find a situation where these unbeaten schools struggle.
From Game 4 on, play AGAINST an undefeated conference road team not off a spread loss of 21+ points vs. an opponent off 3 conference SU wins and an ATS win.
These teams are 0-18 ATS since 1989, failing to cover the spread by more than 15 points a game on average. This is the equivalent of a 2-TD favorite losing the game outright. Big underdogs haven't fared any better, despite a perfect record. Last year, Texas Tech was 6-0 when they played at Texas. The 16'-point dog Red Raiders were destroyed 52-17, failing to cover by 18' points. In the other active game of 2005, UCLA was 7-0 and favored by 7 at Stanford. It took a miraculous comeback for the Bruins to pull out the SU win, but with a 30-27 margin, they also failed to cover the spread.
This POWER SYSTEM is now active for the first time in 2006. Boise State is favored by about 3 TDs at Idaho this Saturday. The Broncos are unbeaten on the season and trying to crash the BCS party. The Vandals have come on strong as of late, with wins over WAC opponents Utah State, New Mexico State, and Louisiana Tech last weekend as a road underdog. With all the conditions met, the play AGAINST team is Boise State vs. Idaho for this PRO INFO SPORTS NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM.