NCAA Football Saturday POWER SYSTEM
From this week's NCAA Football POWERePORT, we investigate how teams do as a double-digit home favorite after the slimmest of defeats as a road underdog. Have they suffered a letdown off the close call? Or have they come out to dominate an inferior opponent and not leave anything to chance this time? Our database research would seem to indicate that it is latter, especially if they are not over-valued against a visitor off a blowout loss. The exact parameters of this PRO INFO SPORTS NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM state:
Play ON a favorite of more than 10 points off a road underdog SU loss of 1 point vs. an opponent not off a SU loss of 20+ points.
These teams are a perfect 11-0 SU & ATS since 1992, blowing their opponents away by an average of 37 ppg, while crushing the spread by 19 points a game! In the 4 qualifying games since 2000, all 4 teams scored over 50 points and allowed a TD or less. Three of the 4 were shutouts, and opponents scored 7 points or less in 7 of the 11 games, and no opponent has scored more than 14 points.
Last week, Houston was a big underdog at Miami, Fl and actually led the Hurricanes for awhile. Ultimately, a second-half Miami TD & extra point was the difference, as the Cougars lost 14-13. They now return home Saturday to face a Louisiana-Lafayette team off a home victory over Eastern Michigan.
These parameters qualify Houston as the Play ON team over Louisiana-Lafayette.
POWER SYSTEMS, such as this one are certainly worth considering. Combined with a thorough investigation of all aspects of a game, they can facilitate long-term handicapping success.