NFL FOOTBALL PREVIEWS

Feel free to post any info here that wiil help us all throughout the upcoming NFL season.

FELLA,S WILL TRACK THIS LET YOU KNOW WHEN A SPOT COMES UP.

1. Play against teams playing their 3rd consecutive road game if they lost the 1st game and won the 2nd game. 15-4-1 ATS 79%

Play against teams playing their 3rd consecutive road game if they lost the 1st game and won the 2nd game: 15-4-1 ATS 79%

Sep 23 1990 Phoenix Cardinals +9½ at New Orleans Saints Saints 28-7 W

Oct 14 1990 Cincinnati Bengals +4 at Houston Oilers Oilers 48-17 W

Oct 14 1990 Cleveland Browns +5 at New Orleans Saints Saints 25-20 P

Oct 28 1990 Cincinnati Bengals Pk at Atlanta Falcons Falcons 31-10 W

Nov 12 1990 Washington Redskins +3 at Philadelphia Eagles Eagles 28-14 W

Oct 13 1991 Miami Dolphins +7 at Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs 42-7 W

Nov 29 1992 Philadelphia Eagles +6½ at San Francisco 49ers 49ers 20-14 L

Dec 5 1993 New Orleans Saints -4 at Cleveland Browns Browns 17-13 W

Dec 19 1993 Los Angeles Rams -1 at Cincinnati Bengals Bengals 15-3 W

Oct 9 1994 Miami Dolphins +2½ at Buffalo Bills Bills 21-11 W

Dec 11 1995 Kansas City Chiefs +3 at Miami Dolphins Dolphins 13-6 W

Oct 6 1996 Green Bay Packers -7½ at Chicago Bears Packers 37-6 L

Oct 13 1996 Houston Oilers +1½ at Atlanta Falcons Oilers 23-13 L

Nov 16 1997 New England Patriots -2 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Buccaneers 27-7 W

Nov 16 1997 Seattle Seahawks -6 at New Orleans Saints Saints 20-17 W

Nov 15 1998 St Louis Rams +3 at New Orleans Saints Saints 24-3 W

Nov 22 1998 Green Bay Packers +3 at Minnesota Vikings Vikings 28-14 W

Nov 7 1999 Buffalo Bills +4 at Washington Redskins Bills 34-17 L

Jan 6 2002 Cleveland Browns +7 at Pittsburgh Steelers Steelers 28-7 W

Jan 6 2002 Buffalo Bills +6½ at Miami Dolphins Dolphins 34-7 W

This is a successful system since it is based on straight up wins and losses in previous games, thus the more likely a team will have a letdown spot. This is a pretty rare system since it is uncommon for teams to play 3 in a row on the road but one to keep an eye out for, as Cincinnati and San Diego will each play 3 straight away from home in 2003.

2. Play against teams playing their 3rd consecutive home game if they are an underdog of more than 3 points and they lost their 2 previous games straight up. 10-4 ATS 72%

This is another uncommon system but one that is very effective. Teams that could fall into this system in 2003 are Arizona, Baltimore, Denver, Jacksonville, Minnesota and St. Louis.

Nov 5 1990 New York Giants at Indianapolis Colts +10 Giants 24-7 W

Nov 25 1990 Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns +5 Dolphins 30-13 W

Dec 2 1990 Los Angeles Rams at Cleveland Browns +3½ Rams 38-23 W

Nov 4 1991 New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles +3½ Eagles 30-7 L

Dec 8 1991 Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Rams +6 Falcons 31-14 W

Dec 24 1995 Miami Dolphins at St Louis Rams +6 Dolphins 41-22 W

Oct 13 1996 Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6½ Buccaneers 24-13 L

Dec 15 1996 Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions +8 Packers 31-3 W

Oct 26 1997 San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints +13½ 49ers 23-0 W

Nov 16 1997 Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts +13 Colts 41-38 L

Dec 14 1997 Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers +9½ Chiefs 29-7 W

Dec 6 1998 Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals +4½ Bills 33-20 W

Nov 12 2000 New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns +7 Browns 19-11 L

Jan 6 2002 New England Patriots at Carolina Panthers +6½ Patriots 38-6 W

3. Play against teams coming off 2 straight games of scoring 30+ points at home that are now playing on the road. 28-14-1 ATS 67%

Oct 28 1990 Buffalo Bills -6 at New England Patriots Bills 27-10 L

Dec 22 1990 Detroit Lions -3 at Green Bay Packers Lions 24-17 L

Sep 15 1991 Buffalo Bills -9½ at New York Jets Bills 23-20 W

Oct 20 1991 Kansas City Chiefs -2 at Denver Broncos Broncos 19-16 W

Oct 27 1991 San Francisco 49ers -4 at Philadelphia Eagles 49ers 23-7 L

Dec 15 1991 Miami Dolphins -1 at San Diego Chargers Chargers 38-30 W

Oct 11 1992 Philadelphia Eagles -2 at Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs 24-17 W

Oct 10 1993 New York Jets +2½ at Los Angeles Raiders Raiders 24-20 W

Nov 7 1993 Miami Dolphins -1½ at New York Jets Jets 27-10 W

Dec 4 1994 Dallas Cowboys -2½ at Philadelphia Eagles Cowboys 31-19 L

Dec 10 1994 Detroit Lions +3 at New York Jets Lions 18-7 L

Dec 18 1994 Miami Dolphins -3½ at Indianapolis Colts Colts 10-6 W

Oct 29 1995 Green Bay Packers +2½ at Detroit Lions Lions 24-16 W

Sep 22 1996 Green Bay Packers -6½ at Minnesota Vikings Vikings 30-21 W

Nov 3 1996 Washington Redskins +3 at Buffalo Bills Bills 38-13 W

Nov 4 1996 Denver Broncos +2 at Oakland Raiders Broncos 22-21 L

Dec 1 1996 Arizona Cardinals +4½ at Minnesota Vikings Vikings 41-17 W

Dec 1 1996 Buffalo Bills -3 at Indianapolis Colts Colts 13-10 W

Sep 28 1997 Denver Broncos -11 at Atlanta Falcons Broncos 29-21 W

Sep 28 1997 Jacksonville Jaguars +1 at Washington Redskins Redskins 24-12 W

Sep 29 1997 San Francisco 49ers -3½ at Carolina Panthers 49ers 34-21 L

Nov 16 1997 Denver Broncos -3 at Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs 24-22 W

Dec 7 1997 Detroit Lions +3½ at Miami Dolphins Dolphins 33-30 L

Dec 14 1997 Kansas City Chiefs -9½ at San Diego Chargers Chiefs 29-7 L

Dec 6 1998 Dallas Cowboys -6½ at New Orleans Saints Saints 22-3 W

Dec 6 1998 San Francisco 49ers -9½ at Carolina Panthers 49ers 31-28 W

Dec 13 1998 New York Jets +3 at Miami Dolphins Jets 21-16 L

Dec 9 1999 Oakland Raiders +3 at Tennessee Titans Titans 21-14 W

Dec 26 1999 Cincinnati Bengals +7 at Baltimore Ravens Ravens 22-0 W

Dec 26 1999 Kansas City Chiefs +3 at Seattle Seahawks Seahawks 23-14 W

Jan 2 2000 St Louis Rams -8 at Philadelphia Eagles Eagles 38-31 W

Jan 2 2000 Tennessee Titans -4 at Pittsburgh Steelers Titans 47-36 L

Oct 1 2000 Indianapolis Colts +1½ at Buffalo Bills Colts 18-16 L

Oct 22 2000 St Louis Rams -7 at Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs 54-34 W

Nov 5 2000 Indianapolis Colts -7 at Chicago Bears Bears 27-24 W

Nov 23 2000 Minnesota Vikings -7 at Dallas Cowboys Vikings 27-15 L

Dec 17 2000 Jacksonville Jaguars -10½ at Cincinnati Bengals Bengals 17-14 W

Oct 28 2001 Minnesota Vikings +3 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Buccaneers 41-14 W

Nov 18 2001 St Louis Rams -8½ at New England Patriots Rams 24-17 W

Oct 6 2002 Philadelphia Eagles -3 at Jacksonville Jaguars Jaguars 28-25 W

Oct 13 2002 Buffalo Bills -7 at Houston Texans Bills 31-24 P

Nov 10 2002 New Orleans Saints -4 at Carolina Panthers Saints 34-24 L

Dec 15 2002 Kansas City Chiefs +3½ at Denver Broncos Broncos 31-24 W

This system is based on the theory that coming off two big home games will lead to a mediocre effort on the road. This system is on a 13-5 run since 1998.

4. Play on a team that scored 9 points or less in their last 2 games both of which were at home and are now an underdog. 9-2 ATS 82%

Nov 11 1990 Indianapolis Colts +2 at New England Patriots Colts 13-10 W

Nov 4 1991 New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles +3½ Eagles 30-7 W

Nov 10 1991 Indianapolis Colts +13½ at New York Jets Colts 28-27 W

Oct 4 1992 New England Patriots +10 at New York Jets Jets 30-21 W

Dec 12 1993 Detroit Lions +7 at Phoenix Cardinals Lions 21-14 W

Nov 12 1995 San Francisco 49ers +13½ at Dallas Cowboys 49ers 38-20 W

Sep 21 1997 Indianapolis Colts +6 at Buffalo Bills Bills 37-35 W

Nov 9 1997 New Orleans Saints +9½ at Oakland Raiders Saints 13-10 W

Dec 21 1997 San Diego Chargers +13 at Denver Broncos Broncos 38-3 L

Dec 5 1999 San Francisco 49ers +3 at Cincinnati Bengals Bengals 44-30 L

Nov 12 2000 New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns +7 Browns 19-11 W

This falls into the same category at the above system but in reverse. A team that had two very bad games at home is expected to pick up their play in their next game whether they are home or away. This system hasn’t come into play since 2000 and is very rare but very effective

5. Play on a home underdog of more than 7 points. 93-57-3 62%

Sep 7 1997 Green Bay Packers -7½ at Philadelphia Eagles Eagles 10-9 W

Sep 7 1997 Dallas Cowboys -9½ at Arizona Cardinals Cardinals 25-22 W

Sep 28 1997 Denver Broncos -11 at Atlanta Falcons Broncos 29-21 W

Sep 28 1997 Green Bay Packers -7½ at Detroit Lions Lions 26-15 W

Oct 5 1997 Dallas Cowboys -7½ at New York Giants Giants 20-17 W

Oct 12 1997 Green Bay Packers -11½ at Chicago Bears Packers 24-23 W

Oct 19 1997 San Francisco 49ers -10½ at Atlanta Falcons 49ers 35-28 W

Oct 26 1997 San Francisco 49ers -13½ at New Orleans Saints 49ers 23-0 L

Nov 16 1997 Green Bay Packers -13 at Indianapolis Colts Colts 41-38 W

Nov 30 1997 Denver Broncos -8½ at San Diego Chargers Broncos 38-28 L

Dec 14 1997 Kansas City Chiefs -9½ at San Diego Chargers Chiefs 29-7 L

Sep 6 1998 Jacksonville Jaguars -10 at Chicago Bears Jaguars 24-23 W

Sep 13 1998 Minnesota Vikings -7½ at St Louis Rams Vikings 38-31 W

Sep 27 1998 Kansas City Chiefs -8 at Philadelphia Eagles Chiefs 24-21 W

Oct 4 1998 San Francisco 49ers -10 at Buffalo Bills Bills 26-21 W

Oct 11 1998 San Francisco 49ers -10½ at New Orleans Saints 49ers 31-0 L

Oct 25 1998 San Francisco 49ers -9½ at St Louis Rams 49ers 28-10 L

Nov 1 1998 Denver Broncos -11 at Cincinnati Bengals Broncos 33-26 W

Nov 29 1998 Denver Broncos -13 at San Diego Chargers Broncos 31-16 L

Dec 6 1998 San Francisco 49ers -9½ at Carolina Panthers 49ers 31-28 W

Dec 13 1998 Denver Broncos -13 at New York Giants Giants 20-16 W

Dec 13 1998 Minnesota Vikings -10 at Baltimore Ravens Vikings 38-28 P

Sep 19 1999 Jacksonville Jaguars -9½ at Carolina Panthers Jaguars 22-20 W

Oct 3 1999 New England Patriots -12 at Cleveland Browns Patriots 19-7 P

Oct 10 1999 Dallas Cowboys -9½ at Philadelphia Eagles Eagles 13-10 W

Oct 31 1999 Jacksonville Jaguars -12½ at Cincinnati Bengals Jaguars 41-10 L

Nov 14 1999 Tennessee Titans -10 at Cincinnati Bengals Titans 24-14 P

Nov 21 1999 St Louis Rams -7½ at San Francisco 49ers Rams 23-7 L

Nov 28 1999 Tennessee Titans -10½ at Cleveland Browns Titans 33-21 L

Dec 12 1999 St Louis Rams -10½ at New Orleans Saints Rams 30-14 L

Dec 19 1999 Jacksonville Jaguars -14½ at Cleveland Browns Jaguars 24-14 W

Dec 24 1999 Dallas Cowboys -8½ at New Orleans Saints Saints 31-24 W

Dec 26 1999 Indianapolis Colts -13½ at Cleveland Browns Colts 29-28 W

Jan 2 2000 St Louis Rams -8 at Philadelphia Eagles Eagles 38-31 W

Sep 3 2000 Jacksonville Jaguars -10½ at Cleveland Browns Jaguars 27-7 L

Sep 10 2000 St Louis Rams -7½ at Seattle Seahawks Rams 37-34 W

Oct 1 2000 Baltimore Ravens -8½ at Cleveland Browns Ravens 12-0 L

Oct 8 2000 Tennessee Titans -10 at Cincinnati Bengals Titans 23-14 W

Oct 22 2000 Denver Broncos -10 at Cincinnati Bengals Bengals 31-21 W

Nov 5 2000 New York Giants -10 at Cleveland Browns Giants 24-3 L

Nov 5 2000 Washington Redskins -10 at Arizona Cardinals Cardinals 16-15 W

Nov 19 2000 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -8 at Chicago Bears Bears 13-10 W

Dec 3 2000 St Louis Rams -8 at Carolina Panthers Panthers 16-3 W

Dec 10 2000 Philadelphia Eagles -14 at Cleveland Browns Eagles 35-24 W

Dec 17 2000 Jacksonville Jaguars -10½ at Cincinnati Bengals Bengals 17-14 W

Dec 17 2000 Tennessee Titans -16 at Cleveland Browns Titans 24-0 L

Dec 17 2000 Baltimore Ravens -15 at Arizona Cardinals Ravens 13-7 W

Sep 9 2001 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -9 at Dallas Cowboys Buccaneers 10-6 W

Sep 23 2001 Denver Broncos -8½ at Arizona Cardinals Broncos 38-17 L

Sep 30 2001 Indianapolis Colts -11½ at New England Patriots Patriots 44-13 W

Oct 8 2001 St Louis Rams -12½ at Detroit Lions Rams 35-0 L

Oct 21 2001 Baltimore Ravens -7½ at Cleveland Browns Browns 24-14 W

Oct 28 2001 New York Giants -7½ at Washington Redskins Redskins 35-21 W

Nov 18 2001 St Louis Rams -8½ at New England Patriots Rams 24-17 W

Dec 2 2001 St Louis Rams -8 at Atlanta Falcons Rams 35-6 L

Dec 23 2001 St Louis Rams -12½ at Carolina Panthers Rams 38-32 W

Dec 30 2001 Pittsburgh Steelers -8 at Cincinnati Bengals Bengals 26-23 W

Sep 8 2002 Dallas Cowboys -8½ at Houston Texans Texans 19-10 W

Sep 22 2002 Indianapolis Colts -10½ at Houston Texans Colts 23-3 L

Sep 22 2002 Green Bay Packers -7½ at Detroit Lions Packers 37-31 W

Sep 29 2002 New Orleans Saints -9 at Detroit Lions Lions 26-21 W

Sep 30 2002 Denver Broncos -9 at Baltimore Ravens Ravens 34-23 W

Oct 27 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -8 at Carolina Panthers Buccaneers 12-9 W

Nov 24 2002 Oakland Raiders -9½ at Arizona Cardinals Raiders 41-20 L

Dec 15 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -9½ at Detroit Lions Buccaneers 23-20 W

Dec 29 2002 Tennessee Titans -9½ at Houston Texans Titans 13-3 L

This is a common but effective system. A home underdog is always worth taking a look at and if they are getting more than a touchdown, a look ahead by the favorite is very possible. Playing this system on every game has resulted in a profit every season since 1997 and is 43-20 69% during that time.

6. Play on a team as a home underdog of more than 7 points who is coming off a straight up loss in their previous game. 49-29 63%

Nov 11 1990 San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys +10 49ers 24-6 L

Dec 2 1990 Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots +8½ Chiefs 37-7 L

Dec 15 1990 Washington Redskins at New England Patriots +14 Redskins 25-10 L

Dec 30 1990 New York Giants at New England Patriots +14 Giants 13-10 W

Sep 15 1991 Buffalo Bills at New York Jets +9½ Bills 23-20 W

Sep 22 1991 Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8 Bills 17-10 W

Sep 22 1991 Houston Oilers at New England Patriots +12½ Patriots 24-20 W

Oct 20 1991 New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts +12½ Jets 17-6 W

Nov 24 1991 New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9 Giants 21-14 W

Dec 15 1991 Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts +13 Bills 35-7 L

Oct 4 1992 Washington Redskins at Phoenix Cardinals +10 Cardinals 27-24 W

Oct 11 1992 San Francisco 49ers at New England Patriots +17½ 49ers 24-12 W

Oct 26 1992 Buffalo Bills at New York Jets +8½ Bills 24-20 W

Nov 1 1992 San Francisco 49ers at Phoenix Cardinals +13 Cardinals 24-14 W

Nov 8 1992 New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots +8 Saints 31-14 L

Nov 8 1992 Washington Redskins at Seattle Seahawks +12½ Redskins 16-3 L

Nov 15 1992 Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers +8½ Packers 27-24 W

Nov 22 1992 Dallas Cowboys at Phoenix Cardinals +8½ Cowboys 16-10 W

Nov 22 1992 Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks +12 Chiefs 24-14 W

Nov 29 1992 Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts +16½ Colts 16-13 W

Dec 13 1992 Philadelphia Eagles at Seattle Seahawks +9½ Eagles 20-17 W

Dec 19 1992 Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants +7½ Giants 35-21 W

Dec 26 1992 New Orleans Saints at New York Jets +8 Saints 20-0 L

Dec 27 1992 Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots +11 Dolphins 16-13 W

Dec 27 1992 San Diego Chargers at Seattle Seahawks +9½ Chargers 31-14 L

Oct 10 1993 Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts +11 Cowboys 27-3 L

Oct 31 1993 Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles +10½ Cowboys 23-10 L

Nov 7 1993 Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots +9½ Bills 13-10 W

Nov 7 1993 Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals +9½ Steelers 24-16 W

Nov 14 1993 San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers +14½ 49ers 45-21 L

Nov 28 1993 Los Angeles Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals +9 Bengals 16-10 W

Dec 11 1993 San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons +8 Falcons 27-24 W

Jan 2 1994 Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts +11 Bills 30-10 L

Sep 18 1994 San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams +13½ 49ers 34-19 L

Oct 2 1994 Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals +8 Dolphins 23-7 L

Oct 30 1994 Dallas Cowboys at Cincinnati Bengals +15 Cowboys 23-20 W

Nov 28 1994 San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints +8½ 49ers 35-14 L

Sep 24 1995 Green Bay Packers at Jacksonville Jaguars +10½ Packers 24-14 W

Oct 1 1995 Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins +13 Redskins 27-23 W

Oct 1 1995 Oakland Raiders at New York Jets +7½ Raiders 47-10 L

Oct 22 1995 Miami Dolphins at New York Jets +9 Jets 17-16 W

Dec 10 1995 Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles +9 Eagles 20-17 W

Dec 24 1995 San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons +10 Falcons 28-27 W

Dec 25 1995 Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals +8½ Cowboys 37-13 L

Oct 6 1996 San Francisco 49ers at St Louis Rams +10½ 49ers 28-11 L

Nov 3 1996 San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints +8½ 49ers 24-17 W

Nov 24 1996 Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants +9 Giants 20-6 W

Dec 2 1996 San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons +9½ 49ers 34-10 L

Dec 8 1996 Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals +10 Cowboys 10-6 W

Sep 28 1997 Denver Broncos at Atlanta Falcons +11 Broncos 29-21 W

Sep 28 1997 Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions +7½ Lions 26-15 W

Nov 30 1997 Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers +8½ Broncos 38-28 L

Sep 27 1998 Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles +8 Chiefs 24-21 W

Oct 25 1998 San Francisco 49ers at St Louis Rams +9½ 49ers 28-10 L

Nov 1 1998 Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals +11 Broncos 33-26 W

Dec 6 1998 San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers +9½ 49ers 31-28 W

Dec 13 1998 Minnesota Vikings at Baltimore Ravens +10 Vikings 38-28 P

Oct 3 1999 New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns +12 Patriots 19-7 P

Oct 10 1999 Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles +9½ Eagles 13-10 W

Oct 31 1999 Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals +12½ Jaguars 41-10 L

Nov 14 1999 Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals +10 Titans 24-14 P

Nov 21 1999 St Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers +7½ Rams 23-7 L

Dec 12 1999 St Louis Rams at New Orleans Saints +10½ Rams 30-14 L

Dec 19 1999 Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns +14½ Jaguars 24-14 W

Dec 24 1999 Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints +8½ Saints 31-24 W

Oct 1 2000 Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns +8½ Ravens 12-0 L

Oct 22 2000 Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals +10 Bengals 31-21 W

Nov 19 2000 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears +8 Bears 13-10 W

Dec 10 2000 Philadelphia Eagles at Cleveland Browns +14 Eagles 35-24 W

Dec 17 2000 Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals +10½ Bengals 17-14 W

Dec 17 2000 Baltimore Ravens at Arizona Cardinals +15 Ravens 13-7 W

Oct 8 2001 St Louis Rams at Detroit Lions +12½ Rams 35-0 L

Oct 21 2001 Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns +7½ Browns 24-14 W

Dec 23 2001 St Louis Rams at Carolina Panthers +12½ Rams 38-32 W

Dec 30 2001 Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals +8 Bengals 26-23 W

Sep 22 2002 Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans +10½ Colts 23-3 L

Sep 22 2002 Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions +7½ Packers 37-31 W

Oct 27 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers +8 Buccaneers 12-9 W

Nov 24 2002 Oakland Raiders at Arizona Cardinals +9½ Raiders 41-20 L

Dec 15 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions +9½ Buccaneers 23-20 W

Dec 29 2002 Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans +9½ Titans 13-3 L

This is a more defined system as the one above. This system was just 3-3 in 2002, missing a 4-2 mark by 1 point. It was 8-2 the previous 2 seasons. Of the 49 ATS wins, 21 were outright wins by the underdog.

7. Play on a team that is coming off a SU loss as a double-digit favorite that is now favored between 4 and 9.5 points and are at home. 8-2 80%

Oct 15 1990 Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles -4½ Eagles 32-24 W

Oct 6 1991 Denver Broncos at Houston Oilers -7½ Oilers 42-14 W

Oct 20 1991 Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers -7 49ers 35-3 W

Oct 12 1992 Denver Broncos at Washington Redskins -8 Redskins 34-3 W

Dec 1 1994 Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings -5½ Vikings 33-27 W

Oct 8 1995 Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys -9½ Cowboys 34-24 W

Oct 19 1995 Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers -8 Bengals 27-9 L

Nov 23 1997 Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers -7 Packers 45-17 W

Dec 9 2001 Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders -9 Raiders 28-26 L

Dec 15 2002 Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers -9 Steelers 30-14 W

A team that is a double-digit favorite is obviously a very good team and if they lose, they have the capability to take it out on the next opponent at home. However...

8. Play against a team that is coming off a SU loss as a double-digit favorite that is now favored between 4 and 9.5 points and are on the road. 8-1 89%

Oct 11 1992 Buffalo Bills -9½ at Los Angeles Raiders Raiders 20-3 W

Nov 1 1992 Miami Dolphins -6½ at New York Jets Jets 26-14 W

Nov 9 1992 San Francisco 49ers -7 at Atlanta Falcons 49ers 41-3 L

Nov 22 1992 Dallas Cowboys -8½ at Phoenix Cardinals Cowboys 16-10 W

Oct 15 1995 Miami Dolphins -6½ at New Orleans Saints Saints 33-30 W

Dec 10 1995 Dallas Cowboys -9 at Philadelphia Eagles Eagles 20-17 W

Dec 21 1998 Denver Broncos -4 at Miami Dolphins Dolphins 31-21 W

Dec 3 2000 St Louis Rams -8 at Carolina Panthers Panthers 16-3 W

Nov 22 2001 Green Bay Packers -7 at Detroit Lions Packers 29-27 W

Looking at teams in the same scenario who are playing on the road in the their next game aren’t quite as fortunate and without their home crown tend to play down once again.

9. Play against a team that is coming off a SU win as a double-digit underdog and is an underdog once again. 28-12-2 70%

Oct 7 1990 Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts +6 Colts 23-19 L

Nov 17 1991 Chicago Bears at Indianapolis Colts +9½ Bears 31-17 W

Sep 13 1992 New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers +2½ Steelers 27-10 L

Oct 11 1992 New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts +2 Colts 6-3 L

Nov 22 1992 San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams +7 49ers 27-10 W

Sep 19 1993 Dallas Cowboys at Phoenix Cardinals +6½ Cowboys 17-10 W

Oct 3 1993 New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams +4 Saints 37-6 W

Oct 17 1993 Houston Oilers at New England Patriots +6½ Oilers 28-14 W

Oct 2 1994 Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Rams +1½ Falcons 8-5 W

Oct 8 1995 Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions +1½ Lions 38-20 L

Oct 15 1995 Chicago Bears at Jacksonville Jaguars +7½ Bears 30-27 L

Oct 15 1995 San Francisco 49ers at Indianapolis Colts +10 Colts 18-17 L

Dec 27 1998 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals +6½ Buccaneers 35-0 W

Nov 21 1999 Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns +5½ Panthers 31-17 W

Nov 12 2000 New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers +2 Saints 20-10 W

Oct 6 2002 New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys +1½ Giants 21-17 W

Dec 15 2002 Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans +3 Ravens 23-19 W

Sep 23 1990 Phoenix Cardinals +9½ at New Orleans Saints Saints 28-7 W

Dec 2 1990 Indianapolis Colts +2 at Phoenix Cardinals Cardinals 20-17 W

Sep 29 1991 New England Patriots +6 at Phoenix Cardinals Cardinals 24-10 W

Oct 11 1992 Phoenix Cardinals +8 at New York Giants Giants 31-21 W

Nov 1 1992 Indianapolis Colts +6 at San Diego Chargers Chargers 26-0 W

Nov 8 1992 Green Bay Packers +9 at New York Giants Giants 27-7 W

Nov 8 1992 Phoenix Cardinals +5 at Los Angeles Rams Cardinals 20-14 L

Dec 6 1992 Indianapolis Colts +1½ at New England Patriots Colts 6-0 L

Nov 25 1993 Chicago Bears +7 at Detroit Lions Bears 10-6 L

Dec 12 1993 Indianapolis Colts +11 at New York Giants Giants 20-6 W

Dec 18 1994 Cleveland Browns +3½ at Pittsburgh Steelers Steelers 17-7 W

Oct 8 1995 Washington Redskins +3 at Philadelphia Eagles Eagles 37-34 P

Oct 22 1995 Indianapolis Colts +4 at Oakland Raiders Raiders 30-17 W

Oct 29 1995 Jacksonville Jaguars +10 at Pittsburgh Steelers Steelers 24-7 W

Nov 12 1995 Carolina Panthers +6½ at St Louis Rams Rams 28-17 W

Nov 20 1995 San Francisco 49ers +2 at Miami Dolphins 49ers 44-20 L

Dec 10 1995 Washington Redskins +3 at New York Giants Giants 20-13 W

Nov 23 1997 Indianapolis Colts +8½ at Detroit Lions Lions 32-10 W

Oct 8 2000 Pittsburgh Steelers +8 at New York Jets Steelers 20-3 L

Nov 12 2000 Arizona Cardinals +12½ at Minnesota Vikings Vikings 31-14 W

Dec 24 2000 Cincinnati Bengals +10½ at Philadelphia Eagles Eagles 16-7 L

Sep 23 2001 Carolina Panthers +3½ at Atlanta Falcons Falcons 24-16 W

Oct 7 2001 New England Patriots +9½ at Miami Dolphins Dolphins 30-10 W

Oct 14 2001 Arizona Cardinals +7 at Chicago Bears Bears 20-13 P

Oct 28 2001 New England Patriots +7 at Denver Broncos Broncos 31-20 W

A team that won as a double-digit dog is most likely considered a bad team and for them to win again is not likely. They happened to catch their opponent in a look ahead situation. This system is 10-2-1 84% since 1997. Now if this team is returning home and is a favorite….

10. Play against a team that is coming off a SU win as a double-digit underdog and is now a home favorite or pickem’. 16-8-1 67%

Nov 28 1991 Pittsburgh Steelers at Dallas Cowboys -6 Cowboys 20-10 L

Oct 4 1992 Indianapolis Colts at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -10 Colts 24-14 W

Oct 11 1992 Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins -8 Dolphins 21-17 W

Nov 8 1992 Green Bay Packers at New York Giants -9 Giants 27-7 L

Nov 15 1992 San Diego Chargers at Cleveland Browns -2½ Chargers 14-13 W

Dec 13 1992 Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets -5½ Colts 10-6 W

Oct 31 1993 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons -9½ Buccaneers 31-24 W

Nov 28 1993 Cleveland Browns at Atlanta Falcons -6½ Falcons 17-14 W

Dec 5 1993 New York Giants at Miami Dolphins -3½ Giants 19-14 W

Jan 2 1994 San Diego Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pk Chargers 32-17 W

Sep 25 1994 New England Patriots at Detroit Lions -3 Patriots 23-17 W

Dec 4 1994 Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2½ Buccaneers 26-21 L

Nov 5 1995 St Louis Rams at New Orleans Saints -1½ Saints 19-10 L

Nov 3 1996 Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants -5½ Giants 16-8 L

Nov 17 1996 New York Giants at Arizona Cardinals -1½ Cardinals 31-23 L

Dec 20 1998 Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants -1½ Giants 28-7 L

Sep 26 1999 Chicago Bears at Oakland Raiders -7 Raiders 24-17 P

Oct 17 1999 Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears -6½ Eagles 20-16 W

Dec 5 1999 San Francisco 49ers at Cincinnati Bengals -3 Bengals 44-30 L

Sep 24 2000 San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys -6½ 49ers 41-24 W

Dec 3 2000 Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints Pk Broncos 38-23 W

Nov 4 2001 New York Jets at New Orleans Saints -6½ Jets 16-9 W

Dec 9 2001 Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals -2 Redskins 20-10 W

Sep 22 2002 Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants -5½ Giants 9-6 W

Nov 3 2002 Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans -2½ Bengals 38-3 W

This can be looked at as the linesmakers are over adjusting the lines due to the big upset win in their previous game. Of the 16 ATS wins, 13 were outright wins by the underdog. This system is 7-1-1 88% since 1999.

Edited by tbone (07/27/03 07:39 PM)