NFL POWER SYSTEM
In Game 2, play AGAINST a non-Monday underdog/pick ‘em off a division SU win of 7+ points in its last game and not before a bye next week. (17-0-1 ATS, +10.5 ppg)
From Section 1 of the 2006 NFL POWER SYSTEM e-CYCLOPEDIA, which looks exclusively at early-season situations, we find a scenario in which teams that started the season with a solid victory over a division foe have struggled in their next outing. These are usually non-division games, and the teams have obviously put a lot of pre-season emphasis on starting the season with a triumph over a division rival. Once that has been accomplished, a letdown has been suffered.
We have isolated the teams that are most vulnerable after a season-opening division win of at least a TD. By eliminating Monday Night Football games and teams that have a bye week next, we are assured of finding teams that may not be completely focused. Additionally, the oddsmakers have told us something by not favoring these teams, despite coming off an impressive division win.
The qualifying teams have lost all 18 games since 1988 by an average of 2 TDs. They also failed to cover the spread by an average of more than 10 points a game.