NFL POWER SYSTEM
Combined with a thorough investigation of all aspects of a game, POWER SYSTEMS can facilitate long-term handicapping success.
From this week's NFL POWERePORT, we take a look a rare Game 5 situation. Extended spread streaks in the NFL are somewhat uncommon due to line adjustments and the relative parity in the league. Over the past decade there has been roughly an average of 2 teams per year that started the season with 4 spread losses. This year, there are 3 - Carolina, Arizona, and Miami. The Panthers and Cardinals are at home and history shows that they stand a decent chance of finally getting a spread win for their backers on Sunday
It’s a different story with the Dolphins. Miami is on the road where teams have continued to struggle after an 0-4 ATS start. Specifically, a PRO INFO SPORTS NFL POWER SYSTEM advises:
In Game 5, play AGAINST a road team with a TOTAL of 43 points or less off 4 ATS losses to start the season.
With a lower O/U line, we avoid teams that have some offensive firepower and could cover the spread with a outburst of points. Miami has struggled greatly on offense this year, which is one reason why their TOTAL this week is about 37 points. Again, it’s a rare situation, as only 9 such occurrences have come up over the past 20+ seasons, but those teams have gone 0-9 SU & ATS, losing outright by more than 15 ppg and failing to cover the spread by nearly 10 ppg on average. Most recently, Cincinnati was at Cleveland 2 years ago. The Bengals were 3-point underdogs to the Browns but lost 34-17, failing to cover by 2 TDs.
This POWER SYSTEM is active Sunday, as the Play AGAINST team is Miami, making New England the Play ON team.