NFL Week 1 POWER SYSTEM
This NFL POWER SYSTEM is from Section 1 of The 2006 NFL POWER SYSTEM e-CYCLOPEDIA, which examines Early Season situations.
PS1-3 - In Game 1, play AGAINST a non-division road favorite of more than 3 points with a TOTAL of 42 points or less before a conference home contest in its next game. (13-0 ATS, +9.3 ppg)
Playing an unfamiliar foe as a road favorite has been a tough way for non-division teams to start the season, especially with a conference home contest coming up. An O/U of less than 42 points indicates that it's a game in which the teams aren't expected to be lighting up the scoreboard. Usually, a lower-scoring game will favor the underdog, contributing to the success of this NFL POWER SYSTEM.
These road favorites have failed to cover the spread on every occasion for 20 years, going 0-13 ATS. Most recently, Denver was a solid 5-point favorite at Miami in last year's season opener prior to a home game with division-rival San Diego. The Broncos were broken easily by the Dolphins, 34-10, as Denver failed to cover the spread by more than 4 TDs.
This Sunday, September 10, Philadelphia plays a non-division game at Houston. The Eagles are favored by more than a FG in a game with a TOTAL in the high 30s. Next up, they will be home against division-rival New York Giants, qualifying Philadelphia as the Play AGAINST team for this PRO INFO SPORTS NFL POWER SYSTEM.