Right Angle Sports 1 Unit Plays :
Air Force (+1) at Navy - 10:30am Pacific - Game #341-342
I was high on Air Force at the start of the season as they returned 13 starters, very high for a service academy, in fact it ties for the most ever in 22 years under head coach Fisher DeBerry. After two solid wins to start the season, the Falcons have dropped three straight, and this looks like a prime spot to get back on them. All 3 losses have come against upper echelon MWC teams. The first, a one point heartbreaker to current league favorite Wyoming. In that game Air Force scored a go ahead touchdown with just over a minute and a half to play but missed the extra point. A poor kick off gave Wyoming good field position and they drove for a touchdown to win by one. They then lost by 3 at Utah after a short week and lost the following Thursday at Colorado State in a game that they lost fumbles on two of their first three plays from scrimmage. That game was much more competitive than the final score would indicate. It is very possible that no one will win at Utah or at Colorado State this year. Air Force ranks 31st nationally in total offense. They have a much more balanced attack than in recent years. Of course they still run the ball with the best of them but QB Shaun Carney also has a 140.1 pass efficiency rating (4th best in MWC) and they are passing for 171 yards per game, the most ever under DeBerry. They even have a rare NFL prospect in 6-4 WR Jason Brown. Statistically, the Falcon defense leaves something to be desired, but they have not done that bad when considering the schedule they have played. All five of their opponents rank 42nd or better nationally in pass offense. They still believe they can get the job done on that side of the ball and Navy is a team they can finally match up well with.
Due to canceled game vs Rice, Navy has only played three times and had a two week hiatus prior to last week's game at Duke. They were fortunate to make some big plays on offense and scored a touchdown with 1:18 left to beat hapless Duke. It was Navy's first win of the season after losses to Maryland and another hapless team, Stanford. Contrary to Air Force, Navy lost a ton of talent and only returned 6 starters for this season. Their offense has not been nearly as efficient and their defense has had a hard time getting off the field. They are averaging 50 yards of penalties per game and are even losing the time of possession battle. Penalties and losing the time of possession battle are bad signs for a triple option offense. Coach Paul Johnson probably wishes he had a few more games to improve before facing Air Force.
It is well documented how unhappy Air Force head coach Fisher DeBerry has been the past two years without the Commander In Chief Trophy. He has said repeatedly this week, "The trophy is the No. 1 goal in our program, and it has been for 22 years I've been the head coach." Air Force had possession of it 13 of the 14 years prior to Navy taking it the past two seasons. The Midshipmen upset Air Force two years ago 28-25, and won last year on a last second field goal 24-21, which puts the Falcons in a double revenge situation. Under Deberry, Air Force is 34-8 SU vs Navy & Army. The Falcons are more experienced, have played a much tougher schedule, and have more all around talent than Navy this year. They have had two extra days to prepare for this game and it presents an opportunity for them to salvage a promising season that has gone bad the past three weeks. Air Force is 13-1 ATS (2-0 this year) on artificial turf and 13-8 ATS (2-0 this year) as an away dog since 1998. Falcons get the job done this year.
Official Play: Air Force +1 1 UNIT
Baylor (+ at Iowa State - 11:00am Pacific - Game #343-344
Baylor comes in at 3-1 and after their performance last week at Texas A&M, I have to believe they are one of the most underrated teams in the country. Baylor beat Texas A&M last year in OT so this year's meeting was a big revenge game for the Aggies. Nevertheless, Baylor dominated most of the game, particularly on defense where Baylor held Texas A&M to just 3 first downs and 70 total yards in the first half. For the game, A&M finished with just 287 total yards. The Aggies went on a long 86 yard drive for a field goal to force overtime, needing two 4th down conversions along the way. Baylor should have had a much bigger lead, but four first half trips to the redzone, including three trips inside the 5 yard line, resulted in a total of just 3 points. After allowing 421 total yards and 36.9ppg last year, the Baylor defense, with 8 starters back, is allowing just 288 total yards and 15.8ppg. The secondary has been superb with 6 interceptions and 20 pass breakups already this year. They rank 3rd nationally in pass efficiency defense which typically consists of the who's who of college football (Miami Fla, Texas, Virginia Tech also in top 6). Offensively, QB Shawn Bell has been steady and consistent. RB's Paul Mosely and Brandon Whitaker form a nice tandem. The receiving corps has improved its speed significantly.
Iowa State is coming off a disappointing double overtime loss at Nebraska. If not for a solid performance from QB Bret Meyer, the Cyclones would have been blown out. For the second consecutive week they could not run the ball and the defense was very suspect. A combination of those two ingredients will not win many football games. Starting RB Stevie Hicks played just one down vs Nebraska and sat out the rest of the game. He remains questionable this week with a lingering "undisclosed" injury. Second string RB Jason Scales remains doubtful. This leaves ISU with a 3rd string RB likely to get most of the carries so the running game will again have its work cut out. The ISU defense gave up 467 yards to a Nebraska offense that had been struggling and prior to that gave up 365 yards to an Army offense that had been struggling. With the onus on inconsistent sophomore QB Meyer to perform well, ISU should not be giving more than a TD to any Big 12 team.
Last year in Waco, Iowa State battled out a 26-25 win. Baylor outgained Iowa State by almost 200 total yards (450-257), but were hurt by four lost fumbles including one returned 65 yards for a TD, a missed field goal, a missed extra point and several costly penalties. Iowa State needed an 80 yard drive to score a TD with under a minute left for the win. The drive was aided by a pass interference call on 3rd and 16 and an offsides call on 4th and 2. Clearly, Baylor has improved significantly since then and should be very competitive in this spot. The +8 points carries extra value in what figures to be a low scoring game. Take the points.
Official Play: Baylor +8 1 UNIT
Hawaii (+3) at Louisiana Tech - 4:00pm Pacific - Game #375-376
Most people have not realized how different this Hawaii team is compared to previous versions. It was hard to tell much from their first two games as they were breaking in a new QB and playing two of the best teams that college football has to offer in USC and Michigan State. Then followed a BYE week and the team has been very impressive in last two outings vs more manageable WAC competition. They went on the road and not only dominated Idaho from start to finish, but shut them out, something unheard of from a defense that allowed 38.4ppg a year ago. They followed it up with another solid performance last week vs Boise State. The defense held the Broncos to zero offensive points in the first half and just 21 offensive points for the game. Hawaii would have won the game and their defense would be getting much more notice if not for Boise scoring touchdowns on an interception return, long punt return, and a blocked field goal return. If that was not enough, Hawaii needed only an extra point to tie the game with under 3 minutes left but it too was blocked and returned for 2 points the other way. Last year Boise racked up 589 yards and beat Hawaii 69-3. This year they were held to 430 yards. Some credit for the improved defense goes to new defensive coordinator Jerry Glanville, but he was also given an experienced group of players to work with. The defense is bringing pressure on almost every play and are much more physical than they have been in the past. They are expected to get back a couple of injured players on the defensive line this week which will only help.
Louisiana Tech relied heavily on star RB Ryan Moats last year. They averaged 200 rushing yards per game so it did not matter that QB Matt Kubik completed just 50.8% of his passes with as many interceptions as touchdowns. This year Moats is gone, and Kubik is going to have to be more effective throwing the ball. So far, he has not been able to improve on last years completion percentage or TD/INT ratio. Backup Donald Allen has taken about 1/3 of the teams throws and has done even worse. Defensively, La Tech has been miserable for more than a decade and return only 4 starters on that side of the ball. They are also on to their third different defensive coordinator since the end of last season. Their last game looks impressive on paper but the team they beat, New Mexico State, has been a mess all season long.
Hawaii first year starting QB Colt Brennan really has the look of a nice player. He is still making some mistakes, but will get better with every game. Head coach June Jones says he will be a great, great QB here. He is much more mobile than previous QB Timmy Chang and this year's offensive line is said to be the best ever under Jones. That gives the Hawaii offense a lot more options. Hawaii rolled up 536 yards on Boise State and is averaging 439ypg on the season. They are already on pace to eclipse last years average despite already facing three of the best teams on their schedule. Hawaii is clearly one of the top 3 teams in the WAC this year and it is a long way back to the rest. Take the points.
Official Play: Hawaii +3 1 UNIT
AAA sports
northwestern
army
wyoming
tulane
Joe Gavazzi (PPP)
5* California +2 vs UCLA ( 7:30pm )
5* Penn St +3.5 vs Ohio St ( 7:45pm ESPN )
4* South Carolina -12.5 vs Kentucky ( 1:00pm )
4* Wyoming -6 vs TCU ( 3:00pm )
3* Indiana -6 vs Illinois ( 12:00pm )
3* W. Virginia -3.5 vs Rutgers ( 12:00 )
3* Boston College -7 vs Virginia ( 1:00pm )
3* Oklahoma +14 vs Texas ( 1:00pm )
3* Michigan -7.5 vs Minnesota ( 1:00pm )
3* San Diego St -9 vs UNLV ( 3:00pm )
3* Vanderbilt +16 vs LSU ( 3:30pm )
3* Stanford +14 vs Wash St ( 5:00 pm )
3* New Mexico St +28 vs Fresno St ( 10:00pm )
3* Virginia Tech -34.5 vs Marshall ( 12:00pm )
3* Maryland -28 vs Templer ( 1:00pm )
3* Arkansas -25.5 vs Louisiana Monroe ( 7:00 pm )
3* Norh Western +7 vs Wisconsin ( 12:00 )
3* Tennessee -3 vs Georgia ( 3:30pm )
3* Nebraska +4 vs Texas Tech ( 4:00 pm )
5* Georgia/Tennesse UNDER 40 ( 3:30pm )
4* Oklahoma / Texas UNDER 53 ( 1:00 pm )
4* Ohio St/ Penn StUNDER 42.5 ( 7:45pm
Alatex:
Superplay:
Air Force
Regular Plays:
Cal
Neb
Colorado
BC
The Manager (49-25)
Iowa State--Kansas State--Wisconsin--Michigan
Total Edge
Top Rated Plays
(1*) TCU/Wyoming Over
(1*) Vanderbilt/LSU Over
Dr Bob
3 - Penn State
2 - San Diego State
Computer-Picks
4 Units on Kansas State -5½ -110
84%
3 Units on Iowa State -8 -110
77%
5 Units on Texas A&M +3 -110
91%
3 Units on Hawaii +3 -110
71%
4 Units on Penn State +3½ -110
80%
Assassins Picks
1 Unit on Toledo -20 -110
2 Units on Pittsburgh U -12½ -110
3 Units on Georgia +3 -110
2 Units on Alabama Birmingham U 47½ -110
1 Unit on Central Florida +1½ -110
1 Unit on Akron -10 -110
1 Unit on LSU -15 -110
5 Units on Northwestern +6 -110
2 Units on Temple U 55½ -110
3 Units on West Virginia -4 -110
1 Unit on Northwestern U 60 -110
4 Units on UL Monroe +26½ -110
Mike Lee
10% georgia
8% wisky mich baylor north car
6% ok.kansas cali tulsa
Special K
20- Ohio St
10- Pitt
5-Minn, Wyoming, Georgia, UCLA
Doc
5- Col St (Mountainwest GOY)
5- Purdue, Texas
4- Northwestern, Nebraska, Colorado, Indiana, UCLA
Pointwise:
3*
UCLA
COLORADO ST
INDIANA
BOWLING GREEN
PURDUE
ARKANSAS
Top 4*
GEORGIA
MISSOURI
New York Wiseguys NCAA 100* Member Play Comp:
VSS Wins Comps 348-253-13 Overall L612 Days
Comps 88-57-3 Run L148 After New York Wiseguys Saturday Penn State Blowout Winner!
NEW YORK WISEGUYS 100* AIR FORCE FALCONS +2 (-120) over Navy Midshipmen
1:37 PM EDT Kickoff from Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland
The Gold Sheet
1.5 - Indiana
1 - Baylor
1 - ECarolina
1 - Iowa
1 - Wash State
Fezzik Sports
College (all 1 weights):
325 Kansas +6.5
343 Baylor +8.5
368 Nebraska +4
375 Hawaii +4
388 PSU +3.5 (no play at +3)
NFL:
405 Bears/BROWNS OVER 35.5, 2 weight
411 Seahawks +3, -120, 2 weight
415/416 BUF/Mia OVER 33.5, 2 weight
431/432 SD/Pit OVER 45, 2 weight
Bobby Banker (Banker Sports) 5 unit Colorado (vrs Tx A&M)
(This is NOT the Banker sports listed in the "worst" Percentage winners of the Win/Loss Record thread).
THANX FOR THE PLAYS TBONE. I HEARD JOE G. IS ON FIRE I WILL TRACK HIS PLAYS TODAY.
Lenny Stevens
Top Rated Plays
(20*) Nebraska Cornhuskers
(20*) Penn State Nittany Lions
Regular Plays
(10*) Colorado State Rams
(10*) Colorado Buffaloes
(10*) LSU Tigers
Larry Ness
Insider Play Colorado
22* Missouri
Larry Ness
Regular Plays
(10*) South Carolina Gamecocks
10*) Georgia Bulldogs
(10*) Nebraska Cornhuskers
(10*) Maryland Terapins
Scott Spreitzers 20* Upset of the Month
Baylor
HSW Early Phone Plays
5* Toledo
3* Central Michigan
2* Central Florida
2* San Diego St
Headquarters
Regular Plays
(5*) Baylor Bears
(5*) Toledo Rockets
A Play
Regular Plays
(10*) South Carolina Gamecocks
(10*) Central Michigan Chippewas
(10*) Pittsburgh Panthers
(10*) Purdue Boilermakers
(10*) Ohio State Buckeyes
Sebastian
College Foots:
Comp-Pitt
7* Louisville
7* Northwestern
10* California
10* Kansas
10* Minnesota
15* Vandy/LSU UNDER
20* Army
20* Rutgers
20* Tulane
50* Nebraska
Chuck Luck
Medium
Central Michigan
Baylor
Large
TCU
Memphis
Xtra Lge
California
NFL
Chicago
Tampa
Tennessee
Carolina
Sunday Sure Thing (3-1)
Dallas
NELLY
COMPUTER SLAM WYOMING
4 NORTHWESTERN
3 oklahoma
2 army
minnesota
REED HARRIS
regular plays
NEBRASKA
ARIZONA
LOUISVILLE
ROCKYS NEWSLETTER
WYOMING -6 ov Tcu
Coach Joe Glenn has these Cowboys heading in the right direction, back into prominence and winner probably wins the Mountain West here today and besides, how do you not back Wyoming who is on dead nut hot spread run of TEN straight covers? While TCU defense has 16 takeaways this season (lucky?) you still have to wonder about that same defense that has allowed 56 first downs over the last couple weeks. Any near resemblance of those efforts will have TCU running for cover here. Clincher is that Wyoming now 7-0 ATS at home dating back to last season. Horned Frogs 1-8 ATS as dogs of +12 or less vs opponents off back to back outright wins. One of the nations best kept secret's will be no longer. WYOMING 34-17
NEVADA -9 ov Idaho
despite their win and cover at home last week, Vandals only gained 101 yards against Utah State, and that was at home - the loss of their top two RB's (Bird and Sherman)
has devastated this attack. Don't like the fact that Idaho QB Wichman has already been sacked 18 times this season. Ouch! But thats what happens when the opposing defense can send the house on each down against a team lacking any type of ground assault. Long time readers know that I absolutely love it when one team can dominate and control the line of scrimmage, well we get that in this matchup as well, as Idaho just can't match up, and that spells curtains here. Nevada 6-2 ATS last 8 home games and 3-0 ATS last 3 as home chalk while Idaho just 4-7 as road dog last 11. Vandals have lost by an average score of 42-17 while on the road - so will make that our score here today. Clincher is that Idaho now 0-6 ATS on the road coming off a game at home. NEVADA 42-17.
NEW ENGLAND +2.5 ov Atlanta
while injuries have prevented the Patriots from dominating all opponents this season, we can't quite digest this weeks posted line, as NO WAY have the Patriots fallen to this deep level - to be installed as a dog against Atlanta who is 4-12-1 ATS at home off an outright win. Patriots still 8-1, 12-4-1 ATS vs the NFC and a money making 13-4 ATS off an outright loss. NE also 6-1 ATS in week 5 and an additional 13-4 ATS on the road. Want more? Patriots 6-0 ATS on artificial turf after an outright loss, dating back to week 8-2000 ~ and Atlanta 0-7 ATS when their spread differentials increased over the previous two games (blowout vs Vikings last week helps this here). No question that the coaching edge goes to New Englana here as well. Patriots Brady not turnover prone as Vikings Culpepper. New England bounces back 27-21
10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK
OREGON +9.5 ov Arizona State
ASU came awfully close, yet so far in their spread win against USC last week, but the lingering effects of that blown win will have a "hangover" effect here. Its true that ASU QB Keller had 5 INT's but 3 were not his fault - in and out of receivers hands but the end result was the same, head hanging and disbelief. Liked the fact that ASU after blowing what looked like comfy halftime lead with the Trojans, battled back to re-take the lead, only to have that great USC running tandem of Bush and White expose the ASU defensive middle. While Duck QB Clemens getting opposing defense's "eye" its the Oregon ground game that figures to keep them in the hunt here today until the end. Our contacts are still very high on ASU - and while we expect them to win, coming out "flat" off that huge emotional USC performance last week puts ASU into a dangerous position here today. Both teams, on both sides of the ball match up very well here today, so points a premium. ARIZONA STATE 35-31
NEAR MISSES
VANDERBILT +15.5 ov Lsu
Tulsa +12 ov SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
SAN FRANCISCO +15 ov Colts
JETS +3.5 ov Tampa Bay
BALTIMORE +1.5 ov Detroit
COLLEGE BLOWOUT
LOUISVILLE -12.5 ov North Carolina
hate to see what potent high flying Card offense will do to a UNC defense that had its hands full against an average Utah attack just last weekend. Louisvilles' point per minute offense (has now scored 60+points per game at home, last will wreck havoc against a Tar Heel defense they put up 34 points on last season on the road in a 34-0 shutout victory while laying 7. Louisville a staggering 18-3 ATS in outright wins against opponents off an outright win. Big East regains stature with win over ACC club. Home teams in Louisville games this season a perfect 4-0 ATS, so will ride the current trends, and fact that Cards have won and covered 8 straight at home, all as double digit favorites. Again. LOUISVILLE 61-28
NEAR MISSES
FLORIDA -27 ov Mississippi State
OHIO STATE -3 ov Penn State
Maxwell
Top Rated Play Georgia Bulldogs
Regular Play UCLA Bruins
Raider
NCAA Game of the Week (20*) UNLV Runnin Rebels
Regular Plays (5*) Texas Longhorns
(5*) East Carolina Pirates
(5*) Oklahoma State Cowboys
(5*) UCLA Bruins
ATS FINANCIAL
4 OHIO ST
4 OREGON
4 LOUISVILLE
BASES
3 YANKS
BEN BURNS' 3-GAME "EARLY" REPORT + GOW *10-2 L12! $35.00
Game: West Virginia at Rutgers Oct 8 2005 12:00PM
Prediction: Rutgers
Reason: West Virginia has dominated this series having won 10 straight by an average margin of 32 points per game. However, the home team has gone 11-3 ATS the last 14 meetings, including a Rutgers ATS win here last year. I feel the situation sets up very nicely for a play on the home team again this afternoon. The Scarlet Knights come off a momentum-building victory vs. Pittsburgh and have had an extra day of preparation time. The Mountaineers, on the other hand, got beat up by Virginia Tech last Saturday and have a huge home game (on national TV) vs. Louisville on deck. The Scarlet Knights gave the Mountaineers everything they could handle last year, losing 35-30. This year, the Mountaineers are far less experienced while Rutgers is much improved. Look for the Scarlet Knights to score the upset as they improve to 14-4 ATS in the last 18 times they were getting points. Play on RUTGERS
Game: Wisconsin at Northwestern Oct 8 2005 12:00PM
Prediction: Northwestern
Reason: The Wildcats have a strong home field advantage. Dating back to last season, Northwestern has won seven of its last eight home games. The lone home loss came in the Wildcats' most recent game, vs. Penn State, and they still managed to cover the pointspread. The Wildcats were listed as 9-point underdogs when they hosted the Badgers in 2003. They pulled the upset in that game and have gone 5-1 ATS as home underdogs since. Looking back further and we find that Northwestern is a perfect 5-0 ATS the last five times they have hosted the Badgers. While the Wildcats' defense is rather ordinary, their offense has proven highly capable, averaging 31.5 points per game. The Wisconsin defense has been great vs. the run but has proven to be susceptible to the pass. The Badgers have allowed 10 passing touchdowns in five games and opponents have averaged nearly 260 passing yards per game. That should work in the Wildcats' favor as through four games QB Brett Basanez has completed 63.9 % of his passes for greater than 1000 yards with a 4-1 touchdown to interception ration. The Wildcats, 7-2-1 ATS when coming off a bye, have had an extra week to heal and prepare. Look for them to give guests everything they can handle once again. Play on NORTHWESTERN
Game: Central Michigan at Army Oct 8 2005 1:00PM
Prediction: Army
Reason: Army is off to an 0-4 start for the second straight season. Last year, the Black Knights earned their first victory in their fifth game. I expect another Army victory this afternoon. The Black Knights have fared well vs. the MAC Conference over the years, winning 10 of 14 and going 8-3 ATS. The Chippewas could be ripe for a letdown as they just scored an upset road win at Akron last week. Central Michigan hasn't won back to back road games since 1993 and is an ugly 2-15 ATS when coming off a win vs. a conference opponent. The Black Knights may be without running back Carlton Jones. Obviously its never good to be without your star back. However, Jones has been struggling to find holes this year and Scott Wesley should be a capable replacement as he had 64 yards and two touchdowns last week. With a trio of tough road games on deck, Army knows it simply can't afford to lose this one. Look for an extremely inspired effort as the Black Knights score the upset. Play on ARMY *Game of the Week
Northcoast
TC
3'* over 51' Pur Iowa
3* over 54 IND ILL
3* over 51 LSU Vandy
SC
4* Ark -26
3* BG -21
3* Mary
Bobby Cash
NCAA Game of the Week (20*) Oregon Ducks
op Rated Play (10*) Central Florida Golden Knights
Regular Plays (10*) Western Michigan Broncos
(10*) East Carolina Pirates
(10*) Indiana Hoosiers
Marc Lawrence Preferred Picks
Top Rated Play
(4*) Nebraska Cornhuskers
Regular Plays
(3*) Oklahoma State Cowboys
(3*) Penn State Nittany Lions
Mike Lineback
4.5 Teaser-mich/penn St Un
4 Wisc, Mizzo, Kan St, Iowa St, Sdst, Purd
Scotty Spreitzer
Goy-colo
Goy-wash St
Smashmouth-w.mich
Wayne Root
Chairman-Texas A&M
Millionaire-UNLV
Personal Favorite-Pitt Pathers
NO LIMIT-Penn State
Board of Directors-Oklahoma Sooners
Fortune 5000-Vanderbuilt
northcoast 5*
5* Wyoming -6'
Truline Sports
NCAA Game of the Week
Washington State Cougars
Top Rated Play
UCLA Bruins
Regular Plays
USC Trojans
Oregon Ducks
JIM FEIST
GAME OF YEAR NEBRASKA