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LT's Lock
Washington
==============

RAS
Right angle Sports

A&M/LSU und 129
Gonzaga -3
Montana +11

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SPECIAL K
15* #513 George Washington

5* #516 Florida
5* #519 Montana
5* #523 Alabama
5* #526 Illinois

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Millionaire's Club
Large plays on George Washington and Wisc-Milw

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Rockys Winners Cir
Ultimate Club - Tenn
Late Steam Plays
Gonz
Bc
Wash & Ill Over
Fla

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Sebastian
Sebastian Goy-- Ucla

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Alatex
Wichita St

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Blazer
Top Gonzaga
Also Wichita And Illinois

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Dave Cokin
Texas Am
Wichita
Indiana
Fla

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Insider Sports Report (ISR)

4* Alabama/U.C.L.A. (NCAAB) OVER 126.5 to 130.5
4* Duke -6.5 to -10.5 over George Washington (NCAAB)
3* Texas A&M/L.S.U. (NCAAB) UNDER 131 to 127

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Cappers Access ... Yesterday they went 4-0 !!!

(Sat) CBB Duke George Washington 9 George Washington
(Sat) CBB Maryland Manhattan 12 Manhattan
(Sat) CBB Illinois Washington 2 Washington
(Sat) CBB Gonzaga Indiana 3 Gonzaga
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Bob Balfe
no nba
ncaa
indy
wash u

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The Prez:

10* Indiana Over
5* Florida Over

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King Sports
5 Washington
3 wi milwaukee

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Triple Crown
4* Montana

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PPP

5-George Washington + 9
5-Lsu - 5
5-Ucla - 7

4-Wichita State + 3
4-Gonzaga - 3

2-Florida - 7
2-Boston College - 10
2-Washington + 1

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California Sports
Tourney Goy Ind
4 Star Gw
3 Star Wichita St

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Ats Lock Club
8* Lsu - 5
6* Mont +11
6* Gw +9 1/2
5* Wich st +3

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Wayne Root

No Limit
Washington

Millionaire
Tennessee

Chairman
Gonzaga

=====================

JUMP ON THE BENTON BANDWAGON
5-0 in Comp-Plays ! ( G-Town yesterday )
Today's Comp Play = WASHINGTON HUSKIES
Jeff Benton

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Matt Rivers :
GEORGE WASHINGTON

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Trace Fields
4* Illinois

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KIKISPORTS
1 Unit on LSU
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MADDUX SPORTS
Wichita State +3

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Scott DeLaney :
MONTANA
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RINKPLAY SPORTS:
San Jose Sharks -120 GOY

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Dr. Bob
(He's Ice Cold)
3 Star Selection
Florida (-7) over Wisconsin-Milwaukee
12:20 PM Pacific - Rotation 516
Florida had one of the more impressive round 1 victories, beating a pretty good South Alabama team by 26 points. That win sets up the Gators in a near perfect 20-0-1 ATS round 2 momentum situation while Wisconsin-Milwaukee qualifies in a negative 27-65-2 ATS NCAA Tournament letdown situation (and a 7-30-2 ATS subset of that angle). My ratings favor Florida by 8 ½ points (and a total of 142 points), so we have some line value to go along with the strong situations. I’ll take Florida in a 3-Star Best Bet at -8 ½ points or less and for 2-Stars at -9 (just an opinion at more than -9).

2 Star Selection
**Gonzaga (-3) over Indiana
05:10 PM Pacific - Rotation 522
Gonzaga enters this game on a 4 game pointspread losing streak while Indiana has covered in 6 straight games (although they were extremely lucky to beat San Diego State). The Zags continue to play well enough to win games (but not necessarily well enough to cover as favorites) and they’ve consistently played at a higher level this season when they’ve needed to. This is a game where the Zags will need to play better to win and I believe that they will. There is a strong correlation between the level of Gonzaga’s opponent and their level of play and a regression equation between their opponent’s rating/site and Gonzaga’s game rating suggest that the Zags will play about 3 ½ points better than normal against a team of Indiana’s caliber. That would result in Gonzaga by just 2 ½ points (predicted total is 147 ½), but the Zags apply to a 13-0 ATS subset of a 31-9-1 ATS NCAA tournament situation and I’ll take Gonzaga in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less while making the Zags an opinion at -3½.

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Randle the Handles Plays- NCAA BB

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Alabama +7½ over UCLA (8:00 PM) (Pinnacle)
The Bruins stock has gone way up over the past month as this team has not only won its last eight games but they’ve barely broken a sweat in doing so. In fact, the Bruins smallest margin of victory over that stretch was nine points with other wins came by margins of 34, 19, 12, 32, 21, 17 and 18. Wow. CBS showed the first 1:30 of their game against Belmont because the game was over that early. All of this has influence on this number and the result is an inflated favorite. Sure, it’s hard to ignore those big wins, but we're not totally convinced that the Bruins are all that. It’s very risky to lay significant points with a team that relies too heavily on one or two guys and that’s precisely the case with UCLA. If Farmer and Afflalo don’t have big games, UCLA is extremely vulnerable. Meanwhile, the Tide hung a 90 on Marquette and that’s impressive; not a bad time to get a rhythm going. They do it with a seven-man rotation and each one of them contributes significantly. The Tide are strong in two very critical areas, the paint and the point and that alone keeps this one very close indeed. As mentioned, UCLA is having a tremendous year but now that they’re getting too much backing, it’s time to back off. Play: Alabama +7½ (Risking 1.6 units to win 1.5).

Washington +1.15 over Illinois (5:30 PM) (Pinnacle)

The Huskies PG Brandon Roy is one of the best players in the nation that nobody really takes much notice of. This guy is the straight goods and his will and talent just might take the Huskies a long way in this event. Very quietly, Washington has won nine of its past 10 games and they swept the Bruins in conference play this season. The Huskies do so many things well and they’ll likely do it better than the Illini. That includes rebounding, shooting a higher percentage both from the floor and the stripe and in terms of bench strength, again, we give the edge to the Huskies. Defensively, the Illini has to be given the edge but it’s tough to compare the offensive minded Pac-10 teams the Huskies faced to the more defensive oriented style of the Big-10. Three of the six teams in the Big-10 are history with Iowa losing to a 14 seed, while Wisconsin got smoked and Michigan St looked pathetic. Indiana fluked a win over SDSU and that leaves Ohio St, who struggled to beat Davidson. Point is, the Big-10 is proving that the conference was weak and Illinois has some losses that suddenly appear quite ugly. The Illini lost to Michigan St, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio St, Penn St and Iowa. They beat a slew of cupcakes early in the year and they also played 14 of their first 16 games at home. Meanwhile, three of the four Pac-10 teams are still around as, UCLA, Arizona, and Washington all won convincingly. California lost by six to NC State but they had a shot to win, unlike a few Big-10 teams, who never had a shot and frankly, we don’t see much changing here. Play Washington +1.15 (Risking 1.5 units).

Texas A&M +5½ over LSU (5:50 PM) SPORTSINTERACTION

The first thing to note here is that the Aggies are coming out of the much tougher Big-12 and down the stretch they were the best team in that conference winning nine of their last 10 games. The Aggies didn’t get much credit early in the year because they beat nobody but when it counted most the Aggies came through with flying colors. In winning their final seven regular season games, A&M beat a decent Nebraska team, won at Missouri, beat Texas and won at Texas Tech. Finally, in what was being billed as the game that A&M either makes it to the dance or not, they went out and battered Colorado by 33 points. The Tigers of LSU do not impress us. They played five ranked teams this year and lost four of them. They also lost to Cincinnati, Northern Iowa, Alabama and Houston. Frankly, outside of a win over WVU in late November, the Tigers really didn’t have a notable win all year. Don’t get us wrong, the Tigers work hard and play harder and led the SEC in rebound margin, points allowed, field-goal percentage defense and blocked shots. However, that was the SEC and the Tigers also are careless with the rock and we don’t believe for a second that they’re defense is superior to the Aggies. Points here are significant and while we like the Aggies outright, the points are too generous to pass up on. Play: Texas A&M +5½ (Risking 1.65 units to win 1.5).

Indiana +3 over Gonzaga (8:10 PM) SPORTSINTERACTION

We’ve said it before and it will stick to our guns by suggesting the Zags lived a charmed life all-season long by getting every bounce to go their way. While we can’t take anything away from their 14-0 conference record and 28-3 overall record Gonzaga backers should have some concerns here. One, the line the oddsmakers posted here seems awfully short when you consider the Zags have won 19 in a row and haven’t lost a game since two days after Christmas. They also come in ranked fifth in the nation and that, too, has influence on public opinion. This time of year there are literally thousands of people who reload and wager on this sport without knowing a thing and most of them will get their info in 20 minutes. They’ll look at records, rankings and a few other useless stats and than make their wagers. These individuals also have a propensity for leaning to the chalk and we can assure you the books are looking for all the public Zag money they can find here. Gonzaga played in the WCC conference and they’re the only representative from that ugly conference. The Zags had more close games than just about anyone and that includes three wins by a single penny. They were extremely fortunate to get by the Musketeers and again, in the game’s final 90 seconds the Zags got every bounce. Meanwhile, the Hoosiers, too, got lucky against SDSU but this team has been gaining steam for the last month. Marco Killingsworth should dominate inside and on the perimeter Vaden and Strickland are deadly. We can’t talk about this game without mentioning one Adam Morrison, who just might be named the player of the year. Still, Morrison has been carrying this team all year and we’re not in the least impressed with the supporting cast or the Zags horrible bench. If Morrison beats us, fine, so be it, but we’ll take our chances with the group that has good balance and a wicked defense. Play: Indiana +3 (Risking 1.6 units to win 1.5).

 
Posted : March 18, 2006 11:53 am
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