Baltimore (Lopez) @ Texas (Rogers)
Going to be playing the under in this game and I will tell you why.
Baltimore sends out Rodrigo Lopez for the start here today who has been a solid starter for them so far, he is 6-3 on the year with a solid ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.200 with the under cashing in 8 times out of his 13 starts including going 5-1 in his last 6 starts. This is his first trip to the mound against the Rangers so they may take a couple trips through the order to get the feel for him.
Texas counters with the one pitcher in their rotation that has been solid Kenny Rogers with a 9-4 record on the year and an ERA of 3.11 with a WHIP of 1.209, when he gets the start at home he pitches even better with his ERA dropping to 2.17 and a WHIP of 1.130 with a 4-2 record. The under is a solid 6-2 when he starts at home. He has 10 starts against the Birds since '97 with him having a 4-2 record in those starts and an ERA of 4.14 but a very solid WHIP of 1.248.
Baltimore is 10-15 against left-handed starters and are batting .233 as a team against them on the road, they are averaging just 3.7 runs a game against them on the year with a very poor on base percentage of .315. The defense is allowing their opponents to score 4.5 runs a game while the bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.79.
The Texas offense is averaging 5.1 runs a game against righties at home but they are only managing 4.4 runs of support when Rogers gets the start while the defense is giving up 5.5 but believe it or not they are very solid when it comes to giving up errors with only 48 so far this year with 29 of those at home. The bullpen has been horrible but Rogers averages 6.42 innings a start.
We get an extra kicker for the under here with Jim Reynolds behind home plate, the under is a solid 12-5 when he makes the calls with an average of 7.39 runs a game, he has a strike out to walk ratio of 1.87 with the under going 3-1 when set at 9.5.
Bottom line is that we have two solid pitchers on the mound with a pitchers ump on the last day before the all-star break.
Playing Under 9.5 +100