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Super Bowl XXXIX plays!

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(@the-hook)
Posts: 4159
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

+500 2005 year total in all sports....
+3445 2004 year total in all sports....
+9475 2003 year total in all sports....

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Playoff recap:

Week 1:
1* GREEN BAY PACKERS -6 -110 LOSER -110

Week 2:
1* NEW ENGLAND PATS pick -110 WINNER! +100
1* Teaser (Pitt -2.5/ Philly -2) WINNER! +100

Week 3:
2* NEW ENGLAND PATS -3 +110 WINNER! +220

SUPERBOWL XXXIX:

1* TOTAL UNDER 47.5 -110 (SportsInterction)

1* TEASER (NE-1/UNDER 53.5) +100

*Analysis:

I think -7 is the right number for this game. I actually hope it lands on 7, as I used "free half-point Fridays" to play NE -6.5, and Philly +7.5. I have used the "undervalued" Pats throughout the playoffs, but things have caught up to them as far as value is concerned. Remember the "dog" has covered both of the Pats previous SuperBowl wins.

The Value lies in the total as far as I am concerned. I think the nuber is about 6 points higher than I would have expected. The 4th quarter point "outburst" in last year's game helped provide the value here.

I like the Pats to Win, and really like the value provided by the 6 pt teaser in this for this game. I usually don't like "gimmick" wagers like teasers, but think they can bring value in playoff games.

NEW ENGLAND 24
Philly 17

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2004 College Football (36-22 ATS +2325)
2005 College Football (2-1 ATS +190)
2004 NFL Football (22-25-3 +181)
2005 NFL Playoffs (3-1 +310)

 
Posted : February 6, 2005 2:11 pm
(@the-hook)
Posts: 4159
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

2-0 in Superbowl +200, +700 2005 YTD.....

Game went as expected, with the UNDER never in doubt. A ton of $ changed hands on the late Philly TD, but did not affect my plays, as I detailed in my write-up. The Pats have now won 3 titles, all by 3 points with the underdog covering in all 3. The teaser provided the needed value for me, as I was convinced the Pats would win straight up. Congrats to the Pats and their fans, what a great NFL postseason it has been.

+700 2005 year total in all sports....
+3445 2004 year total in all sports....
+9475 2003 year total in all sports....

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SUPERBOWL XXXIX:

1* TOTAL UNDER 47.5 -110 WINNER! +100

1* TEASER (NE-1/UNDER 53.5) WINNER! +100

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2004 College Football (36-22 ATS +2325)
2005 College Football (2-1 ATS +190)
2004 NFL Football finished (24-25-3 +381)
2005 NFL Playoffs finished (5-1 +510)

 
Posted : February 6, 2005 10:19 pm
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