Info found on the net.
Syracuse at Boston College, 12:00 ET
Boston College carries in an amazing 12 game ATS winning streak in conference play. Syracuse is 4-9 ATS in Big East road games. The favorite is 15-3 ATS in this series.
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring BOSTON COLLEGE to cover the spread:
SYRACUSE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a road underdog since 1992. The average score was SYRACUSE 14.5, OPPONENT 34.4 - (Rating = 1*)
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. The average score was BOSTON COLLEGE 29.9, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 3*)
BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. The average score was BOSTON COLLEGE 41.1, OPPONENT 9.9 - (Rating = 3*)
Purdue at Michigan State, 12:05 ET
StatFox Super Situations favoring MICHIGAN STATE to cover the spread:
Play On - Home underdogs of 7 points or less (MICHIGAN STATE) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival. (35-18 ATS) (66%, +15.2 units. Rating = 1*)
Play Against - Road favorites of 7 points or less (PURDUE) - off a home cover where the team lost as an underdog. (23-7 ATS) (76.7%, +15.3 units. Rating = 3*)
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring MICHIGAN STATE to cover the spread:
MICHIGAN STATE is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half since 1992. The average score was MICHIGAN STATE 29.4, OPPONENT 21.5 - (Rating = 3*)
MICHIGAN STATE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games in November games since 1992. The average score was MICHIGAN STATE 31.3, OPPONENT 23.2 - (Rating = 2*)
MICHIGAN STATE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival since 1992. The average score was MICHIGAN STATE 35.6, OPPONENT 20.0 - (Rating = 3*)
Hawaii at Rice, 3:00 ET
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring RICE to cover the spread:
RICE is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. since 1992. The average score was RICE 31.0, OPPONENT 17.3 - (Rating = 0*)
RICE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992. The average score was RICE 36.8, OPPONENT 18.3 - (Rating = 3*)
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring RICE to cover the spread:
RICE is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) after being outgained by 175+ total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was RICE 30.0, OPPONENT 26.7 - (Rating = 0*)
RICE is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a home underdog since 1992. The average score was RICE 28.1, OPPONENT 23.6 - (Rating = 3*)
Utah at Wyoming, 12:00 ET
StatFox Super Situations favoring WYOMING to cover the spread:
Play On - Home underdogs of 7.5 to 14 points (WYOMING) - after a 2 game road trip. (83-48 ATS) (63.4%, +30.2 units. Rating = 2*)
Play On - Home underdogs of 7.5 to 14 points (WYOMING) - cold team, after having lost 8 or more out of their last 10 games. (16-5 ATS) (76.2%, +10.5 units. Rating = 2*)
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring WYOMING to cover the spread:
UTAH is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=6.25 yards/play since 1992. The average score was UTAH 28.7, OPPONENT 27.2 - (Rating = 0*)
UTAH is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse since 1992. The average score was UTAH 25.6, OPPONENT 24.9 - (Rating = 1*)
Wisconsin at Michigan, 12:05 ET
StatFox Super Situations favoring WISCONSIN to cover the spread:
Play On - Road underdogs (WISCONSIN) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a home favorite. (46-26 ATS) (63.9%, +17.4 units. Rating = 2*)
Play On - Road underdogs of 7.5 to 14 points (WISCONSIN) - mistake-free team - committing 1 or less turnovers/game. (25-8 ATS) (75.8%, +16.2 units. Rating = 2*)
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring WISCONSIN to cover the spread:
WISCONSIN is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was WISCONSIN 20.2, OPPONENT 18.2 - (Rating = 0*)
WISCONSIN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. The average score was WISCONSIN 24.0, OPPONENT 17.3 - (Rating = 0*)
WISCONSIN is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992. The average score was WISCONSIN 16.7, OPPONENT 18.8 - (Rating = 0*)
MICHIGAN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992. The average score was MICHIGAN 25.5, OPPONENT 19.1 - (Rating = 1*)
MICHIGAN is 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) off a road win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MICHIGAN 21.1, OPPONENT 22.6 - (Rating = 0*)
Arizona at California, 3:30 ET
The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 28-21 win for California in this game, a SU Golden Bears win but far short of the line of -16.
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring ARIZONA to cover the spread:
ARIZONA is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. The average score was ARIZONA 21.0, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 0*)
ARIZONA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games as an underdog since 1992. The average score was ARIZONA 19.9, OPPONENT 22.9 - (Rating = 1*)
ARIZONA is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in road games off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. The average score was ARIZONA 22.2, OPPONENT 22.5 - (Rating = 0*)
CALIFORNIA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992. The average score was CALIFORNIA 27.3, OPPONENT 23.3 - (Rating = 2*)
Washington at Oregon, 3:30
The Huskies have yet to win on the road this year and now have a six game losing streak away from home. The margin of loss in those games is 20 ppg.
The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 40-27 SU & ATS win for Oregon in this game. The Ducks are expected to get about 432 yards of offense. The StatFox Power Rating Line also estimates that Oregon should be favored by 13 in this game.
Iowa State at Colorado, 7:00 ET
The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 27-26 upset win by Iowa State in this game. The Cyclones are also projected to outgain Colorado in yardage, 398-361.
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring IOWA STATE to cover the spread:
IOWA STATE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons. The average score was IOWA STATE 29.7, OPPONENT 22.2 - (Rating = 1*)
IOWA STATE is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) after a loss by 21 or more points over the last 3 seasons. The average score was IOWA STATE 27.3, OPPONENT 24.7 - (Rating = 0*)
IOWA STATE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after allowing 9 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was IOWA STATE 40.0, OPPONENT 13.9 - (Rating = 1*)
IOWA STATE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more since 1992. The average score was IOWA STATE 19.0, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 2*)
COLORADO is 1-6 ATS (-5.6 Units) after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more since 1992. The average score was COLORADO 24.4, OPPONENT 21.6 - (Rating = 0*)
COLORADO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992. The average score was COLORADO 33.3, OPPONENT 25.5 - (Rating = 2*)
Utah State at Troy State, 12:00 ET
StatFox Super Situations favoring TROY STATE to cover the spread:
Play On - Home favorites of 7.5 to 14 points (TROY STATE) - after allowing 250 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games. (42-23 ATS) (64.6%, +16.7 units. Rating = 2*)
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring TROY STATE to cover the spread:
UTAH STATE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=120 rushing yards/game since 1992. The average score was UTAH STATE 15.3, OPPONENT 40.7 - (Rating = 0*)
UTAH STATE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=3.25 rushing yards/carry since 1992. The average score was UTAH STATE 15.5, OPPONENT 38.0 - (Rating = 2*)
NFL Football
Sunday, November 17th
Buffalo at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 39-29 Kansas City win in this game, far above the total of 49.5 set for this game. There is also projected to be about 830 yards of offense in the game.
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring the OVER against the total:
BUFFALO is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) after scoring 9 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was BUFFALO 28.0, OPPONENT 37.0 - (Rating = 1*)
BUFFALO is 6-1 OVER (+4.9 Units) against AFC West division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The average score was BUFFALO 26.9, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 0*)
BUFFALO is 23-9 OVER (+13.1 Units) off a home loss since 1992. The average score was BUFFALO 23.1, OPPONENT 25.6 - (Rating = 2*)
KANSAS CITY is 14-5 OVER (+8.5 Units) after 2 straight games allowing 63% or higher completion pct (20 att) since 1992. The average score was KANSAS CITY 27.6, OPPONENT 21.9 - (Rating = 1*)
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) off a cover where the team lost as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The average score was KANSAS CITY 35.7, OPPONENT 28.2 - (Rating = 1*)
Washington at New York Giants, 1:00 ET
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring WASHINGTON to cover the spread:
WASHINGTON is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons. The average score was WASHINGTON 22.0, OPPONENT 16.8 - (Rating = 0*)
StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring WASHINGTON to cover the spread:
WASHINGTON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992. The average score was WASHINGTON 21.8, OPPONENT 20.0 - (Rating = 2*)
NEW YORK GIANTS are 1-5 ATS (-4.5 Units) in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points over the last 3 seasons. The average score was NEW YORK GIANTS 20.7, OPPONENT 21.7 - (Rating = 0*)
San Francisco at San Diego, 4:05 ET
StatFox Super Situations favoring SAN DIEGO to cover the spread:
Play On - Home underdogs of 7 points or less (SAN DIEGO) - after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game. (44-21 ATS) (67.7%, +20.9 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Against - Road favorites (SAN FRANCISCO) - good rushing team - averaging 130 or more rushing yards/game. (105-71 ATS) (59.7%, +26.9 units. Rating = 2*)
Play On - Home underdogs of 7 points or less (SAN DIEGO) - good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. (43-22 ATS) (66.2%, +18.8 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Against - Road favorites (SAN FRANCISCO) - after 3 or more consecutive wins. (107-69 ATS) (60.8%, +31.1 units. Rating = 2*)
StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring SAN DIEGO to cover the spread:
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) versus good rushing defenses - allowing =130 rushing yards/game since 1992. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 19.9, OPPONENT 24.6 - (Rating = 0*)
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-6 ATS (-5.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 19.1, OPPONENT 30.4 - (Rating = 0*)
Denver at Seattle, 4:15 ET
StatFox Super Situations favoring SEATTLE to cover the spread:
Play Against - Road favorites (DENVER) - after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game. (58-27 ATS) (68.2%, +28.3 units. Rating = 2*)
Play On - Home underdogs (SEATTLE) - off a road win against a division rival. (43-23 ATS) (65.2%, +17.7 units. Rating = 2*)
Play On - Home underdogs (SEATTLE) - off an upset win as a road underdog. (59-35 ATS) (62.8%, +20.5 units. Rating = 2*)
The StatFox Game Estimator projects a 21-20 Denver win in this game, but well short of the 5 points they are laying as favorites.
Thanks Tbone. Lots of good info here.This really backs up all of the other info I've come up with backing Rice and Troy St.